MilitiaMan and Crew: IRAQ DINAR UPDATE - Steady Progress Amid the Noise - Economic Reforms Continue Unabated - REER Focus

MilitiaMan and Crew: IRAQ DINAR UPDATE - Steady Progress Amid the Noise - Economic Reforms Continue Unabated - REER Focus

4-19-2026

The Crew:  Samson, PompeyPeter, Petra, Daytrader, Sunkissed, GIGI and Militia Man

No drama. No intrigue. No songs and dances. Just straight, factual news that I read and interpret to the best of my ability after being an avid Dinar investor and insanely obsessed Dinarian for over 15 years.

Follow MM on X == https://x.com/Slashn

Be sure to listen to full video for all the news……..

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fHBSHaoGjqM

Iraq Economic News And Points To Ponder Sunday Afternoon 4-19-26

EIA: Iraq’s Oil Exports To US Dip Over The Week

2026-04-19   Shafaq News- Baghdad/ Washington  Iraq’s crude oil exports to the United States dropped 11,000 barrels per day (bpd) last week, US Energy Information Administration (EIA) data showed on Sunday.

Iraqi shipments averaged 109,000 bpd last week, 9.17% less than the previous week’s average of 120,000 bpd.

Total US crude imports from eight major suppliers fell to 4.675 million bpd, down 947,000 bpd from 5.622 million bpd the previous week.

Canada remained the top supplier at 3.519 million bpd, followed by Venezuela with 412,000 bpd, Saudi Arabia with 249,000 bpd, and Mexico with 145,000 bpd.

Imports also included Colombia at 130,000 bpd, Ecuador at 68,000 bpd, and Brazil at 43,000 bpd. No oil was imported from Nigeria and Libya this week. https://www.shafaq.com/en/Economy/EIA-Iraq-s-oil-exports-to-US-dip-over-the-week-0-2

Dollar Rises In Baghdad And Erbil Markets

2026-04-  Shafaq News- Baghdad/ Erbil   The US dollar opened Sunday’s trading higher in Iraq, hovering around 153,000 dinars per 100 dollars.

According to a Shafaq News market survey, the dollar traded in Baghdad's Al-Kifah and Al-Harithiya exchanges at 153,200 dinars per 100 dollars, up from the previous session’s 152,500 dinars.

In the Iraqi capital, exchange shops sold the dollar at 153,750 dinars and bought it at 152,750 dinars, while in Erbil, selling prices stood at 153,150 dinars and buying prices at 153,000 dinars.

https://www.shafaq.com/en/Economy/Dollar-rises-in-Baghdad-and-Erbil-markets-8

Gold Prices Rise In Baghdad, Stabilize In Erbil

2026-04-19   Shafaq News- Baghdad/ Erbil   On Sunday, gold prices hovered around 1 million IQD per mithqal in Baghdad and Erbil markets, according to a survey by Shafaq News Agency.

Gold prices on Baghdad's Al-Nahr Street recorded a selling price of 1,046,000 IQD per mithqal (equivalent to five grams) for 21-carat gold, including Gulf, Turkish, and European varieties, with a buying price of 1,042,000 IQD. The same gold had sold for 1,041,000 IQD on Saturday.

The selling price for 21-carat Iraqi gold stood at 1,016,000 IQD, with a buying price of 1,012,000 IQD.

In jewelry stores, the selling price per mithqal of 21-carat Gulf gold ranged between 1,045,000 and 1,055,000 IQD, while Iraqi gold sold for between 1,015,000 and 1,025,000 IQD.

In Erbil, 22-carat gold was sold at 1,085,000 IQD per mithqal, 21-carat gold at 1,035,000 IQD, and 18-carat gold at 887,000 IQD.

https://www.shafaq.com/en/Economy/Gold-prices-rise-in-Baghdad-stabilize-in-Erbil-2-2

IEA Proposes Basra–Ceyhan Pipeline To Bypass Hormuz

2026-04-19   Shafaq News- Basra   A new oil pipeline linking Iraq’s Basra fields to Turkiye’s Ceyhan terminal on the Mediterranean has been proposed to reduce reliance on the Strait of Hormuz and strengthen energy supply security, particularly for Europe, Executive Director of the International Energy Agency (IEA) Fatih Birol said on Sunday.

Speaking to Hurriyet, Birol said the Basra–Ceyhan pipeline could be “critically important” for Iraq, Turkiye, and regional supply security, adding that financing challenges could be overcome and that the project requires a political agreement between Baghdad and Ankara.

He noted that Iraq exports about 90% of its oil through the Strait of Hormuz from Basra ports, which hold reserves estimated at around 90 billion barrels, warning that disruptions to maritime traffic in the strait would have severe consequences.

The proposal comes amid renewed tensions in Hormuz, where Iran has reimposed navigation restrictions after briefly reopening the waterway, prompting some gas tankers to reroute.

Birol said the pipeline is no longer just an economic option but a strategic necessity for Iraq, and an opportunity for Turkiye and Europe to enhance energy security.

Turkiye has previously proposed expanding oil infrastructure linking Ceyhan with Iraq, including plans extending from Kirkuk southward as part of a broader trade corridor connecting Iraq’s Al-Faw port to Turkiye.

Read more: Iraq’s oil bottleneck: Abundance trapped by dependency

https://www.shafaq.com/en/Economy/IEA-proposes-Basra-Ceyhan-pipeline-to-bypass-Hormuz

US Dollar Drops In Baghdad And Erbil Markets

2026-04-19 Shafaq News- Baghdad/ Erbil   The US dollar closed Sunday's trading lower in Iraq at around 153,000 dinars per 100 dollars.

According to a Shafaq News market survey, the dollar traded in Baghdad's Al-Kifah and Al-Harithiya exchanges at 153,000 dinars per 100 dollars, up from the morning session’s 153,200 dinars.

In the Iraqi capital, exchange shops sold the dollar at 153,500 dinars and bought it at 152,500 dinars, while in Erbil, selling prices stood at 153,000 dinars and buying prices at 152,850 dinars.

https://www.shafaq.com/en/Economy/US-dollar-drops-in-Baghdad-and-Erbil-markets-8

Iraq Targets Unemployment Reduction Via Farm, Industry Push

2026-04-19   Shafaq News- Baghdad   Iraq is seeking to reduce unemployment, currently around 13%, by expanding domestic production through agriculture and industry, Prime Minister’s financial adviser Mudher Mohammed Salih said on Sunday.

Salih told Shafaq News that the policy focuses on boosting grain output through above-market procurement, input support, and crop planning, alongside measures to support industry, including land allocation, fuel supply, technology imports, and financing initiatives to expand private-sector factories.

He said more than 1,300 industrial projects are being supported, with over one trillion Iraqi dinars (about $760 million) allocated as sovereign guarantees to enable private firms to secure foreign financing for projects linked to construction and industrial value chains. A planned “Riyada Bank” is expected to provide financing for small businesses and youth-led initiatives.

