Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Friday Morning 1-2-26

Trade Fragmentation: The Downstream Consequence of Systemic Stress
How fractured commerce and payment systems reveal deeper global economic realignments

Overview

• Global trade networks are increasingly splitting into regional and strategic blocs as geopolitical tensions, sanctions regimes, and financial fragmentation intensify.

• Trade fragmentation is not the initial trigger of systemic crisis — it is a downstream consequence of deeper monetary and financial stress.

• As payment system access becomes weaponized and currency volatility rises, nations are realigning trade corridors based on trust, interoperability, and financial access rather than comparative advantage.

Key Developments

• Sanctions and counter-sanctions have constrained access to traditional trade settlement systems, prompting several nations to explore alternative payment rails and bilateral settlement arrangements.

• Major economies and trading blocs are increasingly negotiating currency swap lines, local currency trade agreements, and digital payment linkages to bypass dominance by any single system.

• Supply chains are being reshaped — not just for efficiency, but for redundancy and security, with firms and governments diversifying sourcing to reduce exposure to any one currency or financial network.

• Emerging markets with limited access to major payment systems face higher financing costs, greater FX volatility, and reduced foreign demand for sovereign debt — accelerating trade realignment.

• Regional trade groupings — both economic and geopolitical — are prioritizing internal trade facilitation over integration with traditional global chains, reflecting trust over optimal economic logic.

Why It Matters
Trade fragmentation is significant because it reveals a shift in the underlying architecture of global commerce. Traditional trade theory assumes frictionless movement of goods and capital underpinned by trusted settlement systems and credible currencies. But as financial stress rises and central banks’ policy space narrows, trade is no longer just about comparative advantage — it’s about access and survivability.

When settlement systems become perceived as weaponizable, and when financing costs vary sharply across currency regimes, countries begin to reroute trade flows based on financial trustworthiness and system access. This isn’t a temporary distortion — it is a structural change in how cross-border commerce operates.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders
For foreign currency holders, trade fragmentation introduces complex new dynamics:

• Settlement Access Becomes a Currency Driver: Access to major payment networks becomes as important as reserve status in determining currency demand.

• Regional Bloc Currencies Strengthen Internally: Currencies within tightly integrated trade blocs may gain relative stability even if they lack traditional reserve status.

• FX Volatility Increases Along New Trade Routes: As trade flows reroute, demand and liquidity for certain currencies can surge or collapse based on access rather than economic fundamentals.

• Hedging Costs and Financial Risk Rise: Fragmented trade pathways elevate hedging costs and complicate risk management for multinational enterprises and investors.

• Reserve Strategy Shifts: Portfolio and reserve allocations begin to tilt toward currencies that facilitate diversified trade network access, not just those with high liquidity.

Implications for the Global Reset
Pillar 1 — Fragmentation Reflects Deeper Financial Stress:
Trade fragmentation is not causal — it is a structural signal that financial and monetary stress has exceeded thresholds where traditional settlement systems can function smoothly.

Pillar 2 — Systemic Realignment Around Trust and Access:
New trade corridors, settlement mechanisms, and financial interoperability standards are emerging based on trust networks and risk exposure, not purely import/export balances.

Pillar 3 — Currency Utility Reprices with Trade Role:
As trade networks reorganize, currency utility increasingly depends on system access and settlement integration, altering long-term valuation models.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Reuters — Global trade fragmentation and output losses warning

• Reuters — WTO sees signs of fragmented trade (but no de-globalization)

• Federal Reserve — Note on understanding trade fragmentation

• World Bank — Trade policy and fragmentation visualization tools

• IMF Blog — Confronting fragmentation where it matters most

• World Economic Forum — Mitigating impacts of global financial system fragmentation

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Maduro Signals Willingness for Talks With U.S., Offers Cooperation on Oil and Drugs

Venezuela shifts tone as sanctions pressure and energy geopolitics converge

Overview

• Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro signaled openness to renewed dialogue with the United States, proposing cooperation on drug trafficking and offering U.S. companies access to Venezuela’s oil sector

• The remarks mark a notable shift from months of hostile rhetoric and confrontation

• Maduro framed Venezuela as a “brother country” to the U.S., emphasizing willingness to engage President Donald Trump directly

• The outreach comes amid heightened U.S. military activity in the Caribbean and ongoing sanctions pressure

• Energy access and geopolitical stability are central to the subtext of the overture

Key Developments

• Maduro referenced a prior conversation in which Trump addressed him as “Mr. President,” portraying it as recognition of his authority

• The interview aired on state television and was staged in militarized areas of Caracas, projecting strength and control

• Maduro offered cooperation on drug trafficking and openness to U.S. oil companies, including expanded access to Venezuela’s reserves

• U.S. officials have accused Maduro of leading a “narco-state,” a charge Caracas denies

• Chevron and other U.S. firms already maintain limited operations under sanctions exemptions

Why It Matters

Maduro’s conciliatory tone reflects mounting economic pressure and a search for legitimacy amid years of sanctions, inflation, and capital flight. For Washington, any engagement carries implications for energy security, regional stability, and sanctions enforcement.

This is not merely diplomatic theater. Energy access, sanctions relief, and political recognition are deeply intertwined, especially as global oil markets remain sensitive to supply disruptions and geopolitical shocks.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

For foreign currency holders, Venezuela’s outreach highlights several critical dynamics:

• Sanctions relief directly impacts currency stabilization prospects

• Energy access influences hard-currency inflows and balance-of-payments pressure

• Political recognition can unlock settlement channels and foreign investment

• Currencies under sanctions reprice rapidly when access conditions change

In reset terms, currency value increasingly depends on access, legitimacy, and settlement pathways — not just reserves.

Implications for the Global Reset

• Pillar: Energy Access Shapes Monetary Breathing Room
  Oil revenue remains a decisive lever for sanctioned states.

• Pillar: Sanctions Are Negotiation Tools, Not Permanent States
  Reset dynamics favor conditional reintegration over isolation.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Modern Diplomacy – “Maduro Signals Willingness for Talks With U.S., Offers Cooperation on Oil and Drugs”

• Reuters – “Maduro signals openness to U.S. talks as sanctions and oil loom”

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Trump Threatens Action Over Deadly Protests in Iran

Inflation-driven unrest collides with geopolitical escalation risks

Overview

• U.S. President Donald Trump warned that Washington could intervene if Iranian security forces fire on protesters

• Nationwide protests over soaring inflation and currency collapse have entered their fourth day

• Several deaths have been reported, marking Iran’s most serious unrest in three years

• Trump’s comments follow recent U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities

• The situation raises the risk of escalation between Washington and Tehran

Key Developments

• Trump stated the United States was “locked and loaded” in response to reported violence against protesters

• Demonstrations erupted across multiple regions, driven by inflation, unemployment, and economic hardship

• Iranian officials condemned Trump’s remarks as foreign interference

• Security forces reportedly used force against demonstrators, prompting international concern

• President Masoud Pezeshkian acknowledged government failures, while warning unrest would not be tolerated

Why It Matters

Iran’s unrest represents a convergence of economic collapse and geopolitical pressure. Inflation above 36%, a rapidly weakening rial, and years of sanctions have eroded public trust. Trump’s warning injects an external escalation risk into what is already a fragile domestic crisis.

This moment is especially volatile because economic legitimacy, internal stability, and external deterrence are all under strain simultaneously. Any miscalculation could rapidly widen the conflict beyond Iran’s borders.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

For foreign currency holders, Iran’s situation highlights critical reset dynamics:

• Currency collapse accelerates social unrest and political instability

• Sanctions and isolation magnify FX volatility and settlement risk

• Escalation risk drives capital flight and safe-haven demand

• Access to global payment systems matters more than nominal reserves

In reset terms, currency credibility fails first at home — then abroad.

Implications for the Global Reset

• Pillar: Currency Failure Precedes Political Instability
  Inflation and FX collapse undermine state legitimacy.

