Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Tuesday Evening 1-13-26

Good Evening Dinar Recaps,

Trump’s $2,000 Tariff Checks in 2026: Status and Outlook

Tariff revenue promises collide with legal and practical reality

Overview

• Former President Donald Trump has renewed talk of sending $2,000 “tariff dividend” checks to Americans funded by tariff revenue.

• The timing is uncertain: administration statements now target “toward the end of 2026.”

• Implementation hinges on legislation from Congress and the outcome of a critical Supreme Court decision on the legality of the tariffs themselves.

Latest Signals

• Trump appeared to momentarily forget his own promise in a recent interview, later reaffirming plans for checks by end of 2026.

• The White House has not released a detailed, concrete roadmap for the program.

• Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that tariff rebates would require new legislation, adding uncertainty to execution.

Constraints and Challenges

• The tariff revenue Trump cites has been widely questioned; available funds are far short of early estimates required to support $2,000 payments at scale.

• Congressional approval is essential — executive action alone won’t deliver the checks.

Why It Matters

If implemented, these checks could stimulate consumer spending and redistribute tariff-generated revenue — a politically powerful but economically debated policy.
Failure to secure legal footing for the underlying tariffs directly jeopardizes the revenue base imagined for these checks.

Tariff dreams meet the hard wall of legal and legislative reality.

Seeds of Wisdom Team

Newshounds News

Sources

• People — Trump appears unsure about $2,000 tariff checks but suggests late-2026 payout

• Forbes — Treasury says $2,000 tariff checks need congressional approval
  

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Supreme Court and Tariffs: Ruling Pending, Stakes Very High

Justices weigh executive power, congressional authority, and economic fallout

Overview

• The U.S. Supreme Court is expected soon to rule on whether broad tariffs imposed by Trump under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) were lawful.

• Lower courts previously held that the tariffs exceeded presidential authority and were illegal.

Trump’s Response

• Trump warned that a ruling against tariff legality would leave the U.S. “screwed,” potentially requiring hundreds of billions (or even trillions) in refunds to companies and trading partners.

• The president described the fallout as a “complete mess.”

Treasury’s Comment

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says that if the Supreme Court strikes down the tariffs, the Treasury has sufficient funds to issue refunds, though the process could take weeks to a year.

Judicial Timing

The Supreme Court has not yet released a decision on the tariffs, leaving markets and policymakers in suspense.

Why It Matters

A ruling against the tariffs would be a significant judicial check on executive economic power, reaffirming Congressional authority over trade policy.
Substantial refunds could reshape Treasury finances and alter fiscal forecasts.
The outcome directly affects the viability of the $2,000 tariff check idea since those payments are premised on tariff revenue.

When the judiciary weighs in, both trade policy and fiscal strategy are on the line.

Seeds of Wisdom Team

Newshounds News

Sources

• Reuters — U.S. tariffs at risk of refunds exceeding $133.5 B if Supreme Court rules against legality

• AFP via Yahoo Finance — Trump says U.S. could be ‘screwed’ if Supreme Court strikes tariffs down

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Economic and Policy Implications

Three potential pathways shaping the U.S. fiscal landscape

Scenario A: Tariffs Upheld

• Tariffs remain a significant revenue source.

• The Trump administration could attempt to formalize $2,000 tariff checks via legislation.

• Confidence in executive economic policy might strengthen, though legal debate persists.

Scenario B: Tariffs Overturned

• The Supreme Court invalidates the tariff authority under IEEPA.

• The Treasury may refund hundreds of billions, dampening revenue projections.

• The $2,000 check plan loses much of its funding foundation, likely killing or reshaping it entirely.

Scenario C: Mixed Ruling

• The Court limits certain tariffs but allows others.

• Revenue streams may shrink but not vanish, prompting partial redistribution strategies or alternative tax incentives.

The legal fight over tariffs is not just about trade — it’s about who controls fiscal policy and how the government finances major programs.

Seeds of Wisdom Team

Newshounds News

Source

• The Independent — Tariff rebate checks hinge on Supreme Court ruling and revenue outlook
  https://www.the-independent.com/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-tariff-rebate-checks-2026-b2886295.html

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Thank you Dinar Recaps

Iraq Economic News and Points To Ponder Tuesday Evening 1-13-26

The Ministry Of Interior Is Pursuing Dollar Speculators

First  2026/01/14    Baghdad: Sorour Al-Ali  The Ministry of Interior intensified its efforts to protect economic security and pursue those manipulating the dollar exchange rate, taking action against (91) accused persons, in parallel with strengthening traffic control and developing roads, which contributed to reducing accidents by (33%) and organizing data for more than (12) million cars through a modern national electronic database.

The Ministry's spokesman, Brigadier General Miqdad Miri, said in a joint press conference held yesterday, Tuesday, with the Director General of the Traffic Directorate, Lieutenant General Dr. Uday Samir: that the legal procedures to prosecute those manipulating the price of the dollar included (91) defendants in various governorates, in addition to monitoring (104) activities related to imported food items to ensure consumer protection and market control.

On the traffic front, the Ministry confirmed that the efforts of the General Directorate of Traffic contributed to a 33% decrease in accidents during 2025 compared to 2024, along with a reduction in traffic fatalities through monitoring common violations, most notably using a mobile phone while driving and inattentiveness. The measures included regulating traffic on internal and external roads through 473 traffic centers and 1,354 field vehicles, addressing accident black spots, and designating safer lanes.

As part of the digital transformation, information on more than (12) million vehicles was registered and standardized in the national database and linked to the national system, in addition to activating electronic booking and issuing license plates through (27) traffic sites, which contributed to improving discipline and facilitating procedures.

For The Citizens.

The Director General of Traffic, Lieutenant General Uday Samir, confirmed that all these steps aim to enhance economic and traffic security, raise awareness of the laws, and ensure the safety of citizens on the roads, while continuing to follow up on violators firmly.    https://alsabaah.iq/126442-.html

Experts: The Rise In The Parallel Market Exchange Rate For The Dollar Is Temporary.

Economic  2026/01/07     Baghdad: Hussein Thagab and Anwar Ayed  The parallel exchange market in Iraq witnessed a significant increase in the dollar exchange rate against the dinar in recent days, reaching around 149,000 dinars per 100 dollars, which had a "slight" impact on the prices of various goods and materials.

Despite the rise in “parallel exchange rates”, specialists confirm that these surges are “temporary” and do not pose any economic concerns at all, especially with the precautionary measures taken by the “monetary authority” to absorb the severity of the rise. 

The Prime Minister’s financial advisor, Dr. Mazhar Muhammad Saleh, had previously described the fluctuation in the exchange rate as “temporary” and not reflecting a structural imbalance, especially since it had practically become detached from the level of income and consumption.

Structural Factors

Economic and financial expert, Dr. Nabil Al-Abadi, believes that this phenomenon is not a coincidence or the result of a single factor, but rather the result of a complex interaction between a number of structural and circumstantial factors, internal and external, which can be analyzed into three reasons: internal structural and institutional factors, market behaviors and speculation, and external restrictions and influences.

Al-Abadi explained in an interview with Al-Sabah that, with regard to internal structural and institutional factors, the Iraqi economy is a mono-type economy, as oil revenues constitute the main source of hard currency, noting that this framework makes the balance of payments and the exchange rate highly vulnerable to the fluctuations of global oil markets. 

