How to Prepare For a Recession
How to Prepare For a Recession
Posted March 17, 2022 by Ben Carlson
A reader asks: What are some moves you’re making to prepare for the recession?
There seems to be a growing consensus among smart people I follow right now:
Inflation was already high and is only going to get worse because of the war. We could easily see a 10% inflation print this year.
The war is going to cause massive food shortages in the next year since so many agricultural commodities come from Ukraine and Russia.
Supply shocks were already bad and are only going to get worse. Tack on China’s Covid outbreak that’s shutting down entire cities and the supply chain is in trouble yet again.
Therefore, a recession is now inevitable.
Last week I even hopped on this bandwagon by showing how a recession is the only way we’ve seen high inflation fall in the past.
I do believe the probability of a recession is higher now than it was a month ago.
However, when dealing with probabilities, you have to look at both sides of the argument. Nothing is 100% certain in the markets or the economy.
Let’s look at the other side of this argument to show what could keep us out of a recession for a while longer.
There is a ton of pent-up demand.
Delta’s CEO said the airline just had its busiest two days in history in terms of sales. Travel spending is booming right now.
I was at Disney last month. The parks were packed every single day. My Disney insiders tell me they think sometime in March could see the busiest week ever for their theme parks. And I know from experience — Disney is not cheap. Inflation is not holding back spending at the parks.
The housing market remains scalding hot, even in the face of rising mortgage rates. Logan Motashami posted this picture of people lined up down the street waiting to see a new listing in California last weekend:
This is not exactly recessionary behavior.
To continue reading, please go to the original article here:
https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2022/03/how-to-prepare-for-a-recession/
TNT:
Tishwash: Al-Khafaji told: The cabinet will be finalized and voted on next Thursday.
Member of Parliament Miqdad al-Khafaji predicted that the cabinet formation process would be finalized and voted on in Parliament next Thursday.
Al-Khafaji told Al-Mada in an exclusive interview that “the end of this week will be the expected date for finalizing the cabinet and voting on it.”
Emailed to Recaps~ Thank you David
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By Reset Intelligence | @EXIT_FIAT
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Good Morning Dinar Recaps,
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Rising yields may be signaling a new regime for markets.
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What investors are seeing in Treasury markets is less about a single concern or a looming crisis, and more about a confluence of factors that are reshaping global markets.
KTFA
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Playback Number: 605-313-5163 PIN: 156996#
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Recent discussions from prominent financial commentators highlight a growing tension between centralized digital currency initiatives and timeless principles of sound money, offering a fascinating glimpse into the crossroads where technology meets liberty.
TNT:
Tishwash: The House of Representatives will resume its sessions on Sunday and Monday to vote on and discuss a package of laws and international
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According to the two agendas, the council will vote in its twenty-third session on a proposal to amend the Landlords Law.
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IRAQ
The map is being redrawn.
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KTFA
Saturday Night Video
FRANK26…10-3-26…..ANOTHER GREAT ANNOUNCEMENT
This video is in Frank’s and his team’s opinion only
Frank’s team is Walkingstick, Eddie and Omar in Iraq and guests
Playback Number: 605-313-5163 PIN: 156996#
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Coffee with MarkZ. Monday 10/05/2026
Some highlights by PDK-Not verbatim
MarkZ Disclaimer: Please consider everything on this call as my opinion. People who take notes do not catch everything and its best to watch the video so that you get everything in context. Be sure to consult a professional for any financial decisions
MZ: New week and some are panicking while others are getting excited. 1 to 1500, factions, Iranian policy seems to be coming to a head, and other worldwide craziness to start the week.