Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economic Updates Thursday Evening 2-13-25

Good Evening Dinar Recaps,

JUDGE REMOVES KEY LEGAL HURDLE FOR TRUMP’S PLAN TO TRIM FEDERAL WORKFORCE WITH DEFERRED RESIGNATIONS

WASHINGTON (AP) — A federal judge on Wednesday removed a key legal hurdle stalling President Donald Trump ’s plan to downsize the federal workforce with a deferred resignation program.

The Boston-based judge’s order in the challenge filed by a group of labor unions was a significant legal victory for the Republican president after a string of courtroom setbacks.

“This goes to show that lawfare will not ultimately prevail over the will of 77 million Americans who supported President Trump and his priorities,” said White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt.

Another group of unions filed a lawsuit in Washington, D.C. late Wednesday, though its potential impacts were not immediately clear.

About 75,000 federal workers accepted the offer to quit in return for being paid until Sept. 30, according to McLaurine Pinover, a spokesperson for the Office of Personnel Management.

She said the deferred resignation program “provides generous benefits so federal workers can plan for their futures,” and it was now closed to additional workers.

American Federation of Government Employees National President Everett Kelley said in a statement that the union’s lawyers are assessing the next steps.

“Today’s ruling is a setback in the fight for dignity and fairness for public servants,” Kelley said. “But it’s not the end of that fight. Importantly, this decision did not address the underlying lawfulness of the program.”

The union continues to maintain that it’s illegal to force American citizens to make a decision, in a few short days, without adequate information, about “whether to uproot their families and leave their careers for what amounts to an unfunded IOU from Elon Musk,” the statement said.

U.S. District Judge George O’Toole Jr. in Boston found that the unions weren’t directly affected, so they didn’t have legal standing to challenge the program, commonly described as a buyout. O’Toole was nominated by former President Bill Clinton, a Democrat.

@ Newshounds News™

Source:  AP News

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BRICS: US TRADE WAR, TARIFFS HAS GLOBAL MARKETS PREPARING FOR THE WORST

With geopolitical tensions reaching a fever pitch, the brewing BRICS and US trade war driven by the implementation of new Trump tariffs has global markets preparing for the worst.

Indeed, the US President has continued to forward his aggressive economic policy. Subsequently, it has driven the world to respond as concern rises.

Throughout his campaign for reelection, Trump was adamant that tariffs would be a reality of his returning administration. To this point, he has kept to that word. Yet, the implications of that are beginning to come into view. Moreover, global markets are preparing for them to be dire.

BRICS & US Tensions Push Gold to All-TIme High as Experts Fear for the Worst

The US President has made no qualms about his belief in the US dollar. Indeed, he has maintained his position that the greenback’s status is of the utmost importance. 

Last year, he told American citizens that losing its global reserve position would be akin to the nation losing a war.

The effort to preserve the currency’s status has led him to engage with the global south in growing and concerning tensions. As the BRICS bloc and the US prepare for a potential trade war, the global market share is operating for the worst from the continued arrival of Trump tariffs.

The US is set to impose tariffs on metals coming from North American neighbors Canada and Mexico, as well as China. This has led to retaliate tariffs and plummeting base metal prices. Moreover, gold has surged to an all-time high as investors have rushed to the safe haven asset.

Specifically, it reached a price of $2,818 according to Reuters. Meanwhile, US gold futures edged 0.8% higher Wednesday, reaching $2,857.

Financial experts are projecting widespread economic impacts from the ongoing tariffs and retaliatory import taxes. Specifically, with 75% of annual exports from Canada and Mexico to the US coming in the form of metals, they project notable ramifications.

CNN reported that China is preparing a “countermeasure” to the Trump tariffs. However, things between Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping have been “very good,” according to experts. So, there is the belief that the two could work to avoid a trade war, despite the opposing stance.

Ultimately, growing tensions will drive production costs and consumer prices and alter trade dynamics. These are all realities that BRICS, the US, and global markets must prepare for. How greatly they impact the world, however, remains to be seen.

@ Newshounds News™

Source:  Watcher Guru

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Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economic Updates Thursday Afternoon 2-13-25

Good Afternoon Dinar Recaps,

TOP MUSK STAFFER TO INVESTIGATE IRS OPERATIONS: REPORT

Kliger, one of Musk's top employees, has been meeting with senior executives at the Internal Revenue Service, said sources.

Gavin Kliger, one of the top staffers working with Elon Musk in his efforts to overhaul the federal government, arrived at the Internal Revenue Service on Thursday to examine the agency's operations, according to two people familiar with the matter.

Kliger was meeting with senior executives at the tax-collecting agency, marking the first time that a member of the Musk-led Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) has shown up at its headquarters in Washington, the people told Reuters.

The development suggests that Musk, who President Donald Trump has tasked with cutting costs, waste and fraud across the federal government, is now scrutinizing the IRS as part of that effort, even as the ongoing tax season squeezes its resources.

Trump, when asked about the Reuters report, said DOGE was doing a great job and that no agency would escape Musk's gaze.

Separately, senior executives at the IRS were instructed on Thursday to identify all "non-essential" contracts for termination, according to an email seen by Reuters.

In the email, senior executives at the IRS were told that the General Services Administration (GSA), which manages most government contracts, is demanding they review consulting contracts under their purview and determine whether they can be justified.

The GSA deems a contract non-essential if it "merely generates a report, research, coaching, or an artifact," the email says.

"Consistent with the goals and directives of the Trump administration to eliminate waste, reduce spending, and increase efficiency, GSA has taken the first steps in a government-wide initiative to eliminate non-essential consulting contracts," the email says.

@ Newshounds News™

Source:  Hindustantimes

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GLOBAL STABLECOIN USE SOARS — WILL TRUMP CRYPTO POLICY PROMPT US ADOPTION?

Stablecoin use continues to expand across the world, and White House crypto czar David Sacks says one of its first priorities is stablecoin legislation in the United States.

One of the top priorities for White House AI and crypto czar David Sacks is addressing the rise of stablecoin legislation in the United States. While stablecoins have gained significant traction internationally, particularly in emerging markets, their adoption in the US has remained limited.

The question remains: can stablecoins pose a threat to the US dollar, or are they simply a complementary feature that will reinforce the existing system?

On Feb. 4, a bipartisan group of US senators introduced legislation aimed at creating a stablecoin regulatory framework.

Tennessee Republican Senator Bill Hagerty emphasized that this bill would provide “a safe and pro-growth regulatory framework” to foster innovation and support President Donald Trump’s vision of making the US “the world capital of crypto.”