• Pillar: Sanctions Amplify Internal Fracture Points
  Prolonged isolation accelerates systemic stress.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Modern Diplomacy – “Trump Threatens Action Over Deadly Protests in Iran”

• Reuters – “Trump warns Iran as protests rage over inflation and currency collapse”

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News, Rumors and Opinions Friday 1-2-2025

KTFA:

Frank26:  "TARIFFS WORKING ON GLOBAL CURRENCIES"....F26

Major Currency and Financial Resets That Took Effect on January 1

January 1 is ideal for currency resets because it aligns with the start of the fiscal year, offering clarity, a fresh beginning, and minimal disruption to economic activities.

12/31/2025

January 1 has repeatedly served as a symbolic and practical launch date for some of the world’s most consequential currency reforms, redenominations and financial resets, as governments sought clean accounting transitions, psychological breaks from crisis, and alignment with fiscal calendars.

Economists say the date is favored because it coincides with new budgets, accounting years and tax cycles, reducing operational disruption while signaling a “new start” to markets and citizens.

The Euro: Europe’s Historic Monetary Reset (1999–2002)

Jan. 1, 1999: The euro was launched as a virtual currency for accounting and financial markets, replacing national currencies in 11 EU states.

Jan. 1, 2002: Euro banknotes and coins entered circulation, permanently ending the franc, mark, lira and others.

Impact: One of the largest financial resets in history, affecting over 300 million people and reshaping global reserve currency dynamics.

Sources: European Central Bank, Reuters, IMF.

Turkey: Lira Redenomination After Hyperinflation (2005)

Jan. 1, 2005: Turkey removed six zeros from its currency.

1,000,000 old lira = 1 new lira (TRY).

Context: Years of inflation had rendered prices unmanageable. The reset followed IMF-backed reforms and restored confidence.

Sources: Turkish Central Bank, IMF, Reuters.

Russia: Post-Soviet Ruble Reform (1998)

Jan. 1, 1998: Russia cut three zeros from the ruble.

1,000 old rubles = 1 new ruble.

Context: Designed to stabilize the economy after post-Soviet collapse and before the 1998 financial crisis.

Sources: Russian Central Bank, World Bank.

Brazil: Real Plan Consolidation (1994)

Jan. 1, 1994: Brazil introduced the real (BRL), ending decades of hyperinflation.

Replaced multiple failed currencies.

Context: One of the most successful inflation-control programs in emerging markets.

Sources: Banco Central do Brasil, IMF.

Poland: Zloty Redenomination (1995)

Jan. 1, 1995: Poland removed four zeros from the zloty.

10,000 old zloty = 1 new zloty.

Context: Part of post-communist economic transition and EU accession path.

Sources: National Bank of Poland, ECB.

Romania: Leu Redenomination (2005)

Jan. 1, 2005: Romania cut four zeros from the leu.

10,000 old lei = 1 new leu (RON).

Context: Aimed at simplifying transactions ahead of EU membership.

Sources: Romanian Central Bank, Reuters.

Argentina: Peso Convertibility Reset (1992)

Jan. 1, 1992: Argentina introduced a new peso, pegged 1:1 to the U.S. dollar.

10,000 australes = 1 peso.

Context: Temporarily curbed inflation but later collapsed in the 2001 crisis.

Sources: IMF, World Bank.

Zimbabwe: Dollarization Reset (2009)

Jan. 1, 2009: Zimbabwe effectively abandoned its currency, allowing foreign currencies for transactions after hyperinflation.

Context: One of history’s most extreme monetary collapses.

Sources: IMF, Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe.

Why January 1?

Economists identify four key reasons:

Fiscal year alignment

Accounting clarity

Public psychology of renewal

Lower transactional disruption

“Currency resets are as much about confidence as arithmetic,” IMF economists note. “January 1 provides a psychological reset alongside a technical one.”

Current Context

Several countries, including Syria, have chosen January 1 for planned redenominations or currency transitions, continuing a long-standing global pattern of using the date to mark economic turning points.   LINK

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Courtesy of Dinar Guru:  https://www.dinarguru.com/

Frank26  The float like this <snap>.  The float and the REER like, boom!

Frank26   Preparation is being made for a new exchange rate.  When is it coming?  God only knows.  But it's in the works because as of today 1310 does not exist anymore.  Now, that's what they said to everyone.  They have the articles to prove it.

Militia Man  Reforms like deleting the 3 zeros simplify transactions preparing for a real effective exchange rate adjustment based on reserves and growth...Growth is part of the non-oil resources...These developments indicate readiness for a managed revaluation of the dinar to reflect fundamentals.  That's what a REER is about. It's about fundamentals such as...$16 trillion worth of natural resources, historic low inflation, political soothness, which we've just witnessed [with the election]...

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China Has Changed the SILVER Game From Paper to PHYSICAL - 'Watch Shanghai': Francis Hunt

Commodity Culture: 1-1-2026

Francis Hunt thinks there's a fundamental shift underway in the global silver market and the spread in price between West and East is painting a picture of physical metal replacing paper contracts as the strategic value of silver becomes more apparent.

Francis breaks out the charts to dive into Shanghai's impact on the silver market, why he thinks a $1000 price is possible, and why the gold-silver ratio could be headed to single digits ahead.

00:00 Introduction

01:14 Silver's Incredible Run

08:34 Silver Spread in Shanghai

16:32 Geopolitical Outlook for Silver

23:09 Is the Broad Market in a Bubble?

36:27 Preparing For What's to Come

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JPTSdH6QU5M

Most Millionaires Don't Consider Themselves Wealthy. So What Does It Really Mean To Be Rich?

Most Millionaires Don't Consider Themselves Wealthy. So What Does It Really Mean To Be Rich?

Ivana Pino  Ivana Pino · Senior Writer  Updated December 18, 2025   Yahoo Personal Finance

A new Schwab survey finds that only a third of America’s millionaires feel wealthy.  By most traditional measures, having a net worth of $1 million should put someone firmly in the “wealthy” category. Yet a growing number of millionaires don’t see it that way.  Just one third (36%) of the nation’s wealthiest citizens — those with at least $1 million in investable assets — consider themselves wealthy, according to Northwestern Mutual’s 2025 Planning and Progress study.

Further, nearly half (49%) of American millionaires say their financial planning needs improvement, citing the possibility of outliving their savings, the impact of taxes in retirement, and potential long-term care needs as their top financial concerns.

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This gap may be surprising, but it highlights how rising costs, longer lifespans, and shifting expectations have redefined what it means to feel rich in modern America.

Why $1 million doesn’t feel like a lot of money anymore

One reason most millionaires don’t consider themselves wealthy is because our definition of wealth has changed over time.

“Being a millionaire used to mean you had done really well and ‘made it,’” said Tom Mathews, CFEd, CPA, and author of "How Money Works." “Today, it really just means you’ve crossed an outdated line.”

Mathews explained the problem isn’t necessarily that people have less money today, but rather, they have less certainty and control around their finances. “Things like inflation, rising taxes, market volatility, and the escalating cost of housing, healthcare, and education have changed what financial security feels like,” he said. “A million dollars on paper doesn’t stretch the way it used to, especially when most of that net worth is tied up in illiquid assets like homes, retirement accounts, or businesses.”

There’s also the issue of longevity. With people living longer, a seven-figure portfolio may not seem substantial when it’s expected to fund decades of living expenses and rising medical costs.

In other words, Mathews said, many people might look wealthy on paper, but that doesn’t mean they feel financially secure.

What does it mean to be rich today?

If millionaires don’t necessarily feel wealthy, what does it take to feel rich in today’s economy?

According to Charles Schwab’s 2025 Modern Wealth Survey, Americans need an average net worth of $839,000 to be financially comfortable, and $2.3 million to feel wealthy.

TO READ MORE:  https://finance.yahoo.com/personal-finance/banking/article/how-many-millionaires-in-america-205846046.html

Even Millionaires Don't Feel Wealthy These Days

Even Millionaires Don't Feel Wealthy These Days

Daniel de Visé, USA TODAY   December 3, 2025

A million dollars is not what it used to be.

