Fed Cuts Rates to 4% as Market Liquidity Drains

Fed Cuts Rates to 4% as Market Liquidity Drains

Lena Petrova:  10-29-2025

The financial world is holding its breath as the Federal Reserve gears up for its next highly anticipated policy decision. While a quarter-point interest rate cut seems almost a foregone conclusion for many, the real story – the one with profound implications for markets and the economy – lies in what happens to the Fed’s massive balance sheet.

Specifically, all eyes are on the future of Quantitative Tightening (QT), the Fed’s quiet but powerful program of shrinking its asset portfolio. And according to recent insights, we might be on the cusp of a significant pivot away from tightening.

To understand the shift, let’s quickly recap. During times of crisis, like the 2008 financial meltdown and the C***D-19 pandemic, the Fed aggressively expanded its balance sheet, buying trillions of dollars in bonds and other assets. This “Quantitative Easing” (QE) injected massive liquidity into the system, aiming to stabilize markets and stimulate the economy.

Once the immediate crises passed and inflation became a concern, the Fed began Quantitative Tightening (QT). This involves allowing those bonds to mature without reinvesting the proceeds, effectively pulling money out of the financial system. The Fed’s balance sheet, which soared to nearly $9 trillion, has since shrunk to around $6.5 trillion. The goal: to normalize the economy after years of extraordinary stimulus.

For months, the Fed has been on autopilot with QT. But signs are emerging that the financial plumbing is getting too tight. Liquidity in short-term funding markets, where banks and financial institutions borrow from each other overnight, has been showing signs of stress. We’ve seen troubling spikes in overnight borrowing rates, indicating a scramble for cash.

With cash flowing out due to the TGA and no longer being absorbed by the RRP, the ongoing QT program is acting as a “double whammy,” further draining liquidity and making short-term markets increasingly fragile.

Against this backdrop, many economists believe the Federal Reserve will soon pause or even end its QT program. Why? To prevent a full-blown liquidity crisis and stabilize funding markets.

Ending QT would mark a subtle but powerful shift. It wouldn’t be “Quantitative Easing” (QE) – the Fed wouldn’t be actively buying assets again right away. Instead, it would be a move from actively withdrawing liquidity to a more supportive stance, ceasing the drain and allowing market conditions to normalize. This could involve adjustments to the Fed’s standing repo facility to ensure ample liquidity.

The Fed’s upcoming decision is more than just a number on interest rates. It’s a recalibration of its entire monetary strategy, impacting everything from your mortgage rates to corporate borrowing costs. It’s a testament to the complex balancing act central banks perform to keep the economic engine running smoothly.

For a deeper dive into these crucial developments, I highly recommend watching the full video from Lena Petrova, which provides further insights and context.

https://youtu.be/ZJT92zuJj2Q

Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Wednesday Evening 10-29-25

Good Evening Dinar Recaps,

Currency — Currency Diplomacy and the Slow Shift from Dollar-Only Settlement

How FX moves and central-bank signalling are becoming diplomatic tools, and what that means for alliance economics

Overview
Currency markets are not just pricing interest rates or growth; they are being used deliberately as diplomatic signalling tools (fixes, verbal intervention, managed exchange-rate adjustments). Recent PBOC fixes and dollar moves around trade optimism show how policy and diplomacy interact in FX. FXStreet+1

Key developments

• The People’s Bank of China set a stronger USD/CNY midpoint in recent sessions, signalling support for a firmer yuan amid trade diplomacy. 

• The U.S. dollar weakened modestly as trade optimism increased, reducing some safe-haven FX demand. 

What this means for global alliances

• Instrumental currency policy: States now use FX policy to reward or discipline partners — coordinated moves (e.g., synchronized fixes or intervention) can be an instrument of alliance economics.

• Local-currency preference: As trust networks deepen, countries in the same political/economic bloc increasingly prefer settling trade in local currencies, reducing USD invoicing for aligned partners.

How this accelerates financial restructuring

• Greater use of local-currency settlements and swap lines reduces transaction reliance on the USD → this is a structural shift in the plumbing of cross-border finance. 

• Central bank reference-rate management and verbal signalling become part of diplomatic toolkits: currency action is policy and diplomacy simultaneously.

Practical signals to watch

• New agreements to invoice or settle trade in local currencies (bilateral announcements).

• Expansion of central bank swap lines or regional FX stabilization facilities.

• PBOC and other major central bank midpoint/fixing behavior around high-profile diplomatic events.

Bottom line: Currency policy has become a diplomatic lever. The gradual shift toward multi-currency settlement, coordinated fixes and regional FX facilities will be a core pillar of the emerging financial architecture.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources:

• FXStreet — PBOC Sets USD/CNY Reference Rate at 7.0856 vs 7.0881 Previous

• Reuters — Dollar Hits Two-Week High Against Yen as Trade Talks, Fed Meeting Loom

• Reuters — Global Markets Wrapup (China)

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BRICS Capitals Sign Moscow Pact, Mark New Phase of De-Dollarization

How a municipal-level pact is accelerating the shift away from the dollar and reshaping global alliances

Overview
The BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa + newer members) de-dollarization drive has taken a concrete step forward: on October 28, 2025 the Moscow City Duma hosted representatives from capitals and major cities of BRICS countries at a signing ceremony of a cooperation agreement aimed at reducing reliance on the U.S. dollar and building a multipolar financial system. 