Adding weight to this momentum, Federal Reserve governor Christopher Waller expressed his support for stablecoins on Feb. 6, suggesting they could enhance the US dollar's reserve status rather than compete with it. 

“I view stablecoins as a net addition to our payment system,” said Waller, who is chair of the Fed Board’s subcommittee on payments. However, he underscored that some “regulatory rails around it” were necessary to make sure that stablecoins are properly backed.

Momentum for stablecoins is building

All things considered, momentum appears to be building regarding the endorsement of stablecoins. Currently, the total stablecoin market cap is $233 billion, with 97% of the sector dominated by US-pegged stablecoins like Tether’s USDT, which alone makes up over 60% of the total stablecoin market capitalization, according to CoinGecko data.

Momentum is building toward widespread endorsement and regulation of these digital tokens, which constitute digital assets pegged to a fiat currency.

Bitcoin ATM CEO Brandon Mintz told Cointelegraph,

“With Trump’s recent executive order on digital financial technology, real discussions around stablecoin legislation, and the new crypto task force, we’re finally seeing signs of real momentum that could keep crypto innovation onshore.”

In his first address to the industry as White House crypto czar, Sacks suggested that stablecoin regulation would move forward soon. “Moving legislation through Congress takes time, but I think this is something we could do in the next six months,” he said in an interview with CNBC on Feb. 4.

“They are very committed to moving legislation through the House and the Senate this year in order to provide that clear regulatory framework that the digital assets ecosystem needs to sustain innovation in the United States.”

The international community warms up to stablecoins

While the international financial community has historically opposed the rise of crypto and stablecoins, often adopting an aggressive stance that industry leaders claim has hindered growth, the potential value of stablecoins has been recognized even by the most traditional financial institutions.

In October 2024, the International Monetary Fund released a report in which economists stated that digital innovations like stablecoins “hold the potential to disrupt the financial landscape” if they achieve widespread adoption.

The report pointed out that while privately issued crypto assets mainly function today as “speculative tools” with limited acceptance as payment instruments, stablecoins aim to offer a consistent value against other currencies, potentially making them “more viable for everyday transactions.”

Experts, however, believe that the US dollar’s dominance is not at risk from the rise of stablecoins. In fact, they argue that its supremacy in the global economy may be reinforced.

Economist Eswar Prasad, a professor at Cornell University and author of The Future of Money, told Cointelegraph that stablecoins and central bank digital currencies could serve as complementary payment tools rather than substitutes.

“The official approval for and regulation of stablecoins denominated in US dollars will provide an indirect boost to the dollar’s already dominant role as a payment currency for international transactions.”

US lawmakers backing the bill argue that dollar-denominated stablecoins could improve transaction efficiency, expand financial inclusion, and strengthen the dollar’s supremacy as the world reserve currency by driving demand for US Treasurys.

According to the lawmakers, “The previous administration’s hostility toward crypto and refusal to provide clear regulatory guidelines has severely stifled stablecoin innovation.”

@ Newshounds News™

Source:  CoinTelegraph

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Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economic Updates Thursday Morning 2-13-25

Good Morning Dinar Recaps,

FED GOVERNOR: BANKS AND NON-BANKS SHOULD BE ABLE TO ISSUE STABLECOINS

Fed Governor Christopher Waller believes there should be a framework that allows banks and non-banks to issue regulated stablecoins.

According to a recent Bloomberg report, Waller stated that stablecoins have the potential to expand the reach of the U.S. dollar on an international scale. However, the scale and utility of stablecoins will depend on a clear set of regulations.

In a conference in San Francisco, Waller said the stablecoin market requires a regulatory framework that encompasses stablecoin risks “directly, fully, and narrowly” before financial institutions will be able to issue them.

“This framework should allow both non-banks and banks to issue regulated stablecoins and should consider the effects of regulation on the payments landscape,” said Waller.

Stablecoins are digital currencies known for their steady value because they are typically pegged to fiat currencies, most commonly the U.S. dollar or Treasury bills. Two of the largest stablecoins by market cap, USDT and USDC, are both pegged to the U.S. dollar.

Waller’s remarks echo those of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell in February last year. Powell expressed wholehearted support for the creation of a stablecoin framework in a meeting with the House Financial Services Committee, reiterating the Fed’s commitment to developing stablecoins and Central Bank Digital Currencies in the U.S. (However, Powell agreed there would not be a CBDC in the US during  a Congressional hearing this week)

More recently, Rep. Maxine Waters, the ranking Democrat on the House Financial Services Committee, introduced a proposal for stabelcoin oversight involving the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, and the Federal Reserve.

Earlier this month, Republican Chair of the House Financial Services Committee, French Hill, had submitted a draft bill for stablecoin regulation, co-sponsored by Rep. Bryan Steil. In contrast to Water’s proposal, Hill’s bill grants stablecoin oversight to the OCC instead of the Federal Reserve.

This means that both Republican and Democratic lawmakers have introduced stablecoin regulations under the Trump administration.

@ Newshounds News™

Source:  Crypto News

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TEXAS LAWMAKERS REFILE BITCOIN RESERVE BILL, ADDING ROOM FOR MORE CRYPTO

The bill “would make our state the first to establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and drive innovation, growth, and financial freedom,” said Senator Schwertner.

Texas lawmakers have refiled a strategic Bitcoin reserve bill under a slightly different name, opening the door to investments in other qualifying cryptocurrencies.

“SB 21 would make our state the first to establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and drive innovation, growth, and financial freedom,” said Texas state Senator Charles Schwertner on Feb. 12.

He also thanked Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick for designating his bill to establish the Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve “as one of the Senate’s top 40 priority bills.”

“I’ve been told by the Lt. Governor’s office multiple times that this bill is a major priority,” said Satoshi Action Fund founder Dennis Porter in a post on X.

SB 21 differs slightly from SB 778, a similar strategic Bitcoin reserve bill that the Republican politician announced in mid-January.

The earlier legislation only permits the state to buy and hold BTC as a strategic asset and prevents its use for other state operations unless explicitly authorized.

Schwertner refiled the legislation “for the purpose of investing in cryptocurrency and the investment authority of the comptroller of public accounts over the reserve and certain other state funds” on Feb. 12.

The bill establishes the reserve as an investment vehicle, allowing the state to actively buy, sell, and manage crypto assets for financial security and economic resilience.