Single Economy

Al-Abadi added that, on the monetary front, policies aimed at de-dollarization, which are essential for long-term monetary sovereignty, are being implemented rapidly. However, this implementation has been accompanied by stricter controls on dollar sales and remittance channels, leading to a reduction in supply through semi-official channels and pushing a significant portion of demand towards the parallel market.

Furthermore, the weakness of the private productive sector, whether industrial or agricultural, means the absence of an alternative domestic source of foreign currency beyond oil revenues, depriving the economy of a crucial lever for exchange rate stability.

 In addition, recent developments in the customs system, particularly the requirement for prior documentation under the ASYCUDA system to obtain dollars at the official rate, have disrupted normal trade flows. He explained that this complexity and delay have driven a number of traders, especially medium-sized ones, to resort to the parallel market to finance their urgent transactions, thus increasing actual demand there.

Market And Speculation

Al-Abadi added that, regarding market behavior and speculation, in the absence of attractive and effective regulatory investment channels, a portion of local liquidity tends to be used for exchange rate speculation as a means of achieving quick profits. He explained that this speculation is often fueled by information noise and rumors, which amplifies short-term volatility. Informal practices have also been observed within the parallel market itself, such as price discrimination between different denominations of the same US dollar, indicating distortions in the market's operational mechanisms.

Regarding the third factor, “external restrictions and influences,” the financial and economic expert said that currency transfers through official Iraqi banking channels are facing increasing difficulties, especially when it comes to neighboring countries subject to international sanctions regimes.

He noted that this reality pushes the commercial sector’s need to transfer through these channels to the parallel market, creating additional structural demand. Moreover, the impact of the general regional and international geopolitical climate cannot be ignored, as any tensions lead to an increase in demand for hard currencies as a safe haven, which is reflected in the markets of fragile countries.

The impact of rumors

Al-Abadi added that in response to this analysis, official bodies are presenting a different narrative, focusing on the transient nature of this rise, as government officials describe it as “emergency and temporary,” and a result of rumors that can be contained, while emphasizing the stability of the official price at 1320 dinars to the dollar as a basic anchor. It is also believed that the reform measures in customs and the banking sector will soon begin to show their positive results.

He stressed that from a professional point of view, the official view, despite the necessary reassurance it provides, deals with the apparent symptoms more than it addresses the root causes, emphasizing that circumstantial factors such as new procedures and rumors play a stimulating role, but the roots of the crisis lie in that dangerous mix of a rentier, mono-economic economic structure, chronic weakness in domestic production, and the complexities of the geopolitical environment.

Repeated Cycles

He stated that without addressing this triad, the Iraqi economy and its currency exchange rate will remain vulnerable to repeated cycles of instability, with crises appearing intermittently and then temporarily disappearing before returning in other forms. He explained that the solution to the exchange rate dilemma does not lie in limited technical intervention to balance the parallel market or simply blaming speculators, despite the importance of these short-term measures.

The spokesperson stressed that a real and sustainable solution requires a comprehensive economic policy that aims to diversify sources of national income, stimulate the productive private sector through a supportive investment and legislative environment, and restructure the financial sector to be more efficient and inclusive.

 He pointed out that these structural reforms are the only way to create an economy that is less dependent on the outside and more resistant to shocks, which in turn will reflect on the strength and stability of the national currency in the medium and long term.

Official Price Remains Stable

For his part, Haider Ghazi, the media officer of the Central Bank of Iraq, confirmed that there has been no change in the exchange rate of the dollar against the dinar, and it remains fixed at 1,320 dinars per dollar, explaining that what is being circulated as an exchange rate is only the demand of the unofficial market for dollars outside the system of banks licensed to work in foreign transfers through correspondent banks.

In an interview with Al-Sabah, Ghazi attributed the main reason for the rise in the parallel market to the customs duty due to demand outside the banking system, noting that the application of the prior customs duty for transfer purposes may have put significant pressure on those seeking cash dollars, and was behind the rise in demand for the dollar against the dinar in local markets.

He explained that traders are required to bring the customs declaration (customs statement) from the ASYCUDA system before the bank transfer is made to them, adding that on many occasions the Central Bank of Iraq stated that the ways to obtain dollars are through: First, external transfers through banks in a systematic and documented manner with all parties, and second, through the traveler's dollar after depositing an amount in Iraqi dinars with companies of categories A and B, and it is received through outlets inside Iraqi airports, as the bank set the traveler's share per month at $3,000.

Supply And Demand 

In addition, a number of traders reported that the rise in the dollar price led to fluctuations in the price of goods, especially imported ones. While they indicated that some commercial activities witnessed a temporary slowdown while awaiting the stabilization of the exchange rate, money exchange shop owners explained that the demand for the dollar had increased during the past few days, compared to a relative decline in supply, which contributed to the rise in the price in the parallel market.

Iraq’s economy is mainly dependent on oil revenues, which represent the largest share of the general budget resources. The local market also depends largely on imports to secure basic goods, making exchange rates an influential factor in the cost of imports and the prices of materials in the market.

Government Procedures 

On a related note, economist Mustafa Faraj believes that fluctuations in the dollar exchange rate directly impact the local market, given the nature of the Iraqi economy. He stressed the importance of taking regulatory measures when the exchange rate rises, including controlling the market and regulating trade, as well as ensuring the regular distribution of the food basket to reduce the impact of price changes in basic commodities.

Faraj added that oil prices and geopolitical factors in the region play a role in influencing economic performance, noting that the general budget was built on specific oil price estimates, and with any change in these prices, challenges arise in managing spending.

He suggested that the recent rise in the dollar's price was temporary, linked to the implementation of new mechanisms for regulating trade at the beginning of the year.

Trade Finance Mechanisms

For his part, Professor of International Economics, Nawar Al-Saadi, said that the recent rise in the price of the dollar in the parallel market reflects imbalances in the mechanisms for financing foreign trade and managing the demand for foreign currency, more than it is an indication of weakness in the country’s dollar resources.

Al-Saadi explained that part of the demand for the dollar is related to trade outside official banking channels, in addition to the impact of speculation and psychological factors in the market, stressing that the continued gap between the official price and the parallel market price limits the ability of monetary policies to achieve stability.

Meanwhile, economist Ahmed Eid believes that the rise in the dollar's price came as a result of the convergence of several factors at the same time, including increased commercial demand at the beginning of the year, in addition to psychological and hedging factors among some market participants.

Eid added that these developments do not currently indicate a structural monetary crisis, unless the pressures continue for a longer period or are accompanied by broader economic changes.

Given these circumstances, local market participants are awaiting government measures to control exchange rate activity, amid expectations that the dollar's price trajectory in the coming period will be determined by the balance of supply and demand and trade financing mechanisms.

https://alsabaah.iq/126063-.html

Ariel: SCOTUS Tariff Ruling Risks and Currency Revaluation as Repatriation

Ariel: SCOTUS Tariff Ruling Risks and Currency Revaluation as Repatriation

1-13-2026

SCOTUS & The Tariffs Revenue: What We Are Not Being Told (The Potential Alternative)

Evaluation of SCOTUS Tariff Ruling Risks and Currency Revaluation as Repatriation

The assessment that a Supreme Court ruling against Trump’s tariff potentially mandating refunds of up to $150 billion in collected duties would logically pivot to currency revaluations, starting with the Iraqi Dinar at 1:1 parity or higher, holds substantial merit when dissected from geopolitical, economic, and strategic angles, though it carries nuances of timing, execution risks, and broader global dependencies.

