KTFA Members "News and Views" Saturday 11-28-2020
KTFA:
Ross: It seems like most of the time the Cabinet and Parliament are at odds. Now Parliament is urging the "full" implementation of the White Papers (including the adjustment requested by the BIS?) and "Parliamentary Finance issues a package of reforms that includes imposing a value-added tax and reviewing the dollar exchange rate" and further "the reform paper also focused on the Ministry of Finance, in coordination with the Central Bank, to issue an electronic dinar for the purpose of collecting government revenues and deserved tags, reviewing the exchange rate against the dollar, deleting zeros ..."
IMO the cat is out of the bag and Parliamentary Finance wants to get in on the credit instead being the opposition. When the 2021 Budget is discussed next Tuesday surely the rate will be exposed to the Cabinet members in attendance.
Wondering how long all this can be kept a secret from the populace ? Also, normally one would expect the RI/RV to not be disclosed until the last minute to avoid a rush in IQD acquisitions by whales but nothing seems normal re Iraq. Hopefully this moves the goal post somewhat closer.
Don961: Iraq’s stolen funds .. A report speaks about the tasks of an international coalition to recover $ 150 billion
2020/11/26 21:00 Baghdad Today - Follow-up
An American website published a report in which it talked about the tasks of the newly established International Financial Alliance to help Iraq financially, and it is expected that the coalition will help Iraq recover 150 billion dollars of money stolen from the country since 2003.
Al-Monitor stated, "Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kazemi, while he was with a number of ministers on a visit to London, established the International Financial Alliance and named it the Economic Contact Group for Iraq on October 22," noting that the alliance "consists of the Group of Seven countries and a fund The International Monetary Fund (IMF), the World Bank, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, the Iraqi Ministry of Finance, the Central Bank of Iraq, and the Financial Committee.
He explained, "The coalition meets every three months to monitor economic progress in Iraq, and will present a roadmap to support priorities in terms of reforms, mobilize international support and benefit from international experiences to enhance economic stability and add vital changes to achieve economic growth. The coalition is scheduled to work for three years." .
The American site pointed out, "Parliament, after months of conflict with the government, approved on the twelfth of November the borrowing law that allows Iraq to borrow 12 trillion Iraqi dinars ($ 10 billion), which will enable Iraq to pay its obligations for three months only to pay Salaries of government employees. "
And he continued that "Iraq is facing a severe financial crisis, after the drop in oil prices due to the Corona pandemic, and according to the 2020 budget, Iraq needs $ 62 billion, of which $ 45.8 billion is for government employee salaries, pensions and social care, while Iraq needs $ 6.6 billion to pay "The internal debts and European bonds. The remaining amount will be allocated to foreign oil companies, support programs also known as the ration card, electricity imports, and to cover the expenses of some ministries."
The American website report quoted Finance Minister Ali Allawi as saying to Al-Iraqiya TV on November 4, that "the coalition will provide experts in managing economic sectors, and they will act as advisors to the government, with a focus mainly on reforming the economy and improving the administrative performance of the public and private sectors." He pointed out that "Iraq is going through a difficult economic time; because the financial resources of the state have become out of control and reforms must be achieved."
The Minister of Finance added, "In the event that the current situation continues, this will open the way for political and security unrest," noting that "it is in the interest of many countries to help Iraq and put its economy on the right track, especially since the country is a promising market for Western investment, and the coalition will help Iraq to Recovering the money that was stolen before and after 2003, which amounted to more than $ 150 billion since the emergence of the current political establishment.
"Al-Monitor" quoted Ahmad Haji Rashid, a member of the Parliamentary Finance Committee, which is part of the newly formed financial alliance, as saying, "The International Financial Alliance agreed to a request to exempt Iraq from the obligations of the OPEC Plus agreement."
Al-Hajj added that “consultations between countries will start within days,” noting that the International Financial Alliance “will provide consultations without loans because most countries of the world are suffering from a financial crisis due to the Coronavirus pandemic,” indicating that “Iraq's credit rating is (B-) and it is It does not qualify it to obtain foreign loans, "noting at the same time that" the country has resorted to foreign expertise, because the solutions that Iraqi academics proposed to deal with the crisis were difficult to implement. "
The report pointed out that "Iraq's debts amounted to $ 133.3 billion in September, and constitutes 80% of the gross domestic product, which exceeds the red line by 60% to the gross domestic product, while the Al-Kazemi government issued a white paper for economic reforms that includes a vision to solve problems in the non And reducing dependence on oil by 93% during the next three years, and activating the role of the private sector.
The report quoted Ahmed Al-Tabakjali, a professor at the American University in Sulaymaniyah, as saying, "The expenditures are large and cannot be covered from budget revenues," and indicated that the white paper for economic reform shows the international community that Iraq is serious about reforming its economic and financial situation.
