MilitiaMan Tuesday Afternon "Three Options" 7-12-2022

KTFA:

Samson:  Three scenarios, two of which are in the interest of Al-Kazemi.. A source from the framework: Al-Maliki withdrew from the candidacy

2th July, 2022

A source in the coordinating framework that includes all Shiite forces except for the Sadrist movement, which seeks to form the next government, revealed that the competition is limited to three candidates for prime minister, indicating that the leader of the state of law, Nuri al-Maliki, will withdraw from the nomination for the position, along with the imminent nomination of a candidate for the position of First Deputy. to the Speaker of Parliament. 

The source told Shafaq News Agency, "The competition for the position of prime minister is limited to 3 personalities, including the former Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi and the former Minister of Labor and Social Affairs, Muhammad Shiaa al-Sudani, in addition to one of the personalities from the second row leaders of one of the forces of the coordination framework, known for his strength in decision-making.

In addition to his political acumen, these people will enter the competition cycle within the coordination framework, and whoever gains the highest points will be an official candidate for the framework for the position of prime minister.

The source pointed out that "the leader of the rule of law and in his last statement is an explicit declaration of withdrawal from the candidacy for the presidency of the next government, but they will have a share in naming a candidate on their behalf for the position of the first deputy speaker of parliament."

He pointed out that "there are three applicable scenarios in the next stage. The first is to maintain Mustafa Al-Kazemi's government in the event that the Kurds agree on Barham Salih as a compromise candidate among them, in addition to Al-Kazemi's presentation of a practical and brief government program, time ceilings and priorities, with a change in his booth for those hovering around them." Files of corruption or defective management.

He continued, "The second scenario is that the three candidates will enter into an electoral competition within the framework, and whoever wins is the favored one, by a unanimous decision of the framework."

And he added, "The third scenario is to extend the life of the Al-Kazemi government for a period of one year in preparation for holding early elections with a change in the entire booth," noting that "the special parliament session to be held after Eid will not be delayed if it is agreed upon and all matters are resolved, especially the Kurdish candidate for the presidency." .

Earlier today, the leader of the Al-Fateh Alliance, Hadi Al-Amiri, had rejected his candidacy to head the next government, while stressing that his bloc would not participate in any future government.

Al-Amiri said in a statement received by Shafaq News Agency: "While I reject this media performance that is charged with lies, and may be paid for, I would like to emphasize that this news is false, and that I am not a candidate for this position and reject my candidacy from those who believe that this is correct from the Brotherhood." He stressed that "what is important to him first and foremost is to preserve the unity of the framework, and that he will provide support and assistance to any candidate agreed upon in the coordinating framework.   LINK

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MilitiaMan:   Three options Two of which are in favor for Al-Kahdimi. We know there needs to be direction in which way that are to go with these options. These most realistic view imo is that from what I know to be true is that presently the PM has necessary powers that were outlined in the constitution and likely to be in the EFSL / White Papers.

There is a focus on corruption. That is not going away. Having the necessary powers to dissolve parliament has the corruption files in the cross hairs.

 Dissolution of parliament puts those with corruption files at risk to losing immunity. Also if not the corruption files then the dissolution brings failure to mind in the publics eye thus, being re elected makes for dicey outcomes. Likely the failure of parliament to work for the citizens would not be forgotten. So those two alleys are not in their favor. 

The fact that Maliki has withdrew from the candidacy brings into question of will they go the route of since the withdrawal of Maliki will Sadr be fine with that and allow the government to be seated with the likes of the PM and Salih in place, be the option? Itwould still leave the corruption files in place and they can be sorted over time. A risk those in parliament will have to take? Both ways appear to be in favor of Kahdimi and are likely supported by the street. Something Sadr is fully aware of. We shall see. 

The third way is not in PMs favor and is more timely in nature. Something that is not in Iraq's best interest. The world is watching and they are looking for results in the government process to be completed. There are global initiatives at play this week.

They are with POTUS in the Middle East and Janet Yellen in Japan and Indonesia. All about key global events surround security, stability, finance, food security, climate change, Ukraine, Covid-19, etc.. The main focus is under the guise of food security, Universal Health Care and Finance... All on the table this week. Israel, Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Iran all on the table. All while the G20 et al are meeting.. There are no coincidences. This is all before us. The Central Banks of the world all are in formed. They have been all along the way. 

Iraq has been given notice. We can see the urgency now. They need to get off the camel and get in the game now.. Or risk the consequences.. Financially that would be a big mistake and they know it.. The Finance Minister and the Prime Minister are likely well informed by the IMF, WB, G7, G,20, UST, EU, etc.. They have had many meetings.. It is show time.  imo ~ MM