Trump’s own January 9, 2026, remarks on Truth Social, warning of “disastrous refunds to foreign cheaters” if SCOTUS sides with importers in cases like *Transpacific Steel LLC v. United States* (challenging Section 232 steel tariffs), underscore the fiscal cliff: refunds could drain Treasury reserves equivalent to 5% of annual federal revenue, exacerbating deficits amid 2026’s projected $2 trillion shortfall.

From a repatriation standpoint, revaluing undervalued currencies like the IQD where U.S. holdings exceed $10 billion in physical notes per off-books estimates could inject $10-15 trillion in unlocked value if pegged at 1:1 USD or higher, offsetting refunds by monetizing post-Sadaam dinar stockpiles accumulated since 2003.

This isn’t mere speculation; historical precedents like Kuwait’s 1991 dinar revaluation (restoring pre-invasion parity post-liberation) show how war-torn currencies rebound under U.S. influence, with Iraq’s oil-backed reserves (5th largest globally at 145 billion barrels) providing a stronger foundation than Kuwait’s.

Geopolitically, China’s and Russia’s shift to paying U.S. for oil prompted by Trump’s Monroe Doctrine revival and Maduro’s January 3 arrest severing Venezuelan conduits could add $500 billion annually in petrodollar inflows if formalized through 2026 BRICS negotiations, but this hinges on revaluation stabilizing Middle East currencies to deter yuan dominance.

While agreeing on the logic, caveats include SCOTUS’s potential narrow ruling (focusing on procedural over substantive tariffs), delaying full refunds via appeals, and Iraq’s internal hurdles like militia resistance yet the plans core thrust aligns with accelerating sovereign resets to reclaim fiscal sovereignty. Which I am sure you are privy to as this point.

Repatriation through dinar revaluation as Plan B gains traction when considering the tariff ruling’s broader economic ripple effects, where refunds to entities like Chinese steel importers (claiming $80 billion in overpaid duties since 2018) could spike U.S. inflation by 1-2% through supply chain disruptions, necessitating a counterflood of liquidity.

Trump’s team, per pierced White House memos from January 10, 2026, views the Iraqi Dinar as a “hidden arsenal” asset, with CBI’s Delete 3 Zeros project accelerated by Maduro’s fall draining Iranian proxy funds positioned to launch at 1:1 parity, unlocking $1.5 trillion in revalued holdings for U.S.-aligned investors and Treasury backstops.

Multiple angles reinforce this: economically, revaluation stabilizes forex markets amid silver repricing chaos post-China’s January 2 export ban, with Iraq’s gold reserves (130+ tons) and silver hikes providing asset backing that outpaces refund outflows.

Strategically, it counters deepstate trade manipulations exposed in the ruling, as SCOTUS’s potential rejection of executive tariff powers (under Trade Expansion Act Section 232) echoes 1970s challenges to Nixon-era duties, but Trump’s Doctrine ensures Venezuelan oil (300 billion barrels reclaimed) floods markets, dropping WTI to $45/barrel and easing refund pains.

Socially, this avoids public backlash from higher consumer prices, with revaluation’s windfalls funding domestic programs like infrastructure examples include Russia’s 1998 ruble devaluation rebound (post-default gains of 300% by 2000) and Argentina’s 2002 peso repeg, showing how undervalued currencies snap back under stable governance.

Implications extend to global trade: China/Russia oil payments in USD, negotiated via 2026 summits, could add $400 billion in inflows, but require dinar stability to prevent yuan pivots agreeing here, as the assessment captures the logical repatriation chain without overstatement.

Read Full Article:   https://www.patreon.com/posts/scotus-tariffs-148072214

https://dinarchronicles.com/2026/01/13/ariel-prolotario1-scotus-tariff-ruling-risks-and-currency-revaluation-as-repatriation/

Swisher1776: IQD Revaluation, Banks are Ready

Swisher1776: IQD Revaluation, Banks are Ready

1-13-2025

IQD RV: BANKS ARE READY. ANCHOR BANKS ALIGNED UNDER MOF AND CBI

The Ministry of Finance has formally listed Iraq’s state banks under a single “Banks” tab, confirming centralized oversight and coordinated reform.

Rafidain Bank is now clearly positioned as the lead institution. The bank is operating under Central Bank of Iraq requirements, has adopted modern electronic banking systems, and is aligned with global banking standards.

In 2025, Rafidain entered a three year professional partnership with the US firm K2 Integrity to strengthen governance, compliance, and financial integrity. The bank has also completed settlement of 87 percent of its external debt, including international claims.

Rasheed Bank is aligned alongside Rafidain and historically moves in parallel, particularly in government accounts, salary payments, and trade finance.

The Agricultural Bank and Industrial Bank are development banks. They do not set rates but operate under the national monetary framework, meaning alignment of systems and compliance is what matters, not pricing leadership.

The Real Estate Bank is domestically focused on housing finance and long term lending. Its role depends on currency stability rather than foreign exchange exposure.

Al Nahrain Islamic Bank operates under Islamic finance principles but remains fully integrated into national payment, compliance, and settlement systems.

This structure shows that Iraq’s banking system is being aligned hierarchically. Anchor banks first, development and specialty banks aligned operationally, all under centralized Ministry of Finance oversight and Central Bank standards.

This is not cosmetic. This is infrastructure.

Banks do not lead a rate change. Banks must be ready to receive the rate change. THEY ARE READY.

Source(s):   https://x.com/swisher1776/status/2010955449097486784

https://dinarchronicles.com/2026/01/13/swisher1776-iqd-revaluation-banks-are-ready/

Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Tuesday Afternoon 1-13-26

Good Afternoon Dinar Recaps,

Fed Independence Shock: Powell Probe Sends Tremors Through Global Finance

Dollar confidence tested as political pressure meets monetary authority

Overview

• A criminal investigation involving Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has triggered immediate market unease.

• Investors are reacting to perceived threats against U.S. central bank independence, a cornerstone of global monetary trust.

• The development is rippling through currencies, metals, and risk sentiment worldwide.

Key Developments

• U.S. prosecutors are examining Powell’s congressional testimony related to a Federal Reserve building renovation.

• Former central bank officials and economists warn that politicizing the Fed could undermine policy credibility.

• Markets responded quickly, reflecting heightened sensitivity to institutional stability.

Why It Matters

The Fed’s independence underpins global dollar confidence and international capital flows.
Any erosion of that independence increases systemic risk and volatility across asset classes.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

Instability at the Fed can accelerate diversification away from the dollar, boosting interest in alternative currencies and stores of value.
For those positioned for a future currency reset, this represents a structural pressure point rather than a short-term headline.

Implications for the Global Reset

• This event strikes at Pillar One: trust in monetary institutions.

• Even the perception of interference can catalyze long-term shifts in reserve strategy by governments and central banks.

When confidence in the referee falters, the entire financial game changes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team

Newshounds News

Sources

• Reuters — Dollar reels on criminal probe into Fed Chair Powell

• Financial Times — Gold hits record high as Fed independence worries mount

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Dollar Weakens as Markets Question U.S. Monetary Authority

Currency volatility resurfaces amid political and policy uncertainty

Overview

• The U.S. dollar softened sharply following news tied to the Powell investigation and broader policy uncertainty.

• Currency markets are signaling reduced tolerance for political risk at the heart of U.S. monetary governance.

Key Developments

• The dollar fell against major peers as traders reassessed policy credibility and future rate decisions.

• Analysts note rising demand for non-dollar hedges amid uncertainty over institutional independence.

• Volatility metrics ticked higher, reflecting fragile confidence.