Key developments

• Mayors, city council heads and parliamentary officials from BRICS member capitals gathered in Moscow to sign the agreement. Pars Today+1

• The agreement emphasises trade in local currencies, alternative cross-border payment systems and municipal diplomacy as tools to challenge Western-dominated financial structures. 

• Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak claimed Russia has shifted to local-currency settlements with China and India by 90-95%. 

What this means for global alliances

• Vertical integration of alliances: National governments are now being complemented by municipal layers of cooperation — capitals and cities aligning with national foreign-policy aims.

• New axis of trade & finance: Capitals of BRICS nations coordinating creates a parallel network of economic diplomacy outside traditional Western structures.

• Shared currency strategy: By promoting local-currency trade and payment systems, BRICS members deepen their mutual dependencies and signal a combined alternative to dollar-centric alliances.

How this accelerates financial restructuring

• The pact signals a step toward settlement systems outside the dollar-clearing architecture (SWIFT/dollar-invoiced trade).

• It strengthens the trend toward local-currency invoicing and payments, which reduces exposure to U.S. monetary policy and sanctions risk. 

• City-level diplomacy means the infrastructure of finance is being re-wired from the ground up—making the architecture of global finance more distributed and less U.S./West-centric.

Practical signals to watch

• Announcements from BRICS capitals about trade settlements in local currency or bypassing the dollar.

• Establishment of municipal or regional clearing and payments platforms tied to BRICS frameworks.

• Further coordination of policy between national and city governments in BRICS nations around de-dollarisation and finance.

Bottom line:
This isn’t just rhetorical: by institutionalising cooperation at the capital/city level, BRICS is laying a structural foundation for a multipolar financial system. The dollar remains dominant today—but the scaffolding for its alternative is being built.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources:

• Watcher Guru — BRICS Capitals Sign Moscow Pact, Mark New Phase of De-Dollarization

• Pars Today — BRICS capitals sign cooperation agreement in Moscow

• Mehr News Agency — BRICS capitals cooperation agreement signed in Moscow

• TV BRICS — Moscow City Duma launches new format of cooperation between BRICS capitals

