50% Delinquency Spike Ignites Fears of 2008 Meltdown
50% Delinquency Spike Ignites Fears of 2008 Meltdown
Steven Van Metre: 10-17-2025
For years, the auto loan industry was considered a pillar of stability—a safe bet for lenders and a necessary tool for consumers. That stability is now officially shattered.
A detailed and urgent analysis of the U.S. auto market reveals a crisis escalating rapidly, fueled by surging car prices, unsustainable loan terms, and high interest rates. This alarming situation bears uncomfortable resemblances to the 2008 subprime mortgage meltdown, but this time, the crisis centers around car keys and repossessed vehicles, not homes.
50% Delinquency Spike Ignites Fears of 2008 Meltdown
Steven Van Metre: 10-17-2025
For years, the auto loan industry was considered a pillar of stability—a safe bet for lenders and a necessary tool for consumers. That stability is now officially shattered.
A detailed and urgent analysis of the U.S. auto market reveals a crisis escalating rapidly, fueled by surging car prices, unsustainable loan terms, and high interest rates. This alarming situation bears uncomfortable resemblances to the 2008 subprime mortgage meltdown, but this time, the crisis centers around car keys and repossessed vehicles, not homes.
It is no longer a remote headline; it is an imminent threat to local banks, consumer stability, and the overall U.S. economy. Here is a breakdown of why this crisis is deepening and the steps you need to take to protect your finances now.
The numbers paint a stark picture: Auto loan delinquencies have surged by over 50% in the last 15 years. What happened to turn a once-reliable credit sector into a major financial hazard?
While the subprime market is always the first to c***k (with 60+ day delinquencies reaching record highs), this crisis is unique: delinquencies are climbing across all income levels, including high earners.
This suggests that even financially stable households are beginning to feel the profound squeeze of inflation and high debt loads.
The auto loan crisis is not isolated. It is simultaneously a cause and a symptom of wider economic malaise.
The immediate threat is felt by lenders heavily dependent on auto debt: community banks and credit unions. Unlike major Wall Street institutions that can absorb varied losses, these local institutions, often central to regional economies, face severe risks as car loan delinquencies continue to climb. A wave of auto loan defaults could destabilize these vital local financial pillars.
The strain on consumer finances is already filtering into the wider economy. We are seeing a weakening of retail spending, a critical indicator that signals rising consumer concern and a cautious pullback on purchasing. This pattern strongly suggests an economic slowdown is underway, likely triggering a recession.
Furthermore, small businesses—the engine of the U.S. economy—are also facing rising operational costs and increased borrowing rates, risking job losses and further economic contraction.
In a period defined by financial volatility and systemic risk, proactive defense is paramount. According to the analysis presented by expert Steven Van Metre, individuals must prioritize liquidity, safety, and asset management.
Maintain a Deep Emergency Fund: Ensure you have readily accessible, liquid funds (cash or cash equivalents) to cover at least six months of expenses. In a crisis, liquidity is king.
Diversify Bank Exposure: Avoid having all your wealth tied up in a single institution. Spread your deposits across multiple banks or credit unions to maximize FDIC/NCUA coverage.
As the economy slows and volatility increases, look to shift assets into sectors that historically weather downturns well:
Treasuries: Government bonds (particularly short-to-intermediate term) offer a safe haven and predictable returns during periods of recessionary fear.
Defensive Sectors: Consider investments in utilities, consumer staples, and healthcare, which tend to maintain demand regardless of the economic climate.
If you have a high-cost vehicle that is not essential, now may be the time to act:
Sell Underutilized Vehicles: If you are paying a high monthly note on a third family vehicle or a truck you rarely use (especially if remote work has reduced its necessity), consider selling it now. Vehicle values are expected to depreciate further as the repo market floods supply and consumer demand weakens.
The auto loan crisis is a clear warning sign that significant economic volatility is ahead. This is a time for prudence, not panic, but it requires immediate action to safeguard your personal financial foundation.
For further insights and information on navigating this economic environment, watch the full analysis from Steven Van Metre.
Iraq Economic News and Points To Ponder Late Friday Evening 10-17-25
New Instructions From The Central Bank Of Iraq To Prevent Dollar Smuggling Starting Next Month.
Money and Business Economy News – Baghdad On Saturday, the Echo Iraq Observatory revealed new instructions issued by the Central Bank to all authorized banks in the country regarding financial transfers and customs clearance procedures related to the requirements for approving special commercial invoices.
New Instructions From The Central Bank Of Iraq To Prevent Dollar Smuggling Starting Next Month.
Money and Business Economy News – Baghdad On Saturday, the Echo Iraq Observatory revealed new instructions issued by the Central Bank to all authorized banks in the country regarding financial transfers and customs clearance procedures related to the requirements for approving special commercial invoices.
The Observatory said in a statement, "The Central Bank, in Circular No. (267/4/9) dated 10/15/2025, decided to include in commercial invoices a set of basic information, including: shipping and payment terms, value and invoice currency, and the Global Harmonized System of Customs (GHS) code," adding, "As well as the addresses of the importer and destination, an accurate description of the goods, their origin, brand, quantity and unit of measurement, and the unit and total price."
He explained that "the circular stipulates that one of the following invoices must be approved: the final commercial invoice, or the preliminary invoice attached to the sales contract, provided that the final invoice contains all the data of the preliminary invoice."
According to Echo Iraq, "these instructions will be implemented starting November 1, 2025," noting that "the aim of the decision is to regulate foreign financial transfers and enhance transparency and accuracy in customs clearance as part of the national automation project."
The Observatory believes that "this step has several positive aspects, most notably enhancing the standardization of procedures and reducing errors in commercial transactions, in addition to supporting the customs automation project."
This decision comes as part of the efforts of the Central Bank of Iraq and government agencies to develop the financial and administrative environment and improve the level of oversight and compliance with international standards in foreign trade. https://economy-news.net/content.php?id=61284
The Central Bank Announces An Increase In Iraq's Internal And External Debt.
Economy | 10/18/2025 Mawazine News - Baghdad - The Central Bank of Iraq announced on Saturday that Iraq's domestic debt has risen to 91 trillion dinars, while its external debt has reached $54 billion.
This came according to documents the bank provided in response to a parliamentary question, the text of which is here: https://www.mawazin.net/Details.aspx?jimare=268699
Government Financial Advisor: The Ministry Of Finance Has Begun Preparing The 2026 Budget.
Buratha News Agency2062025-10-18 The Prime Minister's Financial Advisor, Mazhar Mohammed Salih, confirmed on Saturday that the Ministry of Finance has begun preparing the 2026 budget, while specifying the disbursement mechanism in the event that the budget cannot be approved. Salih told the official agency,
"In accordance with the Federal Financial Management Law No. 6 of 2019, as amended, the Federal Ministry of Finance is proceeding with preparing the draft federal general budget law for the country for the fiscal year 2026."
He pointed out that "in the event that it cannot be approved within the specified constitutional or legislative timeframes due to the upcoming parliamentary term, the government will undertake disbursements in 2026 on a monthly basis at a rate of 1/12 of the actual current expenditures for the year 2025, including spending on ongoing investment projects, external obligations, and other due expenses."
He also stated that "the Financial Activity will continue to manage revenue collection and continue disbursing through the expenditure items specified under the aforementioned Federal Financial Management Law until the 2026 budget is approved by the House of Representatives. At that point, allocations will be released for any activities required by economic growth and sustainable development, including new investment projects and other emerging commitments."
https://burathanews.com/arabic/economic/466622
Iraq's Foreign Exchange Reserves Declined In A Month.
