$2,000 Gold Is Just The Beginning. Here’s What Might Happen Next-
$2,000 Gold Is Just The Beginning. Here’s What Might Happen Next-
Notes From the Field By Simon Black November 1, 2023
Public Law 93-373 was supposed to be so boring that Congress didn’t even bother to give it a name.
You know how most laws passed by Congress have some fancy name-- like the “Inflation Reduction Act” or the “USA PATRIOT Act” or some such nonsense?
Well, on November 7, 1973, US Senator James Fulbright introduced a very short bill-- it was only ONE page-- that didn’t even have a name. But Fulbright’s unnamed bill ended up being one of the most important pieces of legislation in US history.
$2,000 Gold Is Just The Beginning. Here’s What Might Happen Next-
Notes From the Field By Simon Black November 1, 2023
Public Law 93-373 was supposed to be so boring that Congress didn’t even bother to give it a name.
You know how most laws passed by Congress have some fancy name-- like the “Inflation Reduction Act” or the “USA PATRIOT Act” or some such nonsense?
Well, on November 7, 1973, US Senator James Fulbright introduced a very short bill-- it was only ONE page-- that didn’t even have a name. But Fulbright’s unnamed bill ended up being one of the most important pieces of legislation in US history.
By the time Fulbright introduced his bill, it had been two years since the legendary “Nixon Shock” of 1971. That was when US President Richard Nixon implemented wage and price controls, and canceled the US dollar’s convertibility into gold.
Nixon famously promised the American public that there wouldn’t be any negative consequences from his actions. Yet inflation hit 3% the following year, in 1972. Then 4.7% in 1973. Then 11.2% in 1974.
Simultaneously, gold prices around the world were surging… from $35/ounce before the Nixon Shock, to more than $170 in 1974.
But individual Americans weren’t allowed to benefit from those gains thanks to a forty year old executive order that had been signed in 1933 by then President Franklin Roosevelt.
Roosevelt’s Executive Order 6102 criminalized the private ownership of more than $100 worth of gold in the United States. Roosevelt also gave Americans just 25 days to turn over their gold to the Federal Reserve… or else face up to ten years in prison.
Naturally, plenty of Americans were outraged, and a number of lawsuits were filed claiming that Roosevelt’s order was unconstitutional.
Roosevelt was rightfully worried that the Supreme Court would overturn his order. And at a certain point he considered packing the court, i.e. appointing several sympathetic judges to the Supreme Court to ensure his victory. He also considered issuing another order which would make it illegal to sue the federal government.
Fortunately for Roosevelt, however, he didn’t have to implement any of those actions; the Supreme Court very narrowly ruled in his favor, and his Executive Order stood as law of the land for four decades… until Senator Fulbright’s no-name law was finally passed on August 14, 1974.
It went into effect the following year, and Americans were suddenly free once again to exchange their rapidly-depreciating US dollars for gold.
Unsurprisingly, gold prices started rising dramatically in the second half of the decade... from about $180 in 1975, to a whopping $850 in January 1980.
And the declining dollar was just one reason for gold’s popularity; remember, the United States suffered a deluge of troubles during the 1970s and early 1980s.
The world found out that the US President was a criminal during the Watergate scandal of 1974. Then there was the humiliating US withdrawal from Vietnam in 1975, complete with a helicopter evacuation of the American embassy in Saigon.
Iran seized 52 US citizens in 1979 and held them hostage for more than a year. Inflation raged, peaking at 13.6%. The economy stagnated and fell into recession. Troubles in the Middle East (including conflict with Israel) led to energy shortages and rising fuel prices.
Civil unrest and ‘mostly peaceful’ protests were a constant problem in the 70s and 80s. Meanwhile, criminals rampaged across American cities, and the murder rate soared. Major cities like New York, LA, and Chicago became synonymous with violent crime.
The world stopped making sense. And gold became a safe haven from that chaos.
There’s an old saying (originally a Danish proverb) suggesting that if history doesn’t repeat, it certainly rhymes. And I think it’s obvious that we’re facing many of the same challenges today.
There are major problems in the Middle East. Energy is becoming scarce (especially in Europe). The US military suffered a humiliating withdrawal from Afghanistan. Civil unrest and crime rates are totally unacceptable. Inflation continues to rage. And the President, a.k.a. “the Big Guy” appears suspicious A.F.
Just like in the 1970s, gold represents a safe haven from this chaos. And even though it’s hovering at a near-record around $2,000, I think that there is still a long way for gold to rise.
The US national debt is now $33.7 trillion; that’s up more than HALF A TRILLION just in the month of October.
The people in charge have absolutely zero fiscal restraint. Zero responsibility. Zero sense of how destructive their actions are. They spend money and go deeper into debt as if there will never be any consequences, ever, until the end of time. They’re disgustingly ignorant, and dangerous.
The truth is that there are serious consequences to all of this debt. And we don’t have to guess what they are.
The Congressional Budget Office is already projecting that, by 2031, the US government will spend 100% of its tax revenue just on mandatory entitlements (like Social Security) and interest on the debt.
This means that, after 2031, the funding for literally everything else in government-- from the US military to the light bill at the White House-- will have to be funded by more debt.
That’s only 7 years away.
Then, two years later in 2033, Social Security’s primary trust fund will run out of money; this will cost the government an additional $1 trillion in additional spending each year to keep the program running. Naturally they’ll have to borrow that money too.
