Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Friday Afternoon 1-23-26

Good Afternoon Dinar Recaps,

First Trilateral Peace Talks Set for UAE as Ukraine, US, and Russia Prepare to Meet

High-stakes diplomacy begins amid war and unresolved territorial tensions

Overview

Ukraine, the United States, and Russia are preparing for a first-ever trilateral meeting in the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy announced. The talks are scheduled to take place in Abu Dhabi across two days, with discussions expected to focus on the ongoing war in Ukraine, security guarantees, and the contentious Donbas territorial dispute. There is no detailed public agenda yet, and outcomes remain unconfirmed, but the development marks a rare direct diplomatic engagement between the three parties since the war began in 2022.

Key Developments

• Zelenskyy confirmed the trilateral talks will be held in Abu Dhabi on January 23–24 at a technical negotiation level with U.S. and Russian delegations.

• The discussions are described as the first of their kind in the UAE, with representatives from military and security sectors expected to participate.

• While Zelenskyy emphasized that the Donbas issue will be “key” to talks, no official agenda or diplomatic text has been released.

• Russia, Ukraine, and U.S. envoys have stated they are willing to talk about territorial modalities and security frameworks, but full agreement remains distant.

Why It Matters

• Direct engagement between Kyiv, Washington, and Moscow is rare and represents a significant diplomatic step in efforts to end the war.

• The territorial dispute over Donbas is central to the conflict and remains a core sticking point that could determine whether negotiations progress.

• No agenda or confirmed outcomes indicate that these talks are exploratory and may or may not yield concrete agreements.

• The UAE’s role as host reflects its growing position as a mediator in complex international conflicts.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

• Geopolitical conflict — especially one involving major powers — can shift investor confidence and safe-haven demand quickly, influencing currency valuations.

• Progress or breakdown in talks could affect risk sentiment, with implications for the U.S. dollar, euro, Russian ruble, and Ukrainian currency stability.

• A breakthrough could ease military spending pressures and reduce volatility in energy markets, which historically tie closely to currency flows.

• The Global Reset narrative often accelerates when major geopolitical disputes enter substantive diplomacy, even if early meetings produce limited outcomes.

Implications for the Global Reset

Pillar 1: Geopolitical Realignment

The trilateral talks signal a new phase of direct engagement, potentially reshaping alliances and diplomatic power balances in a world where traditional multilateral systems have struggled to halt conflict.

Pillar 2: Monetary and Risk Sentiment Dynamics

Conflict negotiations involving superpowers can rapidly influence currency reserve behaviors, safe-haven flows, and cross-border capital movement, especially if markets perceive shifts in geopolitical risk profiles.

This is not just a meeting — it’s a structural test of whether diplomacy can alter entrenched conflict dynamics.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• The Guardian – “Ukraine war briefing: Russians must compromise, Zelenskyy says as envoys race to Abu Dhabi”

• Reuters – “Russia, Ukraine to tackle land dispute at UAE talks; no sign of compromise”

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BRICS Central Banks Overtake U.S. Treasuries With Gold Holdings

Gold quietly replaces bonds as the world’s preferred reserve anchor

Overview

Foreign central banks — led by BRICS nations — now hold more gold by value than U.S. Treasuries for the first time since 1996, marking a historic shift in global reserve strategy. Accelerated gold accumulation reflects rising concern over dollar exposure, sanctions risk, and long-term fiat credibility, even as Treasuries remain in use for liquidity management.

Key Developments

• Central bank gold holdings reached approximately $4 trillion in January 2026, surpassing $3.9 trillion in U.S. Treasury holdings

• BRICS nations purchased over 1,000 tonnes of gold since 2022, bringing collective holdings above 6,000 tonnes

• Gold prices surged to record highs, nearly doubling in value since 2022

• Reserve diversification is driven by geopolitical risk, trade conflict, and sanctions exposure, not yield considerations

• U.S. Treasuries remain widely used, but no longer dominate reserve growth trends

Why It Matters

• Gold overtaking Treasuries signals a structural shift in how safety is defined

• Reserve managers are prioritizing sovereign neutrality over yield

• The dollar’s role is being hedged, not abandoned, through parallel reserve strategies

• This transition weakens the U.S. advantage of financing deficits through foreign bond demand

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

• Reserve diversification historically precedes currency realignment

• Reduced Treasury reliance increases demand for non-USD settlement currencies

• Gold-backed confidence strengthens currencies linked to commodity exporters

• Foreign currency holders benefit as multipolar reserve structures emerge

• These shifts align directly with Global Reset timing mechanics

Implications for the Global Reset

Pillar 1: Reserve Asset Realignment
Gold’s rise above Treasuries reflects a measurable move away from debt-based reserve dominance toward tangible asset anchoring, a core reset mechanism.

Pillar 2: Monetary Sovereignty Defense
By holding gold instead of bonds, central banks reduce exposure to foreign political leverage, reinforcing national control over monetary stability.

This is not speculation — it is institutional repositioning.

When bonds wobble, gold remembers its job

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Watcher.Guru – “BRICS: Foreign Central Banks Hold More Gold Than US Treasuries”

• World Gold Council – “Central Bank Gold Reserves and Global Trends”

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Trump Treasury & Fed Will Run it Hot in 2026 – Craig Hemke

Trump Treasury & Fed Will Run it Hot in 2026 – Craig Hemke

By Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog.com

Financial writer, market analyst and precious metals expert Craig Hemke predicted at the beginning of 2024 that the US would add a whopping $2 trillion in debt.  It did.  