Money and Business Economy News – Baghdad The Central Bank announced on Saturday that its foreign exchange reserves had fallen to more than $2 billion by the end of July.
The bank said in an official statistic that "the Central Bank's foreign reserves reached $94.714 billion as of July 31 of this year, equivalent to 123.128 trillion Iraqi dinars, a decrease of $2.305 billion compared to last June, when reserves reached $97.019 billion, equivalent to 126.125 trillion dinars."
He added, "These reserves also decreased from last May, which amounted to $96.799 billion, equivalent to 125.839 trillion dinars."
The bank indicated that "these reserves decreased from last year's 2024 figure of $100.276 billion, or the equivalent of 130.347 trillion dinars, and decreased from 2023, when reserves reached $111.736 billion, or the equivalent of 145.257 trillion dinars." https://economy-news.net/content.php?id=61287
For current and reliable Iraqi news please visit: https://www.bondladyscorner.com
Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Saturday Afternoon 10-18-25
Good Afternoon Dinar Recaps,
lobal Alert: 10+ Countries Unite to Halt BRICS Currency Initiative
An unprecedented coalition forms to challenge the BRICS gold-backed currency.
Good Afternoon Dinar Recaps,
lobal Alert: 10+ Countries Unite to Halt BRICS Currency Initiative
An unprecedented coalition forms to challenge the BRICS gold-backed currency.
Western Powers Mobilize Against BRICS Currency
● Coalition formation: Over a dozen nations, including the U.S., U.K., Japan, and Germany, align to oppose the BRICS currency initiative.
● Dollar defense: President Trump calls BRICS de-dollarization efforts “an attack on the dollar” and threatens tariffs.
● Strategic concern: Western nations fear losing influence over trade, financing, and monetary sanctions.
● Coalition rationale: Countries see BRICS gold-backed currency as a potential destabilizer of existing financial systems.
BRICS Currency Development Gains Momentum
● Summit progress: At the 17th BRICS Summit in Brazil (July 2025), leaders reaffirmed commitments to monetary cooperation.
● Expanded influence: The BRICS-10 now represents 46% of global population and 37% of world GDP.
● Digital framework: BRICS Pay and blockchain technology enable cross-border settlements bypassing SWIFT.
● CBDC integration: Member nations advance central bank digital currency research to strengthen local currency settlements.
● Launch timeline: Analysts expect pilot programs and potential currency launch by 2026.
Why This Matters
● Geopolitical stakes: The coalition highlights Western concern over declining dollar dominance.
● Economic impact: A BRICS-backed currency could shift trade patterns and alter the global balance of financial power.
● Financial restructuring: This clash signals a structural shift — traditional dollar-centric systems face challenges from emerging blocs.
● Strategic takeaway: The outcome may dictate who controls the next era of global finance.
"This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes."
Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive
Sources:
Watcher Guru – "Global Alert: 10+ Countries Just Joined Forces to Stop BRICS Currency"
Reuters – "Kremlin rejects Trump's assertion that BRICS targets the dollar"
Binance – "Dollar in Danger as BRICS Currency Launch Fuels Rapid Development"
Watcher Guru – "BRICS Digital Currency Network Bypasses the West, Dollar Weakens"
~~~~~~~~~
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“Tidbits From TNT” Saturday 10-18-2025
TNT:
Tishwash: From Washington: A new banking and economic reform package for Iraq
The Iraqi delegation participating in the banking reform conference in Washington, D.C., on the sidelines of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank meetings, announced a new package of banking and economic reforms on Saturday aimed at strengthening the stability of the financial system and attracting investment.
"The government has implemented a series of steps as part of the economic and financial reform program, most notably the implementation of comprehensive strategic banking reforms in cooperation with the Central Bank of Iraq and international consulting firms, as well as the preparation of a three-year budget for the first time in Iraq's history to ensure stable financial planning that attracts investment," said Saleh Mahoud Salman, an advisor to the Iraqi Prime Minister, according to a statement received by Shafaq News Agency.
TNT:
Tishwash: From Washington: A new banking and economic reform package for Iraq
The Iraqi delegation participating in the banking reform conference in Washington, D.C., on the sidelines of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank meetings, announced a new package of banking and economic reforms on Saturday aimed at strengthening the stability of the financial system and attracting investment.
"The government has implemented a series of steps as part of the economic and financial reform program, most notably the implementation of comprehensive strategic banking reforms in cooperation with the Central Bank of Iraq and international consulting firms, as well as the preparation of a three-year budget for the first time in Iraq's history to ensure stable financial planning that attracts investment," said Saleh Mahoud Salman, an advisor to the Iraqi Prime Minister, according to a statement received by Shafaq News Agency.
He added that "automating the customs system through the implementation of the United Nations ASYCUDA program has led to a significant increase in customs and tax revenues, the restructuring of government banks (Rafidain, Rasheed, Industrial, and Agricultural) and increased their operational efficiency, as well as the expansion of electronic payment systems and increased financial inclusion from less than 10% to more than 40% within two years."
Salman continued, "Support programs have been launched for small and medium-sized enterprises to create job opportunities and stimulate the local economy," noting that "these steps represent a pivotal stage in the economic reform process, and that the government will continue to support the development of the banking sector in cooperation with international institutions."
Prior to this, the Central Bank of Iraq announced new instructions to all authorized banks in the country regarding money transfers and customs clearance procedures related to the requirements for the approval of special commercial invoices, with the aim of curbing currency smuggling.
This measure comes as part of the efforts of the Central Bank of Iraq and government agencies to develop the financial and administrative environment and improve the level of oversight and compliance with international standards in foreign trade. link
****************
Tishwash: Highest since 2003: Confirmation of rising non-oil revenues and calls for economic reform
Representative Basem Naghmish expected, on Wednesday, that Washington would resort to imposing economic sanctions on Iraq, exploiting the pretext of "mismanagement" in the oil sector.
Naghmish told Al-Maalouma Agency, “The United States has become accustomed to using titles such as mismanagement or corruption as a cover to interfere in the affairs of countries, and there are indications that it is trying to follow the same approach with Iraq in the oil file.”
He added, "There is fear that these accusations will be exploited to impose sanctions that may affect oil exports," stressing that "their goal is to keep Iraq weak and influence its sovereign decision."
Earlier, Representative Intisar Al-Moussawi considered Trump's statement about Iraqi oil evidence of America's arrogant outlook, and Washington's treatment of Iraq as a source of wealth rather than a sovereign state. link
******************
Tishwash: Sudanese Advisor: Electronic financial inclusion has risen to more than 40%
Prime Minister Saleh Mahoud Salman's advisor confirmed on Friday that the government is continuing to implement comprehensive strategic banking reforms, noting that the government is committed to continuing to implement the economic and financial reform program
"The government is committed to continuing to implement the economic and financial reform program aimed at enhancing the efficiency of the banking system and supporting sustainable development in the country," Mahoud said in a speech he delivered during his participation as a government representative in the banking reform conference organized by the Central Bank of Iraq in cooperation with the international consulting firm (Oliver & Ayman) at the Ritz Carlton Hotel in Washington, DC, on the sidelines of the meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank.
He stressed that "the banking sector represents a fundamental pillar in the economic reform process," indicating that "the government is continuing to implement comprehensive strategic banking reforms in cooperation with the Central Bank of Iraq, aimed at raising banking standards and enhancing the competitiveness of the financial system."