Eventually the national debt will become so large that simply paying interest each year will consume more than 100% of tax revenue.
The Federal Reserve will most likely attempt to bail out government by creating trillions upon trillions of dollars. But just as we saw over the past few years, such actions will most likely result in much higher inflation.
Disgusted with their financial circumstance, voters across America will likely turn to Socialist politicians who blame all the problems on the evils of capitalism, rather than their own incompetence. And with a majority of leftists running the country, they’ll only make things worse.
I also anticipate more conflict in the world, thanks in large part to the continued decline of America’s stature and reputation for strength.
It’s also quite likely that the US dollar could lose its royal status as the world’s dominant reserve currency by the end of the decade.
I don’t necessarily believe that the dollar will simply vanish from global trade. But it won’t be “King” dollar anymore. Perhaps more like “Earl” or “Viscount” dollar, alongside other currencies and exchange mechanisms-- including gold.
In fact we could easily see central banks around the world ditching their US dollars and loading up on gold as part of a new, de-dollarized global financial system.
This could potentially trigger trillions of dollars worth of capital inflows into the gold market, causing a surge in gold prices.
And these are just some of the reasons why gold could still have a long, long way to rise from here.
Bear in mind that I’m not thinking about the gold price next month, or even next year. I think long-term, and my views on gold are based on trends that will likely continue to unfold over the next decade.
I’m not a ‘gold bug’. I don’t have a fanatical view about anything other than my own children. I’m not a gold speculator either.
But it’s obvious to me that in an upside down world where there are such obvious long-term threats to the US dollar, it makes sense to look for real stores of value.
And that’s why $2,000 gold could just be the beginning of a much bigger story.
To your freedom, Simon Black, Founder Sovereign Man
This Region Has The Highest Concentration Of Plan B Options On The Planet
This Region Has The Highest Concentration Of Plan B Options On The Planet
Notes From the Field By Simon Black November 2, 2023
Imagine that a couple weeks ago, on a cool October day, you were suddenly transported to a small mountain town celebrating Oktoberfest. You see red-roofed, wood-frame homes plastered against the nearby mountains, and the quaint downtown is filled with microbreweries and pastry shops offering apple strudel.
You distinctly hear a group of blond-haired blue-eyed locals speaking German, and you confidently conclude you have found yourself in a small village in the Bavarian Alps.
This Region Has The Highest Concentration Of Plan B Options On The Planet
Notes From the Field By Simon Black November 2, 2023
Imagine that a couple weeks ago, on a cool October day, you were suddenly transported to a small mountain town celebrating Oktoberfest. You see red-roofed, wood-frame homes plastered against the nearby mountains, and the quaint downtown is filled with microbreweries and pastry shops offering apple strudel.
You distinctly hear a group of blond-haired blue-eyed locals speaking German, and you confidently conclude you have found yourself in a small village in the Bavarian Alps.
But that instinct would have been wrong. In actuality you would have been smack-dab in the center of Argentina, in a town called Villa General Belgrano.
The town was founded by two Germans in 1932 who loved the region’s similarity to their homeland.
We don’t know precisely why those two gentlemen decided to leave Germany in 1932. But there were obviously plenty of good reasons. Germany had recently lost World War I and been saddled with reparations debt that destroyed the economy.
Hyperinflation was rampant. And a sinister new political party called the National Socialist German Workers Party was quickly gaining power under its leader, Adolf Hitler.
With so much unrest at home, both before and after World War II, Villa General Belgrano became a haven for German expatriates.
And it was these Germans who were lucky to find refuge, not just in an accommodating country like Argentina, but in a tailor-built German enclave like Villa General Belgrano.
Their children and grandchildren were given German names, and they grew up speaking native German in the home. It became a mini-Germany in the middle of South America.
South America still has many distinct advantages as a Plan B destination.
Many of the countries are relatively neutral, meaning they don’t jump at the chance to be involved in global conflicts like those in the Middle East.
And there has never been a major land war on the scale of the two World Wars. In fact, the region’s largest war was over 150 years ago.
And the immigration laws are generally extremely welcoming to foreigners.
Obviously these countries still have their problems; Argentina in particular has serious problems with inflation, corruption, and more (though with the popularity of libertarian Presidential candidate Javier Milei, the economy may end up resurrecting itself.)
Despite the problems in the region, however, Central and South America have arguably the largest concentration of Plan B residency options available in any region today. So most people can find someplace that suits them— or even an expat enclave that seems made for them.
We’ve talked a lot recently about the benefits of having a second residency which allows you— but doesn’t obligate you— to move to another country on a moment’s notice if you ever need to.
In a recent research report we sent to our premium Sovereign Confidential subscribers, we covered residency options in 17 Central and South American countries.
Each one usually offers three different ways to qualify.
Retirees can prove they have enough Social Security or pension income to sustain themselves.
Remote workers and those with passive income, often referred to as rentistas, can prove that their foreign-sourced income is enough to support their lifestyles.
And investors can put a certain amount of money into property or a business in the country to qualify for residency.
Each country has different financial requirements.
For example, Nicaragua only requires an investment of about $30,000 to qualify for its investment visa, while Chile requires half a million dollars.
The retirement visa and rentista visas also have varying requirements.
In Peru, each new resident only has to show they have $1,000 per month of income, plus $500 per dependent.
In Mexico, it has gone up to about $3,600 for temporary residency, or $6,000 per month for permanent residency (which is generally only available to retirees without first gaining temporary status).