The push comes as data point to a gap between production and imports. Economist Manar Al-Obaidi said Iraq’s roughly 1,200 medium and large industrial projects generate no more than 7 trillion dinars (about $5.3 billion) annually, compared with imports exceeding 100 trillion dinars.

He added that the sector provides about 50,000 jobs, rising to around 100,000 including informal labor, against roughly 500,000 new entrants to the labor market each year, while growth of about 5% in large projects has yet to make industry a significant contributor to GDP. Read more: The rentier trap: Iraq’s existential reform race

https://www.shafaq.com/en/Economy/Iraq-targets-unemployment-reduction-via-farm-industry-push

Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Sunday Afternoon 4-19-26

Good Afternoon Dinar Recaps,

Bond Market Confidence Cracks as Energy Shock Deepens — Reset Signals Intensify

Debt markets, oil disruptions, and shifting capital flows are converging into a systemic turning point.

Overview

Global markets are entering a highly unstable phase beneath surface-level strength. While equities have rebounded sharply, deeper indicators show bond market stress, energy supply disruption, and shifting investor behavior. The combination of waning trust in sovereign debt and persistent energy shocks is creating conditions historically associated with major monetary restructuring.

Key Developments

1. U.S. Treasury Losing Safe-Haven Status

A major shift is unfolding as investors sell U.S. Treasurys during a global crisis, rather than buying them. This has pushed yields higher and prices lower, signaling declining confidence in government debt. Rising deficits, reduced foreign demand, and geopolitical tensions are accelerating this trend, weakening what has long been the foundation of global finance.

2. Hidden Energy Crisis Driving Real Inflation Higher

Despite headline oil prices appearing stable, the true cost of physical oil has surged dramatically, with real delivery prices far exceeding benchmarks. This reflects severe supply disruptions tied to the Strait of Hormuz, now considered the largest oil market disruption on record. The result is rising electricity costs, supply chain pressure, and persistent inflation risk.

3. Geopolitical Tensions Reignite Energy Route Risk

Iran’s renewed control and threats over the Strait of Hormuz have reintroduced extreme uncertainty into global energy flows. Shipping disruptions, military control of key chokepoints, and stalled negotiations are contributing to market instability and global fuel concerns.

4. Capital Flows Signal Structural Market Shift

Investors are rapidly rotating capital, with massive inflows returning to U.S. equities even as bond markets weaken. This divergence highlights a breakdown in traditional risk behavior, suggesting markets are adapting to a new financial environment shaped by energy dominance and geopolitical risk.

Why It Matters

• Loss of trust in sovereign debt threatens financial system stability

• Energy disruptions are embedding long-term inflation pressures

• Traditional market relationships are breaking down

• Capital is shifting toward real assets and away from paper systems

These are core stress signals that often precede large-scale monetary and financial system changes.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

• Weaker confidence in debt markets can pressure major currencies

• Commodity-linked currencies may gain relative strength

• Global capital shifts could increase currency volatility

• Reserve currency dynamics may begin to evolve

Implications for the Global Reset

• Pillar 1: Debt Market Instability

The breakdown in Treasury demand signals erosion of trust in the current monetary backbone, increasing the likelihood of policy intervention or structural reform.

• Pillar 2: Energy-Driven Economic Realignment

With energy acting as the primary economic driver, nations and markets are shifting toward resource-backed influence, reshaping global financial power structures.

This is not just volatility — it is a transition phase where debt, energy, and geopolitics are redefining the global financial system.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• MarketWatch – “The world’s most stable asset is losing its grip — leaving your paycheck and retirement vulnerable to inflation” 
  

• MarketWatch – “This ‘hidden’ price of oil is going to hit your electric bill next”

~~~~~~~~~~

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Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Sunday Morning 4-19-26

Good Morning Dinar Recaps,

Debt Pressure Rising: IMF Warns of Surging Global Borrowing Needs

Growing demand for financial support signals mounting strain on sovereign debt and global liquidity conditions

OVERVIEW (KEY POINTS)

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is warning that global demand for financial assistance is rising sharply, with potential requests reaching up to $50 billion. This reflects increasing stress across economies dealing with energy shocks, conflict-driven disruption, and slowing growth.

This is unfolding now as the global economy absorbs the aftereffects of recent geopolitical tensions, which have disrupted trade flows, energy supply, and investor confidence. Countries already carrying high debt are now facing higher borrowing costs and reduced fiscal flexibility.

Key players include the IMF, emerging market economies, and global financial institutions monitoring sovereign risk and liquidity conditions. Their responses will shape how stress is managed across regions.

The broader implication is significant: rising debt demand combined with tightening financial conditions is a classic precursor to systemic financial strain, increasing the probability of structural adjustments.

KEY DEVELOPMENTS

1. IMF Signals Surge in Emergency Lending Demand

The IMF expects increased requests for financial support.

• Demand could reach $20–$50 billion in the near term

• Reflects rising balance-of-payments stress across multiple countries

2. Sovereign Debt Pressures Intensify

Countries are facing mounting fiscal challenges.

• Higher interest rates are increasing debt servicing costs

• Governments have limited room for additional borrowing

3. Energy Disruptions Driving Economic Instability

Ongoing supply issues are feeding into financial stress.

• Energy volatility is contributing to inflation and trade imbalances

• Import-dependent economies are particularly vulnerable

4. Global Liquidity Conditions Tightening

Financial markets are becoming less accommodating.

• Investors are showing increased risk aversion

• Capital is flowing toward safe-haven assets

WHY IT MATTERS

This development underscores a critical stress point in the global financial system. As borrowing needs rise, the ability of institutions to provide support becomes increasingly important.

Markets are sensitive to sovereign risk, and rising debt concerns can trigger volatility across currencies, bonds, and equities. This creates uncertainty in pricing and investment decisions.

For policymakers, the situation is becoming more complex. Balancing growth, inflation, and debt sustainability requires careful coordination, which is harder to achieve under pressure.

At the system level, these dynamics contribute to reduced confidence in financial stability, increasing the likelihood of broader restructuring.

WHY IT MATTERS TO FOREIGN CURRENCY HOLDERS

• Currency values may weaken in debt-stressed economies

• Purchasing power could decline due to inflation and devaluation

• Capital flows may shift toward stronger, more stable currencies

• Exchange rate volatility is likely to increase

IMPLICATIONS FOR THE GLOBAL RESET

• Pillar 1: Sovereign Debt Restructuring Risk

Rising borrowing needs and limited fiscal capacity increase the likelihood of debt restructuring or external intervention, both key components of financial reset scenarios.

• Pillar 2: Liquidity-Driven System Adjustments

As liquidity tightens, financial systems may require coordinated support measures, potentially leading to changes in how global finance is structured and managed.

CONCLUSION

The IMF’s warning highlights a growing imbalance between financial needs and available resources. As more countries seek support, pressure on the global system intensifies.

This is not an isolated issue—it reflects broader trends of rising debt, economic slowdown, and financial tightening. These forces are interacting in ways that increase systemic risk.

As conditions evolve, the likelihood of structural adjustments within the financial system continues to rise.

When debt pressure builds across multiple regions simultaneously, the foundation of the global financial system begins to shift.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

SOURCES

• Reuters — "IMF's Georgieva expects war to trigger demand up to $50 bln in Fund support"

• Reuters — "Central banks must balance energy inflation with demand softening, IMF says"

~~~~~~~~~~

A Message to Our Currency Holders

If you’ve been holding foreign currency for many years, you were not foolish.

