Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economic Updates Sunday Morning 4-20-25
Good Morning Dinar Recaps
JP MORGAN SAYS BITCOIN'S SAFE-HAVEN APPEAL IS CRUMBLING FAST
JPMorgan signals a major shift in market sentiment, highlighting fading bitcoin demand as gold captures massive inflows and reasserts dominance in the global safe-haven race.
JPMorgan Warns Bitcoin Is Losing Ground to Gold as Global Flows Shift Dramatically
JPMorgan Chase analysts stated Wednesday that bitcoin is no longer riding the wave of safe-haven demand, contrasting sharply with gold’s recent inflows. In a research note, the team led by managing director Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou pointed to clear signs of fading investor appetite for BTC. The JPMorgan analysts stated:
Bitcoin has failed to benefit from the safe haven flows that have been supporting gold
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They observed that the cryptocurrency has suffered from three consecutive months of exchange-traded fund (ETF) outflows and reduced speculative interest in the futures market.
Gold, in contrast, has drawn consistent flows from both institutional and speculative investors. “Despite a decline in market breadth and liquidity, gold continues to benefit from safe haven flows in a similar fashion to currencies like the Swiss franc and the yen,” the analysts detailed.
“These safe haven flows are seen in both the ETF and futures spaces.” Global gold ETFs saw $21.1 billion in net inflows in the first quarter of 2025, including $2.3 billion from China and Hong Kong-based ETFs.
Earlier this month, JPMorgan analysts warned that bitcoin’s status as a safe-haven asset may be weakening. They said the cryptocurrency’s “digital gold” narrative is under pressure as gold continues to see stronger demand.
The report also stated that gold is leading the current debasement trade and remains its primary beneficiary. JPMorgan continues to consider BTC’s estimated production cost a key price indicator, despite ongoing concerns. Analysts said gold remains the main asset benefiting from currency debasement. They identified $62,000, bitcoin’s estimated production cost, as a critical support level.
@ Newshounds News™
Source: Bitcoin News
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REAL-TIME PAYMENTS SURGE GLOBALLY AS US RAISES LIMITS, BRAZIL DRIVES DIGITAL INCLUSION
The growth of real-time payments has been global in scope, and as detailed in the latest “Real-Time Payments World Map,” a collaboration between PYMNTS Intelligence and The Clearing House, there’s an increasing maturity and broadening adoption of instant payment systems.
Increased transaction limits indicate that a variety of new use cases are coming to the forefront, particularly in commercial settings. A significant development in the United States is the recent increase in The Clearing House’s RTP network transaction limit to $10 million, up from $1 million as of Feb. 9.
The recent boost to transaction limits is leagues above the initial limit. When The Clearing House (TCH) launched its RTP® network in 2017 — the first new payments infrastructure in about 40 years — the transaction limit was $25,000. Jim Colassano, TCH’s senior vice president of RTP Product Development, told PYMNTS in the wake of the $10 million ceiling announcement that, “we’re seeing an explosion of new use cases on the network, and we’re seeing a lot more activity.”
This enhancement has already facilitated substantial intercompany transfers, exemplified by BNY Mellon’s $10 million liquidity management transaction for its client Computershare. The fact that over 285,000 businesses now utilize the RTP rail monthly signals a growing corporate appetite for higher-value instant payments.
Brazil’s ‘Game Changer’
In nations such as Brazil, instant payments are finding wide embrace, as central bank initiatives have proven to be a tailwind. As André Cazotto, investor relations officer, M&A, and corporate strategy officer at PicPay, told PYMNTS in April, “the central bank played a huge role in digital inclusion and competition. Pix — the instant payment system — was a game-changer. In 2024 alone, 155 million people used Pix for transactions totaling over 27 trillion reais.”
The Pix instant payment network is set to introduce a recurring payments feature, Pix Automático, in June. This functionality will streamline recurring billing for both consumers and businesses by automating payments for utilities, streaming services and other regular expenses, potentially reducing reliance on multiple banking partnerships.
The real-time payments ecosystem is also attracting new entrants, particularly in the digital wallet arena. Social media giant X is poised to launch its “X Money Account” in late 2025, partnering with Visa to enable in-platform peer-to-peer payments linked to debit cards via Visa Direct. This move indicates the potential for significant disruption and expanded reach for real-time payments within social media platforms.
Infrastructure providers are also bolstering their capabilities. FIS recently achieved full send capabilities certification for the FedNow® Service, building upon its previous receive-only certification. This advancement allows FIS to support the complete payment lifecycle for its partner banks on the Federal Reserve’s real-time payments rail, including instant payments for various use cases like loans, rent and bills.
@ Newshounds News™
Source: PYMNTS
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