At the beginning of 2025, Hemke predicted the US dollar would take a big hit.  It did, and record high gold and silver prices score Hemke another bullseye. 

At the beginning of 2026, Hemke is predicting the Trump Treasury and Fed are going to put the pedal to the metal in running the economy. 

Hemke explains, “Japan had yield curve control for years.  They have taken it off, and interest rates have skyrocketed.  This is where we are heading in the US. 

In May, Trump is going to appoint a ‘yes man’ to the Fed.  He’s going to replace (Jay) Powell, who will work with Scott Bessent (Treasury Secretary) and do his bidding and meld operations together. 

 Why would they need to do that?  Because they are going to run it hot.  

Remember, it was austerity a year ago.  DOGE was going to cut $2 trillion in spending.  They were going to balance the budget and all that kind of stuff.  They quickly figured out that dog was not going to hunt. 

 Now, it’s all about growing our way out of this.  Scott Bessent was on TV this weekend saying we are going to grow fast enough that the interest expense, which is around 6% of GDP, is going back down to 3% of GDP. 

They think they can grow GDP that fast.  They are going to grow GDP that fast by Trump’s ‘yes man’ cutting the short end, and if interest rates on the long end start going higher because of the inflation that it’s going to cause, they are going to come back in with yield curve control here in the US. 

They have done this before after World War II, and they are going to do it again as soon as this year.  That is the most bullish thing that can happen for gold and silver.  This is also why gold and silver have been rallying so strongly in the last 24 months.”

Hemke predicts gold will hit at least $6,000 per ounce, and silver will easily hit $130 per ounce in 2026.  The industrial demand for silver is not going to let up anytime soon.

Also, central bank demand is going to continue.  Hemke contends, “Two weeks after the start of the Ukraine war, the US kicked Russia out of the SWIFT system and froze its foreign currency reserves.  That sparked, at the same time, global central bank gold demand that has run record buying for four years in a row. 

It started in 2022.  Countries looked around and said, ‘Wow, if we get sideways with the US, they will do the same thing to us.’  So, they started selling their Treasuries and dollar reserves and started buying gold. 

There were record amounts in 2022, 2023, 2024 and another big year in 2025 for physical gold buying by central banks. 

We just got news today that the Polish central bank is buying another 150 metric tons of gold.  They are building their gold holding to 700 metric tons.  So, this global central bank demand is underpinning gold.”

In closing, Hemke says, “The Fed is saying they are going to cap interest rates.  The Fed is going to be a buyer of 10-year Treasury notes at let’s say 4%. . .. With locking in rates while inflation is up there, you will have negative real interest rates. 

The most bullish factor for gold prices are negative real interest rates.  That’s the path, and that’s where the US is headed.  It will be yield curve control.”

There is much more in the 39-minute interview.

Join Greg Hunter of USAWatchdog as he goes One-on-One with Craig Hemke of the popular website TFMetalsReport.com for 1.20.26.

https://usawatchdog.com/trump-treasury-fed-will-run-it-hot-in-2026-craig-hemke/

https://dinarchronicles.com/2026/01/21/greg-hunter-w-craig-hemke-trump-treasury-and-fed-will-run-it-hot-in-2026/

Major Currencies are Headed for a Reckoning

Major Currencies are Headed for a Reckoning

WTFinance:  1-21-2026

The global financial landscape is undergoing a significant transformation, driven by a complex interplay of fiscal dominance, geopolitical volatility, monetary policy, and demographic shifts.

In a recent episode of the WTFinance podcast, host Anthony Fatseas sat down with macro strategist Lyn Alden to explore these changes and their far-reaching implications. .

Lyn explains that the market environment has transitioned from a liquidity-driven, relatively predictable phase in 2023-2024 to a more volatile, headline-driven phase in 2025 and beyond.

This shift is not simply the natural end of a bull market but a reflection of broader systemic tensions, including fiscal dominance, where government debt and deficits heavily influence central bank policies.

As a result, markets are becoming increasingly sensitive to political and geopolitical uncertainties, making it essential for investors and individuals to be prepared for a more unpredictable future.

The conversation between Anthony and Lyn delves into the intricate relationship between the U.S. Federal Reserve and political pressures, particularly under the Trump Administration.

 The ongoing debates about Fed independence and the potential implications of leadership changes have significant implications for monetary policy.

While the Fed may begin to increase its balance sheet again, the approach is expected to be gradual and cautious, aiming to maintain financial system stability without triggering a bond market crisis. This delicate balancing act will be crucial in navigating the challenges ahead.

The persistent fiscal deficits and monetary expansion have significant socio-economic consequences, including rising inequality between older and younger generations and the emergence of a “K-shaped” economy.

Lyn emphasizes the challenges posed by demographic shifts, particularly aging populations, and the role of technological advancements like AI, which while boosting productivity, also disrupt labor markets and potentially exacerbate wage pressures. As the global economy continues to evolve, understanding these dynamics will be essential for developing effective strategies to mitigate their impact.

Geopolitical risks, such as the strategic importance of Greenland and the transition from a unipolar to a multipolar world, are framed within the broader theme of fiscal dominance and systemic instability.