• New Politics — The BRICS and De-Dollarization

~~~~~~~~~

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'Return of America's Authorized Second Currency': Gold As Legal Tender Again | Glint's Jason Cozens

'Return of America's Authorized Second Currency': Gold As Legal Tender Again | Glint's Jason Cozens

Miles Franklin Media:  10-29-2025

Andy Schectman, Founder & CEO, Miles Franklin Precious Metals, sits down with Jason Cozens, Founder & CEO of Glint, to break down one of the most important monetary stories of our time.

Multiple U.S. states, including Florida, Texas, Arkansas, Louisiana, and Missouri, have already passed laws making gold and silver legal tender for electronic payments.

 Up to 17 more states are expected to follow.

As state legislators move to re-establish constitutional sound money, technology like Glint is making it possible to buy, store, and spend gold instantly – turning the Founding Fathers’ vision into reality.

In this episode of Little by Little:

Why these new sound money laws are “monumental” for America’s future

How states are reasserting their constitutional right to make gold and silver currency

The economic and political forces driving this movement

The role of Glint in making gold functional money again

How Glint works

How citizens can use technology to opt out of dollar debasement

00:00 Coming Up

 01:32 Introduction: Glint

03:52 Discussing Glint and Its Benefits

04:14 Legislative Efforts Across States

10:52 Challenges & Solutions for Gold as Legal Tender

16:36 Glint's Role in the Legislative Landscape

21:39 Glint's Technology & User Experience

23:53 Buying Gold with Ease

25:25 Spending Gold

26:08 Sending Gold to Others

26:31 Regulatory Challenges and Future Plans

29:02 Withdrawing Gold & Cash

36:56 Customer Service & Support

38:55 Conclusion & Future Discussions

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gfIkLFFrjwk

Thoughts From Ariel: Iraq Update, October 28th, 2025

Ariel: Iraq Update, October 28th, 2025

Just my personal observations.

Listen, I will say this. With $100+ billion in U.S. post-war infusions think those gleaming Rafidain and Rasheed bank networks wired for SWIFT and blockchain-ready ops the stage is set.

Iraq’s CBI has been prepping their in-country redenomination (lop off three zeros from notes, so 1,000 old IQD becomes 1 new IQD) to clean up domestic inflation without shifting real value.

But internationally? Trump’s forcing a revaluation tie-in, pairing the new dinar at ~$1 USD (or 1:1) on Forex by Q 2026, making every old note redeemable at parity. Why?

Iraq owes us big oil infrastructure, military bases, frozen assets and this flips their black-market currency into a repayment machine.

No more three-decade stall; Trump’s Treasury team (led by Bessent) has backroom pacts with Baghdad’s PM Sudani, enforced via tariff threats on their $20B annual U.S. oil exports.

Banks like JPMorgan and Wells Fargo? They’re drilled for this internal memos confirm 1:1 desks ready, with FDIC greenlights for seamless swaps.

Today (Oct 2025), 1 USD buys ~1,310 old IQD. Your 100k old IQD? Worth ~$76 USD peanuts, locked in dealer spreads.

Redenomination Step (Iraq Domestic): Drops three zeros. Your 100k old IQD = 100 new IQD (face value only; no value change yet it’s like swapping 1,000 pennies for 1 dollar, same buying power in Baghdad markets).

Revalue Trigger (International/Forex): Trump’s deal sets new IQD at 1:1 USD. So 100 new IQD = $100 USD. Scaled: If you hold 100k old IQD (post-redenom: 100 new IQD), cash in for $100 USD exact parity, minus ~2% bank fees.

Now for the ~$35B in U.S.-held old dinars (Treasury vaults), this nets $35B back in greenbacks. Your stack? Direct 1:1 conversion at U.S. branches (call ahead Chase at 270 Park Ave, NYC, or BofA hubs). Iraq repays via oil-backed reserves flooding Forex liquidity; Americans cash in tax-free under Trump’s foreign-exchange amnesty (no cap gains on pre-2026 swaps). From what I was told. But this needs more study.

CBI announces redenom Jan 2026 or before; Forex relist anytime between Jan/March 2026. Even though I would never rule out Christmas. Trump’s chess: Hold their $7B frozen assets hostage till they comply equal footing with Saudi riyal, but we get paid first.

Just my personal observations.

https://dinarchronicles.com/2025/10/28/ariel-prolotario1-iraq-update-october-28th-2025/

Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Wednesday Afternoon 10-29-25

Good Afternoon Dinar Recaps,

Markets — Hope vs. Fear: The Two-Speed Repricing

Why markets are simultaneously rallying on diplomatic hope and testing safe-haven ceilings

Overview
Equities and credit markets have shown optimism tied to high-level trade diplomacy and ceasefire developments, while safe-haven assets (gold, certain sovereign bonds) remain sensitive to headline risk. Markets are price-discovering around two possible pathways — durable détente or episodic relapse. 

Key developments

• Stocks climbed on growing hopes of US-China trade progress; currency moves signalled reduced refuge flows to the dollar.

• Oil and defence equities have trimmed the wartime premium after ceasefire signals, but volatility remains. 

What this means for global alliances

• Market signaling: Rapid market responses to diplomatic actions increase the value of being a first-mover in economic diplomacy (trade pacts, tariff relief).

• Investment corridors: Nations that secure peace or trade deals will attract faster capital deployment; allied states will coordinate to build the accompanying financing platforms (bonds, guarantees, development funds).

• Coalition economics: Economic blocs may tighten policy coordination (tariff reductions, synchronized investment incentives) to lock in advantages.

How this accelerates financial restructuring

• Access to capital will increasingly follow political trust networks; market access becomes another lever in alliance politics.

• Private capital will be channeled into projects that carry diplomatic backing, supported by state risk-sharing mechanisms.

Practical signals to watch

• Sector rotation: inflows into infrastructure, travel, and regional champions after diplomatic wins.

• Changes in sovereign bond spreads for countries central to new trade or peace frameworks.

Bottom line: Markets are a real-time scoreboard of diplomacy; as alliances shift, capital follows swiftly — creating new winners and hastening financial realignment.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources:

• Reuters — Global Markets Wrapup (China)

• Reuters — Trump-Xi Trade Talks Near as Investors Turn to History Guide

• Reuters — Global Market Reaction: Two Years of War in Gaza

~~~~~~~~~

Metals — Gold as Barometer, Not Bulwark

Why gold’s volatility reflects political risk and the search for monetary insurance

Overview
Precious metals have seen dramatic moves: gold hit record forecasts and rallied strongly on risk, then softened as trade/diplomatic optimism returned. Gold today functions as a barometer of fear and a strategic reserve preference — and central banks are key actors. 

Key developments

• Analysts and industry forecasts project higher structural prices (some near-term forecasts exceeding $4,000/oz), driven by central bank buying and hedge demand. 

• Price dips occurred quickly when diplomatic or trade optimism reduced safe-haven demand (gold below $4,000 after trade progress headlines). 

What this means for global alliances

• Reserve strategy: Countries seeking autonomy from dollar dependence accelerate gold accumulation and bilateral swap arrangements to insulate from sanctions or policy shocks.

• Strategic signaling: Visible purchases or gold-backed initiatives become diplomatic signals — showing intent to build parallel monetary buffers.

How this accelerates financial restructuring

• Increased gold accumulation by non-Western central banks supports multi-asset reserve diversification, which underpins arguments for multi-currency or asset-backed settlement systems. 