He explained that "the government has prepared a three-year general budget for the first time, which allows for long-term financial planning, achieving stability in resource management, and enhancing the confidence of local and international investors."
In the context of diversifying revenues and reducing dependence on oil, he explained that "the government has achieved tangible progress in automating the customs system by implementing the United Nations (ASYCUDA) system, which has led to a clear increase in customs revenues in addition to a significant improvement in tax revenues," noting that "the government has implemented a program to restructure government banks (Al-Rafidain, Al-Rasheed, Industrial, and Agricultural) in cooperation with international consulting companies, With the aim of raising its efficiency and enhancing its ability to provide modern financial services.
He pointed out that "the government launched programs to expand the use of electronic payment and partnerships with financial technology companies, which contributed to raising the financial inclusion rate to more than 40% after it was less than 10% two years ago, which was praised by the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund," stressing "the government's support for small and medium enterprises by providing financing and resources to create new job opportunities and stimulate the local economy."
Salman stated that "the banking reforms currently being worked on constitute a turning point in the history of Iraq's economic development, and that the government is determined to support all local and international institutions working to develop the banking sector, as it is a pivotal part of the economic growth and financial stability plan."
He noted that "the government extended its appreciation to the Central Bank, banks, and international and local advisory teams working in this field link
Mot: Just a Saying!!!!
Mot: Millions!!! -- They Spent Millions to Figure This out!!!
MilitiaMan and Crew: IQD News Update-IQD-CBI-Global
MilitiaMan and Crew: IQD News Update-IQD-CBI-Global
10-18-2025
The Crew: Samson, PompeyPeter, Petra, Daytrader, Sunkissed, GIGI and Militia Man
Follow MM on X == https://x.com/Slashn
Be sure to listen to full video for all the news……..
MilitiaMan and Crew: IQD News Update-IQD-CBI-Global
10-18-2025
The Crew: Samson, PompeyPeter, Petra, Daytrader, Sunkissed, GIGI and Militia Man
Follow MM on X == https://x.com/Slashn
Be sure to listen to full video for all the news……..
Iraq Economic News and Points To Ponder Late Friday Evening 10-17-25
Dollar Alternative
The Government Is Out Of The Equation. Gold Swallows The Iraqi Dinar And Becomes A "Money Laundering" Currency.
Economy / Special Files 10-16-2025, 11:00 PM | 2135 Baghdad Today - Baghdad Iraq is witnessing an unprecedented surge in gold prices, amid a decline in the state's monetary instruments and growing indications of the expanding influence of parallel financial networks exploiting market and legal loopholes. This crisis, which began in a market influenced by the London and New York stock exchanges, has become a mirror of the broader crisis of confidence plaguing the Iraqi economy.
Dollar Alternative
The Government Is Out Of The Equation. Gold Swallows The Iraqi Dinar And Becomes A "Money Laundering" Currency.
Economy / Special Files 10-16-2025, 11:00 PM | 2135 Baghdad Today - Baghdad Iraq is witnessing an unprecedented surge in gold prices, amid a decline in the state's monetary instruments and growing indications of the expanding influence of parallel financial networks exploiting market and legal loopholes. This crisis, which began in a market influenced by the London and New York stock exchanges, has become a mirror of the broader crisis of confidence plaguing the Iraqi economy.
Experts believe that the yellow metal is no longer a commodity tied solely to supply and demand, but rather a precise indicator of the deep imbalance between monetary policy and the real economy, and of the government's failure to protect the market from waves of speculation and currency smuggling.
Economic expert Nasser Al-Kanani explained to Baghdad Today that “the continuous rise in gold prices in the local market is directly due to global price fluctuations.
Iraq does not possess the tools to intervene or the ability to control this market, which is governed by global stock exchanges.” He pointed out that “the absence of local gold production has made the country hostage to fluctuations in foreign markets.
Every rise in London or New York is immediately reflected in Baghdad, Najaf, and Basra, without any government capacity to mitigate its severity.”
Economic observers confirm that the continuation of this situation means that Iraqi monetary policy is operating in a completely exposed environment, and that the Central Bank has lost the ability to manage price balance after markets began operating according to the logic of global supply and uncontrolled local demand.
Al-Kanani adds, "Geopolitical factors andUS interest rate decisions, along withdollar movements in the markets, are the main drivers of gold prices currently,while the Iraqi government is limited to a regulatory role through the Central Bank and the Tax Authority, without any real tools for control."
Financial researchers point out that this reality reflects the fragility of the Iraqi economy, which relies entirely on imports and lacks internal protection strategies or monetary balancing policies that allow it to absorb shocks.
This has forced the local market to operate on the principle of absolute freedom of trade, without a balance between economic freedom and the equirements of financial stability. Amid this situation, citizens are increasingly turning to gold as a means of savings,as confidence in the dinar declines and its exchange rate fluctuates against the dollar.
Al-Kanani warned that “random speculation on gold is exacerbating the crisis, as it raises local demand to unrealistic levels and increases pressure on prices,” adding that the government has lost the ability to control this wave, at a time when prices fluctuate daily based on the general mood of speculators, not on well-considered economic decisions.”
Financial market observers confirm that citizens’ behavior toward gold has become a direct reaction to the weakness of financial and banking institutions, and that the loss of confidence in the national currency has pushed the popular economy to seek alternatives that preserve value, even if they are outside the control of the state.
On the other hand, the gold crisis intersects with what anti-corruption expert Yassin al-Taie calls the "prestige economy," meaning the use of illicit funds to build a new social image known as "reputation laundering," a phenomenon that has become synonymous with money laundering in recent years.
Al-Taie told Baghdad Today, "There is a close connection between money laundering and reputation laundering.
Both are part of a single strategy pursued by influential actors in the black economy, aimed at circumventing the law and obtaining social cover that allows them to expand in the economic and political spheres."
Observers point out that this shift in the behavior of those with illicit capital reflects a change in the form of corruption itself, as its goal is no longer solely to gain unlawful enrichment, but rather to build a network of influence that fortifies corruption within societal institutions.
Al-Taie explains that “these entities resort to establishing commercial companies that appear legitimate, or financing cultural and charitable events, to gain the trust of society and grant themselves moral immunity that prevents them from being held accountable.”
Oversight experts say that these practices have distorted the local economic environment and eroded trust in public institutions, as corruption is no longer hidden or confined to government agencies,
but has permeated the public sphere under the banner of charitable work and civic investment. Al-Taie adds that “some entities are taking advantage of loopholes in the laws and their relationships with influential circles to expand their activities without oversight,”
which observers see as a clear threat to the principles of institutional justice and equal economic opportunity.
Economists believe that the combination of loss of monetary control, money laundering, and reputational damage represents a dangerous example of what is known as the "dual economy,"where the formal economy operates according to state rules, while the parallel economy operates according to private interests.
Observers assert that the gold market today is the legal front for the parallel economy. Through it, money is recycled and its sources are concealed, while all transactions appear legitimate on paper." They point out that this phenomenon "keeps the state in the position of a bystander while informal money circulates freely within institutions."
Economic researchers argue that addressing the crisis requires rebuilding oversight mechanisms for gold trade and imports, linking them to a unified financial tracking system overseen by the Central Bank and the Anti-Money Laundering Authority, similar to that implemented by European Union countries.
Economists point out that "the existence of a national registry for gold traders that requires them to disclose their sources of funding will help block smuggling and money laundering networks," adding that "the absence of this type of transparency makes the market an ideal place to funnel illicit capital under the guise of legitimate trade."