It also permits investments in other digital assets but stipulates that they must have had a market capitalization of at least $500 billion for the past twelve months. Currently, only Bitcoin falls into this category.

SB 21 also gives more control to financial experts, while SB 778 places control in the hands of state legislators and has stricter security, oversight, and funding rules.

Riot Platforms vice president of research, Pierre Rochard, commented that the new legislative text for the Texas SBR “is very bullish,” before adding “It removes the annual buying limit of $500 million, the legislature can appropriate as much as it wants to save BTC.”

There are currently 19 US states with a bill proposed, while Arizona and Utah have advanced legislation beyond the House committee level.

The most recent state to propose a crypto bill was North Carolina, which filed for legislation this week to allow the state to invest in Bitcoin exchange-traded products. North Dakota, meanwhile, has rejected legislation regarding crypto investments.

@ Newshounds News™

Source:  CoinTelegraph

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Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economic Updates Wednesday Evening 2-12-25

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CONGRESS EXPLORES SHORTCUTS FOR DIGITAL ASSET REGULATORY CLARITY, INCLUDING MARKET STRUCTURE

Yesterday the House Financial Services digital asset subcommittee held a hearing on charting a path forward on digital assets. There’s a consensus that stablecoin legislation is urgent, with multiple Bills circulating.

However, there’s also a need for legislation around market infrastructure, including regulating crypto exchanges. Last year the House passed the FIT 21 Bill, but there was less progress in the Senate. One of the topics discussed during the hearing was whether the SEC could provide a solution in the interim.

A takeaway from the hearing is a lightweight alternative to a full crypto infrastructure Bill such as FIT 21. For now legislation may only be needed to make the CFTC the regulator of spot crypto commodity markets. The steps might involve:

1. Delegating authority to regulate spot crypto to the CFTC via legislation
2. Creating a self regulatory organization (SRO) jointly overseen by the CFTC and SEC which would set rules for crypto exchanges and the like
3. The SEC clarifies rules on when a digital asset is a security or not
4. The SEC creates some new exemption(s) for digital asset issuers
5. And all the other items on the list recently proposed by SEC Commissioner Peirce.

Even if that’s not the long term solution, it might be the fastest interim one.

Regulatory exemptions

Congressman Hill asked Coy Garrison about the various SEC exemptions currently used for issuing digital assets. Mr Garrison previously served as counsel to SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce. 

The lawyer explained that many issuers use Regulation S, which restricts the asset to offshore investors. Those willing to target US investors often use Regulation D, which means assets are only available to wealthy investors.

“What I think the ecosystem has to understand is that not all these needed activities can be taken care of by the Commission by itself without Congress,” said Congressman Hill. And he asked what sort of exemption system the SEC could add without Congress.

Mr Garrison suggested something similar to Commissioner Peirce’s Safe Harbor provisions, which would allow access to retail investors.

Last week Commissioner Peirce mentioned reviewing Regulation A and crowdfunding rules.

Additionally, Mr Garrison noted that disclosure requirements could be tailored, as token holders have different interests compared to shareholders who need financial statements, which he clarified in his written testimony. He noted that many provisions from other exemptions could be used, including limits on the number of investors and the proportion of a person’s net worth that can be invested.

Another witness, former CFTC Chair Timothy Massad, is keen for the SEC to take a first pass, rather than Congress. He highlighted that the SEC only needs the three votes of its Republican Commissioners, compared to 60 Senate votes.

“I have confidence that they (the SEC) can come up with some interesting ideas, but this is a very difficult issue to address. And I’m worried that if Congress tries to do it, we’ll undermine our Securities markets,” said Mr Massad. He was responding to questions from Congressman Haridopolos, who observed that the challenge with leaving it all to the regulators is that administrations change.

A crypto Self Regulatory Organization?

Congressman Hill, who previously chaired this subcommittee and now chairs the main House Financial Services Committee, asked Mr Garrison about self regulatory organizations (SROs).

“You’ve advocated for a joint SRO to oversee digital assets as a convenient way to sort of sidestep these questions. Do you still advocate for that?,” he asked.

Mr Garrison requested clarification about whether the SRO would be jointly overseen by the SEC and CFTC, which Congressman Hill confirmed.

“Yes, I think that could potentially work great,” Mr Garrison responded. “Any type of communication between the two agencies and coordination on regulations would make sense.”

Clarifying how regulated entities can interact with digital assets

Congressman Stutzman asked which topics should be the highest priority for the SEC. Mr Garrison responded that clarifying the status of digital assets under the securities laws and scoping out which activities fall outside the scope of securities laws are the most important, as everything else flows from that.

He continued, “Providing guidance on how regulated intermediaries by the SEC can touch digital assets. Now that would apply both in the context of digital assets that are not securities as well as digital assets that are securities like a tokenized stock. Providing a clear pathway for broker dealers, investment advisers, clearing agencies, transfer agents to be able to engage will really allow the ecosystem to flourish.”

It must be emphasized that this light legislation approach was only touched upon briefly, and not everybody agreed. One of the witnesses was Jonathan Jachym, Deputy General Counsel at the Kraken Digital Asset Exchange, one of the largest in the United States.

“These things are not mutually exclusive,” he said. “I know there’s been discussion of let’s wait, let’s move stablecoins first. Let’s wait on market structure. We cannot wait any further. And Congress doesn’t need to move a market structure Bill that solves every single problem in the ecosystem.

We are talking about the most basic, foundational rules of regulating centralized exchanges. And these two agencies can continue to work in tandem while Congress advances the Bill in this cycle.”

@ Newshounds News™

Source:  Ledger Insights

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BRICS: IS DONALD TRUMP’S PLAN TO SAVE THE US DOLLAR WORKING?

The last several weeks have seen geopolitical tensions reach a fever pitch. With the global south and the US facing off, a trade war is seemingly brewing between both sides. Yet, after his confrontation with the BRICS alliance, is US President Donald Trump’s plan to save the US dollar working?

Trump had expressed his desire to confront nations seeking to abandon the US dollar after his election win late last year. Indeed, he has adopted an aggressive economic policy that is looking to dissuade attempts at lessening international reliance on the greenback. Two months into his White House return, are those efforts working?

Is Donald Trump’s BRICS Attack Helping Preserve the US Dollar?

On the campaign trail last year, Donald Trump said the US dollar losing its status as the world’s currency would be akin to the nation losing a war. That has spurred the returning president to action. Specifically, he has targeted the BRICS bloc, which has been outspoken in its de-dollarization initiatives.