Also keep in mind that countries have different requirements for the time residents must spend in the country in order to maintain or renew their residency.
The good news is that some Central and South American countries have no (or very low) physical presence requirement, meaning you don’t really need to spend any time there in order to maintain your legal residency.
This makes them ideal for “backup residencies” which you would only use in case of emergency.
Another huge perk of Latin America is that most countries make it fairly easy for residents to become citizens... meaning that eventually— assuming you meet the conditions— you could apply for a second passport.
Most will allow you to naturalize in the country and become a full citizen with a passport after living there with legal residency for five years. Some, such as Argentina and Peru, will naturalize you after just two years of residency— but you would need to spend at least 183 days on the ground each year before applying.
Second citizenship is even more powerful than foreign residency, because in addition to entitling you to live and work in another country, it also provides a travel document that can open up doors all around the world.
But naturalization isn’t the only way to qualify for a second passport in Central and South American countries.
Almost all are “jus soli” or “right of soil” countries, which automatically grant citizenship to anyone born in the country.
This is a way to give your child the gift of a second citizenship by having a baby abroad. Plus it can fast track the parents’ timeline for naturalization.
For example, foreign parents of babies born in Mexico are eligible for immediate permanent residency, and their naturalization timeline shrinks to just two years.
Brazil is another good option. Having a baby in Brazil grants the child citizenship, and the parents permanent residency. Plus the parents can apply for citizenship in just one year, instead of the usual four years. (You’ll have to spend at least six months— and ideally more— physically present in Brazil in order to qualify to apply for naturalization.)
If you include Caribbean nations, then this region of the world offers yet another pathway to a second passport— citizenship by investment, for which several Caribbean nations are famous.
Unfortunately gaining citizenship through ancestry, which is a common option for those with European descent, is not available in any South or Central American countries.
But especially for US residents, who may be located closer, or at least in the same time zone to many of these Central and South American countries, it is worth understanding what they have to offer.
Because a good Plan B is one you can execute on a moment’s notice. You don’t want to start thinking about your options while packing your suitcase.
To your freedom, Simon Black, Founder Sovereign Man
13 Lessons From Millionaires That Financial Planners Use To Help Others Get Rich
13 Lessons From Millionaires That Financial Planners Use To Help Others Get Rich
Laura Gariepy Wed, November 1, 2023
Financial planners have seen it all while working with clients-from financial ruin to financial freedom. Over the years, they’ve learned what separates millionaires from those who struggle to get their monetary footing.
Eight of them shared the insights they’ve picked up from clients in the seven-figure club that they now use to help others build the life of their dreams. Here are 13 of those lessons.
13 Lessons From Millionaires That Financial Planners Use To Help Others Get Rich
Laura Gariepy Wed, November 1, 2023
Financial planners have seen it all while working with clients-from financial ruin to financial freedom. Over the years, they’ve learned what separates millionaires from those who struggle to get their monetary footing.
Eight of them shared the insights they’ve picked up from clients in the seven-figure club that they now use to help others build the life of their dreams. Here are 13 of those lessons.
Create a Financial Plan
Joe Petry, CFP and founder of Mayfair Financial, said, “My wealthier clients have figured out that having a plan can make a big difference. Lower taxes, maximiz[ed] Social Security, and a sound investment approach can represent a million dollars or more over a 30-year retirement.
“Having a [financial] plan can also save us from ourselves. Our financial decisions are emotional, whether we realize it or not. A plan can help us avoid trying to time the market or putting too much of our nest egg in one or two hot stocks.”
Limit Debt
Limiting the amount of debt you carry to a mortgage and maybe an auto loan is key to building wealth, said David E. Barfield, CFP and founder of Datapoint Financial Planning, LLC.
However, if you’ve got other types of debt or your current debt prevents you from saving for the future, don’t panic. You can take control by implementing one or more debt repayment strategies.
Maintain an Emergency Fund
Barfield also recommends building and maintaining an emergency fund. That way, you can cover urgent, critical expenses with cash. While everyone’s situation is different, the consensus is that you need at least three months’ worth of living expenses stashed away.
However, if that amount feels impossible to amass right now, squirrel away what you can. Some money in the bank is better than no money in the bank.
https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/13-lessons-millionaires-financial-planners-110024932.html
12 Ways To Bank Smarter: Simple Tips And Tricks To Increase Your Wealth
12 Ways To Bank Smarter: Simple Tips And Tricks To Increase Your Wealth
Matthew Goldberg Bankrate Wed, November 1, 2023
Banking can be complicated, with thousands of banks to choose from that each offer an exhaustive set of disclosures and fine print. And then there’s the rates and fees, all of which need to be considered carefully before you sign on the dotted line. But these tips and tricks can help you bank smarter — so you can earn more money and save time.
12 Ways To Bank Smarter: Simple Tips And Tricks To Increase Your Wealth
Matthew Goldberg Bankrate Wed, November 1, 2023
Banking can be complicated, with thousands of banks to choose from that each offer an exhaustive set of disclosures and fine print. And then there’s the rates and fees, all of which need to be considered carefully before you sign on the dotted line. But these tips and tricks can help you bank smarter — so you can earn more money and save time.
1. Reevaluate Your Bank
The average U.S. adult has had the same checking account for about 17 years, according to a 2023 Bankrate survey. Customers often stick with the same bank if it doesn’t charge them fees or if they feel it would be a hassle to switch banks, the survey found.