You were not wrong to believe the global financial system would change.

What failed was not your patience — it was the information you were given.

For years, dates, rumors, and personalities replaced facts, structure, and proof. “This week” predictions created cycles of hope and disappointment that were never based on how currencies actually change.

That is not your failure.

Our mission here is different:   • No dates • No rates • No hype • No gurus

Instead, we focus on:

• Verifiable developments • Institutional evidence

• Global financial structure • Where countries actually sit in the process

Currency value changes only come after sovereignty, trade, banking, settlement systems, and fiscal coordination are in place. History and institutions confirm this sequence.

You will see silence. You will see denials. That is not delay — that is discipline.

Protect your identity. Organize your documents.    Verify everything.

Never hand your discernment to anyone who cannot show proof.

You deserve truth — not timelines.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™

~~~~~~~~~~

Seeds of Wisdom Team RV Currency Facts Youtube and Rumble

Newshound's News Telegram Room Link

RV Facts with Proof Links Link

RV Updates Proof links - Facts Link

Follow the Gold/Silver Rate COMEX

Follow Fast Facts

Seeds of Wisdom Team™Website

Thank you Dinar Recaps

Iraq Economic News And Points To Ponder Sunday Morning 4-19-26

A Proposal To Remove Zeros From The Currency... Video
The project to remove zeros from the Iraqi currency has been revived as part of a move to restructure the monetary system and alleviate the burden of inflated figures in daily transactions. Experts told a reporter Sumerian The success of this step is not only linked to formal procedures, but also to the government’s ability to support it with real financial and monetary reforms that restore confidence in the Iraqi dinar and ensure sustainable market stability. Details in this report

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bH6h7GAzOu4

A Project To Remove Zeros From The Currency Has Been Proposed.

Experts: Success of this step would alleviate the burden of inflated figures in daily transactions The project to remove zeros from the Iraqi currency has been revived as part of an effort to restructure the monetary system and alleviate the burden of inflated figures in daily transactions. Experts told Alsumaria that the success of this step depends not only on formal procedures but also on the government's ability to support it with genuine financial and monetary reforms that restore confidence in the Iraqi dinar and ensure sustainable market stability. Details in this report. 📺 Alsumaria Frequency: 11315 MHz ✥ Follow the latest news from Iraq and the most important Iraqi series on the Alsumaria website   https://www.alsumaria.tvhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bH6h7GAzOu4

The Parliamentary Finance Committee Is Leaning Towards Adopting An Annual Budget For The Current Year And Is Ruling Out A Return To The Tripartite System

Money and Business    Economy News – Baghdad  The Finance Committee in the House of Representatives is moving towards adopting an annual general budget for the current year.

In an interview with the official newspaper, which was followed by “Al-Eqtisad News”, MP Zainab Rahim Al-Jiyashi, a member of the Finance Committee, said that the goal of preparing an annual budget is to support vital service projects, especially in the health, education and infrastructure sectors, noting that this approach is consistent with the need to promote fairness in the distribution of resources and improve the quality of public services.

Al-Jiyashi added that "the annual budget represents a more accurate tool in managing public spending compared to multi-year budgets, as it allows for the periodic reassessment of priorities in accordance with economic and financial developments, which positively impacts the efficiency of government spending.

At the same time, she confirmed that it is impossible to return to the three-year budget model at the present stage, because it is not suitable for the economic conditions and fluctuations that the country is witnessing.

https://www.economy-news.net/content.php?id=67928

Speaker Of Parliament Receives Governor Of The Central Bank

The Speaker of Parliament, Mr. Haibet Alhalbousi, received the Governor of the Central Bank, Mr. Ali Mohsen al-Allaq, on Thursday.

The meeting discussed the current state of monetary policy in Iraq and prospects for enhancing its stability in line with macroeconomic stability requirements. Both parties emphasized the importance of continued coordination between the Parliament and the Central Bank to bolster the effectiveness of economic policies and achieve desired developmental goals.

During the meeting, the Speaker highlighted the Parliament’s commitment to monitoring the performance of the Central Bank of Iraq and its keenness to support the independence of monetary policy. He stressed the importance of fostering effective coordination between monetary and fiscal policies to contribute to economic balance and reduce inflationary pressures.

He further noted that the Parliament, stemming from its oversight and legislative role, affirms its follow-up on the procedures and policies adopted by the Central Bank to enhance transparency and consolidate confidence in the banking sector. He expressed the Parliament’s readiness to provide the necessary legislative framework to support financial and banking reforms.

For his part, the Governor of the Central Bank reviewed the key measures taken to enhance monetary stability, regulate the foreign exchange market, and develop the banking sector.

He reaffirmed the Bank’s commitment to operating in accordance with international best practices to support overall financial stability. Media Office   Of Parl. Speaker   Apr 16, 2026

https://iq.parliament.iq/en/2026/04/16/speaker-of-parliament-receives-governor-of-the-central-bank/

Iran And The US Reach An Agreement, With Expectations Of A Memorandum Of Understanding Being Signed Within TwoMonths.

2026-04-17   Shafaq News – Islamabad   A Pakistani source reported on Friday that Iran and the United States have reached a preliminary agreement and are expected to sign a memorandum of understanding within two months. 

Reuters quoted the Pakistani source as saying that the mediation between America and Iran "achieved a breakthrough on thorny issues, and they have already reached preliminary agreements." 

He added that Tehran and Washington had made "significant progress in the negotiations, and are likely to sign a memorandum of understanding within 60 days." 

On Thursday evening, US President Donald Trump said, "Iran wants to reach an agreement, and we are very close to concluding one. We will not extend the truce, and the next meeting with the Iranians may take place early next week."

 He affirmed, "I will go to Pakistan if an agreement is reached," adding that "many wonderful things will happen if an agreement is reached with Iran. We have very good relations with Iran, and this is incredible. But if we do not reach an agreement, the fighting will resume. Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon."

https://www.shafaq.com/ar/الشرق-الأوسط/يران-و-ميركا-تتوصلان-لاتفاق-وترجيحات-بتوقيع-مذكرة-تفاهم-خلال-شهرين

Source: Iran's Qaani Meets Iraqi Factions In Baghdad As PM Talks Stall

2026-04-18 Shafaq News- Baghdad   Iran’s Quds Force commander, Esmail Qaani, arrived in Baghdad in an unannounced visit, holding talks with Iraqi political and armed faction leaders as negotiations over the next prime minister remain unresolved, a well-informed source told Shafaq News on Saturday. 

Qaani met leaders of armed factions before holding separate discussions with figures from the Shiite Coordination Framework (CF) —a coalition of Iran-aligned parties that forms the largest bloc in Iraq’s parliament— focusing on efforts to reach agreement on a consensus candidate for the premiership. (Iran's trying to exert it's influence in Iraqi elections).

Discussions also addressed the future of armed groups, including proposals to integrate them into state security institutions and to separate political actors from their armed wings. 

Qaani previously visited Baghdad in January 2026, when he met leaders of armed factions to address tensions related to weapons, according to political sources. During those talks, he urged the groups to maintain unity and avoid escalation, stressing the need for “coordinated mechanisms that preserve security stability” and prevent internal conflict. 