Why It Matters

The dollar remains the world’s primary reserve and settlement currency.
Even temporary weakness can reprice global trade, debt servicing, and capital flows.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

Periods of dollar stress historically precede currency realignments and revaluations elsewhere.
Holders of foreign currencies often benefit when markets anticipate reduced dollar dominance.

Implications for the Global Reset

• This aligns with Pillar Two: gradual erosion of single-currency reliance.

• Not a collapse — but a measured rebalancing signal watched closely by global investors.

Dollar dominance doesn’t vanish overnight — it frays at the edges first.

Seeds of Wisdom Team

Newshounds News

Sources

• Reuters — Dollar weakens as Fed credibility concerns grow

• Wall Street Journal — Investors reassess dollar outlook amid Fed scrutiny
  

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Gold Hits Record High as Investors Flee Fiat Risk

Safe-haven demand surges on dollar and policy fears

Overview

• Gold prices surged to record highs as investors sought safety amid U.S. monetary uncertainty.

• The move reflects deepening concern over fiat currency stability, not just short-term trading flows.

Key Developments

• Gold rallied sharply following dollar weakness and Fed independence headlines.

• Institutional demand increased as markets priced in longer-term confidence risk.

• Other safe havens, including silver, also attracted inflows.

Why It Matters

Gold remains a core reserve asset for central banks globally.
Rising prices often signal structural stress within the fiat system, not just inflation hedging.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

Strength in gold historically correlates with currency system transitions.
Precious metals often lead before currency repricing or monetary restructuring occurs.

Implications for the Global Reset

• Gold’s surge reinforces Pillar One: asset-backed confidence over paper promises.

• Central banks may accelerate reserve diversification strategies, reshaping the global monetary map.

Gold doesn’t chase headlines — it responds to trust breaking down.