Observers agree that continuing this path will deepen the loss of confidence in the national currency and transform gold into an alternative currency outside the banking system.
This will constrain the Central Bank's ability to manage liquidity and increase the likelihood of Iraq being exposed to new international financial pressures.
Economists believe that "the country needs a flexible and integrated monetary policy that links financial stability with security oversight of financial movements," while anti-corruption experts assert that "any reform that does not address reputational damage with the same seriousness as money laundering will remain merely superficial."
According to economic observers, "the crisis has gone beyond the market stage to become a national crisis of confidence," noting that gold today is no longer merely a measure of wealth, but rather "an indicator of the state's vulnerability to unregulated money."
Researchers assert that regaining control of the gold market is not simply a matter of price, but rather a test of the government's ability to restore discipline to its financial system and prevent wealth from becoming a means of influence and the economy from becoming a vehicle for organized corruption. https://baghdadtoday.news/285348-.html
By 40%, The Central Bank Is Committed To Implementing Comprehensive Strategic Banking Reforms.
Economy | 12:59 - 17/10/2025 Mawazine News - Economy Prime Minister's Advisor Saleh Mahoud Salman affirmed on Friday that the government is proceeding with comprehensive strategic banking reforms, noting that the government is committed to continuing to implement the economic and financial reform program.
In a speech delivered during his participation as a representative of the government in the banking reform conference organized by the Central Bank of Iraq in cooperation with the international consulting firm Oliver Wyman at the Ritz Carlton Hotel in Washington, DC, on the sidelines of the meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank, Mahoud said,
“The government is committed to continuing to implement the economic and financial reform program aimed at enhancing the efficiency of the banking system and supporting sustainable development in the country.”
He stressed that “the banking sector represents a fundamental pillar in the economic reform process,” indicating that “the government is proceeding with implementing comprehensive strategic banking reforms in cooperation with the Central Bank of Iraq, aimed at raising the standards of banking work and enhancing the competitiveness of the financial system.
” ]He explained that “the government has prepared a three-year general budget for the first time, which allows for long-term financial planning, achieving stability in resource management, and enhancing the confidence of local and international investors.”
Within the framework of diversifying revenues and reducing dependence on oil, he indicated that “the government has achieved tangible progress in automating the customs system through the implementation of the United Nations ASYCUDA system, which has led to a clear increase in customs revenues in addition to a significant improvement in tax revenues,” noting that
"The government has implemented a program to restructure state-owned banks (Rafidain, Rashid, Industrial, and Agricultural) in cooperation with international consulting firms, with the aim of raising their efficiency and enhancing their ability to provide modern financial services."
He pointed out that "the government has launched programs to expand the use of electronic payments and partnerships with financial technology companies, which has contributed to raising the rate of financial inclusion to more than 40%, up from less than 10% two years ago.
This has been praised by the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund." He emphasized "the government's support for small and medium-sized enterprises by providing financing and resources to create new job opportunities and stimulate the local economy."
Salman stated that "the banking reforms currently underway represent a pivotal moment in Iraq's economic development history, and that the government is determined to support all local and international institutions working to develop the banking sector, considering it a pivotal part of the plan for economic growth and financial stability." He noted that "the government expressed its appreciation to the Central Bank, the banks, and the international and local advisory teams working in this field." https://www.mawazin.net/Details.aspx?jimare=268633
For current and reliable Iraqi news please visit: https://www.bondladyscorner.com
Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Saturday Morning 10-18-25
Good Morning Dinar Recaps,
Balancing the Edge: Currency Calm Masks Deeper Market Tremors
When the dollar stands still, it often means the ground beneath it is shifting.
Global Markets Show Uneasy Balance
The global currency and commodity landscape entered a rare moment of balance this week, with the U.S. dollar holding steady even as geopolitical tensions escalated. Beneath that calm, traders are reading signals of strategic repositioning and subtle intervention.
Good Morning Dinar Recaps,
Balancing the Edge: Currency Calm Masks Deeper Market Tremors
When the dollar stands still, it often means the ground beneath it is shifting.
Global Markets Show Uneasy Balance
The global currency and commodity landscape entered a rare moment of balance this week, with the U.S. dollar holding steady even as geopolitical tensions escalated. Beneath that calm, traders are reading signals of strategic repositioning and subtle intervention.
The U.S. Treasury’s reported $200 million sale of Argentine pesos underscored Washington’s readiness to manage emerging-market stress. Meanwhile, silver and gold markets flashed early warning signs, as analysts at BCA Research cautioned that short squeezes in metals often precede liquidity shocks.
Signals Behind the Stability
In a world where currencies no longer simply reflect trade flows, they reveal political currents.
● Emerging-market currencies are increasingly vulnerable to sanctions, capital flight, and policy shocks.
● Commodity shifts, especially in gold and silver, now act as real-time sentiment barometers for systemic risk.
● Dollar steadiness may mask preparations for deeper financial decoupling between global blocs.
While the charts appear calm, the underlying movement suggests capital is seeking safe ground before the next round of monetary and geopolitical shifts.
Why This Matters
Currency stability often precedes structural change.
Behind today’s calm façade, the architecture of global finance is quietly evolving — away from interest-rate dominance and toward resource-backed value systems.
If this trajectory continues, the next era of global finance will not be defined by who sets rates — but by who controls tangible value: energy, metals, and strategic currencies.
Out with the old and in with the new — the signals are already in motion.
"This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes."
Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive
Sources:
~~~~~~~~~
A Tunnel Through Time: The U.S.–Russia Meeting and Moscow’s New Diplomatic Blueprint
From political distance to physical connection, a quiet proposal could redefine global alignment.
A New Phase in U.S.–Russia Relations
Reports of an upcoming Trump–Putin meeting in Budapest have reignited speculation over a potential thaw between Washington and Moscow. Yet, beyond the headlines, an unexpected proposal is circulating — one that blends infrastructure, symbolism, and strategy.
According to a recent analysis from Modern Diplomacy, the Kremlin has advanced an “audacious bid” to create a physical tunnel link between the U.S. and Russia via the Bering Strait. The project, dubbed a “tunnel of diplomacy,” aims to symbolize a permanent channel of cooperation in trade, energy, and technology.
While the notion may seem ambitious, it fits within a larger narrative of economic realignment: building bridges — literally — as political alliances shift.
Strategic Implications
“In geopolitics, infrastructure is diplomacy made concrete.” — Modern Diplomacy, Oct 2025
● Such a project would bind energy and logistics networks across the Arctic, reducing reliance on Europe and Asia for trade routes.
● It could shift leverage from Western-controlled maritime channels to a joint Arctic corridor managed through bilateral agreements.
● For Washington, participation would signify a pragmatic, not ideological, shift — prioritizing resource access and stability over rivalry.
This concept reflects a subtle, post-sanction diplomacy: nations seeking economic interdependence as a tool for peace, not pressure.
Why This Matters
If realized, the “tunnel of diplomacy” would mark a physical manifestation of geopolitical restructuring.
It would connect not just two nations, but two financial systems — potentially linking Western capital flows with Eurasian resource frameworks.
In this sense, the bridge becomes the blueprint: a visible symbol of the emerging order where economic survival outweighs political division.
Out with the old, in with the new — diplomacy now runs through steel, not speeches.
"This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes."
Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive
Sources:
~~~~~~~~~
Shockwaves and Safe Havens: How Geopolitical Risk Is Repricing the World
When politics drives markets, currencies become the first casualty.