• Private market structures (warehouse, vaulting, and tokenized gold platforms) tied to state partners may become instruments of cross-border trade settlement.

Practical signals to watch

• Central bank gold buying announcements and import/export flows.

• Emergence of new gold-settlement corridors or gold-linked settlement hubs.

Bottom line: Metals, especially gold, are becoming strategic insurance in a world where political alignment equals financial resilience; their price swings are the market’s heartbeat.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes. 

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources:

• Reuters — Gold Dips as Stronger Dollar, US-China Trade Deal Hopes Weigh

• Reuters — Annual 2026 Gold Price Forecast Tops $4,000/oz for the First Time

• Reuters — Gold Industry Sees Price Rising Near $5,000 an Ounce Over 12 Months

~~~~~~~~~
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Follow the Gold/Silver Rate COMEX

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Seeds of Wisdom Team™ Website

Thank you Dinar Recaps

News, Rumors and Opinions Wednesday 10-29-2025

KTFA:

Clare:  A mysterious visit and closed-door meetings: Trump's envoy arrives in Baghdad "secretly" and meets with prominent political leaders.

Baghdad-

On Wednesday (October 29, 2025), journalist Hossam Al-Hajj, known for his close ties to political parties, leaked that Mark Savaya, the special envoy of US President Donald Trump, arrived in Baghdad two days earlier and held a series of secret meetings with several heads of political blocs.

According to information relayed by Al-Hajj, the meetings took place away from the spotlight and had a sensitive political character, addressing the upcoming American strategy in Iraq, issues related to the American presence, elections, and regional alliances.

There has been no official confirmation yet from the US Embassy or the Iraqi government regarding the visit or details of the meetings held by the US envoy.  LINK

Clare:  Kurdistan Finance Delegation Begins Talks in Baghdad to Boost Non-Oil Revenues and Resolve Customs Disputes

10/29/2025

A delegation from the Kurdistan Regional Government’s Ministry of Finance has arrived in Baghdad and is scheduled to begin meetings today, Wednesday, October 29.

Delegation Members
The delegation includes Kamal Raouf, Director General of Kurdistan’s Customs, and Kamal Tayeb, Director General of Taxation, along with a number of legal and administrative advisors.

Main Objective of the Talks
According to available information, the primary goal of the discussions is to increase non-oil revenues. This comes as Iraq remains heavily dependent on oil income, which has recently seen a decline in prices.

Reorganizing Border Revenue Collection
One of the key topics on the agenda is how to restructure customs duties at border crossings in a way that boosts non-oil revenue for both Iraq and the Kurdistan Region.

Discrepancies in Customs Definitions
Another major issue under discussion is the significant 80% discrepancy in customs definitions between Erbil and Baghdad, which has created serious challenges in unifying customs procedures. LINK

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Courtesy of Dinar Guru:  https://www.dinarguru.com/

Frank26   We know very well the budget has been opened with 12-2c. We know very well they told the citizens of Iraq, 'We're going to lift the zeros from our exchange rate to add purchasing power that we promised you'.  We know very well they just finished showing them all the lower notes and fils.  

Militia Man   Removing three zeros from the currency doesn't make any sense to me...They're not going to take off three zeros off the currency.  But what they'll do is they'll take three zeros from the exchange rate. 

Mnt Goat   Article quote: “Central Bank Governor Ali Al-Alaq confirmed that the three-year budget “included very large expenditures and a high deficit,” noting that the issue of removing zeros from the dinar may witness developments in the coming period.”  ... He is then saying by removing the zeros (thus revaluing the dinar) will resolve this issue in the coming period...they only have a few more months until January 2026 and need to conduct the removing the zeros prior to any reinstatement... We know the Project to Delete the Zeros MUST be done prior to the reinstatement ...Remember Iraq is hardly ever on time and so we may go inpart into January. Don’t expect the reinstatement right on January 1st. 

$40 Trillion Debt Bubble - Systemic Collapse Ahead | Francis Hunt

Liberty and Finance:  10-28-2025

Francis Hunt, The Market Sniper, joins Elijah K. Johnson to break down the hidden forces driving U.S. Treasury demand and why much of it may be artificially created through the Cayman Islands and leveraged “basis trades.”

He explains how this setup mirrors the systemic risk of subprime and Long-Term Capital Management, setting the stage for another major financial crisis.

Francis also connects these developments to the recent gold and silver pullback, revealing what his charts suggest about short-term bottoms and long-term price targets.

He argues that we are still in the early innings of a massive secular bull market in precious metals — with gold far from its top and silver primed for explosive gains once the debt system begins to unravel.

INTERVIEW TIMELINE:

0:00 Intro

1:20 Artificial US Treasury demand

20:33 Gold &silver pullback

33:30 Last thoughts

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lf71LJZZC1k

GLOBAL RESET Enters Next Phase as Gold Replaces the Dollar

GLOBAL RESET Enters Next Phase as Gold Replaces the Dollar

Taylor Kenny:  10-28-2025

The global currency reset isn’t coming—it’s already underway.

And history shows exactly what happens next.

In this video, Taylor breaks down how past monetary resets played out in countries like Weimar Germany, Venezuela, and Brazil—and what they reveal about the U.S. dollar's future.

Are we standing at the precipice of a financial earthquake?

The global financial system, long anchored by the mighty US dollar, is showing profound signs of strain. What many are calling a “global monetary reset” isn’t a speculative theory, but an unfolding reality that promises to fundamentally change how we understand and preserve wealth.