“Just don’t fall asleep at the switch,” says Greg McBride, CFA, Bankrate chief financial analyst. “The marketplace is constantly changing with new offers, innovative products and features that might put more money in your pocket or make your life easier. Or both. So it pays to have your antenna up and be on the lookout for something that is a better deal or works better for your financial lifestyle.”
Take a look at the fees you’re paying and whether you can avoid them. If your bank requires a lofty minimum balance, for example, see if there are online high-yield checking accounts with lower minimums to sidestep maintenance fees. These banks also typically offer fee-free ATM withdrawals, plus large ATM networks convenient to home and work.
2. Don’t Assume Your Bank Is Giving You The Best Rate
You may feel your bank appreciates you as a customer, but that doesn’t necessarily mean it’s paying a competitive annual percentage yield (APY) on your funds.
To continue reading, please go to the original article here:
https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/12-ways-bank-smarter-simple-202056149.html
Here’s Why Nearly Every Purchase Should Be On a Credit Card
Experts: Here’s Why Nearly Every Purchase Should Be On a Credit Card
October 4, 2023 By Heather Taylor
How do you know which purchases, whether they’re big or small, should be put on a credit card? This decision often depends on the type of purchase and how responsible the cardholder is with their credit card use. GOBankingRates asked experts to list the purchases you should put on a credit card versus those where you may need to exercise caution.
Put These Purchases on a Credit Card
Experts agreed that when used responsibly, credit cards should be the go-to form of payment for most everyday purchases as well as some larger ones.
Experts: Here’s Why Nearly Every Purchase Should Be On a Credit Card
October 4, 2023 By Heather Taylor
How do you know which purchases, whether they’re big or small, should be put on a credit card? This decision often depends on the type of purchase and how responsible the cardholder is with their credit card use. GOBankingRates asked experts to list the purchases you should put on a credit card versus those where you may need to exercise caution.
Put These Purchases on a Credit Card
Experts agreed that when used responsibly, credit cards should be the go-to form of payment for most everyday purchases as well as some larger ones.
Responsible credit card use helps you build your credit. Plus, credit cards typically come with benefits that you’d miss out on if you pay with your debit card, cash, checks or payment apps. Those benefits may include reward points, miles or cash.
Cash-back credit cards, in particular, are great everyday cards because they often have simple reward structures that allow you to rack up cash back on a wide range of purchases. For example, the cashRewards Credit Card from Navy Federal Credit Union pays 1.75% cash back on all purchases for cardholders with direct deposit. (Those who don’t sign up for direct deposit still pocket 1.50% cash back.) Plus, the card charges no annual fee, so you keep all that cash back you’re earning.
If you’re considering a cash-back card, don’t forget to check for sign-up bonuses, which give you another way to cash in. Navy Federal’s cashRewards Credit Card is currently offering $250 bonus cash back when you spend $2,500 within your first 90 days of opening an account. (Offer ends Jan. 1, 2024) For a limited time, you can also get a one-time $98 statement credit when you pay $49 or more for an annual Walmart+ membership using your cashRewards Credit Card.
Now, let’s take a closer look at the purchases you should be putting on your credit card as long as you can afford the costs.
Travel Purchases
Use a credit card for travel purchases largely out of necessity, said Freddie Huynh, who is the vice president of data optimization with Freedom Debt Relief. Most domestic airlines, hotels and rental car companies request a credit card to hold reservations or for payment. This is also true for those planning international travel.
In the event a debit card is accepted, Huynh said they may place a hold on the bank account associated with this card. This means the cardholder will be unable to access this amount of money until the company releases the hold.
Online Purchases
New Grocery Store Scams: Watch Out for These Money Traps at the Checkout Line
New Grocery Store Scams: Watch Out for These Money Traps at the Checkout Line
Andrew Lisa Fri, October 27, 2023
Between shoplifting, return scams and even acts of violence, crime is on the rise at grocery stores. But now, criminals are targeting not just supermarkets, but unsuspecting shoppers who are simply there to buy food.
The next time you’re in the grocery store, stay alert, be aware of your surroundings and watch out for these scams — which often take place at or near the checkout line.
Beware of These Supermarket Scams
New Grocery Store Scams: Watch Out for These Money Traps at the Checkout Line
Andrew Lisa Fri, October 27, 2023
Between shoplifting, return scams and even acts of violence, crime is on the rise at grocery stores. But now, criminals are targeting not just supermarkets, but unsuspecting shoppers who are simply there to buy food.
The next time you’re in the grocery store, stay alert, be aware of your surroundings and watch out for these scams — which often take place at or near the checkout line.
Beware of These Supermarket Scams
Law enforcement organizations are warning shoppers to be vigilant when grocery shopping. Both individuals and groups of criminals are targeting people with the following scams near the checkout line.
Distraction Theft
The Bethel Park Police Department issued a crime watch alert on Facebook about an increase in so-called distraction thefts.
The scam — which is not unique to small-town Pennsylvania — involves organized groups of thieves who target shoppers, typically women with purses open and exposed in shopping carts. One member of the group distracts the shopper and another swipes money, a wallet, credit cards or other valuables from the open bag.
BPPD received reports of three such crimes in a single weekend.
The Found Money Scam
The Elkhart, Indiana, Police Department issued its own Facebook warning about a scam similar to distraction theft — but this one targets shoppers at self-checkout.