Only 36% of American millionaires consider themselves wealthy in 2025, according to new research from Northwestern Mutual.  The finding comes from the 2025 Planning & Progress Study, updated in early November. It draws on a Harris Poll survey of 4,626 Americans, including 969 people with household investable assets greater than $1 million.

Even the wealthiest Americans worry about money, the study found. They fret about having enough of it, deciding how to spend it and whether to pass it on to heirs.  If $1 million isn’t enough, then how much money does it take to feel wealthy?

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“There’s no definitive number,” said Mark Mascarenhas, a private wealth adviser with Northwestern Mutual’s Haven Wealth Advisors.

Many millionaires don't consider themselves wealthy

Feeling wealthy has a lot to do with context and perspective, he said.

A million dollars might go a long way in West Virginia or rural Kansas. In New York or Los Angeles, it might not feel like nearly enough.

A millionaire who hangs out with other millionaires is bound to make unflattering comparisons to wealthier friends.

“All of my clients who are millionaires do not consider themselves wealthy, not by a long shot,” Liz Windisch, a certified financial planner in Denver.

“People with that much money inevitably spend time with other people who are millionaires, and who have even more money than they do and – just like the rest of us – compare themselves to others who have more,” she said.

Nearly half of U.S. millionaires say their financial planning “needs improvement,” Northwestern Mutual found. Only 53% said they expect to leave an inheritance or charitable gift.

“It’s not that they don’t want to leave an inheritance. It’s just that they’re worried about funding their own retirement,” Mascarenhas said.

The top retirement concern for millionaires, the study found, is the prospect of outliving their savings.

The Rise Of Everyday Millionaires

The United States is home to nearly 24 million millionaires, the largest number of any nation in U.S. dollar terms, according to the UBS Global Wealth Report.

TO READ MORE:  https://finance.yahoo.com/personal-finance/banking/article/what-is-considered-wealthy-175033814.html

“Tidbits From TNT” Friday Morning 1-2-2026

TNT:

Tishwash:  Hassan Ali Al-Daghari: Expanding banking services is the focus of the next phase.

Financial expert Hassan Ali Al-Daghari stressed that expanding banking services is an urgent need for the Iraqi economy at the present stage, in light of growing commercial activity and increasing demands of the local market.

Al-Daghari said that Iraqi banks have begun to take clear steps towards developing their financial tools and expanding the scope of their services in line with the ongoing economic transformations.

Al-Daghari explained that expanding modern banking services, such as electronic payment, facilitating account opening procedures, and expanding the branch network, contributes to enhancing citizens' confidence in the banking sector and encourages official transactions instead of relying on cash.

He pointed out that this expansion not only benefits banks, but also supports market activity and provides a better environment for investment.  link

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Tishwash:  Trump's envoy begins 2026 with a strong message to those who "wrought havoc in Iraq": Your time is up. He outlined a list of 18 objectives.

Mark Savaya, US President Donald Trump’s envoy to Iraq, sent a congratulatory message to the Iraqi people on the occasion of welcoming the year 2026, in which he expressed his wishes for peace, unity and renewed hope.

In his message, which he published in Arabic and English via his account on the X platform, Savaya said: “To the people of Iraq, as we welcome the year 2026, I extend to you my sincerest wishes for peace, unity, and renewed hope. Your strength and resilience are an inspiration to the world,” adding that “the new year will bring better opportunities, stability, and a brighter future for all Iraqis.”

The US envoy affirmed that work will continue with the government of the Republic of Iraq within the framework of the Iraqi constitution and law, in order to secure a bright future for Iraq and its people, expressing his hope that 2026 will be the year of the end of instability, the plundering of the country’s wealth, poor services, uncontrolled weapons, smuggling, unemployment, militias, money laundering, corruption, poverty, foreign interference, and all other manifestations of injustice and circumvention of the law.

He added that this message is directed “to those who have spread corruption in the land of Iraq,” stressing that “your time is over and the time of Iraq and the Iraqis has begun,” and emphasizing that Iraq will remain a flag raised high and a source of pride for all its people.

Savaya concluded his message by saying, “We are still at the beginning  link

Tishwash:  Sudani congratulates Halbousi and his deputies: Political stability depends on prioritizing Iraq's interests.

Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani stressed on Wednesday the need to work towards achieving the country's higher interests.

A statement from his office, received by (Al-Mada), said that “Prime Minister Mohammed Shia Al-Sudani met with the new Speaker of Parliament, Hebat Hamad Al-Halbousi.”

Al-Sudani congratulated Al-Halbousi and his two deputies, Adnan Faihan Al-Dulaimi and Farhad Amin Atroushi, on their election and gaining the confidence of the representatives, praising this step that enhances the political stability of our democratic system.

He also pointed out the need to work towards achieving the country's higher interests.

The Prime Minister stressed "the need to complete the remaining constitutional requirements in order to continue providing public services to citizens in various fields."  link

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Mot: Goal fir da New Year and am working on it Already!!!

Mot:  . Winter - in ""2 stages""

Bill Holter: Failure To Deliver for Silver 'Imminent' & Gold Re-Monetization

Bill Holter: Failure To Deliver for Silver 'Imminent' & Gold Re-Monetization

Palisades Gold Radio: 1-1-2026

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Bill Holter to the show. Bill is a Precious Metals Expert and Broker. In this in-depth discussion about the precious metals market, Holter provides a comprehensive overview of the current dynamics driving silver and gold prices, highlighting a significant structural shift in the global metals market.

 Holter emphasizes a substantial supply and demand deficit in silver, estimated at 300-400 million ounces, driven by increasing industrial applications such as AI technology and electric vehicle batteries.

He notes that physical metal exchanges like Shanghai are experiencing significant premiums over paper markets, indicating a fundamental change in metals trading.

This phenomenon, known as backwardation, suggests investors are increasingly prioritizing physical metal ownership over paper contracts.

 Bill predicts a potential transformation in global currency systems, suggesting that the US dollar is declining while BRICS nations are developing a potentially gold-backed settlement currency.

 Holter believes this shift could dramatically impact global financial markets, with gold and silver emerging as the only truly trustworthy currencies.

Institutional buying is currently driving the precious metals market, with family offices, hedge funds, and even sovereign nations like Russia purchasing significant quantities. Holter sees this as a critical moment for metals, potentially leading to a delivery failure in silver markets that could trigger massive price increases.

 For individual investors, Holter recommends starting with silver, particularly "junk silver" coins minted before 1965, which offer the most practical and recognizable form of silver ownership.

 He stresses that it's not too late to enter the market, warning that current financial systems are fundamentally unstable and that precious metals represent a critical hedge against potential economic collapse.

Timestamps:

00:00:00 - Introduction

00:01:00 - 2025 Precious Metals Review

00:01:41 - Structural Supply Deficit

 00:02:29 - Industrial Demand & Vaults

00:03:21 - Backwardation and Premiums

00:06:04 - Historical Interventions

00:07:17 - Gold vs Silver Differences

00:09:30 - BRICS Remonetization Outlook

00:11:42 - Failure to Deliver Risks

 00:13:58 - Institutional Buying Trends

00:14:56 - Retail Flows and Junk Silver

 00:20:10 - Silver Going Mainstream

00:21:48 - Investment Advice for Beginners

00:23:17 - Fiat Collapse and Great Taking

00:26:03 - Concluding Thoughts

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xImd8wyyDWM

Silver Is Breaking the System – This Isn’t a Bubble | Vince Lanci

Silver Is Breaking the System – This Isn’t a Bubble | Vince Lanci

Soar financially:  12-31-2025

Silver has gone parabolic, swinging violently as global supply chains fracture.

Vince Lanci explains why this is not a speculative bubble, how China is being cut off from silver supply, why banks are repositioning, and what this means for silver prices over the next few months.

We also discuss the BRICS “Unit,” critical minerals, and the growing divide in global trade.

Time Stamps (AI Generated)

00:00 Silver Price Goes Parabolic

01:36 Is This a Bubble?