Markets Under Pressure
A surge in geopolitical tension across Europe and the Middle East has sent investors scrambling for stability. Gold briefly touched another record high, and major currencies — from the yen to the euro — are moving not on economics, but on fear.
Even as central banks signal caution, capital flight toward tangible assets is reshaping how markets interpret risk. Traders once gauged volatility through interest-rate moves; today, they track troop deployments, sanctions, and energy routes.
A New Era of Risk Pricing
“Geopolitical instability is now a leading indicator, not a lagging one.” — IMF Outlook, October 2025
● Safe-haven demand for gold, silver, and oil reflects declining confidence in fiat-based stability.
● Sovereign debt markets are fragmenting, with yields moving inversely to traditional logic.
● BRICS+ economies are doubling down on commodity-backed trade, insulating themselves from Western liquidity shocks.
This shift signals that the next financial reset may emerge not from policy — but from pressure.
The global economy is quietly repricing itself around security of value, not the promise of growth.
Why This Matters
The world is witnessing a structural rotation in capital confidence.
When gold outperforms currencies, it means the trust equation is changing — away from central banks and toward real assets.
If these trends persist, the next financial order may no longer pivot on the dollar or euro, but on resource control and bilateral trade guarantees.
Out with the old and in with the new — the markets are already writing the first chapter of that transition.
"This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes."
Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive
Sources:
~~~~~~~~~
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Iraq Economic News and Points To Ponder Late Friday Evening 10-17-25
Bondlady Site Admin & Member Comments
Does The Central Bank Intend To Remove Zeros From The Dinar?
Economy | 11:08 - 10/14/2025 Mawazine News - Baghdad - The Central Bank of Iraq announced, on Tuesday, its gold reserves and its intention to remove zeros from the Iraqi currency. The Deputy Governor of the Central Bank, Ammar Khalaf, said in a press statement, followed by Mawazine News, that: "The Central Bank of Iraq has increased its gold holdings from 90 tons to 170 tons at the present time."
Bondlady Site Admin & Member Comments
Does The Central Bank Intend To Remove Zeros From The Dinar?
Economy | 11:08 - 10/14/2025 Mawazine News - Baghdad - The Central Bank of Iraq announced, on Tuesday, its gold reserves and its intention to remove zeros from the Iraqi currency. The Deputy Governor of the Central Bank, Ammar Khalaf, said in a press statement, followed by Mawazine News, that: "The Central Bank of Iraq has increased its gold holdings from 90 tons to 170 tons at the present time."
Khalaf added that "this amount of gold now constitutes 20% of the total assets of the Central Bank, and Iraq currently ranks fourth in the Arab world in gold holdings and 29th globally."
The Deputy Governor of the Central Bank confirmed that "there is no intention to float the exchange rate of the Iraqi dinar, so as not to affect the stability of the economy at the present time."
Khalaf revealed that "there is an intention to remove zeros from the Iraqi dinar in order to ease the burden of hoarding banknotes on the financial sector." https://www.mawazin.net/Details.aspx?jimare=268477
Central Bank: Gold Reserves Reach 170 Tons, With Intention To Remove Zeros From Dinar
Buratha News Agency1132025-10-15 The Central Bank of Iraq announced, on Tuesday, October 14, 2025, its gold reserves and its intention to remove zeros from the Iraqi currency.
Deputy Governor of the Central Bank, Ammar Khalaf, said in a press statement, "The Central Bank of Iraq has increased its gold holdings from 90 tons to 170 tons at the present time."
Khalaf added, "This amount of gold now constitutes 20% of the Central Bank's total assets, and Iraq currently ranks fourth in the Arab world in gold holdings and 29th globally."
The Deputy Governor of the Central Bank confirmed that "there is no intention to float the Iraqi dinar exchange rate, so as not to affect the stability of the economy at the present time."
Khalaf revealed that "there is an intention to remove zeros from the Iraqi dinar to ease the burden of banknote hoarding on the financial sector." https://burathanews.com/arabic/economic/466485
Bondlady Site Member calaciura: I'm not sure if AI is accurate when we talk about deleting the zeros. My concern is will our notes in the United States will have those zeros dropped as well, which would mean it would lop the currency in the value. What are your thoughts
Bondlady Site Administrator tlm724: Hey calaciura, we are in very interesting times for sure !! It's difficult to know exactly what is going to happen but I will try to shed some light on the subject. Most recently the Prime Minister's financial advisor, Mazhar Mohammed Salih said on 10/10/2025 that
"Controlling inflation is the primary goal for maintaining price stability and the purchasing power of the Iraqi dinar."
and " Monetary policy also succeeded in maintaining the positive effects of the official exchange rate of 1,320 dinars per dollar and limiting the effects of the parallel exchange market on the stability of the pricing system."
lastly ""Iraq is witnessing a significant price boom, which is an indicator of the success of economic policy implementation. This is a remarkable development, unprecedented in the past ten years, as this stability is reflected in the country's cash income."
Bondlady Site Administrator tlm724: Saleh is also in Washington today meeting with officials from the US Treasury Department and the Federal Reserve
Bondlady Site Administrator tlm724: The above information is important because the CBI is trying and succeeding in controlling inflation and stabilizing the economy/exchange rate. These are critical to setting the stage for the possible removal of the 3 zero's. They would never attempt the removal without a stable environment. The fact that they are considering this is encouraging, something, WE as investors have never seen. On a side note :
" When a government drops three zeros from a currency, it is called redenomination. This is a symbolic change that makes large numbers easier to use and calculate, but it does not directly affect the currency's purchasing power or value. The change is intended to simplify transactions and can be a psychological tool to signal the end of high inflation, but its long-term success depends on accompanying economic policies"
"In monetary economics, redenomination is the process of changing the face value of banknotes and coins in circulation. It may be done because inflation has made the currency unit so small that only large denominations of the currency are in circulation."
Bondlady Site Administrator tlm724: I wish I had a clear and definite idea of what comes next but I do not. It is times like these were I wish our Bondlady was here to guide us ! I think our best course of action is to stay the course and watch for forth coming changes. If the removal happens it will take time to print bank notes etc... and there will be transition period just as there was in 2003.There are many Dinar notes outside of Iraq that I think there would be a time frame for exchanging it but as far as the value that remains the question. What it means for us is yet to be seen but I promise we will be here for you and each other each step of the way !! Thank you
For current and reliable Iraqi news please visit: https://www.bondladyscorner.com
Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Friday Afternoon 10-17-25
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India Cuts Russian Oil Imports by Half After U.S. Talks — A Shift with Global Implications
Energy diplomacy, sanctions pressure, and BRICS realignment collide
The Strategic Pivot
India has reportedly slashed Russian oil imports by 50% following recent U.S.–India trade talks, according to Reuters.
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India Cuts Russian Oil Imports by Half After U.S. Talks — A Shift with Global Implications
Energy diplomacy, sanctions pressure, and BRICS realignment collide
The Strategic Pivot
India has reportedly slashed Russian oil imports by 50% following recent U.S.–India trade talks, according to Reuters.
The decision marks a potential shift in New Delhi’s careful balance between cheap Russian crude and strategic ties with Washington.
Since Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine, India became one of Moscow’s largest energy buyers, purchasing discounted oil despite Western sanctions.
The U.S. has long urged India to diversify energy sources and align more closely with G7 sanctions policy.
Indian refiners reportedly began cutting orders in September, though official data won’t confirm reductions until late 2025.
“This reduction follows constructive talks between our energy teams,” a White House spokesperson told Reuters. “We welcome India’s steps to support global stability.”