Here, too, the scam involves multiple criminals working in tandem. One drops a $10 bill by the victim’s feet, points it out and uses the seemingly kind gesture as a cover to stand close and watch as the victim punches a pin number into the keypad.
The scammer then follows the victim to the parking lot, where a cooperating suspect approaches the victim and says the $10 bill belongs to them. While the victim is distracted, the original suspect swipes the victim’s card associated with the pin number they observed inside.
The Gift Card Scam
USA Today recently reported on a clever new scam involving gift cards, which are often placed close to the register for shoppers to grab as last-minute presents on the way out.
Criminals open gift cards, copy the information and replace them in a way that makes the packaging look undisturbed. When an unsuspecting customer buys the gift card, it’s automatically activated and the scammer spends the funds before the purchaser or card recipient ever has a chance.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/grocery-store-scams-watch-money-140005952.html
This Easy Step Is An Essential Part Of Any Plan B
This Easy Step Is An Essential Part Of Any Plan B
Notes From The Field By Simon Black October 26, 2023
Sigrid Paul was living in East Berlin in 1961 when she gave birth to a beautiful baby boy. Unfortunately, though, her son was born with major health problems... and Sigrid had to seek out the best possible medical care to treat him. This was more than fifteen years after World War II, and Germany had already been split between East and West for more than a decade.
Unsurprisingly, the capitalist West had substantially higher quality healthcare than the socialist East (which was really just a Soviet puppet state). In fact, the West had higher quality everything... and that’s why over three million East Germans defected to the West between 1945 and 1961.
This Easy Step Is An Essential Part Of Any Plan B
Notes From The Field By Simon Black October 26, 2023
Sigrid Paul was living in East Berlin in 1961 when she gave birth to a beautiful baby boy. Unfortunately, though, her son was born with major health problems... and Sigrid had to seek out the best possible medical care to treat him. This was more than fifteen years after World War II, and Germany had already been split between East and West for more than a decade.
Unsurprisingly, the capitalist West had substantially higher quality healthcare than the socialist East (which was really just a Soviet puppet state). In fact, the West had higher quality everything... and that’s why over three million East Germans defected to the West between 1945 and 1961.
By the early 1960s, the Soviet Union was desperate to stop the drain of talent and workers from East Germany. It was an embarrassment for them. So they slowly ramped up ‘people controls’ to keep the population of East Germany within its socialist utopia.
They started with more vigorous border check points, exit visas, “papers, please”, etc.
Many East Germans started to become anxious about what might come next, and whether they would continue to be able to travel to the West... including Sigrid Paul. She had been traveling to West Berlin regularly for her son’s medical care, and she was worried about being trapped.
But in June of 1961, the leader of East Germany set everyone’s mind at ease when he publicly proclaimed, "No one has the intention of erecting a wall."
East Germans were comforted. Their government made them a promise that everything would be OK, so they stopped worrying. And Sigrid took comfort that she would continue to be able to access West German medical care.
But that all changed when residents of East Berlin awoke on the morning of August 13, 1961 to find a barbed-wire fence and concrete barrier erected between East and West Berlin... not to mention armed soldiers backed by the Soviet Union.
Sigrid panicked. She and her son were instantly cut off from medical care.
Fortunately, a group of East German doctors were able to falsify certain medical records and transport the boy to the West, saving his life.
But Sigrid was not permitted to go with him. Soviet bureaucrats forced her to remain. And when she was caught planning an escape to be with her son, she was arrested and served four years in prison.
If Sigrid had taken the risk seriously, she could have simply walked across the border to the West and started a new life there... when the option was still available. But like so many others, she ignored the obvious warning signs and believed the experts who told her that everything would be OK.
As a result, she was separated from her son and lived under a totalitarian regime until it finally collapsed in 1989.
Sigrid’s story is obviously an extreme case. But at its fundamental core it is a theme that is very common among human beings.
Most people are optimists who suffer from a bad case of normalcy bias. We really want to believe that tomorrow will look very much like today. And even when there are really bad warning signs flashing, our optimism and normalcy bias cause us to ignore the risks.
That’s especially true when our leaders make expert proclamations. And we’ve certainly seen our share of those:
Ten days to stop the spread. Silicon Valley Bank is safe. The Taliban won’t retake Afghanistan. No one will touch your Social Security. The debt doesn’t matter. Deficits don’t matter. America can afford two wars.
The list goes on and on.
For example, as I mentioned earlier this week, by 2031, US tax revenue will not even cover mandatory entitlement spending (like Social Security) and annual interest payments on the national debt.
This is according to the Congressional Budget Office, i.e. a US government agency.
You can practically circle a date on your calendar for a major financial crisis: 6 years, 11 months, 26 days from now.
To think that this doesn’t pose a huge risk to prosperity and stability within the United States is beyond delusional.
Meanwhile, civil unrest already seems to ignite on the streets across the US at the slightest provocation. Crime is at ridiculous levels. Imagine what this will look like when real economic pain hits.
In the face of such obvious risks, it makes a lot of sense to have a backup plan.
And one crucial aspect of a Plan B is having another place to go, where you are entitled to live, work, and raise a family.
That’s what gaining a second residency can do for you.
Obviously no place is perfect. But having a second residency abroad means that you’ll always have another place to go... another option. And more options means more freedom, more safety, more diversification, less risk.