Debate continues in Iraq over limiting weapons to state control. Washington has repeatedly linked the country’s stability and bilateral relations to curbing arms outside official institutions or integrating armed groups into state structures under legal frameworks. On Friday, the US Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) imposed sanctions on seven Iraqi armed group commanders, accusing them of involvement in attacks against US personnel and interests in Iraq. 

In a parallel political track, Iraq’s parliament elected Nizar Amedi as president on April 11, initiating the constitutional timeline for naming a prime minister. The Coordination Framework has yet to agree on a nominee, and a planned meeting to select a candidate was postponed to Monday, according to a political source. 

https://www.shafaq.com/en/Iraq/Source-Qaani-meets-Iraqi-factions-in-Baghdad-as-PM-talks-stall

Iraqi trade ministry announces plan to develop non-oil exports

Money and Business   Economy News — Baghdad   Minister of Trade Atheer Dawood Al-Ghurairi affirmed that the ministry is proceeding with the implementation of its programs aimed at developing non-oil exports and expanding the base of local production by activating the role of the Export Support Fund, describing the fund as one of the main pillars in supporting the economy and enhancing the ability of Iraqi products to compete in global markets.

The minister explained that the Export Support Fund's vision focuses on diversifying income sources, enhancing local production, and creating job opportunities that contribute to achieving sustainable economic growth.

He added that the fund provides comprehensive financial and technical support to Iraqi companies and factories, in addition to facilitating their participation in international exhibitions by bearing part of the participation costs, which contributes to opening new markets and finding commercial partners, as well as promoting the national product through the issuance of introductory guides for Iraqi exports for the years 2023, 2024 and 2025. https://www.economy-news.net/content.php?id=68073

Parliament Affirms Its Commitment To Strengthening The Partnership With China.

Money and Business   Economy News — Baghdad   The First Deputy Speaker of the House of Representatives, Adnan Faihan Al-Dulaimi, affirmed on Sunday the readiness of Parliament to strengthen the partnership with China and activate the development road project.

A statement from his media office, received by “Al-Eqtisad News”, stated that “the First Deputy Speaker of the House of Representatives, Adnan Faihan Al-Dulaimi, received today, Sunday, the Ambassador of the People’s Republic of China to Iraq, Sui Wei, to discuss ways to enhance strategic cooperation between the two friendly countries, and to activate parliamentary communication channels, in addition to discussing the latest local, regional and international developments, and their implications for the paths of joint cooperation.”

According to the statement, Faihan emphasized "the House of Representatives' keenness to develop frameworks for bilateral partnership, in a way that enhances mutual interests and serves the aspirations of the two friendly peoples," noting "the importance of benefiting from advanced Chinese expertise in various sectors to support the development process in Iraq."

He stressed "the need to activate bilateral agreements, and to give the development road project strategic priority, while providing an attractive investment environment that allows reputable Chinese companies to contribute effectively to the development of the service and economic sectors." https://www.economy-news.net/content.php?id=68072

Taboola the same on the Bottom of Posts

Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Saturday Afternoon 4-18-26

Good Afternoon Dinar Recaps,

Oil Policy Shift: Sanctions Flexibility Signals Global Energy Instability

U.S. decision to extend Russian oil access highlights mounting pressure to stabilize energy markets amid war-driven disruption

OVERVIEW (KEY POINTS)

A major policy shift has emerged as the United States extends a sanctions waiver allowing continued purchases of Russian oil, signaling rising concern over global energy stability. The move comes as multiple countries struggle with war-driven supply shocks and price volatility.

This is happening now because the ongoing conflict has severely disrupted oil flows, shipping routes, and production capacity, forcing policymakers to prioritize market stability over strict enforcement of sanctions.

Key players include the U.S. Treasury, energy-importing nations in Asia, and global oil markets, all reacting to the risk of supply shortages and price spikes. The decision underscores how geopolitical pressure is reshaping economic policy in real time.

The broader implication is significant: energy security is overriding traditional financial and political strategies, a key signal of systemic stress within the global financial system.

KEY DEVELOPMENTS

1. U.S. Extends Russian Oil Sanctions Waiver

The U.S. approved continued purchases of Russian oil under a temporary waiver.

• Covers up to 200 million barrels of oil

• Aimed at stabilizing global supply and pricing pressures

2. Energy Crisis Forcing Policy Reversals

The decision marks a shift from earlier commitments to tighten restrictions.

• Officials had previously indicated no extension would be granted

• Pressure from global markets forced a policy reversal

3. Global Oil Supply Remains Fragile

Despite easing tensions, supply constraints persist.

• Damage to infrastructure and shipping risks continue

• Insurance and logistics challenges are limiting full recovery

4. Growth Risks Rising Amid Energy Instability

Global institutions warn of economic slowdown.

• IMF signals potential growth drop toward ~2% in adverse scenarios

• Inflation risks remain elevated due to energy cost volatility

WHY IT MATTERS

This development highlights how energy markets are now dictating global policy decisions. Governments are being forced to make trade-offs between geopolitical strategy and economic stability.

For markets, this introduces uncertainty around commodity pricing, inflation trends, and supply reliability. Energy volatility feeds directly into production costs and consumer prices, amplifying economic instability.

From a policy perspective, the shift reveals weakening consistency. Rules-based systems are being adjusted in real time, reducing predictability and confidence.

At the global level, this signals a move toward a more reactive and fragmented economic system, where stability depends on short-term interventions.

WHY IT MATTERS TO FOREIGN CURRENCY HOLDERS

• Currency values may fluctuate with energy price swings

• Purchasing power is at risk due to persistent inflation pressure

• Capital flows may shift toward energy-secure economies

• Exchange rates may reflect resource access rather than policy strength

IMPLICATIONS FOR THE GLOBAL RESET

• Pillar 1: Policy Flexibility Replacing Policy Consistency

The willingness to adjust sanctions for stability shows that economic survival is taking priority over long-term policy frameworks. This weakens confidence in structured systems and supports transition toward adaptive financial models.

• Pillar 2: Energy as a Dominant Financial Driver

Energy is increasingly dictating monetary conditions, inflation, and global capital flows. This reinforces a shift toward a system where resource control plays a central role in financial power.

CONCLUSION

The extension of the oil waiver is more than a temporary adjustment—it reflects deepening stress within the global energy and financial system. Policymakers are being forced into decisions that prioritize short-term stability over long-term strategy.

As energy disruptions continue, the global economy faces rising uncertainty, inflation risks, and slower growth. These pressures are reshaping how decisions are made at the highest levels.

The system is becoming increasingly reactive, fragmented, and dependent on external shocks.

When policy begins to bend under pressure, it signals that the system itself is being tested.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

SOURCES

• Reuters — "US extends waiver allowing countries to buy Russian oil"

• Reuters — "Saudi minister says oil output recovery will take time"

~~~~~~~~~~

Seeds of Wisdom Team RV Currency Facts Youtube and Rumble

Newshound's News Telegram Room Link

RV Facts with Proof Links Link

RV Updates Proof links - Facts Link

Follow the Gold/Silver Rate COMEX

Follow Fast Facts

Seeds of Wisdom Team™Website

Thank you Dinar Recaps

Iraq Economic News And Points To Ponder Saturday Afternoon 4-18-26

The Economist: Any potential war in the region would threaten $6 trillion of Gulf wealth.