 Lyn warns that this era of fiscal dominance tends to breed populism, social unrest, and conflict, often culminating in currency and debt crises that force significant economic restructuring. As the global landscape becomes increasingly complex, it is crucial to be aware of these risks and their potential consequences.

Despite the bleak outlook, Lyn recommends practical strategies for individuals, emphasizing diversification, preparedness for unlikely but impactful events, and maintaining personal and community resilience. By focusing on productive efforts, financial prudence, and supporting social cohesion, individuals can navigate the ongoing uncertainty and build a more secure future.

The evolving global financial landscape presents significant challenges, but also opportunities for growth and adaptation.

 By understanding the complex interplay of fiscal dominance, geopolitical volatility, monetary policy, and demographic shifts, we can develop effective strategies to navigate the uncertain terrain ahead. As Lyn Alden’s insights make clear, being prepared, diversified, and resilient will be essential for weathering the storms ahead.

For further insights and information, be sure to watch the full video from WTFinance.

https://youtu.be/2UDj9RspgB0

“Tidbits From TNT” Saturday 1-17-2026

TNT:

Tishwash:  Mark Savaya arrives in Erbil

Shafaq News Agency's correspondent reported that Mark Savaya, US President Donald Trump's envoy for Iraq affairs, arrived in Erbil, the capital of the Kurdistan Region, early Saturday morning, as part of a visit that coincides with broader US diplomatic activity related to the Iraq and Syria files.

Tom Barrack, Trump’s envoy for Syria, is scheduled to arrive in Erbil later on Saturday to meet with Mazloum Abdi, the commander of the Syrian Democratic Forces, at a time when the Syrian arena is witnessing a military escalation and international mediation efforts to de-escalate the situation.

Trump had appointed Savaya as special envoy for Iraq affairs on October 19, 2025. He is an American businessman of Iraqi origin.

In his latest remarks, attributed to him ahead of the visit, he said he would deal with the "appropriate decision-makers" in Iraq, and had previously hinted that "big changes are coming" with a focus on "actions, not words."  link

Tishwash: Sudanese advisor: The government has achieved economic success, and the International Monetary Fund is witnessing it. 

Despite talk of a severe financial crisis in Iraq and the decline of the dinar against the dollar, the Prime Minister's financial advisor, Mazhar Muhammad Salih, says that the country recorded a low inflation rate of about 1.5% by the end of 2025. He pointed out that inflation in Iraq is the lowest in the Arab world, noting that the government's monetary policy succeeded in maintaining price and exchange rate stability and protecting the purchasing power of the dinar.

Regarding the recent cabinet measures, Salih explained that their aim is to address what is known as "job inflation" as a step to support social stability and improve income levels, as he put it.

Saleh told the official agency, as reported by 964 Network , that “the Iraqi economy is witnessing a remarkable phase of monetary stability, as it recorded a low inflation rate of about 1.5% by the end of 2025, according to estimates by the International Monetary Fund, which is among the lowest rates in the Arab region.” He explained that “this achievement is attributed to the monetary policy that succeeded in maintaining price and exchange rate stability, and protecting the purchasing power of the dinar, which strengthened confidence in the national currency and provided a more favorable environment for investment.”

He added that “the recent Cabinet decisions aim to address what is known as ‘job inflation’ as a step to support social stability and improve income levels,” noting that “these measures achieve positive short-term returns by stimulating domestic demand and enhancing economic confidence, especially if they are financed within the limits of financial sustainability and do not exceed the absorptive capacity of the economy.”

He explained that “the biggest challenge remains in transforming this monetary stability into sustainable productive economic growth, since government employment, if not linked to productivity, may create a gap between public spending and real output, and increase the economy’s vulnerability to fluctuations in oil prices.”

He added that “the solution lies in linking employment to training and qualification programs, empowering the private sector through legislative and financial reforms, as well as diversifying the economic base by focusing on agricultural development, manufacturing, renewable energy, and increasing opportunities in the digital economy.”

He stressed that “Iraq today has a rare dual opportunity represented by low inflation and monetary stability,” adding that “this opportunity can turn into a long-term gain if it is invested in building a solid productive base, which will ensure the continuity of financial and monetary stability in the medium and long term, and move the economy from the cycle of rentier dependency to the path of sustainable growth.”  link

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Tishwash:  Government advisor: Tourism investment is a gateway to stimulating the private sector and diversifying national income.

The Prime Minister’s financial advisor, Mazhar Muhammad Saleh, confirmed on Friday that Iraq has more than 12,000 archaeological sites that form the basis for a comprehensive tourism launch, explaining that tourism investment is a gateway to stimulating the private sector and diversifying national income.

Saleh told the Iraqi News Agency (INA): “Tourism in Iraq is more than just a recreational activity; it is a strategic tool for wealth creation, achieving balanced development, and diversifying national income sources, provided that investment in it is done seriously and with a clear institutional approach.”

He explained that “this sector has the potential to become a major economic pillar, capable of restoring Iraq to its natural civilizational position and contributing to building a more stable and sustainable economic future.”

He added that “tourism in Iraq represents a strategic economic lever capable of reducing the single dependence on oil, opening up broad prospects for diversifying national income, creating direct and indirect job opportunities, revitalizing the service and commercial sectors, as well as providing the economy with important revenues from foreign currency.”