Generally there’s zero downside in having this benefit. And there are plenty of different ways to do it:
For example, Golden Visas are popular residency programs in European countries such as Portugal and Greece. In exchange for an investment, you get an easy residency without burdensome requirements to spend a large amount of time on the ground in the country.
In Greece, the option to invest in real estate worth at least €250,000 (which you could use personally or rent out) is still available. Portugal recently scrapped its property investment option, but you could still get its Golden Visa for as little as a €200,000 investment in a cultural heritage project.
That’s actually another reminder to act while the offer is good— the best options don’t last forever.
But if you don’t want to spend that kind of money, there are plenty of residencies available to those who can simply prove they receive a certain amount of retirement, investment, or employment income.
Mexico and Costa Rica are examples of popular options for Americans, because of their proximity to the US and relatively low criteria to qualify.
In Mexico, retirees can gain permanent residency with an income of about $6,000 per month, or by showing about $240,000 worth of investments and bank balances. Qualifying for temporary residency is easier, and only requires an income of about $3,600 per month or balances of $60,000. (That’s about double the price from a couple years ago due to the strengthening of the peso— yet another reminder to act sooner rather than later.)
Costa Rica only requires a monthly income of $1,000 for retirees and $2,500 for remote workers, or an investment totaling $150,000 in various categories including real estate, business, or even vehicles.
Then there is Panama, which offers paths to residency for retirees and through a Golden Visa.
Retirees only need an income of $1,000 a month, through a pension or Social Security, to qualify for Panama’s pensionado visa.
Or a $200,000 investment in real estate could allow nationals of “Friendly Nations Treaty” countries, including the US, Canada, and many European countries, to gain residency in Panama. (For others, the Golden Visa requires a $300,000 investment).
I had the opportunity to look at some real estate in Panama when I was there a few months ago, and let me tell you, $200,000 goes a lot further there than in the US.
Of course these are far from your only options. The point is that there are plenty of accessible ways to gain a second residency in a country of your choosing.
And that is a pretty sensible thing to do given all the risks on the horizon.
To your freedom, Simon Black, Founder Sovereign Man
Congress Forecasts America’s Fiscal Train Wreck For 2031. Here’s How A Plan B Can Help
Congress Forecasts America’s Fiscal Train Wreck For 2031. Here’s How A Plan B Can Help
Notes From the Field By Simon Black October 24, 2023
Yesterday I wrote a comprehensive explanation of the extreme fiscal catastrophe that the US faces thanks to the federal government’s relentless spending addiction.
I wrote, for example, that the US national debt is now $33.6 trillion… and it has increased more than HALF A TRILLION DOLLARS just so far this MONTH. Astonishing.
Congress Forecasts America’s Fiscal Train Wreck For 2031. Here’s How A Plan B Can Help
Notes From the Field By Simon Black October 24, 2023
Yesterday I wrote a comprehensive explanation of the extreme fiscal catastrophe that the US faces thanks to the federal government’s relentless spending addiction.
I wrote, for example, that the US national debt is now $33.6 trillion… and it has increased more than HALF A TRILLION DOLLARS just so far this MONTH. Astonishing.
And it’s a pretty safe bet that the US government will continue its wild spending spree.
I’m not being pessimistic when I say that. In the last fiscal year which just ended a few weeks ago, a whopping 83% of US tax revenue was spent JUST on Social Security/Medicare, the military, and interest on the national debt.
And spending on those three programs is probably not going down.
Does anyone honestly think that a majority of politicians in Congress will slash defense spending at a time like this? Or eliminate Social Security? Or default on the national debt?
Those three spending items can’t really be cut. In all likelihood they will INCREASE.
Given all the conflict in the world, US defense spending will probably grow. Social Security spending is already scheduled to increase according to the program’s own published forecasts.
And, considering how quickly the national debt is rising-- coupled with higher interest rates-- annual interest payments will skyrocket.
This means that spending on Social Security, military, and interest, will likely increase from 83% of tax revenue, to ONE HUNDRED PERCENT of tax revenue, over the next several years.
America will have to go into debt to fund everything else in the federal government, from Veteran’s Benefits to Homeland Security.
But don’t take my word for it. Even the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), which is a government agency of the United States Congress, agrees.
The CBO’s most recent 10-year forecast shows that mandatory entitlement spending (like Social Security) plus annual interest payments on the national debt, will EXCEED all US federal tax revenue by 2031. And that doesn’t even include defense spending!
This reality is only SEVEN YEARS AWAY.
Yet if that train wreck weren’t enough, remember that Social Security’s key trust fund will also run out of money two years later in 2033, according to the program’s most recent annual report. And bailing out Social Security will cost trillions of dollars just to get started.
So, just to be clear, the government’s own projections show that they will reach the fiscal point of no return in just seven years… and then require a multi-trillion dollar bailout of Social Security two years later.
Yet as grim as that timeline may be, these government forecasts also naively assume that there will be no major war, pandemic, or national emergency in the meantime. So in reality the doomsday may be much closer.
I’m not being dramatic or sensational. Again, I’m literally citing US government forecasts.
But is this cause for panic? Absolutely not.
Now, of course there will be major consequences.
For example, a lot of politicians will tragically find themselves out of work… but there won’t be any money available to pay them unemployment benefits. The government will shrink considerably, and legions of bureaucrats will have to find productive jobs in the private sector.