And at its core, this reset is signaling a triumphant return for gold – and its versatile counterpart, silver.

For decades, the US dollar has reigned supreme as the world’s reserve currency. But its dominance is being eroded by two powerful forces: unsustainable global debt levels and a rapidly diminishing confidence in fiat currencies worldwide. Paper money, by its very nature, relies on trust, and that trust is wearing thin.

Monetary resets are not random events; they are cyclical processes, pivotal moments when currencies are either devalued or revalued to reflect new economic realities.

 History is replete with examples of what happens when confidence in paper money evaporates. Think of Weimar Germany’s hyperinflation, Brazil’s rapid currency devaluations, or Venezuela’s recent economic collapse. In each instance, paper money lost its purchasing power, becoming worthless almost overnight.

During these crises, a clear pattern emerges: while paper assets become kindling, physical gold and silver consistently retain, and often increase, their value. They serve as true stores of wealth when central banks print endlessly and economies buckle under pressure.

Historically, silver played a crucial role as the transactional metal during periods of crisis – your everyday currency for survival. Gold, on the other hand, provided the means to truly thrive and build generational wealth after the reset, offering stability and purchasing power that transcended the chaos.

Even the US dollar, despite its current status, is not immune to these historical cycles. It has undergone its own revaluations, devaluations, and even defaults in the past. The writing, it seems, is on the wall. And central banks around the world are reading it loud and clear.

What are they doing in response? They are quietly, yet aggressively, accumulating physical gold. This isn’t a mere investment; it’s a strategic move, a hedge against the inevitable loss of power they foresee for the dollar. Their actions speak volumes about where they believe the next global monetary cornerstone will lie.

In this rapidly evolving financial landscape, the call to action is clear: you need to own physical gold and silver. These tangible assets offer a robust defense against currency devaluation and an unparalleled opportunity to not just protect, but grow, your wealth through this reset.

Consider the dual role of silver: it’s not only a monetary metal, but also an indispensable industrial metal, used in everything from electronics to solar panels. This unique demand profile often makes silver a powerful performer during economic shifts. Understanding the gold-to-silver ratio can also provide strategic insights for optimizing your holdings.

This isn’t just about weathering a storm; it’s about positioning yourself to thrive in the financial era that follows. Preparing strategically, by owning tangible metals, is no longer an option but a strategic imperative.

Don’t wait for the tide to turn; be ready for it. For further insights and expert consultations on navigating this evolving financial landscape, we encourage you to watch the full video from ITM Trading and explore additional resources.

CHAPTERS:

 0:00 Real Wealth Reveals Itself

1:10 What is. Currency Reset?

2:18 Past U.S. Devaluations

3:20 Inflation Horror Story

5:04 Brazil & Venezuela

7:01 Record Gold Purchases

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eKzp9E_SwaE

Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Wednesday Morning 10-29-25

Good Morning Dinar Recaps,

Finance — Quiet Liquidity, Loud Fragility

How ample liquidity and low confidence are reshaping incentives for states and markets

Overview
Global finance today is characterized by abundant liquidity but weakening confidence: markets price risk differently, and non-traditional vectors of instability (geopolitical shocks, AI trading, policy mis-steps) loom large. This dynamic is pushing states to hedge with new partners, instruments and settlement arrangements. 

Key developments

• Central banks keeping policy rates higher for longer while discussing targeted easing — liquidity is available but costly for some borrowers. 

• Investor flows rotate between risk assets (on diplomatic optimism) and safe havens (when policy or geopolitical risks spike). 

What this means for global alliances

• Short-term: Countries with strong reserve positions and trusted capital markets — the U.S., EU members, parts of Asia — attract investment during shocks.

• Medium-term: Emerging economies seek bilateral swap lines, alternative credit facilities and non-USD settlement mechanisms to reduce exposure to policy shifts in reserve-currency countries.

• Result: We should expect a proliferation of regional finance pacts and central-bank linkages that mirror geopolitical blocs.

How this accelerates financial restructuring

• The search for resilience encourages diversification away from unilateral liquidity dependence: swap lines, local-currency bonds, and regional clearing hubs gain traction. 

• Private capital reallocates to ecosystems with state support (sovereign-backed infra financing, state-anchored digital money pilots), compressing funding costs for politically aligned partners.

Practical signals to watch

• New or expanded bilateral swap agreements and central bank repo arrangements.

• Shifts in the composition of international bond issuance (local currency vs. USD).

• Private sector deals that are explicitly state-supported.

Bottom line: The finance layer is quietly fragmenting along strategic lines: liquidity remains global in appearance but resilience is being built regionally.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes. 

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources:

• Reuters -- Morning Bid: Gold sold, stocks stall

• Reuters -- Stocks climb to record, dollar edges down on US-China trade optimism

~~~~~~~~~

Diplomacy & Peace — Out with the Old, In with the New

How recent diplomatic shifts (ceasefires, mediation, trade talks) are rewriting strategic alignments

Overview
Recent high-profile diplomatic moves — notably the Gaza ceasefire/middle-east diplomatic momentum and renewed high-level U.S.–China engagement — are reducing some near-term risk premia and prompting states to recalibrate alliances and trade relationships. Diplomacy is becoming the primary driver of market sentiment and alliance formation. 