He pointed out that "tourism leads to an increase in demand for local products and services, especially handicrafts, food products, and national cuisine, which strengthens local value chains. At the employment level, it is estimated that a single tourism event in the hotel accommodation sector alone is capable of generating more than 25 job opportunities at once, which highlights the multiplier effect of this sector on the labor market."

He pointed out that "tourism investment contributes to stimulating private sector trends by supporting the growth of small and medium enterprises, such as transport companies, restaurants and shops, and it also has a positive impact on the macroeconomy through the development of infrastructure by investing in roads, airports, hotels and public facilities, which enhances the investment attractiveness of the country as a whole."

Saleh emphasized that “Iraq has more than 12,000 archaeological sites stretching from Babylon, Ur and Nineveh to Baghdad and Samarra, as well as holy religious shrines. These are unique cultural treasures, some of which have been included in UNESCO’s World Heritage List, and they form a solid foundation for a comprehensive tourism initiative with economic, cultural and civilizational dimensions.  link

Mot:  Simply Can't Win !!! -- Can He!!!??? 

Mot: Love the Wisdom of the ""Wee Folks""!!! 

MilitiaMan and Crew: IQD News Update-"Iraq Dinar: REER & Global Integration 2026"

MilitiaMan and Crew: IQD News Update-"Iraq Dinar: REER & Global Integration 2026"

1-11-2026

The Crew:  Samson, PompeyPeter, Petra, Daytrader, Sunkissed, GIGI and Militia Man

Follow MM on X == https://x.com/Slashn

Be sure to listen to full video for all the news……..

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pgyQ3RtNQfw

Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Wednesday Afternoon 12-17-25

Good Afternoon Dinar Recaps,

U.S. Begins Venezuela Blockade as Trump Assembles “Largest Armada”: Escalation in Oil and Military Pressure

Naval blockade of Venezuelan oil tankers intensifies U.S.–Caracas conflict, with rising geopolitical and economic fallout.

Overview

• President Trump orders a total naval blockade of all U.S.-sanctioned oil tankers going into and out of Venezuela.

• U.S. military presence in the Caribbean surges, described as the largest armada in South American history.

• Venezuela condemns the blockade as unlawful and vows to pursue action at the United Nations.

• Oil markets react, with prices rising on geopolitical risk, while enforcement and legal questions persist.

Key Developments

• Blockade officially announced
  President Donald Trump declared a “total and complete blockade” of all U.S.-sanctioned oil tankers servicing Venezuela, citing allegations that the Maduro regime uses oil revenues to fund terrorism, drug trafficking, and human trafficking. He framed the directive as necessary to reclaim U.S. “stolen” oil, land, and assets and labelled the Venezuelan government a “foreign terrorist organization.” 

• Largest armada deployed near Venezuela
  Trump’s announcement emphasized that Venezuela was “completely surrounded by the largest Armada ever assembled in the history of South America,” with ongoing build-up of U.S. naval forces in the Caribbean. 

• Venezuela condemns the action
  Caracas, led by President Nicolás Maduro, denounced the blockade as a “grotesque threat” and violation of international law, characterizing it as an effort to seize national wealth. The Venezuelan government intends to raise the issue at the United Nations and appeal to the global community. 

• Oil prices respond to disruption fears
  Oil markets saw a rebound from multi-year lows following the blockade announcement, with Brent and WTI crude rising as energy stocks gained. Analysts caution that fundamentals may limit sustained price escalation absent broader supply shocks. 

Why It Matters

The blockade marks a significant escalation in U.S.–Venezuelan tensions and reflects a broader Trump administration strategy of blending economic sanctions with military pressure. By targeting Venezuela’s critical oil exports, the policy places severe strain on the country’s already fragile economy and raises the specter of deeper conflict. Global markets and geopolitical alignments could shift as countries react to enforcement actions and diplomatic fallout.

Why It Matters to Global Energy Markets
Venezuela holds the world’s largest proven oil reserves. Disruptions to its crude exports under blockade pressure may reverberate through global oil supply chains, affecting prices, trade flows, and energy security strategies—particularly among major consumers and producers. 

Implications for the Global Reset

Pillar 1: Militarized Economic Warfare
The Venezuela blockade illustrates a fusion of military force and economic policy to exert pressure on a sovereign state’s resource sector—redefining how sanctions and security strategies intertwine.

Pillar 2: Geopolitical Polarization and Legal Contention
Global institutions and foreign governments may be drawn into disputes over international law, freedom of navigation, and the legitimacy of naval blockades, potentially reshaping diplomatic alliances and norms.

This is not just geopolitics — it’s a reordering of power, resources, and legal frameworks in global affairs.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Newsweek – “Venezuela Blockade Begins as Trump Assembles ‘Largest Armada’: Live Update” 

• ABC News – “Trump announces 'TOTAL AND COMPLETE BLOCKADE' of sanctioned Venezuelan oil tankers”

• Al Jazeera – “Trump orders naval blockade of sanctioned Venezuelan oil tankers” 

• The Guardian – “Trump news at a glance: president ratchets up pressure on Maduro with oil tanker blockade” 

• Barron’s – “Oil Prices Jump Off Multi-Year Lows as Trump Orders Venezuela Blockade”

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Asian Markets Rebound as Tech Leads Risk-On Shift Across the Region

Technology shares lift Asian equities as investors rotate toward growth amid global monetary recalibration.