War Will Drain the Gulf’s $6 Trillion Treasure Chest

The Conflict Complicates Life for the Custodians opf Middle Eastern Oil Fortunes

Money and Business   Economy News — Follow-up   The Iranian news agency “Akharin Khabar” reported on Saturday that the latest report by the widely circulated British magazine “The Economist” indicated that any large-scale military escalation in the Middle East, especially if it involves Iran or disrupts navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, could have serious repercussions on the economies of the Gulf states, which possess sovereign assets estimated at around $6 trillion.

According to the analysis, the risk is not limited to the energy sector alone, but extends to the economic and investment structure on which the Gulf states depend to promote their growth and diversify their sources of income.

According to the British magazine, estimates indicate damages that could reach $25 billion to the oil and gas infrastructure of the Gulf states, with additional costs for new pipelines that could amount to $30-50 billion.

https://www.economy-news.net/content.php?id=68030

Sudanese: The Importance Of Supporting The Private Sector To Be A Key Partner In Building And Scientific And Economic Development

Money and Business    Economy News — Baghdad    Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani affirmed on Saturday that the government will continue to implement projects to expand and develop the infrastructure of the education sector, which will positively impact the quality of education in Iraq.

This came during a visit by Al-Sudani to Al-Raqiya Intermediate Basic School in the capital, Baghdad, where he participated in the graduation ceremony of the current batch of students for the academic year.

The Prime Minister praised the great efforts made by educational staff in all schools across the country, stressing that the government gives special priority to the education sector within its reform and development plans.

He stressed that human development and providing a suitable educational environment are key priorities in the government’s work, along with supporting other development sectors and enhancing the role of the private sector as a partner in scientific and economic development, particularly in the educational field.

Al-Sudani also called for strengthening cooperation between families and educational institutions in order to prepare a generation that is aware and committed to societal values, stressing the importance of continuous monitoring of the educational process to achieve sustainable positive results. https://www.economy-news.net/content.php?id=68028

Australia And Japan Sign Contracts For A $7 Billion Warship Deal

Money and Business   Economy News — Baghdad   Australia and Japan on Saturday signed contracts launching a historic deal worth 10 billion Australian dollars, equivalent to 7 billion US dollars, to supply Australia with warships, the largest military deal for Tokyo since the lifting of the arms export ban in 2014.

Australian Defence Minister Richard Marles said in a statement that he and his Japanese counterpart Shinjiro Koizumi had signed a memorandum "reaffirming the two governments' shared commitment to the successful delivery" of the warships.

The deal struck in August reinforces Japan's efforts to move away from its post-war pacifist policy in order to establish security ties that go beyond its alliance with the United States to counter China.

Japan's Mitsubishi Heavy Industries will supply the Royal Australian Navy with three upgraded multi-mission frigates to be built in Japan starting in 2029. Eight more frigates will be built in Australia.

The Japanese Ministry of Defense posted on XN that Koizumi and Marls welcomed "the signing of the multi-mission frigate contracts and affirmed the strengthening of bilateral defense relations" during the signing ceremony in Melbourne.https://www.economy-news.net/content.php?id=68027

Gold Is Heading For Its Fourth Weekly Gain Amid Anticipation Of A Deal On Iran.

Money and Business   Economy News — Follow-up   Gold is on track for its fourth weekly gain after US President Donald Trump expressed optimism that the United States and Iran could reach a permanent ceasefire to end the war that has shaken markets and increased inflation fears.

The precious metal settled near $4,795 an ounce in early trading on Friday, after rising about 1% this week, according to Bloomberg. https://www.economy-news.net/content.php?id=67984

Basrah Crudes Post Weekly Gains As Global Oil Prices Decline

2026-04-18   Shafaq News- Basrah   Basrah Heavy and Basrah Medium crude closed higher last week, recording gains despite a sharp decline in global oil prices.

Basrah Heavy rose by 76 cents in the latest trading session to $116.59 per barrel, posting weekly gains of $1.62, or 1.41%. Basrah Medium also increased by 76 cents to $118.69 per barrel, registering weekly gains of $1.62, or 1.38%.

Global oil prices, however, recorded a dip, falling by 16% over the week, marking their worst weekly performance since April 2020, following Iran’s announcement of reopening the Strait

https://www.shafaq.com/en/Economy/Basrah-crudes-post-weekly-gains-as-global-oil-prices-decline

Dollar Drops In Baghdad And Erbil Markets

2026-04-   Shafaq News- Baghdad/ Erbil   The US dollar opened Saturday's trading lower in Iraq, hovering around 152,000 dinars per 100 dollars.

According to Shafaq News market survey, the dollar traded in Baghdad's Al-Kifah and Al-Harithiya exchanges at 152,500 dinars per 100 dollars, down from the previous session's 153,350 dinars.

In the Iraqi capital, exchange shops sold the dollar at 153,000 dinars and bought it at 152,000 dinars, while in Erbil, selling prices stood at 152,600 dinars and buying prices at 152,450 dinars.

https://www.shafaq.com/en/Economy/Dollar-drops-in-Baghdad-and-Erbil-markets-9

Regional Conflict Strains Iraq’s Credit Standing

2026-04-   Shafaq News- Baghdad   Moody’s Investors Service on Saturday downgraded Iraq’s outlook to negative, citing rising regional tensions and increasing risks to the country’s oil-dependent economy and export flows.

The agency warned that Iraq’s reliance on oil exports leaves it vulnerable to disruptions in key maritime routes, particularly the Strait of Hormuz, through which about 90% of Iraqi crude is transported. It added that any interruption could quickly tighten state revenues and foreign currency inflows.

Although the Iraqi Ministry of Oil indicated that oil exports from the country’s southern provinces have resumed after more than 45 days of suspension, Moody’s expects it will take time for export levels to return to normal, as the US-Iranian temporary ceasefire implemented on April 8 continues to hold.

The agency previously reported an 80% drop in Baghdad’s oil production, noting that the decline pushed crude inventories to elevated levels. It also kept Iraq’s credit rating unchanged at “Caa1,” a level reflecting high credit risk.