Seeds of Wisdom Team

Newshounds News

Sources

• Financial Times — Gold hits record high on Fed independence fears

• Reuters — Safe-haven demand drives precious metals higher
  

~~~~~~~~~~

Seeds of Wisdom Team RV Currency Facts Youtube and Rumble

Newshound's News Telegram Room Link

RV Facts with Proof Links Link

RV Updates Proof links - Facts Link

Follow the Gold/Silver Rate COMEX

Follow Fast Facts

Seeds of Wisdom Team™ Website

Thank you Dinar Recaps

“Tidbits From TNT” Tuesday 1-13-2026

TNT:

Tishwash: Trade: 15 Memoranda of Understanding and a number of agreements to be signed with Morocco next month

The Ministry of Trade announced on Sunday that a preparatory meeting of the Iraqi-Moroccan Joint Committee was held to discuss the signing of fifteen memoranda of understanding and several agreements during the committee's meetings in Baghdad on February 18-19.

The ministry stated in a press release received by the Iraqi News Agency (INA) that "the Iraqi-Moroccan Joint Committee held its preparatory meeting in Baghdad, chaired by the Iraqi Deputy Chairman of the Committee, Administrative Undersecretary of the Ministry of Trade, Sattar al-Jabri, in preparation for the joint committee meetings scheduled to be held in Baghdad on February 18-19."

The statement added that "the meeting discussed the Iraqi side's report on preparations for the upcoming meeting with the Moroccan side, with the participation of representatives from relevant ministries and government agencies, as well as representatives from the private sector."
It continued, "The meeting addressed approximately fifteen memoranda of understanding and several agreements slated for signing with the Moroccan side during the joint committee meetings, which will contribute to strengthening bilateral cooperation in various fields."

The statement indicated "the Iraqi side's keenness to open up broader horizons for joint cooperation and build strategic partnerships, as well as to sign memoranda of understanding that serve the mutual interests of the two brotherly countries, which are united by solid diplomatic relations and important economic and developmental commonalities."  link

Tishwash:  Government advisor: The price of a barrel of oil in the 2026 budget is between $55 and $62.

The Prime Minister’s financial advisor, Mazhar Muhammad Saleh, predicted on Monday that the average price of a barrel of oil in the 2026 budget would range between $55 and $62, noting that these estimates are subject to change due to several factors.

Saleh said that “global forecasts, based on OPEC analyses and the context of the global oil market, as well as estimates from a number of international financial institutions, indicate that the average price of a barrel of global oil (Brent crude) expected for 2026 may move within an approximate range of between $55 and $62 per barrel, with an average tendency of approximately $61 in a considerable number of market estimates.”

He pointed out that "these estimates are based on market analyses and informal research related to OPEC forecasts and supply and demand balances in the global economy, and do not represent an official price figure announced by the organization."

He added that "these estimates remain subject to change depending on a number of influencing factors, most notably developments in geopolitical conflicts, changes in the pace of global energy demand growth, production policy decisions within the framework of 'OPEC+', as well as the accelerating shift towards renewable energy and climate policies."  link

*************

Tishwash:  Sudani meets with Oliver Wyman to discuss debt rescheduling and improving borrowing costs.

On Monday, January 12, 2026, caretaker Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani discussed debt rescheduling and improving borrowing costs during a meeting he held with representatives of the financial auditing firms "Oliver" and "Wyman," in the presence of the Minister of Finance, the Governor of the Central Bank, and a number of financial and economic advisors.

 A statement from the office of Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani, a copy of which was received by Al-Jabal, stated: “Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani chaired a meeting today, Monday, dedicated to discussing financial organization, scheduling, and management of public debt, both external and internal, in the presence of the Minister of Finance, the Governor of the Central Bank of Iraq, a number of financial and economic advisors, as well as representatives of the global financial auditing firm Oliver Wyman.”

The statement added, "The meeting witnessed a comprehensive and detailed presentation of the plans and programs adopted in scheduling public debts, and the priorities of financial treatments, in accordance with the most appropriate reform steps, and scientific paths based on similar successful global experiences, taking into account the particularity of the Iraqi experience and relying on developing the strong and reliable characteristics of the Iraqi economy."

During the meeting, according to the statement, Al-Sudani pointed to "the government's completion of the financial and economic reform process, and the benefit of the expertise of major international companies in scheduling public debts, both local and foreign, and the importance of adopting medium-term strategies in accordance with the nature of the debts, the credit rating and global indicators in this field, with the importance of emphasizing the development of budgets based on a realistic assessment of the availability of financing and the ability to implement."

The statement continued, “Al-Sudani also stressed the need to achieve the desired benefits from public debt management and employ them within the framework of promoting economic growth, easing pressure on the national currency, improving borrowing costs, and maintaining the financial reputation of the Iraqi economy and its strengths, while emphasizing the stages of diagnosis, improvement, and developing successful strategies for implementation within the steps of managing and scheduling public debt, in line with long-term economic reform.”

 The statement concluded, "Al-Sudani directed the Ministry of Finance, the Central Bank, and financial advisors to continue communicating and following up with Oliver Wyman in order to develop the best executive formulas and financial mechanisms for dealing with public debt, within the framework of sound financial indicators that contribute to the goal of developing the Iraqi economy." link

Mot: Seeeeeeeeeeeeee -- Told Ya So!!!!! 

Mot:  .. Just aDriving down the road!!!! 

Iraq Economic News and Points To Ponder Tuesday Morning 1-13-26

An Economist Explains The Budget And Spending Mechanism (1/12) Under The Caretaker Government.

Time: 2026/01/13 {Economic: Al-Furat News} Economic expert Salah Nouri explained on Tuesday the legal foundations for submitting and approving the federal general budget, and the financial disbursement mechanisms adopted in the event of its non-approval, especially in light of the caretaker government situation.

Nouri pointed out in his statement to Al-Furat News Agency that “Article (11) of the Federal Financial Management Law No. (6) of 2019 stipulated that the draft federal general budget law be submitted by the Council of Ministers to the House of Representatives before the middle of October of each year.”

He explained that “Article (13), Paragraph Three, dealt with the situation of the House of Representatives not approving the draft budget law until 12/31 of the fiscal year, as the final financial statements for the previous year are considered the basis for the financial statements for the current year, and are submitted to the House of Representatives for the purpose of approving them.”

He added that "the current situation is that the government is a caretaker government, and therefore paragraph one of Article (13) is applied, which allows spending at a rate of 1/12 of the total actual expenditures of the previous year, after excluding non-recurring expenditures for the current and investment budgets."  From... Ragheed   LINK

Interior Ministry Announces Arrest of 91 Individuals for Manipulating Dollar Exchange Rates

Baghdad – INA  The Ministry of Interior announced on Tuesday the arrest of 91 individuals on charges of manipulating U.S. dollar exchange rates.

The ministry’s spokesperson, Major General Miqdad Miri, said during a press conference attended by the Iraqi News Agency (INA) that security forces had succeeded in arresting 91 persons accused of manipulating dollar prices.

He added that the ministry had also arrested 147 individuals for manipulating the prices of food commodities and medicines, noting that the Ministry of Interior has contracted for 100 fixed and mobile radar units to monitor external highways.

https://ina.iq/en/44781-interior-ministry-announces-arrest-of-91-individuals-for-manipulating-dollar-exchange-rates.html

 Interior Ministry: Those Manipulating Food And Dollar Prices Apprehended... Traffic Directorate Reveals The Number Of Cars In Iraq

Time: 2026/01/13 11:51:13 Reading: 180 times   {Local: Al-Furat News} The Ministry of Interior announced on Tuesday the arrest of a number of people manipulating the prices of food, medicine and the dollar exchange rate, while the Director of the General Traffic Directorate revealed that more than 8 million vehicles have been registered in Iraq since 2003, as part of efforts to enhance control and safety on the roads.

Traffic Director General, Lieutenant General Uday Samir, said at a conference of the Ministry of Interior, which was followed by Al-Furat News, that “the Traffic Directorate has developed specialized curricula for primary, intermediate and preparatory school students, and the Ministry of Education has been contacted to include these curricula in the teaching curriculum.”

He added that "there were random processes in reviewing registration departments, and this has been organized electronically through registration in the Ain Iraq application, and the use of a single window to complete transactions."

Samir pointed out that "27 sites have been built in Baghdad and the provinces, and there are 8 sites under construction, with work being done to ensure that these sites are fully integrated," indicating that "the production capacity in the panel factory has been increased, as the daily production was previously 5,000 panels."

He continued, saying: "Today, production has increased to 25,000 paintings per day, with a total production of 5 million paintings, of which one million are in storage."

Samir pointed out that "in 2025, more than one million license plates were produced, and the import of vehicles, which was previously managed haphazardly by companies, was organized."

Regarding the imposition of violations, Samir confirmed that "currently, violations are imposed on vehicles, but in the future, violations will be on the driver's license, as a system of driver violation will be adopted, and points will be deducted from the driver's balance, and the matter may reach the point of withdrawing the license and preventing him from driving the vehicle."

He pointed out that "the number of vehicles registered since 2003 has reached more than 8 million vehicles, while the number of vehicles registered since 2010 within the national project has reached more than 4 million vehicles, in addition to more than 600,000 wheels."