Key developments

• A multilateral ceasefire and follow-on talks in the Middle East have eased energy/defence risk premia in markets. 

• High-level diplomatic outreach between major powers (U.S.–China engagement) is prompting business confidence and signalling possible tariff/tech restraint pathways. 

What this means for global alliances

• Convergence zones: Countries that broker or support peace can gain strategic influence — they become hubs for trade corridors, reconstruction capital, and security partnerships.

• Realignment pressure: States previously hedging between major powers may now lean into economic corridors that promise faster gains (trade, investment, infrastructure).

• Diplomatic currency: States increasingly use trade concessions, investment packages, debt relief and digital infrastructure deals as diplomatic tools — economic carrots replacing some traditional security pledges.

How this accelerates financial restructuring

• Peace and active diplomacy reduce certain risk premia, making long-dated infrastructure finance and cross-border investment more feasible — this encourages new clearing arrangements and cross-border payment initiatives. 

• The political capital earned by mediators translates into preferential access to reconstruction contracts and financial arrangements — creating new nodes in the global financial architecture.

Practical signals to watch

• Agreements to settle some trade or strategic transactions in local currencies rather than USD.

• New regional reconstruction funds and public-private vehicles tied to diplomatic wins.

• Which states host follow-on diplomatic conferences — hosting equals influence.

Bottom line: Successful diplomacy doesn’t just reduce violence — it unlocks structural economic rewiring that benefits the architects of peace.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources:

• Reuters — Mediators step up diplomacy after Gaza truce shaken

• Brookings — What Could the Israel–Gaza Deal Mean for the Middle East?