Why It Matters
The move underscores a realignment in global energy politics:
India: Balances domestic affordability with growing Western diplomatic pressure.
United States: Gains leverage in isolating Russian energy revenues without triggering global oil shocks.
Russia: Faces shrinking Asian markets, further constraining revenues as Western sanctions deepen.
China: May benefit from redirected Russian crude at deeper discounts, tightening Moscow–Beijing energy ties.
No formal Indian directive has been issued yet, and refiners are adjusting cautiously to avoid price instability.
Global Policy Implications
This quiet shift carries macro-financial consequences that tie directly into the broader “financial reset” narrative:
Reduced Russian oil flows could tighten global liquidity in commodity trade, especially for nations transacting outside the dollar system.
India’s move suggests deeper U.S. coordination to reassert the petrodollar framework, which BRICS nations — particularly Russia and China — have sought to challenge.
As BRICS pushes for alternative settlement systems and gold-linked trade mechanisms, India’s participation becomes increasingly uncertain.
This could fragment BRICS cohesion, weakening plans for a unified reserve asset or “BRICS currency.”
The Bigger Picture
If sustained, India’s pivot may accelerate two parallel dynamics:
A Western-led tightening of global finance through sanctions and compliance systems.
A BRICS-led counterstructure, forced to innovate faster — potentially via digital settlement rails, gold-backed trade credits, or regional clearinghouses.
Both trends feed into what analysts describe as the early stages of a financial system reset — one where energy flows dictate monetary architecture more than ever.
This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes
Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive
Sources
Reuters – “India Slashes Russian Oil Imports by Half After U.S. Talks”
Modern Diplomacy – “India Slashes Russian Oil Imports by Half After U.S. Talks – White House”
Bloomberg – “India’s Energy Diplomacy Shifts as Pressure Mounts on Russian Crude”
Financial Times – “BRICS Energy Trade Faces New Test as India Reconsiders Russian Oil”
~~~~~~~~~
30+ Countries Join BRICS Gold Rush
Central banks shift reserves from Treasuries to tangible assets — gold hits record highs amid global realignment.
Central Banks Lead the Shift
The global financial landscape is undergoing a quiet but profound transformation.
As gold prices surpassed $4,300 per ounce in mid-October 2025 — their highest level on record — more than 30 nations have accelerated gold purchases, signaling a decisive move away from dollar-denominated reserves.
According to the World Gold Council (WGC) and The Economic Times, central banks now hold approximately 36,344 metric tons of gold, valued around $4.5 trillion — exceeding their combined holdings of U.S. Treasury securities for the first time since 1996.
This symbolic milestone marks a historic rebalancing of global wealth.
“We are witnessing a structural realignment of reserve management,” notes the WGC’s latest quarterly report.
The BRICS Core and Beyond
The BRICS bloc — Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa — holds roughly 20% of global gold reserves, with Russia and China together accounting for nearly three-quarters of the group’s total.
These two nations alone control more than 4,600 tonnes, underscoring their central role in the de-dollarization movement.
Beyond the core bloc, more than 30 other countries have joined the gold accumulation trend:
Poland added nearly 90 tonnes in 2024, reaching over 500 tonnes in 2025, leading global central bank purchases.
China’s reserves rose to about 2,294 tonnes by April 2025 after 18 months of consecutive buying.
Kazakhstan reversed prior sales, adding nearly 25 tonnes in 2025.
Azerbaijan’s State Oil Fund (SOFAZ) expanded holdings by 18.7 tonnes in Q1 2025.
Smaller accumulators — Egypt, Kyrgyz Republic, Qatar, Oman — each added between 1–4 tonnes in 2025, diversifying beyond traditional assets.
Gold’s Record-Breaking Run
Gold’s rally has been one of the most dramatic since 1979.
The metal crossed $4,000 per ounce on October 8, and by October 17, hit an intraday high of $4,310, according to Reuters.
Year-to-date, gold has gained over 55%, outperforming equities, oil, and most sovereign debt indices.
Analysts link this momentum to a combination of:
Lower real yields as the Federal Reserve signals rate cuts below 4%.
Persistent inflation concerns and geopolitical fragmentation.
Central bank diversification from “sanction-vulnerable” reserves to physical assets.
Strategic Motives: Security Over Liquidity
The BRICS gold accumulation accelerated after Western nations froze an estimated $300 billion in Russian reserves in 2022.
This event exposed the vulnerability of digital reserves and foreign-held assets.
Unlike currency reserves, gold stored domestically cannot be sanctioned or seized, making it an appealing hedge for emerging economies seeking monetary autonomy.
Meanwhile, China’s Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) — an alternative to SWIFT — now includes 1,421 banks in 110 countries, supporting the idea of a multi-polar financial network and potentially paving the way for a gold-backed settlement mechanism within BRICS trade channels.
A Long-Term Structural Shift
The ongoing reserve restructuring signals a deep and likely irreversible trend:
Central banks have purchased over 1,000 tonnes annually for three consecutive years — twice the decade average.
The value of official gold holdings now exceeds the combined U.S. Treasury exposure in central bank portfolios.
Gold-backed ETFs have added over 600 tonnes in 2025, with inflows exceeding $30 billion in Q1 alone.
Analysts describe this not as a temporary rally but a “structural realignment of global reserves.”
Implications: Toward a Parallel Monetary Order
This gold-driven reserve expansion dovetails with the BRICS agenda to build alternative financial frameworks independent of Western clearing systems.
While a full “gold-backed BRICS currency” remains speculative, the underlying behavior — sovereigns accumulating hard assets — demonstrates a gradual pivot from trust-based finance to asset-backed credibility.
The implications are sweeping:
The U.S. dollar’s dominance in global settlements may gradually erode.
Emerging economies gain stronger negotiating leverage within trade and credit systems.
Gold re-emerges as both a political and monetary tool — not just a commodity hedge.
The Bottom Line
As the world’s monetary map redraws itself, the BRICS gold rush is less about speculation and more about sovereignty and control.
From Warsaw to Beijing, the signal is unmistakable: hard assets are once again the foundation of power.
This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.
Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive
Sources and Further Reading
Reuters – “Gold rallies beyond $4,300, set for best week in five years”
World Gold Council – “Central bank gold buying slowed in April 2025”
NDTV – “India becomes second-largest gold buyer after Poland in 2024”
Astana Times – “Kazakhstan ranks among top ten nations with highest increase in gold reserves”
Newssa.co.za – “Poland, Azerbaijan, and China lead global gold demand in Q1 2025”
~~~~~~~~~
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Iraq Economic News and Points To Ponder Friday Morning 10-17-25
Economic Advisor: Iraq Is Moving Forward With Banking Reform, And The Return Of Dollar Transactions Is Imminent.
October 16, 2025 Baghdad / Iraq Observer The Prime Minister's financial advisor, Mazhar Mohammed Salih, affirmed on Thursday that Iraq's commitment to international standards paves the way for the return of dollar transactions, attracting foreign investment, and expanding financial inclusion.
He emphasized that the path of banking reform is ongoing and irreversible.
Economic Advisor: Iraq Is Moving Forward With Banking Reform, And The Return Of Dollar Transactions Is Imminent.
October 16, 2025 Baghdad / Iraq Observer The Prime Minister's financial advisor, Mazhar Mohammed Salih, affirmed on Thursday that Iraq's commitment to international standards paves the way for the return of dollar transactions, attracting foreign investment, and expanding financial inclusion.