For the last two years, the group has sought to lessen international reliance on the US dollar. Led by Russia and China, it sought to increase the use of local currencies and went more or less unchecked. The efforts were minimal in scope, and the Biden administration acted through its inaction, perceiving the situation as non threatening.

That has not been the case with the returning administration. Indeed, with BRICS looking to slow those very local currency efforts, is Donald Trump’s plan to save the US dollar working? To this point, it has certainly benefited the greenback.

Prior to Tuesday, the US dollar had been gaining for three straight days. Just last week, the US Dollar index enjoyed its biggest daily rise in nearly a month, according to Reuters. Moreover, the imposition of Trump’s tariff threats has seen a host of nations speak out against the BRICS perceived de-dollarization.

India and Indonesia have both been adamant about the group’s purpose. They state that the alliance is only seeking to benefit involved nations economically and has no interest in targeting the dollar. Alternatively, Russia has publicly nixed plans for a BRICS currency, something Trump required when he threatened tariffs originally.

However, the merits of his economic policy are concerning when considering the merits of de-dollarization. The US dollar had been losing strength but was not threatened. Therefore, his plan to save it may have been enacted under pretenses that were misguided.

@ Newshounds News™

Source:  Watcher Guru

~~~~~~~~~

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Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economic Updates Wednesday Afternoon 2-12-25

Good Afternoon Dinar Recaps,

COINSHARES XRP ETF: NASDAQ SAYS XRP IS HARDER TO MANIPULATE THAN BTC & ETH

▪️Nasdaq files with the SEC to list a CoinShares XRP ETF, citing the decentralized nature and massive liquidity of the cryptocurrency.

▪️The ETF would enable investors to gain exposure to XRP without directly holding the asset, boosting institutional adoption.

Nasdaq has entered the ETF race with a bold move to support XRP, filing with the SEC to list the CoinShares XRP ETF. According to the filing, Nasdaq argues that XRP’s decentralized network and vast liquidity pool make it even harder to manipulate than Bitcoin or Ethereum.

The proposed ETF would follow its price action, offering an inexpensive way for investors to access the market. It would be listed under Nasdaq Rule 5711(d) upon approval, which includes Commodity-Based Trust Shares.

The ETF structure includes third-party custody, daily NAV disclosure, and oversight by Compass Financial Technologies, making it a secure and transparent investment product. Nasdaq is showing that it believes XRP can resist market manipulation by listing XRP alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs.

XRP’s Edge Over Solana, Cardano, and Litecoin in ETF Race

The SEC’s approval of this application would possibly redefine the cryptocurrency’s position in institutional finance. With increasingly more crypto ETFs being proposed, the spotlight is on how XRP stands in comparison to other digital assets. Solana, Cardano, and Litecoin are also vying to receive ETF approvals, but analysts and market sentiment overwhelmingly favor Ripple’s native token.

Despite Ripple’s ongoing legal battle with the SEC, analysts note that the ETF approval process has not been impacted. The cryptocurrency’s legal status as “not a security” eliminates a significant hurdle, according to legal expert Jeremy Hogan.

 However, Nasdaq’s filing, along with increasing market confidence, makes a strong case for the approval of XRP’s ETF.

Interestingly, traders on Polymarket are now putting an 80% chance of Ripple winning ETF approval, which indicates broad optimism. Bloomberg’s Eric Balchunas puts the chances of the approval of the ETF this year at 65%. If approved, the step can help establish Ripple’s native token as a leader in the crypto ETF sector.

Growing Institutional Interest

Institutional demand for XRP has been consistently increasing, and Nasdaq and CBOE have filed multiple ETF proposals. Major asset managers like Bitwise, 21Shares, and WisdomTree have also entered the scene. All of these proposals point to a broader trend: institutional investors are becoming more comfortable with digital assets like XRP as investment vehicles.

The CoinShares XRP ETF will make it simpler to invest in the cryptocurrency, eliminating any complexity that is associated with directly holding the asset. The product has the potential to onboard a new set of investors into the Ripple ecosystem, bringing about higher adoption and liquidity.

XRP’s Price Cycle Echoes 2017 Breakout Patterns

Market participants are now speculating how far the cryptocurrency can surge if the ETF is accepted. The cryptocurrency is currently trading at $2.41 and has increased over 365% in the yearly chart.

Social media is full of forecasts; even some are speculating a price as high as $99, a 3,900% increase from current prices. While such a target is speculative, the parallels with past price cycles are hard to ignore.

Analyst Javon Marks noted that the cryptocurrency’s recent price action is drawing parallel with its 2017 breakout. The cryptocurrency has always used previous all-time highs as resistance before it pushed to new highs, according to him. If history repeats, then it is possibly setting itself up for a huge price explosion, driven by growing institutional interest and the potential ETF approval.

@ Newshounds News™

Source:  Crypto News Flash

~~~~~~~~~

BRICS: INDIA DUMPS BILLIONS OF US DOLLARS

BRICS member India has once again been accused of dumping US dollars to protect its local currency, the rupee (INR).

The INR had plummeted to a lifetime low of 87.60 against the USD on Monday in the forex markets. The steep fall sent jitters in the markets making the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) intervene in the forex sector. India has been accused of intervention in the currency markets to keep the rupee from falling further.

RBI directed state-run banks to sell US dollars in the forex markets to stop the rupee’s decline, reported Reuters.

This is not the first time that BRICS member India has been accused of dumping US dollars. Last year alone, India was accused of market intervention more than four times to keep the rupee from falling. The trend has continued in 2025 raising questions about transparency in trade.

BRICS: India Accused of Market Intervention After Selling Billions of US Dollars

The latest report from Mint indicates that BRICS member India has dumped billions worth of US dollars this week.

The massive sell-off made the rupee recover from a lifetime low of 87.60 on Monday and reserve course to 86.90 on Wednesday. The intervention “is surprising and has triggered a blood bath for longs (on USD/INR),” a trader at a private bank said to Reuters.

The rupee’s rise to 86.90 is attributed to market intervention from India. Billions of US dollars were sold by the BRICS member to safeguard the rupee. State-run banks were directed to offload the currency from the RBI. 

“We note that the accentuated moves in USD/INR witnessed lately have brought the currency to near fair value. However, given the unrelenting global uncertainties in the near term, we expect the pressure on INR to continue,” Kotak Mahindra Bank said in a note.