Overview

• Asian equity markets advanced broadly, led by gains in technology and semiconductor stocks.

• Investor sentiment turned risk-on, signaling confidence despite global macro uncertainty.

• Regional divergence remains, with some markets lagging due to domestic pressures.

• Capital flows reflect global asset rotation, not economic normalization.

Key Developments

• Tech stocks drive regional gains
  Major Asian indices, including Japan’s Nikkei and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng, moved higher as technology and AI-linked shares rebounded. Semiconductor and chip-equipment firms led the advance, benefiting from renewed global demand expectations.

• China and Hong Kong stabilize cautiously
  Chinese and Hong Kong markets showed modest improvement as investors weighed stimulus expectations against lingering structural concerns in property and debt markets. Gains were selective rather than broad-based.

• Mixed performance across Asia-Pacific
  While Japan, South Korea, and China saw gains, markets such as Australia and parts of Southeast Asia underperformed due to commodity price sensitivity and domestic growth concerns.

• Global liquidity expectations influence flows
  The rebound reflects anticipation that major central banks are nearing policy inflection points, encouraging investors to reposition into growth-oriented assets ahead of broader monetary shifts.

Why It Matters

Asian equity movements often act as an early signal of global capital reallocation trends. The renewed appetite for technology and growth assets suggests investors are positioning for structural changes in liquidity, productivity, and digital infrastructure rather than short-term economic relief. This behavior aligns with a world transitioning toward multipolar capital markets.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

Currency holders should note that risk-on equity flows often weaken safe-haven currencies while strengthening regional and emerging-market currencies. As capital rotates into Asian assets, demand for local currencies can rise temporarily — but volatility increases if expectations reverse. This underscores the importance of diversification during global monetary transition phases.

Implications for the Global Reset

Pillar 1: Capital Rotation Over Economic Recovery
Markets are reallocating capital in anticipation of system change, not cyclical recovery — a hallmark of late-stage monetary restructuring.

Pillar 2: Asia’s Role in the Next Financial Order
Asia’s tech and manufacturing base continues to attract global liquidity, reinforcing its role as a cornerstone of the emerging multipolar financial system.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Reuters – “Asian stocks rise as tech shares rebound, risk appetite improves”

• Reuters – “Global investors rotate toward growth as policy outlook shifts”

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Thank you Dinar Recaps

"This Is Going To be Horrific" Mike Maloney Says USA Entering a Bust Unlike Any Other

"This Is Going To be Horrific" Mike Maloney Says USA Entering a Bust Unlike Any Other

SilverGold:  11-1-8-2025

WARNING: A crash unlike any other may be coming. In this video, financial educator and precious-metals proponent Mike Maloney joins Allan to walk us through why the U.S. may be entering “a bust unlike any other.”

From real-estate bubbles, to stock-market excess, to mounting credit-stress in households and businesses — we explore the data, the diverging signals, and the structural vulnerabilities that rarely get this much attention.

What you’ll learn:

Why both housing and equities are flashing warning signs simultaneously.

How rising credit-card and auto-loan delinquencies may be just the beginning.

Why commercial real-estate could be the next domino to fall.

What the divergence between leading indicators and the stock market truly means.

Actionable strategies for when the reset happens (and yes — preparation beats surprise).

 The U.S. is facing both a stock-market bubble and a real-estate bubble simultaneously — a scenario unlike past major downturns.

(Mike Maloney) Consumer credit-stress indicators are reaching levels not seen since the 2008 crisis: 90-day+ credit-card delinquencies above ~12 % and auto-loan delinquencies at record highs.

Commercial real-estate and commercial mortgage-backed securities are showing warning signs: delinquency rates in office‐CMBS have breached highs from past crises.

The divergence between leading economic indicators (LEI) and the stock market is historically a red flag: when the LEI drops sharply while the stock market remains elevated, a crash tends to follow.

According to Maloney, this is not just a cyclical downturn: he argues we’re in the midst of a “monetary reset” with structural risk, and the real crash hasn’t yet hit — it’s still building.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fstGr4QjJdU

De-Dollarization is Reaching 100%, Russia and China Bypass the West Entirely

De-Dollarization is Reaching 100%, Russia and China Bypass the West Entirely

Lena Petrova:   11-8-2025

For nearly a century, the US dollar has reigned supreme, the undisputed king of global finance. It’s been the bedrock of international trade, the primary reserve currency, and the go-to for settling accounts across borders.

But beneath the surface of this perceived stability, a silent revolution is underway—a phenomenon known as “dellorization.”

This isn’t a planned coup or a sudden uprising. Instead, it’s a gradual, market-driven adaptation, heavily accelerated by geopolitical shifts and, ironically, the very Western sanctions designed to assert financial power. We’re witnessing a fascinating transformation, particularly evident in the rapidly deepening financial partnership between Russia and China.

The catalyst for this accelerated shift was undeniably the extensive sanctions imposed on Russia following the 2022 UKraine conflict.

These severe restrictions, which saw Russia largely cut off from Western-dominated financial infrastructures like the US dollar and euro systems, forced a radical re-evaluation of its economic strategy.