He emphasized that the path of banking reform is ongoing and irreversible.
Saleh said, "Iraq's commitment to international standards and banking transparency means the Iraqi financial system has entered a phase of radical reform, which will enhance international confidence and qualify it to be an active player in the global economy."
He noted that "the most significant gains are not limited to the return of dollar transactions to national banks, but also include attracting investment and expanding financial inclusion."
He explained that "adherence to international standards requires that banking institutions adhere to anti-money laundering and counter-terrorism financing rules, implement transparent accounting and oversight systems, and digitally transform the banking infrastructure, including electronic payment systems and unified financial reporting."
He continued, "This also includes opening up to sound international financial services, by contracting with global companies to develop banking systems, particularly financial auditing and fintech companies," adding, "This commitment places Iraq on the map of the global financial system and gives it the opportunity to integrate with international correspondent banks."
He added, "The gains that will benefit Iraq will also lead to the restoration of dollar transactions with international banks, after some Iraqi banks were deprived of them due to poor compliance issues.
They will also attract foreign investment, as investors seek a transparent and secure financial environment.
They will also enhance financial inclusion by integrating broad segments of citizens into the banking system through digital services. They will also improve Iraq's credit rating, which will positively impact its ability to obtain international financing on better terms."
He pointed out that “enhancing confidence in the Iraqi banking system is achieved through the confidence of international banks that will deal with the modernized banking system, which is compatible with international standards, which opens the door for Iraq to deal with correspondent banks in Europe and America.
The Iraqi citizen’s confidence in the modernized banks is also increasing, and he begins to feel safe dealing with them, especially with the development of electronic services and the reduction of risks, in addition to the confidence of international companies contracting with Iraq, which are looking for a transparent financial environment that guarantees the integrity of transfers and contracts.”
He pointed out that "the level of progress in the field of banking reform, sponsored by Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani within the government's program and its implementation, and in cooperation with the Central Bank of Iraq, came in accordance with the 2025 Banking Reform Document."
He added, "The Central Bank of Iraq is leading a comprehensive shift toward reform, including increasing capital in consultation with the banking system and implementing comprehensive governance." He explained that
"the development of modern digital systems is no longer an option, but a necessity, and has already begun in some leading banks, despite ongoing challenges, such as historically weak trust and varying levels of preparedness among banks." He emphasized that "the reform path is clear and irreversible." https://observeriraq.net/مستشار-اقتصادي-العراق-ماضٍ-في-الإصلاح/
Conclusion Of A Specialized Training Course On The Work Of Exchange And Financial Mediation Companies
October 16, 2025 The Central Bank of Iraq's Center for Banking Studies concluded today a specialized training course titled "The Operation of Exchange Companies and Financial Intermediation."
The course ran from October 12 to 16, 2025, with the participation of a number of employees in the banking sector and accredited exchange companies.
The course aimed to enhance participants' professional knowledge of the working mechanisms of exchange and financial intermediary companies, raise their level of proficiency in the technical and legal aspects related to managing financial operations, and develop their skills in compliance and adherence to the regulatory standards issued by the Central Bank of Iraq.
The course included detailed topics covering the legislative and regulatory framework for exchange companies, anti-money laundering and counter-terrorism financing procedures, and sound accounting and administrative practices in managing capital and customer accounts.
This course is part of the Center for Banking Studies' annual training program, which aims to build human capacity in financial and banking institutions, contributing to supporting the stability of the financial system and developing the professional performance of banking sector employees. https://cbi.iq/news/view/3014
Conclusion Of A Training Course On Financing Small Projects
October 16, 2025 The Banking Studies Center at the Central Bank of Iraq concluded today a specialized training course entitled"Financing Small Projects (Methods and Arithmetic Treatment)", which was held from October 14 to 16, 2025, with the participation of a number of employees from banks and financial institutions.
The course aimed to enhance participants' understanding of the concepts and importance of small business financing and its vital role in supporting the national economy, as it is one of the fundamental pillars of achieving sustainable development and providing job opportunities.
The training program covered several topics, including the tools and methods used in designing microfinance programs, the accounting requirements for small business financing operations, an analysis of the financial and social impact of these projects on banks and clients, and the development of skills in preparing periodic reports to monitor the performance of microfinance portfolios.
This course is part of the Center for Banking Studies' annual training program, which aims to enhance the efficiency of employees in the Iraqi banking sector and provide them with practical knowledge that will contribute to expanding the scope of small and microfinance, in line with the Central Bank of Iraq's efforts to support financial inclusion and stimulate the national economy. https://cbi.iq/news/view/3015
For current and reliable Iraqi news please visit: https://www.bondladyscorner.com
Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Friday Morning 10-17-25
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Peace as Reset: How the Budapest Summit Could Reshape Global Finance
Trump and Putin’s planned meeting in Budapest revives hopes for peace — and may quietly signal a shift toward a long-awaited financial realignment.
The Breakthrough Nobody Expected
A sudden flurry of diplomatic activity has redefined the geopolitical map.
Former U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin have agreed to meet in Budapest, aiming to negotiate an end to the war in Ukraine — a conflict now entering its fourth year.
Good Morning Dinar Recaps,
Peace as Reset: How the Budapest Summit Could Reshape Global Finance
Trump and Putin’s planned meeting in Budapest revives hopes for peace — and may quietly signal a shift toward a long-awaited financial realignment.
The Breakthrough Nobody Expected
A sudden flurry of diplomatic activity has redefined the geopolitical map.
Former U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin have agreed to meet in Budapest, aiming to negotiate an end to the war in Ukraine — a conflict now entering its fourth year.
The announcement follows a surprise phone call between the two leaders, described by Kremlin officials as “frank and substantive.” The call reportedly came just as Washington was considering a new round of advanced weapons for Ukraine, including Tomahawk missiles, a move that could have deepened confrontation rather than cooled it.
Shortly after the conversation, Putin convened Russia’s Security Council to review next steps. Within hours, signals emerged from Moscow indicating a willingness to resume structured talks with Western interlocutors — including a potential return to EU soil, something unseen since the invasion began in 2022.
Hungary, a NATO member and European Union state that maintains working relations with both Washington and Moscow, has offered to host. Officials confirmed that Budapest will guarantee Putin’s entry despite legal hurdles, framing it as a step toward “peace through dialogue.”
The Political Context
The developments follow weeks of quiet back-channel communication between U.S. and Russian advisers. Trump, who has made ending the Ukraine conflict a central theme of his 2024 campaign, called the war “inglorious” and “unnecessary.” His framing suggests that a negotiated ceasefire, rather than a battlefield victory, may be the preferred outcome if he returns to office.
For Europe, Putin’s re-entry into diplomatic settings could signal an attempt to restore limited engagement with the EU — an essential step for any eventual settlement.
For Ukraine, however, the message is complex: peace may come with conditions that freeze existing front lines rather than restore full territorial sovereignty.
From Ceasefire to Reset: The Economics of Peace
A credible peace process would not only reshape Eastern Europe’s security landscape — it could also serve as the economic trigger for a broader global financial reset.
1. Confidence Restoration in Fragile Markets
War has fractured supply chains, diverted capital to defense, and inflated energy prices. A truce would immediately reduce geopolitical risk premiums, unlocking investment flows across Europe, the Middle East, and Asia.
2. Repricing Sovereign Debt
Countries neighboring the conflict, from Poland to Turkey, have endured elevated borrowing costs. Peace would lead credit agencies to revise risk outlooks downward, lowering yields and freeing fiscal space for reconstruction and development.