@ Newshounds News™

Source:  Watcher Guru

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TRUMP’S RETURN HERALDS LITIGATION PEACE FOR CRYPTO

The president-elect’s new SEC chair will likely withdraw from lawsuits aimed at forcing crypto to follow Wall Street rules

WASHINGTON—Regulators tried to police the crypto market using the strongest weapons they have. Now they are likely to lay down their arms.

@ Newshounds News™

Source:  WSJ

~~~~~~~~~

IS THE U.S. ABOUT TO REVALUE GOLD? WHAT IT MEANS FOR YOU!

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Source:  Youtube

~~~~~~~~~

LIVE: DOGE Subcommittee Holds First Hearing: “The War on Waste” – 2/12/25  -  REPLAY FROM THIS MORNING

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Source:  RSBN

~~~~~~~~~

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Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economic Updates Wednesday Morning 2-12-25

Good Morning Dinar Recaps,

PRO-CRYPTO BRIAN QUINTENZ RETURNS TO CFTC AS TRUMP’S CHAIRMAN PICK

Former CFTC Commissioner Brian Quintenz is set to lead the agency again, signaling a shift in crypto regulation under the Trump administration.

Brian Quintenz, a former commissioner at the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, is expected to return as chairman following his selection by U.S. President Donald Trump, according to Bloomberg.

If confirmed, he would serve a term running until April 13, 2029, returning to the agency at a time when crypto regulation is a central issue in financial policy.

His nomination aligns with broader efforts by the Trump administration to reshape regulatory oversight of digital assets and derivatives markets.

Quintenz previously served as a Republican commissioner at the CFTC from 2017 to 2021, playing a key role in overseeing the launch of the first fully regulated Bitcoin and Ethereum futures contracts.

During his tenure, he emerged as a strong advocate for a pro-innovation regulatory framework, pushing for clear, well-defined rules that would encourage institutional adoption of digital assets while maintaining market integrity.

His stance earned him comparisons to SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce—dubbed “Crypto Mom” in industry circles—for her similar advocacy of crypto-friendly regulation.

After leaving the CFTC, Quintenz joined Andreessen Horowitz’s (a16z) crypto division in December 2022, where he led policy efforts to influence U.S. crypto regulations.

The venture capital giant, which has investments in projects like Solana, Uniswap, Lido DAO, Optimism, and Eigenlayer, has consistently pushed for CFTC oversight of digital assets rather than SEC jurisdiction.

The crypto industry has long viewed the CFTC as a more accommodating regulator compared to the SEC, which has taken a stricter enforcement-driven approach under Chair Gary Gensler.

The nomination follows months of speculation. In December, reports surfaced that Trump was considering Quintenz among other candidates for the role.

Meanwhile, Trump’s newly appointed AI and Crypto Czar, David Sacks, has outlined plans to work with Congress on market structure legislation, signaling a push for clearer digital asset regulations.

Quintenz’s return could mark a shift in how the $400 trillion derivatives market, which includes a growing share of crypto-related products, is regulated.

Acting CFTC Chair Caroline Pham has expressed support for the nomination, stating that she worked with Quintenz on key initiatives during his previous tenure and believes he will bring the same focus on crypto and innovation back to the agency.

The nomination will now go through the confirmation process, with Quintenz expected to lead the agency as the U.S. debates the future of crypto market oversight.

@ Newshounds News™

Source:  Crypto News

~~~~~~~~~

MEMECOIN REGULATION: SEC’S HESTER PEIRCE CHALLENGES GENSLER’S STANCE

Indirectly denouncing former SEC chairman Gary Ggensler stance on whether cryptocurrencies are securities, US Securities and Exchange Commission Commissioner Hester Peirce states that a good number of the memecoins in the market do not come under the purview of the country’s securities regulatory agency. 

What makes her statement extremely significant is that Peirce chairs the crypto task force recently appointed by US President Donald Trump to determine which cryptocurrencies fall under the definition of ‘securities’ – thus under the jurisdiction of the SEC – and which do not.

SEC’s Stance on Memecoins

US SEC Commissioner Herster Peirce’s statement on the Memecoin regulatory environment explains what the current position of the securities regulatory agency on the matter is.

It appears that the current SEC leadership does not think it has the legal authority or responsibility to regulate a good number of the memecoins in the market.

Importantly, reports indicate that Peirce even thinks that the US Congress and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission are the competent authorities to address the sensitive matter of memecoin regulation.

Contrasting Views: Former SEC Chair Gensler’s Stance Analysed

Former SEC Chairman Gary Gensler was infamous for his conservative stance on crypto regulation. Under his leadership, the SEC maintained a position that a good number of cryptocurrencies are securities. It was this position that prompted the regulatory agency to open a series of legal battles against prominent crypto companies including Binance, Coinbase and Kraken.

The Memecoin Phenomenon: A Short Overview

The total market cap of the memecoin sector stands at $75,568,127,803 – which makes at least 2.31% of the total market cap of the cryptocurrency sector of $3,267,930,674,001.

As of now, Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, Pepe, Official Trump and Bonk are the top five memecoins by market cap.  

The market caps of:
DOGE stands at $37,387,932,934;
SHIB at $9,238,118,808;
PEPE at $4,021,074,346;
TRUMP at $3,080,509,036; and
BONK at $1,345,093,611.

In the last one year, Dogecoin has surged by 214%; Shiba Inu by 68%; Pepe by 850%; and Bonk by 41.4%.

Memecoin Regulation: Concerns and Challenges

Critics express serious concerns about the memecoin market primarily because of its unregulated environment and extreme volatility.

In the last seven days, DOGE has dropped by 4.5%; SHIB by 2%; PEPE by 6.5%; TRUMP by 14.5%; and BONK by 6%.

Moreover, many believe that the market is highly susceptible to fraudulent projects and pump-and-dump schemes.

Recently, a memecoin investor filed a lawsuit with the support of Wolf Popper and Burwick, prominent US law firms, against Pump.Fun, a platform built on Solana to allow users to create and trade meme coins easily, accusing it of violating securities laws by offering extremely volatile memecoins.

In conclusion, Hester Peirce says ‘most memecoins are not securities’, a stance different from Gary Gensler’s. Meanwhile, the memecoin market keeps growing, but concerns over fraud and volatility remain. A new lawsuit against Pump.Fun adds to regulatory uncertainty as the debate over memecoin regulation continues.  