The response has been swift and decisive: a strategic pivot eastward, with China emerging as Russia’s largest trading partner and primary buyer of its oil. The numbers speak volumes: Russia’s Finance Minister Anton Siluanov recently announced that a staggering 99.1% of trade settlements between Russia and China now occur in their local currencies—the ruble and yuan. 

This isn’t just a statistic; it’s a powerful statement of financial independence, effectively bypassing the very systems that Western sanctions sought to control.

This trend isn’t confined to Moscow and Beijing. It’s part of a broader movement among nations worldwide—especially within the BRICS bloc (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) and other regional alliances like ASEAN and the Shanghai Cooperation Organization.

 Their goal? To reduce dependence on the US dollar, insulate themselves from potential future sanctions, and mitigate financial shocks.

This shift represents more than just a tactical move; it’s a profound philosophical and practical change. Nations are prioritizing economic resilience and financial sovereignty, seeking to diversify away from traditional Western financial hubs like Washington, London, and Brussels.

While the momentum for dellorization is undeniable, the path to a truly multipolar financial world isn’t without its challenges.

The political and economic diversity among BRICS members, for instance, means not all nations share the same urgency or capability to decouple from Western economies. The US, naturally, has signaled its readiness to resist these efforts through sanctions and tariffs, aiming to protect the dollar’s dominance.

However, historical precedent suggests that currency dominance follows economic power shifts gradually. The Russia-China trade milestone is a key indication that we might be witnessing the early stages of a new era in global finance—one marked by complexity, multipolarity, and a strong emphasis on economic sovereignty.

The weaponization of the dollar, while powerful in the short term, may ultimately be accelerating its long-term decline by prompting viable alternatives to emerge. As more nations seek to control their own financial destinies, the global financial landscape is set for a fascinating and complex evolution.

https://youtu.be/LOPKmYQd2qA

Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Sunday Afternoon 11-2-25

Good Afternoon Dinar Recaps,

Diplomacy, Currency & Metals: The Quiet Shifts Redrawing Global Finance

How gold, the yuan, and resource diplomacy are shaping a post-dollar order

Overview

Recent developments across diplomacy, metals, and currency markets show a quiet but accelerating restructuring of global finance. What once appeared as isolated moves — trade deals, currency discussions, and commodity market swings — now converge into a larger framework of strategic financial realignment.

Gold and the Federal Reserve’s Signal

• Gold prices slipped about 0.4% after the U.S. Federal Reserve adopted a cautious tone on rate cuts, which strengthened the dollar.

• Despite the short-term pullback, central banks remain net buyers of gold, underscoring its role as a hedge against monetary instability.

• Gold’s behavior continues to act as a barometer of structural transition — signaling investor hedging ahead of potential monetary resets rather than mere cyclical policy shifts.

BRICS Currency and the Rise of a Multipolar Payment System

• The BRICS bloc is intensifying discussions on creating a joint payment and settlement system to reduce reliance on the U.S. dollar.

• This effort complements the broader “de-dollarization” trend observed across Asia, Africa, and Latin America.

• Analysts suggest such a system could eventually function as a parallel settlement layer backed by commodities or digital assets — a key stepping stone toward a new reserve architecture.

China’s Yuan-Based Diplomacy

• Russian businessman Oleg Deripaska emphasized that China’s vision for a multipolar world order depends on establishing a yuan-based settlement framework.

• This positions the yuan not just as a national currency, but as the anchor of a regional financial system aligned with trade corridors like the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).

• The yuan’s role in energy, commodities, and strategic infrastructure reflects Beijing’s push to pair diplomacy with monetary design — a direct counterpart to the dollar’s post-World War II system.

Resource Diplomacy: The Metals Dimension

• The U.S.–Australia Critical Minerals Agreement illustrates how diplomatic ties are now inseparable from resource and monetary strategy.

• Securing rare earths and battery metals forms part of the West’s response to Chinese resource dominance — effectively a financial defense mechanism.

• By controlling upstream materials, nations also control currency stability, trade leverage, and supply-chain financing — extending diplomacy into financial architecture.

Why It Matters

• Metals are now monetary assets again. Gold, rare earths, and critical minerals underpin not just trade but sovereign financial independence.

• Currency and diplomacy are merging. The yuan’s expansion, BRICS discussions, and Western resource alliances show finance being rebuilt around political blocs.

• A dual financial architecture is emerging. One dollar-centric; the other regionalized and resource-backed — together forming the next phase of Bretton Woods 2.0.

• These trends are not isolated policy events but coordinated responses to the same structural force: the global realignment of trade, energy, and settlement systems.

Outlook

Watch for:

• Formal announcements on the BRICS payment platform or gold/yuan linkages.

• Central bank gold reserves — if accumulation accelerates, it signals growing confidence in a non-dollar system.

• Strategic mineral treaties — each deal effectively extends a new financial frontier beyond the traditional banking network.

• Yuan and commodity settlement volumes — the metric that may define who controls the “liquidity language” of the next decade.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources:

• Discovery Alert – “Federal Reserve Rate Cuts and Gold Prices: 2025 Market Analysis”

• Reuters – “US-Australia critical minerals deal underscores gap to China” 

• White House – “United States-Australia Framework For Securing of Supply in the Mining and Processing of Critical Minerals and Rare Earths” 

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“BRICS Unbroken: Why Allegations of a Split Miss the Point of the Global Finance Shift”

The allegations of member-exit are a distraction — the real story is a deeper financial and geopolitical re-structuring underway.