02:28 Physical Demand Takes Over

03:15 China’s Silver Problem

05:29 Geopolitics & Supply Chains

07:25 Is This a Silver Short Squeeze?

10:30 Are Banks Really in Trouble?

13:58 JPMorgan Turns Net Long

16:08 Silver as a Strategic Asset

18:19 Short-Term Silver Outlook

 21:23 What Breaks This Standoff?

24:05 The BRICS “Unit” Explained

30:24 Can the Dollar Be Challenged?

32:01 Final Take on Silver & Trade

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nfB8NCRDq4g

Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Thursday Afternoon 1-1-26

Good Morning Dinar Recaps,

Market Risk Signals Flash Red as 2026 Begins

Peak optimism masks structural fragility across bonds, credit, and valuations

Overview

• Global markets enter 2026 with elevated optimism but growing structural risk.

• Bond market instability is resurfacing, driven by sticky inflation and fiscal strain.

• Equity valuations — especially in AI and tech — are increasingly detached from fundamentals.

• Cash levels among investors are historically low, reducing shock absorption.

• Risk concentration is rising just as macro uncertainty widens.

Key Developments

• Fund managers and strategists warn of multiple converging risks, including bond volatility, credit stress, and valuation excesses.

• Government debt issuance remains elevated, placing upward pressure on yields.

• Inflation progress has stalled, complicating central-bank rate paths.

• Consumer credit stress is rising, particularly in lower-income segments.

• Markets remain priced for soft landings, leaving little margin for error.

• Geopolitical and trade risks remain underpriced relative to historical cycles.

Why It Matters

Markets are not fragile because prices are falling — they are fragile because confidence is high while buffers are thin.

Periods of peak optimism combined with leverage, low cash, and bond instability historically precede repricing events. When bonds fail to act as stabilizers, risk spills rapidly across equities, currencies, and credit.

This environment does not require a shock — it only requires disappointment.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

• Bond volatility directly impacts currency stability, especially in debt-heavy nations.

• Rising yields weaken fiscal flexibility, pressuring sovereign credibility.

• Risk-off events strengthen settlement-safe currencies, while peripheral currencies reprice sharply.

• Capital flows become disorderly when confidence shifts quickly.

For currency holders, bond stress is the transmission mechanism — not equities.

Implications for the Global Reset

Pillar: Bonds Are the System’s Load-Bearing Wall
When bonds wobble, everything else follows.

Pillar: Valuation Excess Signals Transition Phases
Overconfidence often marks inflection points.

Pillar: Liquidity Is Being Quietly Withdrawn
Reset dynamics accelerate when buffers vanish.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Reuters – “Global markets face rising risks in 2026 as bond volatility returns”

• Bank for International Settlements – Annual Economic Report: Global Financial Fragility

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Alternative Payment Rails Advance as Dollar Stress Quietly Builds

Trade settlement diversification accelerates beneath the surface

Overview

• Global trade and payment systems are quietly diversifying away from dollar-only settlement.

• Alternative rails are expanding, including regional payment systems, bilateral currency arrangements, and asset-backed mechanisms.

• This shift is evolutionary, not revolutionary, occurring below headline levels.

• Central banks and sovereigns are prioritizing access, redundancy, and resilience over ideology.

• The process is gradually reshaping global liquidity flows.

Key Developments

• Cross-border payment systems outside traditional Western rails continue to expand, particularly across Asia, the Middle East, and parts of the Global South.

• Bilateral trade settlement in local currencies is increasing, reducing FX exposure and sanctions vulnerability.

• Gold, commodities, and energy contracts are increasingly referenced as settlement anchors, even when transactions remain fiat-denominated.

• Financial hubs outside the U.S. and Europe are strengthening clearing, custody, and settlement infrastructure.

• Central banks are prioritizing interoperability, not speed, as they modernize payment frameworks.

• Payment redundancy is now treated as a national security issue, not a fintech trend.

Why It Matters

The global reset does not begin with a currency collapse — it begins with optionality.

When nations can trade, settle, and store value outside a single system, leverage shifts. This does not eliminate the dollar’s role, but it ends exclusivity. Over time, liquidity fragments, pricing power diffuses, and financial influence becomes conditional rather than absolute.

This phase is quiet by design. Systems are being built before they are needed.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

• Settlement access increasingly matters as much as reserve size.

• Currencies supported by diversified trade rails retain stability during stress.

• Sanctions-exposed or single-rail currencies face amplified repricing risk.

• Liquidity can reroute faster than capital, changing FX dynamics without warning.

For currency holders, the key question is no longer what backs the currency —
it is where and how it can settle.

Implications for the Global Reset

Pillar: Access Replaces Dominance
Power flows to those with multiple settlement options.

Pillar: Fragmentation Is Functional, Not Chaotic
Parallel systems reduce shock concentration.

Pillar: Infrastructure Precedes Repricing
The reset happens after the rails are ready.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Reuters – “Countries expand use of local currencies in trade as dollar risks rise”

• Bank for International Settlements Bulletin – “Enhancing cross-border payments: state of play and way forward”
  

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Global Debt and Bond Market Stress: The True Reset Trigger

Why sovereign debt — not currencies — is the system’s breaking point

Overview

• Global debt levels are at historic highs, spanning sovereign, corporate, and household balance sheets.

• Bond markets are showing renewed stress, with volatility returning to long-dated government debt.

• Higher-for-longer interest rates are colliding with record refinancing needs.

• Central banks are constrained, unable to fully rescue markets without reigniting inflation.

• Bond instability represents the most credible trigger for systemic repricing.

Key Developments

• Governments face massive rollover risk, with trillions in debt maturing over the next two years.

• Rising yields are increasing debt-service costs, squeezing fiscal space.

• Bond markets are no longer acting as shock absorbers, amplifying volatility instead.

• Foreign demand for sovereign debt is weakening, particularly where fiscal discipline is questioned.

• Central banks are reducing balance sheets, removing a major source of artificial demand.

• Credit rating agencies have issued warnings over debt sustainability trajectories.

Why It Matters

Debt is the foundation of the modern financial system — and bonds are its plumbing.

When confidence in sovereign debt weakens, everything reprices: currencies, equities, credit, and real assets. Unlike banking crises, which can be contained with liquidity, debt crises are credibility crises. They cannot be solved quickly without consequences.

This is why systemic resets historically follow bond market stress, not stock market crashes.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

For currency holders, debt stress creates asymmetric risk:

• Debt-heavy currencies weaken first, regardless of reserve status.

• Rising yields can signal strength — or distress, depending on context.

• Capital flight accelerates when fiscal paths appear unsustainable.

• Settlement confidence erodes when governments rely on monetization.

In reset terms, a currency’s debt backing matters more than its headline strength.

Implications for the Global Reset

Pillar: Debt Sustainability Defines Monetary Credibility
Currencies fail when debt cannot be serviced.

Pillar: Bond Markets Trigger Repricing Cycles
They move slower — then all at once.