He stressed that "the international community does not want to see modest reforms as was the case in the past," noting that "the new international alliance may push the International Monetary Fund to sign a new loan agreement with Iraq, including reforms and loans, and this would give the country the opportunity." To obtain loans from foreign countries with a guarantee from the International Monetary Fund. "
"The coalition will help Iraq in the areas of technology and governance, and help it implement measures to control non-oil revenues, such as tax revenues and border crossings," al-Tabakjali indicated, explaining that "Iraq cannot bear additional debts without the new alliance."
"The establishment of this alliance means that the advisory body in the Council of Ministers is ineffective, and that the economic staff in the Ministries of Finance and Planning have failed to find effective solutions to the current financial crisis," Al-Monitor quoted Nabil Al-Marsoumi, a professor of economics at Basra University.
Al-Marsoumi added, "In the words of the government, it is obligated to contract with foreign parties to obtain effective solutions, despite the government's issuance of the white paper, which is important to add changes to the economic path the country has taken."
And it was announced in London, during last October, the establishment of an international financial alliance that includes 7 foreign and Iraqi financial institutions, to provide advice to the Iraqi government to confront the stifling financial crisis that led to the state’s inability to commit to paying employees' salaries on time and resort to internal and external borrowing.
According to the British Foreign Office, the financial alliance will be called the "Economic Contact Group" and its goal is to stimulate international support for the urgent economic reform program, which will last for 3 years and cost 6 million pounds sterling.
According to a statement by the British Foreign Office, "the financial alliance provides global expertise to achieve economic growth and provide international expertise from the public and private sectors to enhance economic stability in Iraq and introduce vital economic changes in order to advance growth."
DeepWoodz: Imo...this may be the plan to replace the the reserves.
“the coalition will help Iraq to Recovering the money that was stolen“
“more than $ 150 billion“
Also, more oil exports coming. “exempt Iraq from the obligations of the OPEC Plus agreement.“
Also,“British Foreign Office, the financial alliance will be called the "Economic Contact Group" To the tune of 6 million pounds. How many dinars will that buy today?
Don961: "Arab Monetary" directs central banks to support the economy after "Corona"
Saturday 28 November 2020 Abu Dhabi: Follow up
The Arab Monetary Fund has issued “Guiding Principles on Central Banks' Strategies to Support Economic Recovery in the Post-Coronavirus Pandemic”.
The guiding principles included a set of recommendations related to strengthening the crisis management system, which emphasizes the importance of early preparation for the Crisis Management Committee or the Financial Stability Committee within the central bank, and early preparation for the post-crisis phase, through developing a strategy for the post-crisis phase.
Current.
It was emphasized that the economic support measures will continue for an appropriate period in the recovery phase, to ensure the flow of liquidity into the economy, as the success of the measures is affected by the timing of their easing or withdrawal, as failure to withdraw support packages early may lead to a decline in the volume of credit required to support the corporate and household sectors. Whereas, late withdrawal may increase systemic risks in the financial sector.
She stressed the need for coordination and cooperation between the monetary and fiscal policies and the macroprudential policy, and the importance of the gradual application of macroprudential policy tools that have been eased or liberalized during the current crisis, and the continued adoption of an easing monetary policy to consolidate the economic recovery, which means delaying raising interest rates on monetary policy tools. For an appropriate period of time.
The principles indicated that central banks would continue to adopt government financing programs, led by these banks to support productive economic activities, with appropriate interest rates and terms, calling for setting appropriate frameworks for banks to deal with their good clients, whose cash flows were affected by the Corona pandemic, and to study solutions related to mitigating the impact. Negative in their creditworthiness, provided that this is taken into account in their credit reports. LINK
DeepWoodz: Imo...so this brings to mind a QUESTION I have asked previously on salaries and would be similar for loans.Wouldn’t there need to be financial “mechanisms” in place for both of these topics? Once they decide to change the rate, all manner of accounts will have to be re-calculated according to the new rate, especially since it is a RV/RI? I think easily done with electronic accounts.
In my mind, if this is true, someone who borrowed a million dinars(valued at 1000 dollars) would after the rate change only owe 1000 dinars. So the math would have to change internally at the same time as the rate.
Equally as important, and something Delta mentions frequently as a pattern, are salaries. Of which there are articles about changing the salary scale but aren’t really clear as to why.
Couple salaries with the fact they are paying them electronically and forcing everyone to have an account in order to receive them. (Or Ki cards I think in the case of retirees and martyrs) This in my mind, provides a means to instantly change amounts in accounts and salaries instantly as well.
I agree with Delta that they can’t simply pay people and then change the rate, or vice versa for that matter, unless there is something to control the financials.