The claim — that one or more members of BRICS are leaving the bloc — is unfounded. What’s occurring instead is the reinforcement of collective financial and trade mechanisms that challenge Western-centric systems. 

🔹 What the Source Says

• Maria Zakharova, spokesperson for Russia’s foreign ministry, stated that no BRICS member has formally notified the bloc of any intention to leave, despite U.S. tariff pressure. 

• Rather than splitting, the bloc is reportedly being pushed closer together by external pressure: “tariffs … are pushing the BRICS countries not to leave the association, but […] to expand trade, economic, and financial cooperation and develop mechanisms for practical cooperation that are resistant to external risks.” 

• BRICS continues its enlargement and institutionalisation: the group has expanded membership, created partner-country status, and developed financial institutions. 

🔹 How This Fits with the Global Financial & Alliance Restructuring

• Alliance architecture rewriting: This isn’t a story of collapse but of transformation. Without public exits, the BRICS model transitions like this: moving from loose cooperation toward coordinated financial and trade infrastructure (e.g., alternative settlements, multi-currency arrangements).

• Financial system reset in motion: The strength of the alliance under pressure signals that new financial networks (clearing, settlement, trade-financing) are being constructed specifically to withstand Western-led tariffs and sanctions. That means the architecture of global finance is being layered, not just modified.

• U.S. strategic dimension: As you track from your lens, these developments underscore why U.S. trade deals, diplomacy and regulatory influence matter so much — the alternative networks being built by BRICS and its partners could bypass much of the U.S.-dominated system.

• Narrative & perception: The sceptical narrative of “members leaving” is itself significant: it shows how much the U.S. (and Western media) treat BRICS as a threat. BRICS’s ability to deflect the narrative and show cohesion strengthens its position in the global reset.

🔹 Why It Matters

• For global investors & policymakers: If BRICS holds together while developing independent finance/trade rails, capital flows, asset-allocation decisions and currency exposure must evolve accordingly.

• For the U.S.: This is not just competition in trade — this is competition over financial infrastructure: who owns the rails, who sets the rules, who controls settlement and value movements. Every trade deal, tariff threat or regulatory policy becomes part of that broader architecture.

• For system stability: Multi-polar finance means risk is redistributed. The old “West vs the rest” model is morphing into a multi-node network where disruptions in one node (e.g., sanctions, export bans) compel others to pick up slack or build alternatives. Resilience is being baked into the system via redundancy.

• For the global reset: When alliances like BRICS show resilience under pressure, it accelerates the move from a unipolar, dollar-centric system toward a multipolar network of trade-finance hubs — which means your tagline holds true: “This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.”

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Watcher Guru – “Which Countries Are Leaving the BRICS Alliance?”  

• Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) – “What is the BRICS Group and Why Is It Expanding?”

