Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Wednesday Morning 12-31-25

Happy New Years Eve Dinar Recaps,

Fed Minutes Reveal Deep Divide

December meeting exposes fault lines over inflation, jobs, and 2026 rate cuts

Overview

• Federal Reserve officials are split on whether inflation or unemployment now poses the greater risk.

• December 2025 meeting minutes reveal disagreement over the timing and scale of rate cuts in 2026.

• Some policymakers warned that inflation progress may have stalled.

• Others argued that rising unemployment and economic slowing deserve greater attention.

• The divide raises uncertainty about the Fed’s policy path moving forward.

Key Developments

• A faction favored holding rates steady, citing concern that inflation is not yet sustainably moving toward the 2% target.

• Another group emphasized labor market risks, warning that delayed easing could worsen job losses.

• Data dependency was repeatedly emphasized, reflecting uncertainty in economic signals.

• No consensus emerged on when rate cuts should begin in 2026.

• Market participants are now reassessing expectations for the pace and depth of future easing.

Why It Matters

Central bank unity is a stabilizing force. Division introduces ambiguity into forward guidance, which markets rely on for pricing risk.

The December minutes show a Federal Reserve navigating competing mandates under tightening constraints. When inflation and employment signals diverge, policy decisions become less predictable — increasing volatility across rates, equities, and currencies.

This is not indecision; it is a reflection of a system under structural strain.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

For foreign currency holders, Fed clarity directly impacts global exchange rates.

A divided Fed complicates interest rate differentials, capital flows, and carry trades. When markets cannot confidently price U.S. monetary policy, FX volatility rises, particularly for currencies linked to dollar funding, trade settlement, and emerging-market debt.

In reset terms, policy uncertainty accelerates repricing.

Implications for the Global Reset

• Pillar: Policy Credibility Requires Cohesion
  Fragmented guidance weakens confidence.

• Pillar: Data Ambiguity Drives Volatility
  When signals conflict, markets reprice faster.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• New York Times – “Federal Reserve Officials Were Divided Over Inflation and Jobs, Minutes Show”

• CNBC – “Fed minutes show officials were in tight split over December rate cut”

• Charles Schwab – “Rate Debate: Fed Minutes Today Provide Inside Look”

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Chinese Oil Tankers Challenge U.S. Blockade off Venezuela

Maritime standoff escalates as China-backed shipments test U.S. enforcement

Overview

• Chinese-flagged oil tankers are continuing Venezuela-linked voyages despite a U.S.-declared maritime blockade.

• Two unsanctioned VLCCs, Thousand Sunny and Xing Ye, are operating near Venezuelan waters.

• The U.S. is escalating tanker seizures and naval pressure to restrict Caracas’ oil revenues.

• China and Russia have openly criticized U.S. actions, raising concerns of broader geopolitical confrontation.

• Venezuela has begun escorting oil shipments while cutting production as storage fills.

Key Developments

• The Thousand Sunny is en route to Venezuela’s Jose Terminal after sailing around the Cape of Good Hope, maintaining course despite the blockade announcement.

• The Xing Ye is slow-steaming off French Guiana, awaiting loading at the Jose Terminal, with ownership and destination undisclosed.

• U.S. authorities seized multiple tankers, including Centuries and Skipper, while pursuing Bella 1 under a judicial seizure order.

• China has opposed the seizures, backing Venezuela during an emergency U.N. Security Council meeting.

• PDVSA has begun shutting oil wells in the Orinoco Belt, aiming to cut output by at least 25% as exports are squeezed.

• Chevron continues exporting Venezuelan crude under a special U.S. license, highlighting selective enforcement.

Why It Matters

Energy blockades are not just economic tools — they are geopolitical force multipliers. The presence of Chinese-flagged tankers operating near Venezuela tests the limits of U.S. maritime enforcement and exposes fractures in global energy governance.

As sanctions and seizures intensify, oil trade increasingly shifts from commercial rules to power-based navigation, raising risks of escalation, miscalculation, and retaliation.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

For currency holders, this standoff underscores how energy flows anchor monetary stability.

Disrupted oil exports weaken reserve inflows, stress balance sheets, and accelerate currency depreciation for producer nations. At the same time, buyers willing to bypass sanctions gain strategic pricing and settlement leverage, reshaping trade flows away from traditional dollar-dominated channels.

In reset terms, energy access increasingly determines currency resilience.

Implications for the Global Reset

• Pillar: Energy Control Equals Monetary Power
  Disrupted exports destabilize currencies.

• Pillar: Sanctions Accelerate Fragmentation
  Parallel trade routes emerge under pressure.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Newsweek – “Chinese Oil Tankers Challenge U.S. Blockade off Venezuela”

• Bloomberg – “Venezuela Cuts Oil Output as U.S. Blockade Squeezes Exports”

• New York Times – “U.S. Escalates Pressure on Venezuela’s Oil Exports”

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🌱 A Message to Our Currency Holders🌱

If you’ve been holding foreign currency for many years, you were not foolish.
You were not wrong to believe the global financial system would change.

What failed was not your patience — it was the information you were given.

For years, dates, rumors, and personalities replaced facts, structure, and proof. “This week” predictions created cycles of hope and disappointment that were never based on how currencies actually change.

That is not your failure.

Our mission here is different:  • No dates • No rates • No hype • No gurus

Instead, we focus on:
• Verifiable developments • Institutional evidence
• Global financial structure • Where countries actually sit in the process

Currency value changes only come after sovereignty, trade, banking, settlement systems, and fiscal coordination are in place. History and institutions confirm this sequence.

You will see silence. You will see denials. That is not delay — that is discipline.

Protect your identity. Organize your documents.    Verify everything.
Never hand your discernment to anyone who cannot show proof.

You deserve truth — not timelines.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News

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