• Council on Foreign Relations — A Guide to Trump’s Twenty-Point Gaza Peace Deal

• European Business Magazine — Markets Breathe as Gaza Peace Deal Recasts the Geopolitical Map

~~~~~~~~~

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“Tidbits From TNT” Wednesday Morning 10-29-2025

TNT:

Tishwash:  Al-Kroui: Parliament will continue after November 11, and sessions are expected to decide on important laws.

MP Mudhar Al-Karwi confirmed on Wednesday that the current parliamentary session will not end immediately after November 11, noting that the parliament will continue to hold sessions during the remaining period to decide on a number of important laws.

Al-Karwi told Al-Maalouma, “The legal term of the House of Representatives extends to four years, so talk about the current session ending after the elections is inaccurate.” He explained that "the House will continue its work until next January, which will allow for important legislative sessions."

He added, “There is a political consensus to pass a set of laws that affect the work of state institutions and broad segments of society,” expecting that “Parliament will witness a movement after November 11 to hold one or more sessions to complete voting on these laws.”   link

Tishwash:  The Central Bank of Iraq signs an agreement with the National Bank of Kuwait - Bahrain.

Under the patronage and attendance of the Governor of the Central Bank of Iraq, Mr. Ali Mohsen Al-Alaq, the Central Bank of Iraq signed a joint cooperation agreement with the National Bank of Kuwait - Bahrain. The signing ceremony took place at the Central Bank of Iraq's headquarters in Baghdad.

The Bank of Kuwait was represented by its CEO - Bahrain, Mr. Ali Fardan, along with his Deputy, Head of Treasury, Mr. Mohammed Momen, and members of the delegation. The agreement was signed on the Iraqi side by Dr. Mohammed Younis Abu Raghif, Director General of Investments at the Central Bank of Iraq.

 His Excellency the Governor expressed his warm welcome to the visiting delegation, recalling the deep-rooted ties between the people of Iraq and the peoples of Kuwait and Bahrain, wishing them continued success. For his part, Mr. Fardan emphasized the importance of enhancing cooperation in the areas of financial transfers and electronic payments, in addition to training on the best modern banking practices between the two parties, and statistical data. He invited His Excellency the Governor to visit the headquarters of the National Bank of Bahrain.

Central Bank of Iraq
Media Office  link

************

Tishwash:  Sudani interested in energy partnership with Washington: "It strengthens friendship"

During his reception of an American delegation

Prime Minister Mohammed Shia Al-Sudani confirms that the government has set a specific timetable to achieve its goals in the field of energy projects

Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani received today, Tuesday, US Under Secretary of Energy James Patrick Danley and his accompanying delegation, in the presence of the Chargé d'Affaires at the US Embassy, ​​Joshua Harris.

During the meeting, His Excellency emphasized the importance of the fruitful partnership and cooperation between Iraq and the United States in various fields, noting that the government, by consolidating political, economic, and societal stability, has launched numerous projects, particularly in the energy sector, which have brought about significant positive change across the country.

The Prime Minister noted that the government has set a specific timetable for achieving its energy and gas utilization goals, including achieving self-sufficiency in high-octane gasoline production. Work is ongoing to achieve self-sufficiency in gas production through government projects, with 2028 set as the target date for achieving this goal.

Mr. Al-Sudani stressed the importance of cooperation with American energy companies in the field of developing work and training Iraqi personnel, and using the latest technological means to develop oil fields and produce electricity, indicating that partnership and cooperation with the United States strengthens friendly relations based on common interests in various fields.

For his part, the US Under Secretary of Energy confirmed significant progress in cooperation between the two countries, particularly in developing energy projects. He noted that the US administration's vision is based on strengthening partnerships and investment to enable Iraq to achieve self-sufficiency in energy production and export the surplus in the future.

The Prime Minister sponsored the signing ceremony of the contract for the floating gas regasification platform (FSRU) with a capacity of 15 million cubic meters per day between the Ministry of Electricity and the American company Excelerate Energy for a period of 5 years, renewable, for the purpose of supplying natural gas to power plants, and supporting energy generation by diversifying gas sources to cover the actual need to operate the plants. The floating platform is also a flexible option in terms of implementation and associated infrastructure, and a quick solution to gas problems, as it can be implemented in record time and at a lower cost compared to fixed platforms.

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The Prime Minister's Media Office
October 28, 2025  link

Mot: Then WHY!!!!???? 

Mot:  . A Quiet Day it Was!!!!  

Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Tuesday Evening 10-28-25

Good Evening Dinar Recaps

ASEAN and Australia Push Back on China: A Maritime Pivot in Global Trade

The South China Sea becomes the frontline for the next phase of economic realignment.

At the latest ASEAN–Australia summit, leaders united to condemn China’s aggressive maneuvers in the South China Sea, including incidents targeting Filipino and Australian vessels. The joint declaration emphasized international maritime law, open trade routes, and multilateral diplomacy.

Strategic Maritime Corridors: The South China Sea handles over $3 trillion in annual trade. Any collective defense of these routes transforms ASEAN from a passive bloc into a regional security consortium.

• Economic Decoupling Pressure: Australia and the Philippines’ cooperation signals deeper coordination between Western economies and Southeast Asian partners. Expect a surge in joint infrastructure financing (ports, fiber optics, defense tech) funded through Quad and G7 channels.

• Alternative Supply Networks: As trade re-routes away from China-dominated waters, Vietnam, Indonesia, and Malaysia stand to gain. Logistics hubs in Singapore and Darwin may evolve into the backbone of a “Pacific Free Trade Belt.”

Implications for Global Trade:
The diplomacy here is as much about economics as security. This could result in two maritime trading networks — one under Western alignment (ASEAN-Australia-Japan-US), and another centered on BRICS-Eurasian corridors. Such bifurcation mirrors the broader fragmentation of finance, logistics, and market access globally.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources: 

• Reuters: “China, Australia keen on stable ties despite tensions, rivalry” — Reuters

• Al Jazeera: “China accuses Australia of covering up South China Sea airspace incursion” — Al Jazeera

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BRICS’ Digital Currency Bridge: Prelude to a Global Currency Reset?

As BRICS pilots ultra-fast settlements, could this signal a move toward an asset-backed global digital currency and a reshaping of the dollar era?