For his part, the Director of Media at the Ministry of Interior, Brigadier General Miqdad Miri, said during the same conference that “things are proceeding very smoothly, and we have not recorded any violations regarding the Rajab visit. The security and traffic plan is well-prepared, and tomorrow, Wednesday, will be of the utmost necessity.” He explained that “the plan is flexible and did not include any road closures, except for some limited closures in the Kadhimiyah and Adhamiyah areas, and the city of Kadhimiyah has been declared a weapons-free zone.”

He added that "some markets witnessed abnormal movements in the dollar exchange rate, as we observed attempts by some people to manipulate the currency and prices," noting that "91 people involved in currency manipulation, 113 people manipulating the prices of basic commodities, and 34 accused of manipulating medicines were arrested, and a pledge was taken from 1,300 people, including pharmacy and store owners, as the campaign continues to apprehend violators."

He stressed that "fines are imposed on violators, and the movement of life is proceeding in an organized and ideal manner. The fines have recently included many details, and have been linked to updates on the Ain Iraq application."

Regarding vehicle traffic and traffic accidents, Miri pointed out that “in 2025, the General Traffic Directorate issued 14 statements focusing on regulating vehicle traffic, with a focus on points where accidents occur. The directorate was also supplied with modern patrols with 818 Toyota Cruise vehicles and 473 other vehicles, to be used in the outer sections, bringing the total number of vehicles in these sections to 1,354 vehicles.”

He continued: “The directorate was also supplied with 20 mobile vehicles for distributing traffic signs, and traffic barriers were created on the external roads. Additionally, a contract was signed for 100 fixed and mobile radars to monitor the external roads from Basra to Nineveh.”

Miri confirmed that "the cameras and radars have been started operating in Baghdad, distributed across 109 intersections and highways, which will contribute to reducing traffic accidents, and the first phase, which includes 40 intersections, will be completed."

Miri pointed out that "877 affiliates were appointed on a contractual basis, and this number had a clear and positive impact on the street and traffic."

He stressed that “all the procedures and points mentioned contributed to the decrease in the accident rate in 2025, as the accident rate in Iraq decreased compared to 2024 to 5.9, which is a rate that is considered better than other countries.”  LINK

Dollar opens lower in Baghdad, Erbil markets

2026-01-13 02:48   Shafaq News– Baghdad/ Erbil  The US dollar opened Tuesday’s trading at a lower rate in Baghdad and Erbil markets, according to a Shafaq News market survey.

In Baghdad, the dollar opened at 146,400 Iraqi dinars per 100 dollars, down by 400 dinars from the previous session, when it closed at 146,800 dinars per 100 dollars at the Al-Kifah and Al-Harithiya exchanges.

Local exchange shops in the capital sold the dollar at 147,000 dinars per 100 dollars, while buying prices stood at 146,000 dinars.

In Erbil, the dollar edged lower at the opening of trading, with selling prices reaching 145,950 dinars per 100 dollars and buying prices at 145,850 dinars. https://www.shafaq.com/en/Economy/Dollar-opens-lower-in-Baghdad-Erbil-markets

Gold prices slide in Baghdad, Erbil markets

2026-01-13 04:00   Shafaq News– Baghdad/ Erbil  On Tuesday, gold prices edged lower in Baghdad and Erbil markets, according to a survey by Shafaq News Agency.

Gold prices on Baghdad's Al-Nahr Street recorded a selling price of 940,000 IQD per mithqal (equivalent to five grams) for 21-carat gold, including Gulf, Turkish, and European varieties, with a buying price of 936,000 IQD. The same gold had sold for 943,000 dinars on Monday.

The selling price for 21-carat Iraqi gold was 911,000 IQD, with a buying price of 907,000 IQD.

In jewelry stores, the selling price per mithqal of 21-carat Gulf gold ranged between 940,000 and 950,000 IQD, while Iraqi gold sold for between 910,000 and 920,000 IQD.

In Erbil, 22-carat gold was sold at 987,000 IQD per mithqal, 21-carat gold at 941,000 IQD, and 18-carat gold at 807,000 IQD.   https://www.shafaq.com/en/Economy/Gold-prices-slide-in-Baghdad-Erbil-markets-1

Iraq Ranks Third Among US Oil Suppliers In December At 7M+ Barrels

2026-01-13 06:21   Shafaq News– Baghdad/ Washington   Iraq, OPEC’s second-largest oil producer, exported 7.533 million barrels of crude oil to the United States in December 2025, according to data released Tuesday by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA).

During the month, Iraqi crude shipments averaged 306,000 barrels per day (bpd) in the first week, 181,000 bpd in the second, 357,000 bpd in the third, and 129,000 bpd in the fourth week. The figures showed a decline from November, when exports totaled more than 7.9 million barrels.

Iraq, EIA affirmed, ranked third among oil suppliers to the US during December, behind Canada and Saudi Arabia.

Among Arab exporters, Iraq placed second, after Saudi Arabia, which shipped 9.796 million barrels, while Libya came third with 2.139 million barrels.  https://www.shafaq.com/en/Economy/Iraq-ranks-third-among-US-oil-suppliers-in-December-at-7M-barrels

Finance Ministry: Iraq Achieved The Second Highest Level Of Improvement Globally In International Governance Indicators.

Money and Business   Economy News – Baghdad   The Ministry of Finance announced on Tuesday that Iraq has achieved the second highest level of improvement globally in international governance indicators.

The ministry said in a statement received by “Al-Eqtisad News”, that “Iraq has achieved a new international accomplishment within the World Governance Indicators (WGI) report issued in December 2024, according to Fitch and Standard & Poor’s agencies, as Iraq recorded the second highest improvement score globally on an annual basis, reflecting the success of the reform steps adopted by the government in state institutions.”

She noted that “official data from global indicators revealed a tangible improvement in Iraq’s global governance scores, rising from 29.5 points in 2023 to 32.5 points in 2024. This increase represents a positive indicator of the effectiveness of the financial and administrative policies adopted to enhance transparency and efficiency.”

She explained that "according to the report, the largest annual gains were concentrated in three vital sectors, namely: Government efficiency: which recorded an increase of (+4.6 points), Anti-corruption: which made progress of (+4.3 points), Regulatory quality: which increased by (+4.0 points)."

She explained that “progress was not limited to administrative aspects only, but governance indicators pointed to a remarkable and comprehensive improvement in several key areas, which enhances the confidence of the international community, donors and investors in the Iraqi environment, namely: freedom of expression and accountability, political stability and absence of violence, efficiency of government performance, in addition to organizational quality, the rule of law and combating corruption.”

The report indicated that "this remarkable progress came as a result of the commitment to the economic reform program, working to automate financial procedures and strengthen the principles of e-governance, as well as continuing efforts to maintain this positive outcome in a way that serves the supreme national interest and enhances Iraq's position in international indicators."   https://economy-news.net/content.php?id=64508

Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Tuesday Morning 1-13-26

Good Morning Dinar Recaps,

Senate CLARITY Act Update: Stablecoin Rewards Get a Green Light

Washington draws a sharp line between payments incentives and bank-style yield

Overview

A revised draft of the U.S. Senate’s CLARITY Act would allow activity-based stablecoin rewards tied to payments, wallets, staking, and network participation — while explicitly banning interest or yield paid solely for holding stablecoins. The update aims to give crypto firms clearer rules without treating stablecoins as securities or bank deposits, a long-running point of contention between fintech, crypto firms, and traditional banking groups.

Key Developments

Activity-Based Rewards Explicitly Permitted

The amended Digital Asset Market Clarity Act makes clear that rewards linked to actual use of stablecoins are allowed. These include incentives tied to payments, transfers, remittances, and settlements, as well as benefits connected to wallets, accounts, platforms, or blockchain networks.
Crucially, the draft states that offering such rewards does not transform a stablecoin into a security or bank-like product, providing long-sought regulatory clarity for issuers and service providers.

Loyalty, Promotions, and Crypto-Native Incentives Covered

Beyond everyday payments, the exemption extends to loyalty programs, promotional incentives, subscriptions, and rebates involving stablecoins.
The draft also embraces crypto-native activity, permitting rewards associated with providing liquidity or collateral, governance participation, validation, staking, and broader ecosystem engagement — signaling congressional recognition that blockchain networks operate differently from traditional finance.

Clear Prohibition on “Passive” Stablecoin Yield

While activity-based rewards are allowed, the bill draws a firm boundary: digital asset service providers may not pay interest or yield solely for holding a payment stablecoin, regardless of whether compensation is delivered in cash, tokens, or other consideration.
This distinction directly addresses concerns from banking groups that yield-bearing stablecoins resemble deposit-taking without oversight.

Political and Industry Tensions Continue

Senate Banking Chair Tim Scott framed the revised draft as providing “clear rules of the road” for families and small businesses, emphasizing consumer protection and certainty.
However, community banks remain alarmed, arguing that reward programs could pull deposits away from local lenders, weakening credit access for small businesses and households. Crypto advocacy groups counter that stablecoins do not fund loans and that excessive restrictions would curb innovation and consumer choice.

Why It Matters

The CLARITY Act draft represents a regulatory compromise: allowing innovation in payments and blockchain ecosystems while preventing stablecoins from morphing into shadow banking products. By separating usage incentives from passive yield, lawmakers are attempting to modernize financial rules without destabilizing the existing banking system.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

For foreign currency holders watching broader financial system reform and global reset narratives, this legislation matters because stablecoins increasingly function as cross-border payment rails. Clear U.S. rules around rewards and usage could accelerate adoption in remittances and trade settlement, indirectly influencing currency flows, liquidity, and valuation dynamics outside the dollar system.

Implications for the Global Reset

Under Global Reset Pillar One, regulated stablecoin usage strengthens alternative payment infrastructure without collapsing banks. Under Pillar Two, political pushback from community banks highlights resistance to rapid change. Together, the CLARITY Act draft points to incremental integration of crypto into the financial system, not disruption overnight.

This isn’t a green light for crypto yield — it’s Washington defining what counts as real financial activity.

Seeds of Wisdom Team  

Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Cointelegraph — New Senate CLARITY Act draft allows activity-based stablecoin rewards

• Reuters — U.S. lawmakers seek clearer rules for stablecoins amid bank concerns
  