Pillar: Central Banks Are No Longer Omnipotent
Inflation has capped their rescue capacity.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Bank for International Settlements – Annual Economic Report: Global Debt and Financial Stability

• Reuters – “Rising debt and bond market volatility test governments in 2026”

~~~~~~~~~~

Central Banks Boxed In: Inflation vs Recession vs Credibility
Monetary authority constraints reveal systemic pressure points ahead of broader resets

Overview

• Central banks around the world — including the U.S. Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan — are visibly struggling to balance inflation control, economic growth, and policy credibility. Recent policy debates show heightened internal divisions and persistent inflation above targets, even amid calls for rate cuts and economic stimulus. 

• This squeeze reflects a broader global trend: slower growth prospects combined with entrenched inflation expectations constrain monetary policy effectiveness and heighten uncertainty. 

Key Developments

• Fed policy fissures: Minutes from the U.S. Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting reveal deep disagreements among policymakers on whether to prioritize inflation control or support a weakening labor market. Several officials opposed recent rate cuts, arguing persistent inflation risk undermines policy credibility.

• BOJ recalibration: The Bank of Japan’s policy committee debated further rate hikes even after a recent increase — underscoring the challenge of containing inflation that has remained above target despite decades of ultra‑loose policy, highlighting global central banks’ credibility dilemma. 

• Global economic slowing: Broader economic analysis shows global growth weakening amid supply shocks, geopolitical tensions, and policy uncertainty, making it harder for central banks to steer economies without risking recession or further credibility erosion.

Why It Matters
Central banks sit at the apex of the financial system: they set interest rates, manage liquidity, backstop bond markets, and anchor expectations. In normal times, they can respond to shocks by adjusting policy rates, expanding balance sheets, or guiding expectations — tools that support market confidence and economic stability. But when inflation remains persistent while economic growth falters, policymakers face a stark trade‑off: attempt rate cuts and risk inflation expectations becoming unanchored, or keep policy restrictive and risk recession.

This dynamic boxes in central banks:

• Rate cuts become fraught: Cuts risk fueling inflation expectations that are already above target, undermining long‑term credibility. 

• Credibility at stake: When markets perceive central banks as uncertain or inconsistent, forward guidance loses its power and markets begin to price outcomes based on fiscal math and shock risks rather than policy signals. 

• Policy signaling fractures: Internal disagreements at major central banks reflect deeper tensions between inflation control and growth support, reducing confidence in monetary authority direction. 

This constraint is not merely technical — it signals a shift in how monetary policy interacts with broader economic reality. When central banks can no longer act with clear authority and predictable outcomes, the system loses one of its key stabilizing pillars.

Implications for the Global Reset
Pillar 1 — Monetary Constraint as Systemic Trigger: The inability of central banks to freely use their full set of tools without risking credibility or sparking inflation expectations undermines the traditional crisis‑response framework, forcing economic actors to rely more on fiscal policy, private risk assessments, and structural adjustments.

Pillar 2 — Credibility Erosion Alters Expectations Frameworks: As confidence in central bank commitments weakens — especially around inflation targets and forward guidance — expectations shift, potentially making inflation more backward‑looking and less responsive to policy signaling. This dynamic changes market behavior, investment decisions, and long‑term pricing structures.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Reuters coverage of U.S. Fed policy divisions and internal debates at the Bank of Japan (Dec 2025).

• EY global economic outlook highlighting slowing growth and policy uncertainty.

• Federal Reserve credibility dynamics and inflation expectations research.

~~~~~~~~~~

Seeds of Wisdom Team RV Currency Facts Youtube and Rumble

Newshound's News Telegram Room Link

RV Facts with Proof Links Link

RV Updates Proof links - Facts Link

Follow the Gold/Silver Rate COMEX

Follow Fast Facts

Seeds of Wisdom Team™ Website

Thank you Dinar Recaps

News, Rumors and Opinions Thursday 1-1-2026

Note: All intel should be considered as "Rumors" until we receive official announcements ...and “Rates and Dates” could change anytime until we get to the banks/redemption centers.

RV Excerpts from the Restored Republic via a GCR Update as of Wed. 31 Dec. 2025

Compiled Wed. 31 Dec. 2025 12:01 am EST by Judy Byington

Judy Note: The greatest wealth transfer in human history – full activation of the gold/asset-backed Quantum Financial System (QFS) – was (allegedly) set to publicly launch on Thurs. 1 Jan. 2026. 

In planning for over twenty years, this Global Currency Revaluation from fiat to gold/asset-backed currencies was now (allegedly) irreversible, with over 200 nations fully integrated into the QFS. 

Prosperity funds were positioned for release, (allegedly) redirecting trillions from corrupt entities back to The People.

NESARA/GESARA protocols are(allegedly)  activating worldwide, bringing universal debt forgiveness that will erase mortgages, credit cards, loans, and unjust taxes imposed by the old cabal system. 