3. Rebalancing of Global Reserves
With de-escalation, central banks could reassess heavy defensive positions in U.S. dollars and U.K. gilts, shifting liquidity toward infrastructure and energy investment — a long-term reallocation away from “war capital” to “rebuild capital.”
4. Revival of Trade Corridors
Reconstruction in Ukraine would stimulate European manufacturing and logistics, while opening new corridors linking the Black Sea, the Balkans, and Central Asia — critical routes for commodities and renewables.
5. The Human and Market Psychology Effect
Peace reintroduces optimism. Investors begin to price for cooperation rather than destruction. Historically, postwar recoveries — from Europe in 1948 to the Balkans in the 1990s — have delivered exponential returns once stability is credible.
The Architecture of a Financial Reset
For a true global reset to emerge from this diplomatic opening, the following preconditions would have to align:
Transparent Mediation: Neutral guarantors (possibly UN or BRICS intermediaries) to ensure compliance and build credibility.
Debt Relief Mechanisms: Coordinated restructuring for Ukraine and related economies to prevent insolvency during reconstruction.
Reconstruction Bonds: A multilateral fund could issue “Peace Bonds” backed by international guarantees — an instrument attracting both state and private investors.
Monetary Stabilization: Central banks may coordinate liquidity facilities to cushion postwar volatility and avoid inflation shocks.
Energy and Commodity Frameworks: Russia’s re-entry into regulated European markets under new conditions could stabilize energy pricing — reducing systemic inflation risk worldwide.
Risks and Skepticism
Critics warn that neither side may be negotiating in full good faith. Hardliners in both Kyiv and Moscow view compromise as surrender, while Washington’s establishment remains divided on the optics of Trump engaging Putin.
Economic expectations may also outpace political reality: reconstruction funding requires sustained security guarantees and governance reforms. A rushed or symbolic summit could raise hopes that later collapse — producing renewed instability rather than relief.
The Broader Implication
If diplomacy in Budapest leads to verifiable de-escalation, it could be more than just the end of one war. It would mark the first major post-unipolar negotiation between U.S. and Russian leadership since the Cold War — and the first real test of whether peace itself can serve as a foundation for financial redesign.
In this scenario, markets would not simply “recover.” They would restructure — shifting away from debt-driven defense cycles toward real asset investment and new monetary alignments.
The global economy could enter a phase where financial security depends less on sanctions and more on sustainable cooperation.
Outlook
The Budapest Summit — if realized — could become the diplomatic inflection point that transforms not only Eastern Europe’s map but the logic of global finance. Peace may yet prove to be the ultimate stimulus.
This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.
Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive
Sources
Newsweek — “Trump, Putin to Meet in Budapest Over Ukraine War Talks”
Newsweek — “Trump’s Surprise Call with Putin Throws Ukraine Aid Into Question”
Newsweek — “Putin Acts After Trump Call, Set to Return to EU”
Reuters — “Hungary to Ensure Putin Can Enter Country for Summit”
~~~~~~~~~
Privacy vs. Prudence: The FSB’s Warning on Crypto Data Gaps — and the Quiet March Toward a Financial Reset
Global regulators eye new coordination as privacy laws and fragmented data threaten oversight of the crypto economy.
Key Developments
The Financial Stability Board (FSB) — the G20’s global risk watchdog housed at the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) — has sounded a fresh alarm:
privacy laws and inconsistent regulations are blocking effective cross-border oversight of crypto markets.
In its latest 107-page peer review report, the FSB highlights how fragmented supervision and secrecy rules are undermining global cooperation — creating blind spots that could amplify systemic risk in the next financial downturn.
The Findings
Persistent Gaps: Sixteen years after Bitcoin’s debut, most countries still lack consistent rules for crypto assets and stablecoins.
Data Inconsistencies: Regulators rely on incomplete or commercial datasets that fail to capture full market risk.
Privacy Barriers: Strict data protection laws prevent regulators from sharing critical transaction or counterparty data across borders.
Cooperation Breakdown: Some firms and authorities refuse to exchange data, citing legal uncertainty or lack of reciprocity.
Systemic Risk Potential: The FSB warns these weaknesses invite regulatory arbitrage, leaving the global financial system exposed.
The Privacy Dilemma
While data privacy remains a fundamental right, regulators argue it has become a double-edged sword:
Privacy laws can shield legitimate data, but they also protect risky or opaque behavior.
Without reciprocal information-sharing agreements, financial supervisors are effectively blind to cross-border contagion.
The absence of shared data slows global risk detection — particularly for large stablecoin networks.
The FSB urges governments to craft selective disclosure frameworks — systems that allow targeted sharing of verified data while preserving confidentiality.
Why This Matters: The Path Toward a Financial Reset
Addressing these challenges could quietly restructure global finance over the next decade.
A few emerging trends hint at a gradual but deliberate financial reset:
Unified Regulatory Standards: Common data-sharing and reporting rules could eliminate arbitrage and standardize compliance across markets.
Digital Payment Corridors: Secure, regulated stablecoins may underpin cross-border payment systems that bypass legacy banking rails.
Capital Realignment: Reliable global supervision could attract institutional investment into blockchain-based infrastructure and tokenized debt markets.
Reserve Diversification: Nations could begin using multi-currency and multi-asset settlement models, reducing dollar dependency.
Post-Crisis Coordination: These tools could facilitate reconstruction and global liquidity management after future market shocks.
If implemented, these measures would not be a sudden overhaul — but a stepwise realignment of the world’s financial architecture.
Challenges Ahead
Legal Resistance: Privacy advocates and data regulators may view cross-border disclosure as intrusive.
Technical Readiness: Secure, interoperable data-sharing frameworks remain in early stages.
Political Fragmentation: Divergent national priorities could delay coordinated reform.
Despite the risks, the direction is clear: international regulators are preparing the foundation for a post-crisis monetary framework — one that merges digital finance with enhanced transparency.
Analysis:
The FSB’s review underscores how privacy and fragmentation are not only regulatory problems — they are structural weak points in the global system.
Solving them could lead to deeper data integration, tokenized liquidity networks, and new frameworks for global reconstruction finance.
This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.
Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive
Sources & further reading
Financial Stability Board — Thematic Peer Review on FSB Global Regulatory Framework for Crypto-asset Activities (107-page report). (FSB PDF). Financial Stability Board
https://www.fsb.org/uploads/P161025-1.pdfReuters — G20 risk watchdog warns of 'significant gaps' in global crypto rules. (reporting on FSB peer review). Reuters
https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/boards-policy-regulation/g20-risk-watchdog-warns-significant-gaps-global-crypto-rules-2025-10-16/Financial Times — Gaps in crypto rules can be exploited, warns Financial Stability Board. Financial Times
https://www.ft.com/content/86593f5c-b524-4050-951b-d19ddcfb6158Cointelegraph — Privacy laws hinder cross-border crypto regulation: Financial Stability Board. Cointelegraph
https://cointelegraph.com/news/privacy-hinder-crypto-regulation-financial-stability-boardReuters / FATF coverage — Global financial crime watchdog calls for action on crypto risks (FATF). Reuters
https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/boards-policy-regulation/global-financial-crime-watchdog-calls-action-crypto-risks-2025-06-26/Reuters — G20 cross-border payments push set to miss 2027 target (context on payments and cross-border workstreams). Reuters
https://www.reuters.com/business/retail-consumer/g20s-cross-border-payments-push-set-miss-2027-target-2025-10-09/
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