People who depend on government handouts will no longer have a generous sugar daddy to take care of them. Bankrupt state governments won’t be able to rely on federal bailouts anymore and will have to start acting responsibly.
Clearly a lot of these consequences will be good.
But at the same time, it’s important to acknowledge that millions of unsuspecting people will have their lives turned upside down from the negative consequences.
Social Security is in serious trouble; 50+ million people are at risk of having their benefits slashed by 2033.
There’s also a very high likelihood that the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates and printing money again in order to bail out the federal government… thus creating a LOT more inflation.
Taxes will almost certainly rise. Crime could definitely increase, especially petty theft and robbery. And business conditions could be a lot more difficult; it will be harder to raise capital, harder to borrow, and harder to sell, causing a number of companies to either fail, or to never be started in the first place.
There are definitely serious, serious consequences ahead. But it’s important to keep a level head: the United States is not going to fall into the ocean and cease to exist.
Even under much more difficult conditions, the United States will still have a massive, diversified economy and extraordinary talent pool. The brilliant entrepreneurs, engineers, and professionals across America won’t suddenly become dumber just because the currency loses value, or because the Department of Commerce is eliminated.
There will always be substantial opportunity for talented, independent-minded people to become successful. And this has been the case for virtually all of human history.
Nations and empires have been going broke for thousands of years. Currencies have been debauched for just as long.
But people who understood these risks have typically been able to position themselves for success… and to mitigate the risks in their own lives.
Today this is even easier to do. And that’s really what’s at the core of having a Plan B.
The idea of a Plan B is to form a rational view of obvious risks, and then take sensible steps to reduce their impact… or even benefit from them.
For example, if Social Security forecasts running out of money by 2033, it makes sense to spend the next several years setting aside more money for retirement in the most flexible and robust structure you can establish.
Fortunately, such structures exist-- like a solo 401(k).
If it’s a near certainty that taxes will rise, there are plenty of legal ways to reduce what you owe. And you can use the tax savings to set aside more money for your retirement, which feeds back into the suggestion above.
If crime rates spike and civil disturbances become more frequent, it makes sense to consider having another place to go for you and your family to be safe. That might be somewhere overseas in a country where you enjoy visiting and your kids could pick up foreign language proficiency.
It might even be a place where you could one day become eligible to apply for a second passport, creating a lifetime of benefit and flexibility for your entire family.
If the value of the US dollar is going to decline… and the rest of the world seems likely to find a replacement as the dominant reserve currency… it makes sense to find alternative assets that can hold their value over time.
Having a Plan B isn’t about doom and gloom pessimism. It’s a completely rational way to approach the obvious problems in the world… while acknowledging that there’s still tremendous opportunity ahead.
Simon Black, Founder Sovereign Man
19 Dangerous Scam Phone Numbers and Area Codes To Avoid
19 Dangerous Scam Phone Numbers and Area Codes To Avoid
By Joshua Rodriguez
Area Codes To Avoid About Scam Numbers Common Phone Scams
Scams are becoming more and more prevalent. They’re so common that experts have coined the term “scam economy.” Unfortunately, it’s easy to change a phone number, and scammers often do so to avoid getting caught. The good news is that scams operate in many known area codes, so you can avoid being the next victim simply by watching for known scam phone numbers.
Wouldn’t it be great to have a list of scam phone numbers handy to avoid them altogether? Keep reading to learn more.
19 Dangerous Scam Phone Numbers and Area Codes To Avoid
By Joshua Rodriguez
Area Codes To Avoid About Scam Numbers Common Phone Scams
Scams are becoming more and more prevalent. They’re so common that experts have coined the term “scam economy.” Unfortunately, it’s easy to change a phone number, and scammers often do so to avoid getting caught. The good news is that scams operate in many known area codes, so you can avoid being the next victim simply by watching for known scam phone numbers.
Wouldn’t it be great to have a list of scam phone numbers handy to avoid them altogether? Keep reading to learn more.
19 Area Codes for Common Scam Phone Numbers
More than 300 area codes exist in the United States alone. The good news is that if a scammer is calling, often it will show up under common area codes. Here are 19 area codes you should never answer if you don’t know who’s on the other end.
List of Scam Phone Number Area Codes
216: Cleveland, Ohio
218: Northern Minnesota
232: Sierra Leone
268: Antigua and Barbuda
284: British Virgin Islands
332: New York City
347: New York City
469: Dallas, Texas
473: Grenada, Carriacou and Petite Martinique
649: Turks and Caicos Islands
646: Manhattan
657: La Palma, California
664: Montserrat
712: Western Iowa
767: Commonwealth of Dominica
809: Dominican Republic
829: Dominican Republic
849: Dominican Republic
876: Jamaica
What Is a Scam Phone Number or Area Code?
Scam phone numbers and area codes typically involve calls you receive from numbers you don’t recognize. Often there is no customer service you can contact or law enforcement you can involve for these calls obfuscated by distance or sheer volume. Changing a phone number is easy, so it’s challenging to catch every scam phone number out there.
However, if you get a call from a phone number or area code you don’t know, it’s likely best to avoid picking up the call and research the following before you call back:
Frugal Living Tips for a Balanced and Stress-Free Life
Frugal Living Tips for a Balanced and Stress-Free Life
By Denisse Garcia Updated October 10, 2023
Frugal living is not just about saving money, it’s a way of life that encourages you to spend wisely and live well to lead a happier life. Frugal living is all about spending your money on the things that actually matter to you. Take your first steps towards frugal living with these tips in mind.