Tier 4B notifications and redemption appointments are expected imminently, potentially overnight into Wed. 31 December, allowing humanitarian groups and currency holders to access their blessed funds for projects that uplift communities and heal the planet.

~~~~~~~~~~

WORLDWIDE RESET OF SYSTEMS:

• At 9:00 AM EST on Sun. Dec 28, 2025 the go-code(allegedly)  posted to the board.

• At 23:11 Z**u on Mon. Dec 29, 2025 the Quantum Signal(allegedly)  fired from the Cheyenne Mountain complex.

• Once the EBS Master Switch is flipped, every TV, radio, and internet channel will consolidate to one secured frequency.

• On Sun. Dec 28, global bank servers entered “Cyber Review.” Within 48 hours they will(allegedly)  return online under QFS authority.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

World Economic Situation:

Tues. 30 Dec. 2025: TREASURY CONFIRMS MASSIVE TAX REFUNDS COMING IN 2026 …Ezra Cohen on Telegram

The U.S. Treasury has effectively admitted what millions of working Americans have felt for years but were never told out loud: they paid too much. In a rare and revealing statement, Scott Bessent confirmed that the first quarter of 2026 is shaping up to be an unprecedented refund year, driven by years of over-withholding that quietly drained paychecks across the country.

This was not framed as a political speech, but as a technical observation from inside the system. The implication is explosive. Truck drivers, nurses, veterans, small business owners, and salaried workers carried a tax burden heavier than required, while inflation surged and wages lagged. The system benefited from that silence. The people absorbed the cost.

According to Treasury projections, 2026 will combine several forces at once: historically large tax refunds, record tariff revenue approaching two hundred billion dollars, inflation cooling toward the low single digits, and GDP growth accelerating. The groundwork was laid in 2025. The financial release valve opens in 2026. That is not a slogan. That is arithmetic.

Tax withholding has long functioned as a quiet extraction mechanism. Most people never adjusted it, and the system counted on that. Overcollection funded programs, agendas, and spending priorities without transparency or consent. What makes this moment different is not the refunds themselves, but the admission that the overpayment was real and widespread.

When a Treasury Secretary uses the phrase “gigantic refund year,” it signals more than routine reconciliation. Tens of millions of Americans are likely to receive larger-than-expected refunds. The Treasury will feel the cash outflow. And the carefully maintained narrative of fiscal balance will c***k under scrutiny.

This also places 2026 squarely into political territory. Whoever attempts to claim credit, the underlying truth remains unchanged. Working Americans were overtaxed. They were not warned. And now a correction is coming, financial first, political second.

This is not about tax software or paperwork. It is about a system that knew most people would never touch their withholding, quietly benefited from that inertia, and offered no clarity until now. By acknowledging the scale of the refunds ahead, the curtain has been pulled back just enough to expose how long the imbalance lasted.

The message is simple and unavoidable. You paid more than you should have. The system kept it. And in 2026, it will have to give a large part of it back. Hold onto your records. The numbers are finally catching up to the truth.

Read full post here:  https://dinarchronicles.com/2025/12/31/restored-republic-via-a-gcr-update-as-of-december-31-2025/

************

Courtesy of Dinar Guru:  https://www.dinarguru.com/

Jeff   Iraq is extremely close to getting back on the international world stage along with their sovereignty.  We are right at the cusp of the rate change...Both the US and UN are exiting Iraq right now, by the end of this year so they will have their full sovereignty.  That's critical in this.

Jeff    When they remove the zeros from the currency...the two currencies will coexist...at the same dollar value...So a 1,000 dinar note becomes a 1 dinar note.  So today whatever a 1,000 dinar note can buy, after a 1 dinar note will buy...Let's say 1 dinar equals $3.  The two currencies will coexist for a short period of time...1,000 X $3.00 = $3,000 and 1 dinar will equal $3.00...The two currencies will coexist at the same value.  It's that simple.  

Frank26   [Iraq boots-on-the-ground report]   OMAR:  There is chatter that once the 2026 budget is confirmed, they will introduce a new exchange rate for the dinar.  The Central Bank of Iraq is in the loop on this.  It's all part of their broader economic reform plan to bring more stability to the markets.  FRANK:  When they open up that budget of '26 it won't be at 1310.

************

CHARLIE WARD DAILY NEWS WITH CHARLIE WARD & DREW DEMI 1ST JANUARY 2026.

1-1-2026

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2b-bMwK-jFE

“Tidbits From TNT” 1-1-2026

TNT:

Cutebwoy:  :  Rashid Congratulates on the New Year: We Hope It Will Be Full of National Achievements

Today, 19:31  Baghdad - INA

President Abdul Latif Jamal Rashid expressed his hope on Wednesday that the new year would be full of national achievements.

In a post on the (X) platform, which was monitored by the Iraqi News Agency (INA), Rashid said, "On the occasion of the new year, we extend our sincerest congratulations to the people of our nation," wishing everyone "more security, stability, and progress."

He added, "We hope that this year will be full of national achievements, progress on the path of construction and reform, strengthening the rule of law, and fulfilling our people's aspirations for a dignified and secure life, one of peace and prosperity." He concluded with, "Happy New Year to all Iraqis

************

Tishwash:  Deputy: Approval of the 2025 and 2026 budgets after the formation of the new government

Deputy Speaker Mazr al-Karwi stated on Thursday that the 2025 general budget will be discussed after completing the nomination and election of the Speaker of the House of Representatives.

According to al-Karwi in a statement: “After the completion of the vote on the Speaker of the Council of Representatives [Majlis al-Nuwwab], the second stage of constitutional entitlements will begin. These include the election of the President of the Republic, and then assigning the task to the largest parliamentary bloc to form the government, followed by voting on it.”

“The budget for the past or current year cannot be approved until after the government is fully formed. If the budget is sent by the current government,” he said, adding that “the Council of Representatives will conduct a different reading of the nature of the country's financial situation.

Its official oil prices have a direct impact on the budget, which means that more than 90% of its revenue relies on the sale of crude oil,” he said.“Iraq's finances need to be re-examined in terms of text and figures, which puts pressure on foreign expenditures and does not exempt them from it,” he added, referring to “the difficult nature of the stage and the permanent financial challenges.” link

************

LouNDebNC: Syria’s interim President Ahmed al-Sharaa rolled out the country’s new currency at a ceremony in Damascus on Monday.

The redesigned banknotes have been redenominated, which means they have fewer zeroes in the amounts, and they no longer bear the visage of deposed dictator Bashar al-Assad, memorably condemned as a “gas-killing animal” by President Donald Trump in 2018.

Sharaa noted during the ceremony that changing the denominations on the Syrian pound was an accounting convenience and did not materially change their value or reverse the high inflation suffered during the long Syrian civil war.

“Changing the zeros and removing two zeros from the old currency to the new currency does not mean improving the economy, but rather it is easier to deal with the currency,” he said.

“Improving the economy depends on increasing production rates and reducing unemployment rates in Syria, and one of the basics of achieving economic growth is improving the banking situation because banks are like arteries for the economy,” he added.

The new notes are available in denominations ranging from 10 to 500 pounds, while the old bills ran from 1,000 to 50,000 pounds. The new ten-pound note buys roughly the same amount of goods as the old 1000-pound note.

The new bills are quite colorful compared to the drab old bills, and they replace images of the brutal Assad dynasty with some plants native to Syria, including roses, wheat, olives, oranges, and mulberries – a fruit prized in Middle Eastern cuisine.

Sharaa said the new designs symbolize “the end of a previous, unlamented phase and the beginning of a new phase that the Syrian people, and the peoples of the region who are hopeful about the modern Syrian reality, aspire to.”

“The new currency design is an expression of the new national identity and a move away from the veneration of individuals,” he said.

Some Syrian online commentators were not thrilled with the new design, feeling that the cheerful bright colors and crop displays did not accurately reflect Syria’s long history, or the grim realities of the civil war.

“Syria is not just a few trees and crops. It’s about civilizations and history and cultures,” one critic wrote on Instagram.

“Honestly, whoever designed the new Syrian currency should have their hands broken. It’s like they went to a vegetable market and said: this one’s for the five, this one’s for the 10 and this one’s for the 100,” said an even more trenchant critic of the new bills.

“Not a fan of the new Syria banknotes. Even Assad put the Umayyad Mosque on his currency. Come on, guys,” grumbled a third.

The Umayyad Mosque is a historic structure in Damascus. It was a Christian basilica before it was converted into a mosque centuries ago, and some believe that John the Baptist (or at least part of him) is interred there.

Sharaa said one objective of the currency relaunch is to make Syria less dependent on foreign currency and restore their trust in the pound. The Syrian pound was trading at about 50 to the U.S. dollar when the civil war began in 2011 – and about 11,000 to the dollar when it ended with Assad’s ouster in December 2024. Syria’s currency lost so much of its value that citizens grew accustomed to lugging heavy bags of cash around to make even the smallest market purchases.

Sharaa and Syrian central bank governor Abdulkader Husrieh asked the public to be patient during the currency transition.

“Everyone who has old currency will have it replaced with the new one, so there is no need to insist on changing it because that may harm the exchange rate of the Syrian pound. We need a calm approach to currency replacement, and the central bank has made it clear that this will be done according to a specific timetable,” Sharaa said.

Husriyeh said the exchange was expected to take about 90 days, with extensions possible if needed.

“This will help stabilize prices, and we confirm that pricing during this phase will be in both the old and new currencies. There will be a media campaign to accompany the currency change and explain the details in the coming days,” he said.

Possibly for security reasons, Husriyeh declined to answer questions from reporters about where the new bills would be printed. Before the fall of the Assad regime, Syria’s currency was printed in Russia.

************

Tishwash:  We exchange an orange for a hundred olives... The new Syrian currency is a "basket of vegetables," citrus fruits, and grains.

Social media platforms in Syria have become a stage for biting satire following the official announcement of the new Syrian currency designs, which replace historical symbols with images of agricultural crops, prompting Syrians to dub it a "cash shopping basket."

The currency, described as "paper money," features an olive and an orange, and its price list includes denominations bearing images of oranges, olives, grains, and the Damask rose.

 Syrians joked that the government had linked the value of each denomination to the type of "dish" or crop, with one commentator saying: "Now we can exchange an orange for a hundred olives," referring to the absence of real monetary value in the face of exorbitant prices. link

Mot: Movie Buffs!!! --- Get READY!!!!! 

Mot:  Just What is a~~~~~New Years Resolution

Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Thursday Morning 1-1-26

Good Morning Dinar Recaps,

China’s Plans to Dominate at Sea in 2026

Naval expansion signals long-term challenge to U.S. maritime dominance

Beijing accelerates shipbuilding, far-sea operations, and power projection

Overview

• China is expected to continue rapid naval modernization in 2026, expanding its reach across the Pacific and beyond.

• The People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) is now the world’s largest navy by ship count.

• New aircraft carriers, frigates, submarines, and amphibious vessels underscore Beijing’s maritime ambitions.

• U.S. defense officials warn China aims to displace the United States as the dominant global power.

• Naval expansion is central to China’s strategy on Taiwan, the South China Sea, and the First Island Chain.

Key Developments

• China commissioned its most advanced aircraft carrier, the Fujian, featuring electromagnetic catapults capable of launching heavier and stealth aircraft.

• Construction indicators suggest a future nuclear-powered carrier, pointing toward sustained blue-water ambitions.

• The Type 054B stealth frigate entered service, expanding a fleet that already includes more than 40 vessels across multiple variants.

• Sea trials began for the Type 076 amphibious assault ship, a hybrid platform capable of launching aircraft and drones.

• Dual aircraft carrier deployments and operations near Australia demonstrated China’s growing comfort with long-range naval missions.

• Expanded submarine development, including new nuclear-powered attack submarines, reflects a growing focus on undersea warfare.

• Civilian vessels are increasingly integrated into amphibious exercises, highlighting China’s civil-military fusion strategy.

Why It Matters

Sea power is the backbone of China’s long-term strategic competition with the United States.

Naval dominance allows Beijing to challenge U.S. presence, protect supply lines, enforce territorial claims, and project power well beyond its shores. The scale and pace of China’s shipbuilding effort suggest this is not a short-term buildup, but a structural shift in the global balance of power.

Control of maritime routes directly influences trade security, energy flows, and geopolitical leverage, especially in the Indo-Pacific.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

• Maritime dominance affects global trade stability, influencing export flows and currency strength.

• Heightened naval tensions increase risk premiums, impacting capital flows and investor confidence.

• Disruptions near Taiwan or major sea lanes could trigger currency volatility across Asia and beyond.

• Defense-driven spending and alliance realignments reshape fiscal and monetary priorities.

For currency holders, sea lanes are settlement lanes — when naval control is contested, financial systems feel the pressure.

Implications for the Global Reset

Pillar: Maritime Power Underpins Monetary Power
Trade security precedes currency stability.

Pillar: Military Expansion Accelerates Bloc Formation
Naval reach drives alliance consolidation and financial fragmentation.

Pillar: Taiwan Remains a Systemic Risk Node
Any disruption there reverberates through global markets.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Newsweek – “China’s Plans to Dominate at Sea in 2026”

• Reuters – “China’s navy expands reach as shipbuilding accelerates, Pentagon says”