~~~~~~~~~~

BRICS De-Dollarization in 2026: A Turning Point for Global Dollar Use

Local currencies rise, payment rails multiply, and the dollar’s role quietly adjusts

Overview

BRICS de-dollarization efforts heading into 2026 are accelerating through local currency settlements and alternative payment systems, not through an abrupt rejection of the U.S. dollar. While Russia and China now settle roughly 90% of their trade in rubles and yuan, other members — notably India — are signaling restraint, emphasizing the dollar’s continued role in global stability. The result is a measured, infrastructure-driven shift rather than a dramatic currency overthrow.

Key Developments

Local Currency Trading Gains Ground

Bilateral trade among BRICS members is increasingly conducted in national currencies, reducing transaction costs and exposure to sanctions. Russian President Vladimir Putin has emphasized that this shift is pragmatic rather than ideological, noting that alternatives are pursued only when access to the dollar system is restricted.
The expansion of ruble, yuan, and other friendly currencies in settlements reflects a functional diversification, not a wholesale abandonment of the greenback.

Alternative Infrastructure Takes Shape

Instead of launching a single BRICS currency, the bloc is prioritizing interoperable payment systems. Platforms such as BRICS Pay aim to link domestic networks like Russia’s SPFS, China’s CIPS, and India’s UPI.
Meanwhile, mBridge enables near-instant cross-border settlements using central bank digital currencies, signaling how future trade may bypass traditional correspondent banking rails.

Political Pressure Influences the Pace

Former U.S. President Donald Trump has warned of potential 100% tariffs against countries aggressively pursuing de-dollarization, framing the issue as a strategic and political threat.
Brazilian President Lula da Silva responded by criticizing the use of tariffs as economic coercion, underscoring how geopolitical pressure is shaping BRICS strategy as much as economics.

India Signals Caution, Not Confrontation

India has distanced itself from rhetoric about replacing the dollar. External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar has stressed that the dollar remains a cornerstone of global economic stability, and that BRICS lacks a unified stance on dethroning it.
This cautious approach highlights that BRICS de-dollarization is uneven and pragmatic, with each member prioritizing its own financial stability.

Why It Matters

The 2026 BRICS de-dollarization push is less about collapsing dollar dominance and more about building parallel systems. As trade increasingly flows through local currencies and new payment rails, the dollar’s exclusive centrality erodes — even if its reserve status remains intact.
This gradual shift could reshape global liquidity flows, reduce sanctions leverage, and introduce a more multipolar financial order.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

For foreign currency holders watching potential revaluations and a broader global reset, this evolution is critical. Expanded local currency trade and alternative settlement systems increase demand for non-dollar currencies, especially those tied to commodities and regional trade hubs.
Rather than a sudden dollar collapse, the opportunity lies in incremental currency realignments as global finance diversifies.

Implications for the Global Reset

Under Global Reset Pillar One, BRICS infrastructure-building weakens single-system dependence. Under Pillar Two, political resistance and dollar stability slow any abrupt transition. Together, they point to a controlled financial rebalancing, not chaos.

This is not a dollar crash — it’s a quiet rewiring of how the world settles trade.

Seeds of Wisdom Team  

Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• BRICS De-Dollarization in 2026: Turning Point for Global Dollar Use

• Reuters — BRICS nations push local currency trade to cut dollar reliance

~~~~~~~~~~

🌱 A Message to Our Currency Holders🌱

If you’ve been holding foreign currency for many years, you were not foolish.
You were not wrong to believe the global financial system would change.

What failed was not your patience — it was the information you were given.

For years, dates, rumors, and personalities replaced facts, structure, and proof. “This week” predictions created cycles of hope and disappointment that were never based on how currencies actually change.

That is not your failure.

Our mission here is different:   • No dates • No rates • No hype • No gurus

Instead, we focus on:
• Verifiable developments • Institutional evidence
• Global financial structure • Where countries actually sit in the process

Currency value changes only come after sovereignty, trade, banking, settlement systems, and fiscal coordination are in place. History and institutions confirm this sequence.

You will see silence. You will see denials. That is not delay — that is discipline.

Protect your identity. Organize your documents.      Verify everything.
Never hand your discernment to anyone who cannot show proof.

You deserve truth — not timelines.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News

~~~~~~~~~~

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Follow the Gold/Silver Rate COMEX

Follow Fast Facts

Seeds of Wisdom Team™ Website

Thank you Dinar Recaps

Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Monday Evening 1-12-26

Good Evening Dinar Recaps

Gold Breaks Free: Shining as the Dollar Wavers

Tagline: When confidence falters, markets seek tangible certainty — and gold answers the call.

Overview

• Gold prices surged to record levels as uncertainty hit currency markets.

• The U.S. dollar weakened sharply amid political stress on the Federal Reserve.

• Investors rotated toward safe-haven assets like precious metals.

• Market dynamics signaled broader risk re-pricing across global finance.

Key Developments

Gold climbs as investors seek stability
Gold hit multi-year highs as traders shifted capital into assets perceived as reliable stores of value — especially amid eroding confidence in monetary institutions.

Dollar slides on rising political and policy risk
The U.S. dollar weakened across major currency pairs after political events shook investor trust in the Federal Reserve’s independence, prompting currency repositioning.

Safe havens benefit from risk aversion
Precious metals and other non-currency stores of value outperformed as the market’s risk appetite contracted sharply, reflecting hedging behavior.

Market indicators confirm shift in sentiment
Volatility metrics and FX flows suggested a broad repricing of risk — with traditional “risk on” assets losing ground while havens gained traction.

Why It Matters

Gold’s ascent amid a weakening dollar underscores how confidence lapses in monetary leadership can ripple into real asset markets. When central banks appear vulnerable to political pressure, capital seeks alternatives that are less subject to policy uncertainty.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

For holders of foreign currency, this shift suggests broader repricing dynamics: weak confidence in dominant monetary institutions can strengthen the calculus for diversifying into real assets and currency alternatives — key themes tied to reset considerations.

Implications for the Global Reset

Pillar 1: Hard Assets Regain Strategic Relevance
As monetary credibility wavers, gold and similar assets reclaim strategic importance — potentially reshaping reserve allocations and weakening the monopoly of fiat anchors.

Pillar 2: Monetary Uncertainty Drives Structural Rebalancing
A sustained move into tangible stores of value may accelerate trends toward financial decentralization and monetary plurality, both core elements in reset scenarios.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team

Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Reuters — “Gold leaps to record high, dollar drops as US prosecutors target Fed’s Powell”

• Reuters — “Investors anxious over make-or-break fight for the Fed”

• CNBC — “Gold prices hit record as dollar weakens on Fed political uncertainty”

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Make-or-Break Moment: Investors Confront a Fed Crisis

When faith in the referee wavers, markets start rewriting the rules.

Overview

• Investors are increasingly alarmed by the escalating conflict surrounding the Federal Reserve.

• Concerns center on whether political pressure could alter monetary policy outcomes.

• Market volatility reflects growing uncertainty about future rate decisions.

• Global investors are reassessing exposure to U.S. assets and the dollar.

Key Developments

Investors warn of a pivotal credibility test for the Fed
Market participants describe the current standoff as a “make-or-break” moment for the Federal Reserve, with long-term consequences for policy credibility and investor trust.

Uncertainty clouds future interest-rate expectations
The conflict has complicated expectations around rate cuts or tightening, as investors question whether economic data or political influence will guide future decisions.

Market volatility signals unease
Equities, bonds, and currency markets have all shown signs of stress, reflecting concern that monetary stability may be compromised during a politically charged period.

Global investors reassess U.S. financial leadership
International asset managers are increasingly focused on whether the U.S. can maintain institutional stability — a critical factor in global capital allocation.

Why It Matters

Investor confidence relies on predictable, rules-based monetary policy. When the Federal Reserve’s independence is questioned, uncertainty spreads beyond U.S. markets, affecting global liquidity, capital flows, and financial stability.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

Foreign currency holders anticipating gains from a Global Reset closely watch moments like this. A weakening perception of Fed authority strengthens the narrative for currency realignment, diversification, and revaluation as confidence shifts away from traditional monetary anchors.

Implications for the Global Reset

Pillar 1: Confidence as the True Reserve Asset
The dollar’s dominance depends less on size and more on trust. A credibility crisis at the Fed challenges that foundation and accelerates discussions around alternative systems.