Read more: Iraq’s oil bottleneck: Abundance trapped by dependency

https://www.shafaq.com/en/Economy/Regional-conflict-strains-Iraq-s-credit-standing

Iraq's Industrial Output Trails Imports Despite 1,200 Projects

2026-04-18   Shafaq News- Baghdad   Iraq’s industrial sector generates no more than 7 trillion Iraqi dinars (≈ $5.34 billion) annually, far below imports that exceed 100 trillion dinars (≈ $76 billion), economist Manar Al-Obaidi said on Saturday.

Al-Obaidi explained that the sector includes around 1,200 medium and large projects -about 900 large private ventures and 300 medium-sized ones.

He said production remains concentrated in construction and food industries, while key manufacturing sectors such as textiles, furniture, and household goods have sharply declined, even as roughly 1,000 factories depend on imported raw materials, raising costs and weakening competitiveness.

The sector provides about 50,000 jobs, rising to an estimated 100,000 including informal labor, compared with roughly 500,000 new entrants to the labor market each year, while growth of around 5% in large projects has yet to make industry a significant contributor to Iraq’s GDP. Read more: The rentier trap: Iraq’s existential reform race

https://www.shafaq.com/en/Economy/Iraq-s-industrial-output-trails-imports-despite-1-200-projects

News Posted by Tishwash at TNT Saturday 4-18-2026

TNT:

Tishwash: The IMF and World Bank announce the resumption of relations with Venezuela.

 In a pivotal move that strengthens the international legitimacy of the current government in Caracas, the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank announced on Thursday the resumption of their official relations with Venezuela, paving the way for broad financial and technical cooperation after a years-long rift.

Within hours of the announcement, the Venezuelan government confirmed the restoration of communication channels that had been frozen with the two international financial institutions since 2019.

In an official statement, the Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund, Kristalina Georgieva, explained that the decision was "guided by the views of the Fund's members who represent a majority of the voting power," confirming that the Fund will henceforth deal with the Venezuelan government headed by interim President Delcy Rodriguez.

For its part, the World Bank followed the IMF's lead, announcing its official recognition of the Rodríguez government and the resumption of all dealings with it. This shift aims to enable both institutions to begin collecting official economic data, providing technical advice, and potentially offering direct financial support should Caracas request it.

In her first official comment, Delcy Rodríguez welcomed the move, saying in an interview on state television, "We are restoring Venezuela's legitimate rights within these international organizations." The IMF had conducted a survey among its members in recent days to gauge their stance on the legitimacy of Rodríguez's leadership before making its final decision.

This return comes after a long hiatus; relations had officially broken off in March 2019, when the IMF recognized the opposition that controlled parliament as the legitimate government of the country.

It is worth noting that the financial and economic gap between Venezuela and international institutions dates back to years before the recent political crisis; the last official assessment of the Venezuelan economy by the IMF dates back to 2004, while Caracas fully repaid its debts to the World Bank in 2007, before the relationship entered a prolonged period of stagnation.   link

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Tishwash:  Sudanese: The importance of supporting the private sector to be a key partner in building and scientific and economic development

Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani affirmed on Saturday that the government will continue to implement projects to expand and develop the infrastructure of the education sector, which will positively impact the quality of education in Iraq.

This came during a visit by Al-Sudani to Al-Raqiya Intermediate Basic School in the capital, Baghdad, where he participated in the graduation ceremony of the current batch of students for the academic year.

The Prime Minister praised the great efforts made by educational staff in all schools across the country, stressing that the government gives special priority to the education sector within its reform and development plans.

He stressed that human development and providing a suitable educational environment are key priorities in the government’s work, along with supporting other development sectors and enhancing the role of the private sector as a partner in scientific and economic development, particularly in the educational field.

Al-Sudani also called for strengthening cooperation between families and educational institutions in order to prepare a generation that is aware and committed to societal values, stressing the importance of continuous monitoring of the educational process to achieve sustainable positive results  link

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Tishwash:  Sheikh Hamoudi: Iraq is on the verge of forming a new, strong government with a balanced vision.

The head of the Supreme Islamic Council, Sheikh Humam Hamoudi, confirmed on Thursday that Iraq is on the verge of forming a new, strong government with a balanced vision.

A statement issued by the Supreme Islamic Council, received by the Iraqi News Agency (INA), stated that "the President of the Supreme Islamic Council, Sheikh Humam Hamoudi, received the Japanese Ambassador to Baghdad, Akira Endo, and they discussed developments in the region, their global impact, the danger of the Zionist presence, the trends of the political process in Iraq, and opportunities to enhance cooperation between the two countries."

The statement added that, during the meeting, Sheikh Hamoudi stressed that “(Israel) is a rogue, extremist entity that does not believe in dialogue at all,” calling on the countries of the region to bear responsibility for their security with an integrated economic security vision,” noting “the need for Japan to take its role in building understandings in the Middle East, given its influence and being influenced by events.”

Sheikh Hamoudi stressed "Iraq's keenness not to be a party to the region's conflicts but rather to its stability, especially as it is about to form a new, strong government with a balanced vision and open to everyone," calling on "Japan to seize investment opportunities and expand its presence in Iraq."ink

Maliki and Sudani resort to the 8/12 formula to resolve the prime ministerial candidate crisis.

Maliki and Sudani resort to the 8/12 formula to resolve the prime ministerial candidate crisis.

A source within the Coordination Framework revealed the nature of the initial understandings reached regarding the selection of the next prime minister, explaining that the candidate who secures two-thirds of the votes from the Framework's leaders will win the position. This requires time to finalize this preliminary agreement.

This comes against the backdrop of understandings reached among the Framework's leaders regarding the premiership, which led to the postponement of a crucial meeting until next Saturday.

A source close to the Framework stated that "the Framework's leaders agreed to postpone the meeting, which was supposed to be held Wednesday evening, until Saturday, after reaching important understandings." The source added that "the new understandings require more time to decide on the prime ministership."

Regarding the nature of these understandings, the source revealed that "the initial understandings between the Framework's most prominent candidates, Nouri al-Maliki, leader of the State of Law Coalition, and caretaker Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani, which prompted the postponement of the meeting, stipulate that whoever obtains the support of 8 out of 12 leaders from the Shia political bloc will proceed unanimously once the remaining two-thirds are automatically joined, thus securing the premiership."  link

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Tishwash:  Sudani: Iraq is no longer a battleground... a new partnership with Washington and billions of dollars in investment.

Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani published an article in the American magazine Newsweek on April 17, in which he reviewed the most prominent features of the political and economic stage in Iraq, and the government’s vision to enhance internal stability and redefine international relations, especially with the United States.

Al-Sudani stressed that the election result represented a popular mandate for a difficult but necessary path to maintain Iraq’s stability in light of a very dangerous regional phase, and to build stronger institutional foundations and long-term economic renewal.

He noted that over the past two and a half years, and during three waves of regional escalation, his government had managed to keep Iraq out of the war, protect international personnel on its territory, and maintain the cohesion of the state.