The recent pilot of the mBridge digital currency bridge—settling transactions in just 7 seconds and with dramatically lower fees—points to a deeper shift in global finance. According to one recent report, payments between Abu Dhabi and China via mBridge were settled in seven seconds, with transaction fees claimed to be ~98% lower than those using the traditional SWIFT system. 

The Mechanics: mBridge & Payment Infrastructure

• mBridge was developed by the Bank for International Settlements Innovation Hub together with central banks of China, Thailand, the UAE, Hong Kong and later Saudi Arabia. It is designed to allow real-time cross-border payments with central bank digital currencies (CBDCs). 

• The BIS announced it would hand over management of mBridge to participating central banks in late 2024. 

• Analysts observe that while mBridge is not explicitly a BRICS-only project, several participating states overlap with the expanded BRICS group and the infrastructure aligns with its de-dollarisation ambitions. 

• One recent analysis suggests that beyond faster payments, a “less likely but more transformative” scenario is the launch of a dedicated BRICS digital currency backed by a basket of member currencies or commodities like gold. 

How This Could Lead to a Global Asset-Backed Digital Currency

1. Eliminating Intermediaries – The pilot between Abu Dhabi and China demonstrated that payments could bypass traditional correspondent banking routes (e.g., New York and London). If scaled to more BRICS and partner nations, that reduces dependency on dollar-clearing channels. (See mBridge settlement speed & cost) 

2. Hub for Local/Regional Currencies – As the platform supports CBDCs, member states might settle trade in local or regional digital currencies rather than in US dollars. That opens the door to a synthetic or unified digital currency of the bloc. 

3. Asset/Commodity Backing – Analysts suggest a BRICS currency could be backed by gold or other hard assets, which gives it credibility as a reserve alternative.

4. Infrastructure Precedes Currency Launch – The infrastructure (mBridge, BRICS Pay, regional digital settlement systems) can precede and prepare the ground for a formal digital currency to be issued by a supranational or region-wide entity. 

What a Global Currency Reset Might Look Like

• Reduced Dollar Dominance: The US dollar has long been the primary global reserve and trade-invoicing currency. BRICS efforts aim to reduce this dependency. 

• Currency Bloc or Basket: A new digital currency might be built on a basket of BRICS currencies (renminbi, rupee, real, rand, ruble etc) or backed by commodities/gold, providing an alternative reserve asset. 

• New Payment Architecture: With low‐cost, fast settlement networks like mBridge, trade settlement timelines shrink and reliance on Western-dominated financial rails diminishes.

• Implications for Power and Sanctions: Countries under Western sanctions see appeal in alternative payment systems that circumvent dollar-based sanctions architecture. 

Risks, Challenges & Timing

• Technical vs Political: While infrastructure is advancing, full rollout and trust in a new global currency require enormous political coordination and regulatory alignment. Some experts caution that BRICS’s ability to launch a truly viable alternative remains limited in the near term. 

• Dollar Resilience: Despite the push, the dollar’s dominance remains resilient—for now. The shift may take years. 

• Diverse Member Interests: The BRICS nations have differing economic systems, policies and levels of integration; aligning them around a single digital currency or settlement system presents major coordination issues. 

• Geopolitical Response: The US and its allies may respond by strengthening the current financial architecture, applying regulatory or sanction pressures, or accelerating their own digital currency initiatives.

• Backing & Trust: For a new currency to gain reserve status it must be trusted. This implies backing by credible assets, transparency, liquidity and stability—all difficult in emerging-market contexts.

Implications for Investors & Policymakers

• Investors should monitor developments in digital sovereignty, CBDCs and cross-border settlement systems as structural shifts in global finance may alter currency, trade and reserve asset dynamics.

• Central banks and policymakers in non-BRICS countries should evaluate vulnerability to exclusion from new rails, or opportunities to link with alternative systems.

• Markets may gradually price in potential de-dollarisation risks, especially for currencies, commodities, and trade-financing arenas.

• Commodity-rich and export-driven emerging markets may see accelerated efforts to invoice trade in alternatives to the US dollar, particularly if digital settlement systems reduce friction and cost.

Closing Thoughts

The pulse of global finance is showing subtle but significant signs of change. With BRICS nations pushing faster, cheaper settlement architectures via platforms like mBridge, the foundations for a digital currency and potentially a global currency reset are quietly being laid. While the full impact may take years to manifest, this is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources:

• Watcher.guru — BRICS Tests Digital Currency Bridge, Settles Payments in 7 Seconds Watcher Guru

• BIS Innovation Hub — Project mBridge reached minimum viable product Bank for International Settlements

• ING Think — De-dollarisation: More BRICS in the wall ING Think

• InvestingNews — How Would a New BRICS Currency Affect the US Dollar? Investing News Network (INN)

• OMFIF — Central banks’ role in ring-fencing mBridge OMFIF

• GIS Reports Online — BRICS making progress on payment system GIS Reports

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It’s Not the Fed Who actually Controls Interest Rates

It’s Not the Fed Who actually Controls Interest Rates

Heresy Financial:  10-27-2025

We hear a lot about “the Fed” and “interest rates” in the news. It’s easy to fall into the trap of thinking the Federal Reserve has a direct dial for everything from your mortgage to your credit card.

But as a recent video from Heresy Financial meticulously breaks down, the reality is far more nuanced. The Fed’s control over interest rates isn’t a blunt instrument; it’s a sophisticated dance involving specific tools and market reactions.

The elephant in the room for the U.S. economy is its staggering national debt – approximately $38 trillion – and a persistent deficit. This requires continuous borrowing, leading to ever-increasing interest costs. This financial reality could force the Fed into some unconventional moves.

Ultimately, understanding monetary policy’s impact is a complex puzzle. While the Fed can effectively manage short-term rates and influence government borrowing costs, this doesn’t automatically translate into lower interest rates for consumers.

This can cause consumer loan rates to rise, even if Treasury yields are falling. The video even touches on the possibility of future government interventions to cap consumer loan rates, reflecting a broader trend towards increased economic management.

The Federal Reserve’s role in setting interest rates is far from a simple on/off switch. It’s a sophisticated interplay of direct control over key short-term rates and indirect influence on broader market dynamics through its balance sheet and other tools.

As the economic landscape continues to evolve, understanding these mechanisms is crucial for navigating the financial world.

For a deeper dive into these fascinating concepts, be sure to watch the full video from Heresy Financial.

https://youtu.be/NJ1yvpHFq20