@ Newshounds News™

Source:  Coinpedia

~~~~~~~~~

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Is This the Biggest Heist of All Time?

Is This the Biggest Heist of All Time?

Notes From the Field By James Hickman (Simon Black) February 11, 2025

We recently received a question from a reader asking for my thoughts on crypto.

He said we’ve been talking about gold a lot lately, the gold price, and how the price could go a lot higher. Shouldn’t we hold the same views on crypto, given everything that has happened with Bitcoin over the last year or so?

We ended up doing a whole podcast about this today, We talk a lot about gold, and a lot about crypto. To clarify, I’m not anti-crypto. In fact, I brought Bitcoin to our audience’s attention back in 2013, when the price was under $100.   But there are some differences to gold.

Right now, I think there are some major catalysts that could drive the price of gold much higher. It’s a matter of arithmetic, and we walk you through the math on it.

The other important thing is that while gold is at an all time high, gold related businesses have been in the dumps for a long time. And that’s a bizarre anomaly that is simply not going to last.

Conversely, that same dynamic doesn’t seem to exist with crypto related businesses.

And we talk about, in today’s podcast, Microstrategy, as perhaps the best example.

This is essentially now a Bitcoin holding company, with 478,000 Bitcoin, valued at around $45 billion. Yet Microstrategy’s market cap is almost double that.

So if the point is to buy Microstrategy stock as a proxy for Bitcoin, you’re actually paying double the price.

Versus with gold, we have the opportunity to pay less than two times forward earnings for gold companies that have an all in production cost of $1,500 per ounce— roughly half the price of gold.

So it’s a completely different dynamic, and we explore all this and more in today’s podcast.

We even talk about the Microstrategy convertible notes, and why it’s frankly wildly inappropriate at this point to even compare “crypto” and gold.

You can listen to the podcast here.

(For the audio-only version, check out our online post here.)

To your freedom,  James Hickman   Co-Founder, Schiff Sovereign LLC

https://www.schiffsovereign.com/podcast/is-this-the-biggest-heist-of-all-time-podcast-152072/

Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economic Updates Tuesday Evening 2-11-25

Good Evening Dinar Recaps,

AFTER PAUSING BRICS, SAUDI ARABIA INVESTS $600 BILLION IN THE US

Saudi Arabia was invited to join BRICS in 2023 but the Kingdom is yet to provide a decision on accepting the invitation. It has kept the decision to join the alliance on hold as it’s conducting business deals with the US. 

The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia is reluctant to join BRICS as it needs the support of the US and other Western countries to fulfill its Vision 2030 mission. Ending reliance on the US will only hamper its financial prospects and lead to economic stagnation.

Therefore, after pausing BRICS, Saudi Arabia plans to invest $600 billion in the US over the next four years. Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman told US President Donald Trump that the Kingdom wants to invest the amount and expand trade. MBS said that the investments would create “unprecedented economic prosperity” for Saudi Arabia and the US.

However, the Kingdom did not detail in which sector the $600 billion will be invested. They did not make it clear if it would be invested in the private or public sector and provided little to no information on how the money would be deployed. The US investments are closely watched by BRICS as the alliance wants Saudi Arabia to join the grouping.

BRICS: Saudi Arabia To Invest $600 Billion in the US

The Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia revealed that the investment could rise if more opportunities arise. This shows that the Kingdom is open to more investments and aims to diversify the money across many sectors.

The investment “could increase further if additional opportunities arise,” said MBS. More than extending close ties with BRICS, Saudi Arabia is extending its arms to the US instead.

Trump seems happy with the deal considering it a trade and commerce victory for the US. “I did it with Saudi Arabia last time because they agreed to buy $450 billion worth of our product.

I said I’ll do it but you have to buy American product, and they agreed to do that,” he said, referring to his 2017 visit to the Gulf kingdom. Considering all these factors, Saudi Arabia might not accept the BRICS invitation as it’s building close relations with the US.

@ Newshounds News™

Source:  Watcher Guru

~~~~~~~~~

EU VOWS COUNTERMEASURES TO US TARIFFS. BOURBON, JEANS, PEANUT BUTTER, MOTORCYCLES ARE EASY TARGETS

BRUSSELS (AP) — U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminum “will not go unanswered,” European Union chief Ursula von der Leyen vowed on Tuesday, adding that they will trigger tough countermeasures from the 27-nation bloc. It means iconic U.S. industries like bourbon, jeans and motorcycles should beware.

“The EU will act to safeguard its economic interests,” von der Leyen said in a statement in reaction to U.S. President Donald Trump’s imposition of tariffs on steel and aluminum on Monday.

 “Tariffs are taxes — bad for business, worse for consumers,”von der Leyen said. “Unjustified tariffs on the EU will not go unanswered — they will trigger firm and proportionate countermeasures.”

The EU trade minister scheduled a first emergency video meeting on the bloc’s response on Tuesday.

“It is also important that everyone sticks together. Difficult times require such full solidarity,” said Prime Minister Donald Tusk of Poland, which holds the EU presidency.

EU could target a range of US exports from motorcycles to whiskey
Just as Trump imposed similar tariffs during his first presidency, the EU countermeasures could easily amount to those that were used to retaliate then if the measures come into force March 12.

Bernd Lange, the chair of the European Parliament’s trade committee, warned that previous trade measures were only suspended and could legally be easily revived.

“When he starts again now, then we will, of course, immediately reinstate our countermeasures,” Lange told rbb24 German radio. ”Motorcycles, jeans, peanut butter, bourbon, whiskey and a whole range of products that of course also affect American exporters” would be targeted, he added.

The EU Commission, which negotiates trade relations on behalf of the bloc, said it is not clear what countermeasures would apply, but officials and observers have said they would target Republican states and traditionally strong U.S. exports.

In Germany, the EU’s largest economy, Chancellor Olaf Scholz told parliament that “if the U.S. leaves us no other choice, then the European Union will react united,” adding: “Ultimately, trade wars always cost both sides prosperity.”

European steel will be hard hit in trade war

European steel companies are bracing for losses.

“It will further worsen the situation of the European steel industry, exacerbating an already dire market environment,” said Henrik Adam, president of the Eurofer European steel association.

He said the EU could lose up to 3.7 million tons of steel exports. The United States is the second biggest export market for EU steel producers, representing 16% of the total EU steel exports. “Losing a significant part of these exports cannot be compensated by EU exports to other markets.”

Trump is hitting foreign steel and aluminum with a 25% tax in the hope that they will give local producers relief from intense global competition, allowing them to charge higher prices.

EU Commission Vice President Maroš Šefčovič said that the tariffs are “economically counterproductive, especially given the deeply integrated production chains established through our extensive transatlantic trade and investment ties.”