What Is Frugal Living?
Frugal living is a lifestyle of being mindful of your spending and focusing on your top financial priorities. It’s about being resourceful and avoiding waste, not being cheap or depriving yourself of what you enjoy; instead, it’s about finding ways to live a fulfilling life while spending less money.
Frugal Living Tips for a Balanced and Stress-Free Life
By Denisse Garcia Updated October 10, 2023
Frugal living is not just about saving money, it’s a way of life that encourages you to spend wisely and live well to lead a happier life. Frugal living is all about spending your money on the things that actually matter to you. Take your first steps towards frugal living with these tips in mind.
What Is Frugal Living?
Frugal living is a lifestyle of being mindful of your spending and focusing on your top financial priorities. It’s about being resourceful and avoiding waste, not being cheap or depriving yourself of what you enjoy; instead, it’s about finding ways to live a fulfilling life while spending less money.
At its core, frugal living is a lifestyle about managing your finances wisely, like a financial guru, but without the fancy jargon. Here’s the lowdown:
Mindful Spending: Frugal living begins with an awareness of where your money goes. It’s not about saying “no” to every expense but saying “yes” with purpose.
Prioritizing Your Bucks: Your money is like an army of soldiers. You want them to march into the battles that matter most. Frugal living means identifying your financial goals and directing your resources toward them. Whether it’s paying off debt, saving for a dream vacation, or investing for the future, you’re on a mission.
Resourceful Living: Have you ever heard the phrase “Use it up, wear it out, make it do, or do without”? Frugal living embodies this. It’s about being resourceful, finding creative solutions, and reusing what you have before rushing to the store.
Waste not, want not: Wasting money? Not in the frugal playbook. Whether it’s food, energy, or time, you’re all about minimizing waste. Leftovers become tomorrow’s lunch, lights are off when you leave the room, and you make every minute count.
Quality Over Quantity: Frugal living doesn’t mean settling for cheap, low-quality stuff. It’s more about getting the best value for your money. You invest in items that will last and serve you well, even if they cost a bit more upfront.
Living a Fulfilling Life: Perhaps the most important aspect of frugal living is that it’s not about deprivation. You’re still savoring life’s pleasures, but in a way that aligns with your values and financial goals. It’s enjoying that fancy coffee or night out with friends, but in moderation and without breaking the bank.
Frugal Living Benefits
Frugal living can have a positive impact on reducing stress levels. Financial stress is one of the leading causes of anxiety and depression, and living beyond your means can lead to a constant feeling of worry and fear. By living within your means and being mindful of your spending, you can have control over your finances and reduce your stress levels.
To continue reading, please go to the original article here:
Here's What 'Wealthy' Means In 2023 America, In Five Numbers
Here's What 'Wealthy' Means In 2023 America, In Five Numbers
Daniel de Visé, USA TODAY Mon, October 23, 2023
What does it take to be wealthy in 2023? A million dollars in the bank? Two million? How about a salary in the high six figures? In different ways, the average American family feels both wealthier and poorer now than a few years ago.
Median household wealth hit $192,900 last year, up 37% since 2019, the largest jump in the history of the Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Finances.
Here's What 'Wealthy' Means In 2023 America, In Five Numbers
Daniel de Visé, USA TODAY Mon, October 23, 2023
What does it take to be wealthy in 2023? A million dollars in the bank? Two million? How about a salary in the high six figures? In different ways, the average American family feels both wealthier and poorer now than a few years ago.
Median household wealth hit $192,900 last year, up 37% since 2019, the largest jump in the history of the Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Finances.
But inflation also hit a 40-year high in 2022, and in 2023, interest rates surged to the steepest mark in 22 years, developments that left everyone’s purse feeling a bit lighter.
Many Americans still strive for that first million. Yet, thanks to inflation, an item that cost $1 million in 2019 would cost $1.2 million today.
In a recent survey of 2,000 Americans by the personal finance site LendingTree, 59% said they do not believe they will ever become wealthy.
Here, then, are five numbers that illustrate what it means to be wealthy in America today.
$2.6 Million
That lofty sum represents the net worth of the median American family in the upper 10% of income, a range that most of us would deem wealthy. The figure comes from the federal Survey of Consumer Finances, released Wednesday.
“Generally speaking, we might consider the top 10% of households by income as wealthy,” said Cristian deRitis, deputy chief economist at Moody’s Analytics.
Household wealth swelled at a record pace between 2019 and 2022. The government handed out an unprecedented series of stimulus checks. Lockdowns kept Americans at home and encouraged saving. Stocks and home values surged.
But inflation and rising interest rates have slowed the celebration.
“The market was down last year, and it still has not recovered from the peaks of late 2021, so there’s that,” said Robert Brokamp, senior retirement adviser at The Motley Fool and a certified financial planner.
$483,000
That is how much Americans believe they would need to earn in a year to be rich, according to an online survey of 2,521 adults conducted for Bankrate by YouGov on June 5-7 2023.
Sound daunting? The number is more than six times the $75,203 in average salary earned by full-time workers in 2021, as reported by the U.S. Census.
In the Bankrate survey, 72% of Americans said they feel financially insecure because of lingering inflation and rising interest rates.
Financial experts caution, though, that income doesn’t always equal wealth.
To continue reading, please go to the original article here:
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/heres-wealthy-means-2023-america-092134449.html