Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economic Updates Friday Afternoon 9-5-25

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Currency Selection: JP Morgan Flags BRICS Push, US Dollar Loses Value

Bank warns of accelerating de-dollarization as BRICS strengthens gold-backed frameworks.

JP Morgan’s Warning on the Dollar
JP Morgan’s latest currency analysis has raised fresh concerns about the U.S. dollar’s long-term role as the world’s reserve currency. The bank highlighted that the dollar’s share of global foreign exchange reserves has slipped from 71% in 2000 to 58% today, a decline that has accelerated over the past two decades.

The research points to three major forces behind the shift:

  • Commodity trades increasingly priced in non-USD currencies.

  • New cross-border payment systems bypassing U.S. banks.

  • Ongoing reductions in central bank dollar reserves.

“In the commodities space, energy transactions are more often being priced in non-USD currencies,” the report stated, underscoring the trend toward de-dollarization.

BRICS Multi-Currency Strategy
Rather than creating a single rival to the dollar, BRICS nations are developing a multi-currency framework backed by gold. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov emphasized: “No one in the BRICS community is raising the issue of replacing the dollar. The alternative is to switch to settlements in national currencies.”

This structure allows member nations to peg their currencies to gold reserves while maintaining monetary sovereignty. It is viewed as a more practical model than an immediate single BRICS currency.

China’s Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) now links nearly 5,000 banks worldwide and offers settlement times as fast as 7 seconds — a direct challenge to SWIFT’s dominance.

Gold-Backed Developments
Gold plays a central role in BRICS’ evolving monetary system:

  • BRICS central banks are purchasing directly from domestic miners, bypassing Western supply chains.

  • The Shanghai Futures Exchange introduced T+0 gold settlement in March 2024, transforming physical gold trading.

  • World Gold Council data shows 19 of 36 central banks have increased gold purchases through local partnerships.

Analysts now estimate fair value for gold at around $8,000 per ounce, reflecting tightening supply conditions. Short-term lease rates have surged — gold at 9.4% and silver at 6.5% — pointing to demand pressure across global markets.

A Gradual Transition
JP Morgan’s assessment suggests the future is unlikely to bring a single replacement for the dollar. Instead, multiple reserve alternatives may emerge, with BRICS’ gold-backed multi-currency system playing a pivotal role.

While timelines remain fluid, analysts point to 2026 as a possible target for fuller BRICS rollout. This multipolar approach underscores a deeper geopolitical realignment as emerging markets reduce their reliance on U.S. financial infrastructure.

Why This Matters
The dollar remains dominant, but its gradual erosion signals a future where trade and reserves are distributed across a basket of currencies. BRICS’ gold-backed strategy is accelerating this trend, forcing global institutions to rethink assumptions about the dollar’s permanence at the center of global finance.

@ Newshounds News™
Source: 
Watcher.Guru

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