“We will protect our workers, businesses and consumers,” Šefčovič said, but added that “it is not our preferred scenario. We remain committed to constructive dialog. We stand ready for negotiations and to find mutually beneficial solutions where possible.”

The EU estimates that the trade volume between both sides stands at about $1.5 trillion, representing some 30% of global trade. “There is a lot at stake for both sides,” he told the EU legislature.

While the bloc has a substantial export surplus in goods, it says that is partly offset by the U.S. surplus in the trade of services.

The EU says that trade in goods reached 851 billion euros ($878 billion) in 2023, with a trade surplus of 156 billion euros ($161 billion) for the EU. Trade in services was worth 688 billion euros ($710 billion) with a trade deficit of 104 billion euros ($107 billion) for the EU.

@ Newshounds News™

Source:  AP News

~~~~~~~~~

REDOTPAY PARTNERS STRAITSX, VISA TO LAUNCH CRYPTO CREDIT CARD

RedotPay teams up with Visa and StraitsX to launch a crypto credit card in Singapore, bridging digital assets with traditional finance

RedotPay has formed a strategic collaboration with Visa and StraitsX to launch a crypto credit card in Singapore.

By leveraging RedotPay’s advanced technology and Visa’s extensive global payment network, the partnership aims to bridge the gap between digital assets and traditional financial systems.

@ Newshounds News™

Read more:  BlockHead

~~~~~~~~~

LIVE: PRES. TRUMP, ELON MUSK SPEAK AFTER EXECUTIVE ORDER SIGNING 

President Trump and Elon Musk answer reporter's questions. Elon explains transparency.

@ Newshounds News™

Source:  Youtube

~~~~~~~~~

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With Gold At an All Time High

With Gold At an All Time High, This Gold Company is Still Insanely Cheap

Notes From The Field By James Hickman (Simon Black) February 10, 2025

And almost on cue, gold is at another all time high today and rapidly closing in on $3,000 per troy ounce.

It’s not hard to understand why.

We’ve been talking about this for quite some time— foreign governments, central banks, and even some large foreign corporations now are trading their dollars for gold. And that’s going to have some unfortunate, negative consequences for the US.

I’m sincerely pulling for Elon and DOGE. I really am. And I think they’ve got a great shot at cutting hundreds of billions of dollars from the federal budget. These guys aren’t messing around and have no qualms about cutting everything that doesn’t make sense.

I also hope Congress and the White House find the courage to make critical reforms to Social Security (though I am less optimistic about that one).

And the final piece to the puzzle of getting America back on track, of course, is slashing regulation and getting back to capitalism. There certainly seems to be a lot of momentum in this direction.

The math is pretty clear: if they manage to succeed at these key challenges, then there is a good chance for the US to grow its way out of debt. But even that is going to take many, many years.

In the meantime the Treasury Department will still need to rely heavily on foreigners to buy (and continue to hold) US government bonds.

I’ve explained before that foreigners own roughly half of all fixed-rate, “marketable” US government debt. So they’re a pretty important lender.

And in order for this turnaround plan to work, the Treasury Department will need those foreign bondholders to keep investing and reinvesting in America’s national debt.

But right now there are a lot of foreign countries that are deeply concerned about holding US Treasury securities. This administration has already threatened even its friends and neighbors with tariffs, and the last administration had an endless fetish for sanctions.

Think about it like this: imagine you hold a good chunk of your money in a faraway bank, and your banker was constantly threatening to freeze your account and cut off access to your funds.

Sure, maybe it’s a very nice and prestigious bank. But after so many threats, would you still keep all of your money there? Would you still want your paycheck direct deposited into that bank, month after month? Or would you start looking around at alternatives?

That’s what’s driving the gold price right now. Foreign governments and central banks are wary about holding official US securities, gold is the most viable alternative. Just like dollars, gold has universal marketability— no central banker is worried about whether they’ll ever be able to sell their gold.

Plus virtually every other government and central bank owns gold, which means it can already be used to settle current and capital account deficits if necessary.

Concern over sanctions, inflation, and America’s gargantuan national debt led foreign officials to buy up more gold over the past couple of years. Overall, they made roughly $80 billion in excess gold purchases in 2023-2024, causing the gold price to jump from about $1,800 to over $2,900.

$80 billion is a drop in the bucket for foreign governments and central banks; they have 100x that much worth of US dollar reserves.

So if $80 billion of excess purchases resulted in a $1,000+ price jump in the gold price, what will happen if they buy $1 trillion or more in gold? That’s the potential scenario that could play out.

Either way, gold is at an all-time high today. But, quite bizarrely, gold-related companies are still at ridiculously cheap levels.

To give you an example, there is a company we presented not long ago to subscribers of The 4th Pillar, our premium investment research service; it’s a profitable gold company with an excellent, clean balance sheet, very little debt, and strong growth. In fact the company even pays a healthy dividend to shareholders.

Yet when we published our research on the company, it was only valued at a mere 5x Free Cash Flow. That’s practically nothing.

The stock has now more than doubled in price as some investors are starting to realize what we discovered and presented to our subscribers many months ago.

But even now, because current and projected earnings have continued to increase, the company is still extremely undervalued even though it doubled in price.

We still see a number of similar opportunities, i.e. gold-related businesses that may be paying strong dividends, have debt-free balance sheets, and are profitable, yet still trade at outrageously low valuations despite gold’s all-time high.

Another report we sent out to our premium subscribers just last week profiled an undervalued gold mining company that has an all-in production price of just $1,500 per ounce. And yet the business is valued at TWO times its expected earnings this year.

It’s really unusual to see such an anomaly, and it almost certainly will not last.

To your freedom,  James Hickman   Co-Founder, Schiff Sovereign LLC

https://www.schiffsovereign.com/trends/with-gold-at-an-all-time-high-this-gold-company-is-still-insanely-cheap-152066/

Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economic Updates Tuesday Afternoon 2-11-25

Good Afternoon Dinar Recaps,

JUST IN: JEROME POWELL AGREES TO WORK WITH LAWMAKERS TO ADDRESS CRYPTO DEBANKING

In a bold move, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has called for a “fresh look” at debanking, following criticism that the crypto industry is being denied access to banking services.

Powell Agrees to Help End Crypto Debanking

During a Senate Banking Committee hearing on Tuesday, Tim Scott, the committee’s Chair, asked Jerome Powell if he would work together to ensure that financial regulations are fair and don’t impose unnecessary burdens, to which Powell agreed to collaborate with Tim Scott, stating that the Federal Reserve aims to avoid unnecessary burdens. Powell said that he is “struck” by the increasing number of Bitcoin and crypto firms being debanked.

He also emhasized that it’s important to re-evaluate the issue of debanking. “We don’t intentionally do these things, but sometimes regulation leads things to happen and we need to be working on that,” Powell added. Scott also asked Powell if he would commit to collaborating with lawmakers to end debanking, to which Powell agreed, saying “yes.”

Crypto debanking is once again a hot topic in Washington, with lawmakers holding hearings and launching investigations into the issue. Last week, both the House and Senate held two hearings to address the concern.

Fed Not In A Hurry To Cut Rates

Furthermore, Powell has emphasized that the US central bank is “in no hurry” to reduce interest rates, despite pressure from Donald Trump to lower borrowing costs in the world’s largest economy.

“With our policy stance now significantly less restrictive than it had been and the economy remaining strong, we do not need to be in a hurry to adjust our policy stance.” he noted.

This statement follows the Fed’s decision last month to keep the federal funds target range at 4.25-4.5%, after three consecutive rate cuts that lowered it by 1 percentage point. Most investors expect US rates to stay steady until around May or June this year.

Furthermore, Powell also confirmed that the Fed will not create a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) under his leadership.

@ Newshounds News™

Source:  Coinpedia