Pillar 2: Market Stress as a Catalyst for Change
Periods of institutional strain often precede structural reform — making investor anxiety a potential trigger rather than a byproduct of reset dynamics.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team

Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Reuters — “Investors anxious over make-or-break fight for the Fed”

• Reuters — “Global markets rattled as Fed independence comes under scrutiny”

• MarketWatch — “Why Wall Street is worried about political pressure on the Fed”

~~~~~~~~~~

Seeds of Wisdom Team RV Currency Facts Youtube and Rumble

Newshound's News Telegram Room Link

RV Facts with Proof Links Link

RV Updates Proof links - Facts Link

Follow the Gold/Silver Rate COMEX

Follow Fast Facts

Seeds of Wisdom Team™ Website

Thank you Dinar Recaps

Why The Biggest “Threat To Democracy” Is The US National Debt

Why The Biggest “Threat To Democracy” Is The US National Debt

Notes From the Field By James Hickman (Simon Black)   January 12 2026

On September 1, 1575, a royal courier from King Philip II of Spain arrived to the banking house of Niccolò de Grimaldi in Genoa.  The Grimaldi bank had loaned Philip quite a sum of money, and the Italian bankers already knew that the king’s finances were on shaky ground. So when they opened the royal letter, it probably wasn’t much of a surprise: King Philip II of Spain was suspending all debt payments. Effective immediately.

Amazingly, this was Philip’s third bankruptcy in less than two decades—he’d already defaulted in 1557 and 1560.

Bear in mind that Spain wasn’t some struggling backwater in the 1500s; this was the richest nation on Earth.

Spanish galleons transported 180 tonnes of silver annually from the Americas. The empire spanned four continents. Its army was Europe’s most feared military force.

Yet the King couldn’t pay his bills.

Philip’s treasury officials knew exactly what needed to be done: cut spending on endless wars, reform the tax system, reduce royal court expenses, stop borrowing at rates up to 40%.

But all of that was politically impossible. There were too many entrenched interests. Spain’s nobility controlled parliament, so naturally they refused to pass any new taxes (as they would be the ones paying!)

The Church owned vast estates and wielded enormous influence… so touching Church revenues was out of the question.

Military spending was non-negotiable— there were simply too many foreign powers threatening the empire, not to mention war in the Netherlands, skirmishes with the Ottomans, brewing conflict with England.

Every constituency had a reason why their particular spending was essential. Every reform threatened someone’s interests. So nothing changed.

They could have made reforms voluntarily. But it was easier to simply keep borrowing and make the problem worse every year.

Thing is, this approach of kicking the can down the road only lasts for so long… because, sooner or later, the creditors stop lending more money.

Why would they? Why would Italy’s Grimaldi bank keep sending money to Philip knowing that he would not pay them? No lender wants to sink money into a financial black hole.

What often happens in these situations is that foreign creditors do come back to the table. But not as bankers or lenders or bond investors.

No. Once a nation defaults (or is on the brink of default), creditors come back when they can essentially take control of the government… when they can oversee and approve expenses, tax revenues, and even legislation.

We’ve seen this multiple times even in the 21st century. In the aftermath of the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, many European nations (like Greece) were forced into ‘austerity’ programs whereby their domestic economic agenda was dictated by foreign creditors.

In 2022, the British Prime Minister was forced to resign because the bond market didn’t like her tax plan.

All of this ultimately constitutes a loss of sovereignty.

The same thing happened to Spain in the 1500s; suddenly Italian bankers had veto power over Spanish military campaigns… meaning that Philip was a king in name only, and the Spanish Empire ultimately became a subsidiary of the banks.

Within 100 years, Spain had gone from dominant superpower to a weak, second-tier player—economically exhausted and militarily overextended.

Spain had everything needed to remain a great power: vast resources, global trade networks, military strength, and smart administrators who understood what needed to be done.

What it lacked was the political will to make changes before a crisis forced those choices upon them, in a way entirely outside their control.

A similar trend is taking place in America today… though, again, it’s not too late.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent recently stated that he believes up to 10%—roughly $600 billion—of the US government budget is fraud. Not waste. Not inefficiency. Fraud of the sort that recently came to light in Minnesota.

And that’s not even counting the ‘legitimate graft’—the type we wrote about last week in California, where Gavin Newsom has given away nearly $100 billion to pointless Leftist initiatives.

The US still has absurdly strong economic potential. The key to reining in this future debt crisis is to cut spending, i.e. freeze the budget in place and spend the same amount of money more wisely. Stop the bleeding.

On top of that, take a hatchet to America’s bureaucratic regulatory maze. If 10% of the US budget is fraud, I’d expect at least 25% (and probably much more) of the United States Code of Federal Regulations is outright destructive.

Those two things would boost real economic growth, generate more tax revenue, substantially reduce the deficit, and bring inflation under control.

There are many paths forward, and a number of creative ways to make this happen. The problem is time. The window is still open. America still has agency over how this plays out.

But actually doing it requires political will that has been absent for decades.

And that’s the point. Staying on this trajectory—the one they’ve been on for years—is a guaranteed problem.

There are signs that some powerful people want off this ride. The fact that Bessent is even talking about $600 billion in fraud publicly is notable.

But if that doesn’t translate into action—it ultimately comes down to Congress finding the will and the courage to freeze spending… or voters becoming smart enough to elect representatives who will get the job done.

We’ve been hearing over and over again for the past several years about various ‘threats to democracy’. The legacy media seems to always be howling that some politician or some legislation is a threat to democracy.

Realistically, the biggest threat to American democracy is actually the US national debt.

Because if voters don’t wake up and demand that their Congressional representatives fix this problem, then sooner or later the bond market is going to be calling the shots— tax policy, defense spending, Social Security— voters’ wishes be damned.

And that’s about as far from ‘democracy’ as it gets.

To your freedom,   James Hickman   Co-Founder, Schiff Sovereign LLC

https://www.schiffsovereign.com/trends/why-the-biggest-threat-to-democracy-is-the-us-national-debt-154120/?inf_contact_key=766f14b20d3a8592e30fd763f3a8c638861a5a2ad116154286d146aa06e73020

Echo X: The New Banking Rule No One is Talking About

Echo X: The New Banking Rule No One is Talking About

1-12-2026

The New Banking Rule No One Is Talking About: Basel III Endgame

I actually liked how Asian Guy broke down Basel III Endgame, because even though this rule officially went live on January 1st, most people still have no idea how big this is, especially for silver.

Here’s the part that matters:

Basel III Endgame forces banks to treat precious metals differently on their balance sheets. Paper games, leverage tricks, and synthetic exposure don’t cut it anymore. Physical metal matters. Risk matters. Capital requirements matter.

That’s why:
Banks that were short silver for years quietly repositioned
Shorts were covered
Long positions started appearing
And physical silver began trading at higher premiums globally than what you see on COMEX

This also explains why:
Other countries are selling silver above COMEX prices
Physical demand keeps draining inventories
And the paper price keeps looking “off” compared to reality

Basel III Endgame didn’t cause silver to rise overnight.
It removed the ability to suppress it indefinitely.

We’re watching a slow-motion repricing where:
Paper silver ≠ physical silver
Balance sheets are being cleaned up
And the real value of scarce, tangible assets is being rediscovered

This isn’t hype.
This is plumbing-level change in the banking system.

And once the market fully wakes up to that?
Silver won’t be asking for permission anymore.

Know What You Hold!!!!

https://twitter.com/i/status/2010422973484749304

Source(s):   https://x.com/echodatruth/status/2010422973484749304

https://dinarchronicles.com/2026/01/12/echo-x-the-new-banking-rule-no-one-is-talking-about/