He explained that the government brought companies such as ExxonMobil, Chevron, BP and GE Vernova back to Iraq through new commitments in the energy sector worth billions of dollars, in addition to attracting more than $100 billion in investments.

He explained that the current moment is the most appropriate to redefine Iraq’s relationship with the United States, noting that Iraq has always been viewed in Washington through the lens of crises, war and terrorism, while today it is a country that has proven its ability to withstand enormous pressure.

Al-Sudani spoke about the challenges his government has faced since the outbreak of the war in Gaza in October 2023, stressing that the goal was to prevent Iraq from being dragged into a conflict that was not of its choice, despite increasing pressure and escalation from multiple parties.

He added that the government has acted through direct engagement, issuing security directives and continuous political management to prevent Iraqi territory from becoming an open arena for regional war, while maintaining a firm objective of containing escalation and protecting stability.

He stressed that this position represents an exercise of sovereignty, noting that Iraq is more aware than others of the cost of becoming an arena for settling scores between others.

On the security front, he pointed out that the Popular Mobilization Forces were formed in response to the threat of ISIS, and that the government strengthened oversight and directed resources through official institutions, while refusing to turn exceptional arrangements into permanent alternatives to the state.

On the economic front, he affirmed that Iraq has rebuilt its economic position, with the return of major companies to develop oil fields and energy projects, in addition to the implementation of strategic projects such as the Total Energies and Qatar Energy project in Basra.

He stressed that Iraq has become more competitive and more attractive for investment, thanks to improved contractual terms, restored confidence, and the creation of a favorable environment for long-term investment.

He explained that Iraq possesses the fifth largest oil reserves in the world and is located in an important strategic location, which calls for dealing with it as a strategic opportunity in American policy.

He also stressed that Iraq’s partnerships will remain diverse, with continued cooperation with China alongside the United States, Europe, Turkey and the Gulf States, noting that Iraq’s geographical location and balanced relationships represent a strategic strength.

He touched on the development road project, which will make Iraq an important trade corridor and a bridge for trade, energy and diplomacy, instead of being an arena for conflict.

Al-Sudani called on the United States to adopt a more mature strategic framework towards Iraq, especially in the economic field, while protecting and encouraging American investments.

He also stressed the importance of developing the security sector, enhancing intelligence cooperation, and combating terrorism, in order to support the state’s long-term capabilities.

He concluded by emphasizing that Iraq is working to strengthen its institutions, diversify its economy, and resolve the relationship between the state and armed groups in favor of the state, noting that what Iraq is proposing is based on partnership, interests, and mutual respect, and that the opportunity is available to build a more stable and interconnected future in the region.  link

Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Saturday Morning 4-18-26

Good Morning Dinar Recaps,

Bond Market Fragility & Energy Shock Collide — Reset Pressures Rising Fast

Debt stress, geopolitical shifts, and volatile markets are converging into a systemic inflection point.

Overview

Global markets are showing conflicting signals with underlying weakness. While equities have rallied in response to easing geopolitical tension, deeper structural risks are intensifying. Sovereign debt concerns, unstable energy markets, and tightening policy flexibility are all pointing toward a system under strain. Recent warnings from financial leaders highlight that government bond markets—the backbone of global finance—may be approaching a critical breaking point.

Key Developments

1. U.S. Treasury Market Warning Signals Structural Risk

Former Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson warned that the U.S. may need an emergency “break-the-glass” plan if demand for Treasurys weakens significantly. He pointed to persistent deficits, rising yields, and declining foreign demand as key risks. A collapse in demand could force the Federal Reserve to become the primary buyer, effectively monetizing debt and undermining confidence in the system.

2. Global Debt Levels Near Critical Thresholds

Global debt continues to climb toward historic levels near 100% of GDP, limiting governments’ ability to respond to future crises. Rising interest costs are consuming larger portions of national budgets, increasing the likelihood of fiscal instability or forced restructuring if conditions worsen.

3. Energy Market Volatility Highlights Fragility

Oil prices dropped sharply after Iran signaled the Strait of Hormuz would remain open, triggering a rally in equities. However, this underscores a deeper issue: markets are now highly sensitive to geopolitical shocks, with energy acting as a key driver of inflation and liquidity conditions.

4. Central Banks Trapped Between Inflation and Debt Risk

Central banks are facing a policy dilemma. Keeping rates high risks triggering debt stress and recession, while cutting rates too soon could reignite inflation, especially with energy volatility still present. This limits their ability to stabilize markets effectively.

Why It Matters

• Bond market instability threatens the core of global finance

• Excessive debt reduces crisis response capability

• Energy volatility amplifies inflation uncertainty

• Central banks are losing policy flexibility

Together, these forces suggest the system is moving closer to a major inflection point, where traditional tools may no longer be sufficient.

Hello, World!

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

• Confidence in fiat currencies could weaken if debt markets destabilize

• Currency volatility may increase as capital shifts globally

• Nations with strong fundamentals or commodity backing may gain relative strength

• Disruption in U.S. Treasurys would impact the global reserve currency system

Implications for the Global Reset

• Pillar 1: Monetary System Stress
  ‍ ‍The U.S. Treasury market is the foundation of global liquidity. Any sustained disruption could force rapid systemic changes, including increased monetization or a shift in reserve structures.

• Pillar 2: Global Debt Realignment
  ‍ ‍With debt levels at extremes, the likelihood of debt restructuring, currency realignment, or new financial frameworks increases as policymakers search for long-term solutions.

This is not just market volatility — it’s a stress test of the global financial system as debt, energy, and policy constraints converge.

Seeds of Wisdom Team

Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Reuters – Global market themes and central bank pressure

• MarketWatch – Treasury demand collapse warning

~~~~~~~~~~

A Message to Our Currency Holders

If you’ve been holding foreign currency for many years, you were not foolish.

You were not wrong to believe the global financial system would change.

What failed was not your patience — it was the information you were given.

For years, dates, rumors, and personalities replaced facts, structure, and proof. “This week” predictions created cycles of hope and disappointment that were never based on how currencies actually change.

That is not your failure.

Our mission here is different:   • No dates • No rates • No hype • No gurus

Instead, we focus on:

• Verifiable developments • Institutional evidence

• Global financial structure • Where countries actually sit in the process

Currency value changes only come after sovereignty, trade, banking, settlement systems, and fiscal coordination are in place. History and institutions confirm this sequence.

You will see silence. You will see denials. That is not delay — that is discipline.

Protect your identity. Organize your documents.    Verify everything.

Never hand your discernment to anyone who cannot show proof.

You deserve truth — not timelines.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™

~~~~~~~~~~

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Iraq Economic News And Points To Ponder Saturday Morning 4-18-26

Strait Of Hormuz Is Open, But Lower Gas Prices Could Take Time

Traffic And Trepidation In The Persian Gulf Could Keep Gasoline Prices From Dropping Quickly

NEW YORK (AP) — After U.S. President Donald Trump and Iran’s foreign minister said the Strait of Hormuz was fully open to commercial vessels after almost seven weeks of war, oil prices plunged 10% and the stock market rallied Friday.