~~~~~~~~~

BANKS EXPAND CRYPTO TIES TO CAPTURE IPO DEALS UNDER TRUMP: REPORT

Wall Street banks are pushing to land crypto IPO deals as Trump works to make the U.S. a crypto hub.

Big banks are looking to make more money more with crypto firms as initial public offering opportunities loom, Bloomberg reports, citing people familiar with the matter.

According to a Feb. 10 report, Morgan Stanley is now actively seeking crypto clients, while Bank of America is considering more deals, and Royal Bank of Canada wants to expand its crypto portfolio.

The spark of interest comes as exchanges like Gemini and Bullish consider going public. Kraken and stablecoin issuer Circle have also explored public listings before.

Banks are eager to grab these deals as the Donald Trump administration hints at loosening regulations to make the U.S. a crypto leader. At the Bitcoin 2024 Conference, Trump promised that, if elected, he would make the United States the “crypto capital of the planet.”

Bullish once planned to go public in a $9 billion SPAC deal with Far Peak Acquisition. However, in 2022 the exchange dropped the idea.

Former CEO Brendan Blumer said the deal was called off because the process was taking “longer than expected.” Bank of America is also preparing for more crypto deals, though specifics remain unclear.

Meanwhile, Swedish fintech giant Klarna is making a big push into crypto ahead of its April IPO. As crypto.news reported earlier, Klarna CEO Sebastian Siemiatkowski shared plans on X to add crypto to the platform. With a potential $15 billion valuation, Klarna’s IPO could be one of the biggest this year.

@ Newshounds News™

Source:  CryptoNews

~~~~~~~~~

SWEDISH FINTECH GIANT KLARNA WILL ‘EMBRACE CRYPTO,’ CEO SAYS

Klarna, a Swedish payments firm with 85 million users, is reportedly eyeing a US initial public offering — and its CEO is looking for ideas on how it can integrate digital assets.

This comes as Klarna is preparing for an initial public offering in the US, the Financial Times reported.

@ Newshounds News™

Read more:  CoinTelegraph

~~~~~~~~~

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Global Gold Shortage Brewing? Real Reason Behind Gold Flooding out of London to US

Global Gold Shortage Brewing? Real Reason Behind Gold Flooding out of London to US

Kitco News:  2-10-2025

Gold is on a tear, shattering price records and sparking speculation about its future trajectory. But behind the headlines about surging values, a crucial shift is underway in the physical gold market, raising critical questions about supply, central bank influence, and potential vulnerabilities in the global financial system.

According to Josh Phair, Founder & CEO of Scottsdale Mint, these physical movements, particularly the significant transfer of gold from London to the U.S., are a key indicator of the forces driving the current rally. Speaking with Kitco News, Phair dissected the intricate factors at play, including China’s burgeoning influence and the possibility of a looming gold shortage.

The movement of substantial gold reserves from London, historically a major trading hub, to the U.S. signals a potential shift in power and confidence.

Phair suggests this could be driven by a perception of greater security and stability within the U.S. financial system, or perhaps a strategic positioning in anticipation of future market trends. It also begs the question: is there a rising concern about available gold in London to meet existing obligations? This movement adds fuel to the fire of potential supply constraints.

China’s recent unveiling of a $27 billion gold investment policy is a significant catalyst. This move, Phair emphasizes, is not just about boosting China’s reserves; it has far-reaching implications for the BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) and the global economy as a whole. By aggressively accumulating gold, China is solidifying its position as a counterweight to the U.S. dollar and potentially paving the way for a future where gold plays a more prominent role in international trade and reserve management.

The question of a gold shortage is hotly debated. While some dismiss it as mere speculation, Phair contends that the significant physical movements, coupled with increased demand from central banks and individual investors, are creating genuine pressure on supply. The time it takes to discover, mine, and refine new gold is substantial, creating a potential lag between demand and supply.

Central banks, particularly those of China, Russia, and Turkey, are playing a vital role in reshaping the gold market. Their continued accumulation of gold is not just a diversification strategy; it’s a strategic move to de-dollarize their economies and gain greater independence from traditional Western financial institutions. This coordinated effort is adding immense pressure on the available supply and contributing significantly to the price surge.

While the U.S. Treasury Secretary’s stance on gold remains a closely watched indicator, the potential for a revaluation of gold should not be discounted. Some argue that a revaluation could be necessary to restore stability to the global financial system and address the growing debt burden of many nations. While a revaluation is a complex and controversial topic, it remains a possibility that could significantly impact the future of gold.

Despite gold prices reaching record highs, gold stocks have been surprisingly underperforming. Phair suggests this disconnect could be due to various factors, including investor skepticism about the sustainability of the rally, concerns about the operational challenges faced by mining companies, and the overall volatility of the stock market.

The current gold market is characterized by unprecedented volatility, significant physical shifts, and growing geopolitical influence. China’s aggressive gold policy, coupled with rising demand from central banks and potential supply constraints, paints a complex and potentially transformative picture.

While the future remains uncertain, one thing is clear: gold is no longer just a safe-haven asset; it’s a key player in a rapidly evolving global financial landscape. Investors and policymakers alike need to pay close attention to these developments as they navigate the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead.

https://youtu.be/c3l0gfv_gO4