~~~~~~~~~~

The Unraveling Ambition: Inside the UAE’s Risky Quest for Power

From quiet broker to overt power player in the Middle East

Overview

• The UAE’s image as a behind-the-scenes power broker has collapsed, replaced by open military and political confrontation.

• A public clash with Saudi Arabia in Yemen marks a turning point in Gulf power dynamics.

• Abu Dhabi’s foreign policy is driven by ideology, not consensus or alliance preservation.

• Proxy warfare has become the UAE’s primary tool for regional influence.

• These actions are reshaping regional stability, alliances, and financial risk perceptions.

Key Developments

• The UAE openly backed the Southern Transitional Council (STC) in Yemen, undermining Saudi-supported forces.

• Saudi airstrikes against STC positions exposed the breakdown of what was once a unified coalition.

• The UAE has supported non-state actors across the region, including forces in Libya and Sudan.

• Abu Dhabi prioritizes countering political Islam, particularly Muslim Brotherhood-linked movements.

• Outsourced warfare tactics allow the UAE to project power while limiting direct military exposure.

• Conflicts fueled by UAE-backed proxies have escalated, producing humanitarian crises and international scrutiny.

Why It Matters

The UAE’s transformation from discreet influencer to openly transactional power marks a structural shift in Middle Eastern geopolitics.

By prioritizing ideological dominance and proxy control over alliance cohesion, Abu Dhabi has redefined how middle powers exert influence. The confrontation with Saudi Arabia signals that even core partnerships are expendable when strategic visions diverge.

This approach may win tactical victories, but it raises long-term risks of blowback, escalation, and reputational damage.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

• Regional instability elevates geopolitical risk premiums, affecting capital flows.

• Fragmentation of states disrupts trade corridors and energy logistics.

• Proxy wars weaken sovereign credibility, pressuring currencies tied to the region.

• Sanctions exposure and reputational risk complicate foreign investment and settlement confidence.

For currency holders, persistent conflict erodes predictability, which is the foundation of monetary stability.

Implications for the Global Reset

Pillar: Middle Powers Now Shape Regional Order
Influence no longer belongs solely to superpowers.

Pillar: Proxy Warfare Accelerates Fragmentation
Decentralized conflict undermines traditional state-based systems.

Pillar: Ideology Overrides Economics
Political objectives increasingly outweigh financial rationality.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Modern Diplomacy – “The Unraveling Ambition: Inside the UAE’s Risky Quest for Power”

• Reuters – “Saudi Arabia and UAE back opposing sides in Yemen as tensions surface”

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Chances of Iran Regime Falling Surge as Unrest Spreads

Currency collapse fuels protests as sanctions and war pressure converge

Overview

• Protests have erupted across Iran following a sharp collapse in the national currency.

• Demonstrations began in Tehran and spread nationwide, targeting the country’s political leadership.

• The Iranian rial has plunged to historic lows, intensifying inflation and public anger.

• Sanctions pressure and recent military conflict have weakened the regime’s position heading into 2026.

• Despite unrest, analysts caution that regime collapse is not imminent.

Key Developments

• Shopkeepers in Tehran’s Grand Bazaar initiated strikes after the rial fell to roughly 1.42 million per U.S. dollar.

• Protests spread to multiple cities, including Isfahan, Shiraz, Yazd, and Kermanshah.

• University students and demonstrators chanted anti-government slogans, including calls against Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

• Police used tear gas in several locations as authorities attempted to contain unrest.

• Prediction markets lowered odds of regime collapse, even as instability persists.

• Iranian officials signaled a restrained response, emphasizing dialogue over immediate repression.

Why It Matters

Currency collapse is not merely an economic problem — it is a legitimacy crisis.

Iran’s current unrest is unfolding at a uniquely vulnerable moment: after direct conflict with Israel, amid renewed U.S. sanctions, and with declining regional influence. While protests may not yet threaten the system’s survival, they expose the fragility of public trust and the narrowing policy space available to Tehran.

The timing, rather than the scale, makes this episode particularly dangerous for the regime.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

For currency holders, Iran’s situation offers a clear warning signal:

• Sanctions and isolation accelerate currency collapse under stress.

• Loss of monetary credibility fuels social unrest, which feeds back into economic instability.

• Restricted access to global settlement systems magnifies repricing risk.

In reset terms, access and interoperability matter as much as reserves.

Implications for the Global Reset

Pillar: Currency Credibility Equals Political Stability
When money fails, legitimacy erodes.

Pillar: Sanctions Expose Systemic Weaknesses
Prolonged isolation amplifies internal fracture points.

Pillar: Internal Stress Raises External Risk
Domestic unrest increases vulnerability to geopolitical escalation.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Newsweek – “Chances of Iran Regime Falling Surge as Unrest Spreads”