Motorists, hoping for relief at the pump, wondered how quickly gasoline prices might fall once oil tankers stuck in the Persian Gulf were moving again. A gallon of regular gasoline cost $4.08 on average in the U.S. Friday, which was 37% more than before U.S. and Israel attacked Iran but down a few cents from a week ago.

But when gas prices spike, they don’t typically drop as quickly as the cost of crude. Even if Iran keeps the waterway open in the face of a U.S. blockade of its vessels, it still could take months for fuel prices to return to levels resembling those enjoyed before the war began Feb. 28, energy experts said.

The slow speed at which oil tankers travel from ports to refineries, lingering security concerns, traffic in the strait and damage to energy infrastructure in the Middle East are all playing a role in the elevated price of gasoline.

“The historical observation is that gasoline prices rise quickly but fall slowly, regardless of the particular causes of the increase,” said Mark Barteau, a professor in the department of chemical engineering at Texas A&M University.

“In this case, one has to take into account the time it takes for the steps that have to happen once tankers sail through the straits – for example, sailing time to refineries on other continents, time to ramp up refinery operations, and time to transport some refined products by tanker to the continent where they will be used,” Barteau said. “There is also tendency to hedge bets because of doubts about whether and how quickly that restoration might occur, and whether further disruptions are possible along the way.”

Nevertheless, some energy analysts were optimistic that gas prices would gradually decline.

Caption Backdropped by ships in the Strait of Hormuz, damage, according to local witnesses caused by several recent airstrikes during the U.S.-Israel military campaign, is seen on a fishing pier in the port of Qeshm island, Iran, Monday, April 13, 2026. (AP Photo/Asghar Besharati)

Hope for Lower Gasoline Prices

Gasoline prices were already falling slightly after last week’s announcement of a two-week ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran, according to motor club federation AAA.

Following the Strait of Hormuz announcement, oil prices fell by $10 to $12 per barrel, which generally translates into a decrease of 25 or 30 cents per gallon of gas, said Michael Lynch, distinguished fellow at Energy Policy Research Foundation, a non-partisan research institution focused on energy and economics.

“That doesn’t happen overnight, but within a week or two, we could be down 50 cents a gallon easily, if this holds,” Lynch said. “And part of it is, there’s a lot of tankers ready to go. And if they all come out, then that balances the market very quickly.”

In the wake of Friday's news, “every state will start seeing gas price decreases accelerate at a pace of probably 1 to 3 cents a gallon for every day or two,” said Patrick De Haan, head of petroleum analysis at GasBuddy, in a webcast. “And that could continue for at least a couple of weeks.”

DeHaan estimated that the national average for a gallon of regular gas could reach $3.45 to $3.65 by Memorial Day. But he acknowledged that returning to lower prices could take a while.

“It might take until later this year or early next year to really fully normalize and for some of these surcharges and impacts to reverse and disappear," De Haan said.

Traffic and Trepidation

If an agreement to end the war is reached, it could take at least four months for shipping through the Strait of Hormuz to go back to normal, said Patrick Penfield, professor of supply chain practice at Syracuse University.

“Right now, you still have potential mines that have to be removed or detonated, you have over 150 tankers that have been anchored in and around the strait, which is causing a traffic jam, and we still have shipping rates that are still high because of lack of shipping capacity and war rate insurance,” he said.

The leaders of France and the U.K. welcomed word of the strait's reopening but said they would keep pushing for a way to permanently restore freedom of navigation for vessels that rely on the narrow passage off Iran's coast, through which about one-fifth of the world's oil typically travels.

Ship owners would have to be convinced to trust the Americans and Iranians, "and that seems like it’s a hard hill to climb,” Lynch, of the Energy Policy Research Foundation, said. “I certainly wouldn’t want to do it. I wouldn’t wanna be the first ship through or even the first five ships through, but somebody will do it. There’s a lot of money on the table and somebody’s going to grab it.”

If the Iranians are cooperating, the mines should not be a problem, because Iran has a sense of where the mines are, Lynch said.

"Now, that raises the issue, are the Iranians going to cooperate, or what do they want to cooperate?” he asked. “Are they going to demand a couple-million dollars a ship, as is talked about? Or is Trump going to say ‘that’s not acceptable,’ and then what’s the next step after that?”

If the strait remains open, and ships loaded with oil leave the Persian Gulf, it could take weeks for those heavy, slow-moving ships to reach their destinations.

“People think that once the strait opens, it’s fine. We’re done. It’ll be better really fast,” said Richard Joswick, global head of near-term oil analysis at S&P Global Energy. “If you open the strait today to get a ship and bring it around and take it to Europe and run a refinery, turn it into products, you’re talking 10 weeks of a lag time here. It will be two to three months before things can start to get back to normal after the straight re-opens.”

Damage to Energy Infrastructure in the Middle East

Many oil production facilities were damaged in the Middle East, including refineries in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait and oil tanker terminals in the United Arab Emirates and Iran. Some repairs has been made, but damage remains.

In addition, some countries slowed down or halted production during the war, because without the ability to ship crude through the Strait of Hormuz, their ships and storage tanks filled up with stranded oil.

“It’s not a light switch. Everyone’s impatient and saying, ‘Go, go go,’” De Haan said. “But it will take time to get these flows of oil through the Middle East fired back up again.”

Once an oil well is turned off, the pressure within the well could change, and it can take time to restart the flow. But that might not be a problem in some Middle East oil fields, where production can be resumed quickly, Lynch said.

“The Saudis have done that a bunch of times. They ramp up by 2 or 3 million barrels a day, almost overnight, and there’s no problem with the wells that have been shut in for months and sometimes years,” Lynch said. LINK

https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/energy/articles/traffic-trepidation-persian-gulf-could-213059142.html?.tsrc=1416&ncid=crm_-1674642-20260417-120--A&bt_user_id=IqW8ZYxL7QpRJGSVrGZN7j6SiK2UlM0djntyQdHkNjnFEzomGB8AwXa9mm8V%2Bwvixo0B029rnISxKegd8NvWMT9kvh2pmriwWozs1WapmGApaiB%2FOPE3H9udBsd8Nl30&bt_ts=1776463674248

MilitiaMan and Crew: IRAQ DINAR UPDATE-FOCUS-REER UPDATE: Momentum is Building-Political Clean up & Economic Resilience

MilitiaMan and Crew: IRAQ DINAR UPDATE-FOCUS-REER UPDATE: Momentum is Building-Political Clean up & Economic Resilience

4-17-2026

The Crew:  Samson, PompeyPeter, Petra, Daytrader, Sunkissed, GIGI and Militia Man

No drama. No intrigue. No songs and dances. Just straight, factual news that I read and interpret to the best of my ability after being an avid Dinar investor and insanely obsessed Dinarian for over 15 years.

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Be sure to listen to full video for all the news……..

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