• Reuters – “Iran faces renewed protests as currency slide deepens under sanctions pressure”

~~~~~~~~~~

Seeds of Wisdom Team RV Currency Facts Youtube and Rumble

Newshound's News Telegram Room Link

RV Facts with Proof Links Link

RV Updates Proof links - Facts Link

Follow the Gold/Silver Rate COMEX

Follow Fast Facts

Seeds of Wisdom Team™ Website 

Thank you Dinar Recaps

Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Wednesday Evening 12-31-25

Happy New Years Eve Dinar Recaps,

Russia’s New Goal: Carve “Buffer Zones” Deep Into Ukraine

Territorial expansion reframed as defensive security

Overview

• Russia is formalizing territorial expansion under the justification of border security.

• “Buffer zones” are being carved into Ukraine’s Sumy and Kharkiv regions, far beyond earlier front lines.

• The strategy signals long-term occupation, not temporary military pressure.

• Moscow appears to be reshaping negotiation baselines ahead of any peace talks.

• This marks a strategic escalation, not a defensive pause.

Key Developments

• Russia’s top military commander, General Valery Gerasimov, ordered forces to continue expanding buffer zones during a visit to the “North” military grouping.

• The directive is explicitly framed as protecting Russian border regions such as Kursk and Belgorod.

• Russian officials claim approximately 950 square kilometers and 32 settlements have been seized, though figures remain unverified.

• President Vladimir Putin publicly endorsed the buffer zone concept, calling it “very important” after Ukraine’s August 2024 incursion into Kursk.

• The operations extend the conflict well beyond the Donbas, opening sustained pressure along Ukraine’s northern frontier.

Why It Matters

This move institutionalizes territorial conquest by recasting offensive action as defensive necessity.

By embedding occupation within a “security” framework, Moscow creates facts on the ground that can later be presented as non-negotiable conditions in peace talks. The buffer zone narrative also seeks to normalize expansion for domestic audiences while blunting international criticism by linking actions to retaliation and border protection.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

Expanded conflict zones introduce heightened geopolitical risk premiums, especially across Eastern Europe.

• Prolonged instability affects energy routes, grain exports, and regional trade corridors.

• Sustained military escalation increases pressure on sovereign budgets, debt issuance, and reserve deployment.

• Currency volatility tends to rise when conflicts shift from limited theaters to permanent territorial control.

For currency holders, buffer zones represent long-term fragmentation, not short-term shocks.

Implications for the Global Reset

• Pillar: Territorial Control Precedes Political Settlement
  Military realities are shaping diplomatic outcomes before negotiations begin.

• Pillar: Security Narratives Justify Structural Change
  Redrawing borders under “defense” alters trade, finance, and settlement flows.

As conflicts harden into permanent lines, global realignment accelerates quietly through risk repricing and regional decoupling.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Reuters – “Russia pushes deeper into northern Ukraine, citing border security”

• Modern Diplomacy – “Russia’s New Goal: Carve ‘Buffer Zones’ Deep Into Ukraine”

• Institute for the Study of War – “Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment”

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Why Zaporizhzhia Power Plant Could Derail Russia-Ukraine Peace Talks

Europe’s largest nuclear facility becomes a geopolitical fault line in stalled negotiations

Overview

• The Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) has regained a secondary external power line, temporarily improving safety conditions

• The facility remains under Russian control, despite international recognition of Ukrainian sovereignty

• ZNPP ownership and operation are unresolved in U.S.-brokered peace talks between Kyiv and Moscow

• Control of nuclear energy infrastructure is now intertwined with territorial, economic, and security demands

Key Developments

• The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) confirmed repairs to a backup power line supplying the ZNPP, reducing immediate shutdown risk

• Ukraine’s energy ministry said the repairs stabilize off-site power if the primary Dniprovska line is damaged

• The six-reactor facility remains in cold shutdown, though it still requires constant electricity to maintain safety systems

• Russia continues to assert operational authority through Rosatom, claiming it is the only party capable of safely managing the plant

• Ukraine has proposed partial electricity allocation, with the United States previously floated as a supervisory manager

• Repeated power losses since 2022 have raised alarm among international nuclear safety experts

Why It Matters

The Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant is not just an energy facility — it is leverage.

Nuclear infrastructure represents economic output, political legitimacy, and strategic control. In a peace process already strained by territorial disputes, the ZNPP introduces a non-negotiable risk factor: nuclear safety.

Any agreement that leaves ambiguous control over Europe’s largest nuclear plant carries catastrophic downside risk. As long as the plant’s status remains unresolved, confidence in a durable peace remains fragile.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

• Energy insecurity feeds inflation, undermining currency stability across Europe

• Nuclear risk premiums elevate capital flight and insurance costs

• Infrastructure control disputes weaken confidence in post-war reconstruction financing

• Settlement trust erodes when sovereign assets remain contested

For currency holders, energy assets are balance-sheet anchors. When those anchors are politically disputed, monetary credibility suffers.

Implications for the Global Reset

Pillar: Energy Infrastructure Equals Monetary Stability
Who controls power controls productivity — and confidence.

Pillar: Unresolved Sovereign Assets Delay Systemic Transitions
No reset can finalize while core assets remain contested.

Pillar: Safety Risk Overrides Diplomatic Optics
Nuclear facilities impose hard limits on compromise.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Newsweek – “Why Zaporizhzhia Power Plant Could Nuke Russia-Ukraine Peace Talks”

• Reuters – “IAEA warns repeatedly of safety risks at Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant”

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Asia in 2026: Conflict Continues to Dominate

U.S.–China rivalry and regional flashpoints signal prolonged instability

Overview

• Asia enters 2026 under the shadow of unresolved conflicts rather than renewed stability.

• The U.S.–China rivalry remains the dominant strategic force, shaping security, trade, and diplomacy.

• The Thailand–Cambodia conflict has emerged as a regional pressure point, reflecting great-power competition.

• ASEAN cohesion remains strained, limiting effective conflict resolution.

• Prolonged instability risks spillover into global economic and financial systems.

Key Developments

• The United States formally identified China as its foremost strategic competitor, reinforcing the Indo-Pacific as a primary theater of confrontation.

• Washington continues to apply pressure on Beijing to limit China’s ability to project power beyond Asia, including support for Russia.

• Concerns over Taiwan remain elevated, with analysts warning of potential Chinese military action.

• The Thailand–Cambodia dispute escalated in late 2025, resulting in temporary ceasefires that failed to produce durable agreements.

• Economic losses from regional instability already total billions of dollars, undermining growth across Southeast Asia.

• China is expanding its influence through infrastructure and Belt and Road projects, while the U.S. deepens engagement with key partners.

Why It Matters

Asia is no longer a backdrop to global power competition — it is one of its primary engines.

When regional disputes align with great-power rivalry, local conflicts take on global significance. The persistence of unresolved tensions in 2026 suggests a shift from episodic crises to structural instability, where economic growth, trade routes, and political alignment are increasingly subordinated to security concerns.

This environment raises the risk of miscalculation and escalation in a region central to global manufacturing and supply chains.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

For currency holders, sustained instability in Asia carries systemic implications:

• Trade disruption affects export-driven economies, pressuring regional currencies.

• Capital flows become more selective, favoring perceived safe havens.

• Defense spending and supply-chain reshoring strain fiscal balances.

• Currency volatility increases when geopolitical risk becomes persistent rather than episodic.

In financial terms, prolonged conflict environments reprice risk over time, not overnight.

Implications for the Global Reset

• Pillar: Multipolar Competition Is Structural
  Power rivalry now defines global alignment.

• Pillar: Regional Conflicts Accelerate Fragmentation
  Trade, finance, and settlement increasingly split along bloc lines.

As Asia’s stability erodes, global realignment accelerates quietly through trade rerouting, reserve diversification, and financial decoupling.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Modern Diplomacy – “Asia in 2026: Conflict Continues to Dominate”

• Reuters – “Taiwan stays on high alert as Chinese ships pull back after massive drills”

• Council on Foreign Relations – Asia and the Indo-Pacific Strategic Outlook

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Mathematical Analysis of a Global Monetary Reset

Mathematical Analysis of a Global Monetary Reset

12-30-2025

Gold at $10,000: Mathematical Analysis of Global Monetary Reset

BY MUFLIH HIDAYAT ON DECEMBER 30, 2025

How Currency System Mathematics Drive Gold Toward $10,000 Valuations

Modern monetary architecture rests on mathematical relationships that most investors never examine. When currency supplies expand beyond the backing capacity of underlying reserves, historical precedent suggests systematic adjustments become inevitable.

The arithmetic supporting potential gold at $10,000 scenarios emerges from fundamental imbalances between outstanding monetary obligations and precious metals held in official reserves.

Furthermore, understanding these dynamics becomes crucial as gold record highs continue to challenge traditional market expectations.

The Federal Reserve’s Hidden Gold Connection

Despite widespread belief that the dollar operates without commodity backing, Federal Reserve balance sheets reveal approximately $11.2 billion in gold certificates serving as collateral against $2.35 trillion in circulating Federal Reserve notes. This creates a backing ratio of roughly 0.48%at the statutory gold price of $42.22 per ounce.

The U.S. Treasury maintains 261.5 million ounces of gold across Fort Knox, West Point, Denver, and San Francisco facilities.

 Under current accounting, this massive reserve provides less than half a penny of gold backing per dollar in circulation. This mathematical disconnect between official pricing and currency obligations creates structural pressure that has historically resolved through revaluation events.

Currency Coverage Requirements Under Full Backing Systems

Mathematical analysis reveals that achieving 100% gold backing for current Federal Reserve note circulation would require gold pricing near $8,993 per ounce.

This calculation emerges from dividing total currency outstanding by existing Treasury gold reserves, creating a pure arithmetic relationship independent of market speculation.

Read Full Article:
https://discoveryalert.com.au/gold-10000-valuation-currency-mathematics/

https://dinarchronicles.com/2025/12/30/mathematical-analysis-of-a-global-monetary-reset/