• Carnegie Endowment – “BRICS Expansion and the Future of World Order.”

~~~~~~~~~

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“Vietnam News” Posted by Henig at KTFA 10-26-2025

KTFA:

Henig:  Việt Nam, US issue joint statement on reciprocal trade agreement

October 26, 2025 - 19:09

According to the joint statement, Việt Nam will provide preferential market access for substantially all US industrial and agricultural exports to Việt Nam.

HÀ NỘI — Việt Nam and the US on Sunday issued a joint statement outlining a framework for an agreement on reciprocal, fair and balanced trade.

Prime Minister Phạm Minh Chính met with US President Donald Trump at the 13th ASEAN-US Summit in Kuala Lumpur on Sunday. VNA/VNS Photo

The statement was released on the occasion of US President Donald Trump and Prime Minister Phạm Minh Chính attending the 47th ASEAN Summit in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. The agreement on reciprocal, fair and balanced trade will build upon the longstanding economic relationship between the two countries, including the US-Việt Nam Bilateral Trade Agreement signed in 2000, which entered into force in 2001.

According to the joint statement, Việt Nam will provide preferential market access for substantially all US industrial and agricultural exports to Việt Nam. The US will maintain at 20 per cent the reciprocal tariffs, as outlined in Executive Order 14257 of April 2, 2025, as amended, on originating goods of Việt Nam, and will also identify products from the list set out in Annex III to Executive Order 14346 of September 5, 2025, Potential Tariff Adjustments for Aligned Partners, to receive a zero per cent reciprocal tariff rate.

The US and Việt Nam will work constructively to address both countries’ interests in non-tariff barriers affecting bilateral trade in priority areas. Việt Nam has agreed to address many such barriers, including accepting vehicles built to US motor vehicle safety and emissions standards, addressing import licences for US medical devices, streamlining regulatory requirements and approvals for US pharmaceutical products, fully implementing Việt Nam’s obligations under certain international intellectual property treaties to which it is a party, and addressing US concerns with conformity assessment procedures. The US and Việt Nam have also committed to address and prevent barriers to US agricultural products in the Vietnamese market, including with regard to US regulatory oversight and acceptance of currently agreed certificates issued by US regulatory authorities.

Under the agreement, Vietnam Airlines has agreed to purchase 50 aircraft from Boeing, worth more than US$8 billion.

 Vietnamese companies have signed 20 memorandums of understanding with US companies to purchase US agricultural commodities, with a total estimated value of over US$2.9 billion.

In the coming weeks, the US and Việt Nam will work to finalise the agreement, prepare it for signature and undertake domestic formalities in advance of it entering into force. — VNS

https://vietnamnews.vn/economy/1728178/viet-nam-us-issue-joint-statement-on-reciprocal-trade-agreement.html

Henig:  Prime Minister Phạm Minh Chính meets US President Donald Trump on sidelines of 47th ASEAN Summit

October 26, 2025 - 20:19

During the meeting, the two leaders agreed to advance the Comprehensive Strategic Partnership for peace, cooperation and sustainable development between Việt Nam and the United States in a deeper, more substantive and effective manner.

Prime Minister Phạm Minh Chính (left) held a brief meeting with US President Donald Trump on the sidelines of the 13th ASEAN–US Summit

KUALA LUMPUR — Prime Minister Phạm Minh Chính held a brief meeting with US President Donald Trump on the sidelines of the 13th ASEAN–US Summit during his attendance at the 47th ASEAN Summit and related meetings in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, on Sunday.

 During the meeting, the two leaders agreed to advance the Comprehensive Strategic Partnership for peace, cooperation and sustainable development between Việt Nam and the United States in a deeper, more substantive and effective manner.

 Both sides expressed a shared commitment to soon conclude a Reciprocal Trade Agreement, ensuring fairness and equality while encouraging greater US investment in Việt Nam.

Following Prime Minister Chính’s proposal, President Trump gave a positive response and took note of Việt Nam’s request for recognition as a market economy, as well as for removal from the US strategic export control lists D1 and D3. President Trump directed senior American officials present at the summit, including the Treasury Secretary and the US Trade Representative, to promptly provide feedback on these matters.

PM Chính commended President Trump’s role in promoting the peaceful settlement of global conflicts in recent times.

The brief ASEAN–US sidelines meeting demonstrated mutual understanding, respect and a shared resolve to further strengthen the Comprehensive Strategic Partnership between the two countries.

On this occasion, PM Chính conveyed an invitation from Party General Secretary Tô Lâm and other senior Vietnamese leaders for President Trump to visit Việt Nam. President Trump warmly accepted, saying he looked forward to and would make time for a visit to Việt Nam in the near future.

PM Chính also proposed that the United States arrange a visit to Washington by Party General Secretary Tô Lâm under the framework of the two countries’ Comprehensive Strategic Partnership. President Trump welcomed the idea, asking that Việt Nam inform the US side at an appropriate time, and also expressed a desire for PM Chính to visit the United States when convenient for both sides.

13th ASEAN–US Summit On Sunday afternoon, PM Chính joined ASEAN leaders and US President Donald Trump at the 13th ASEAN–US Summit, held at the Kuala Lumpur Convention Centre.

 In his address, Chính congratulated President Trump on the United States’ recent achievements and praised his diplomatic efforts in promoting dialogue and peaceful conflict resolution worldwide. He particularly acknowledged the President’s cooperation with Malaysia, this year’s ASEAN Chair, and other ASEAN members in facilitating talks between Cambodia and Thailand, leading to the signing of a Joint Declaration of Peace between the two neighbours.

Recognising the US as one of ASEAN’s most comprehensive strategic partners, Chính proposed four major orientations to deepen ASEAN-US cooperation more practically and effectively.

The orientations consist of enhancing economic, trade and investment connectivity towards a balanced, harmonious and sustainable relationship; promoting cooperation in digital transformation, innovation and energy security, including energy infrastructure connectivity and peaceful nuclear energy collaboration; strengthening cybersecurity and the fight against transnational crime, building on US initiatives against online fraud and Việt Nam’s initiative on improving the pursuit of wanted criminals; and maintaining peace, security and stability across the region.

 Chính reaffirmed that ASEAN and the US shared common interests and responsibilities in maintaining peace, stability, security and development in the region, including the East Sea (internationally known as the South China Sea). He reiterated ASEAN’s principled position of resolving disputes peacefully and in accordance with international law, particularly the 1982 United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS).

For his part, President Trump affirmed that Southeast Asia occupied a central place in the US Indo-Pacific policy, and that the United States remained a steadfast partner and friend to the region.

Washington, he said, would seek to deepen its partnership with ASEAN not only in economics, trade, energy, technology and AI but also in the pursuit of peace, stability and prosperity for all nations and future generations.

The President underscored that the US would be ready to work closely with and support ASEAN in addressing shared challenges, with full respect for ASEAN’s centrality and the legitimate interests of its member states. At the close of the summit, ASEAN and US leaders adopted the 'Joint Vision Statement on a Stronger, Safer and More Prosperous ASEAN-US Partnership,' setting the strategic direction for the next phase of cooperation.

ASEAN leaders commended the United States for its active and constructive contributions to regional cooperation through ASEAN-led mechanisms, particularly in promoting dialogue and confidence-building for peace and stability.

They also highly appreciated President Trump’s personal commitment and role in fostering regional dialogue, including his support for negotiations that helped ease tensions and achieve the Peace Declaration between Thailand and Cambodia in Kuala Lumpur on Sunday.

The leaders noted that ASEAN-US relations continue to grow robustly, comprehensively and effectively across multiple sectors.

 The two sides reaffirmed their commitment to effectively implementing existing initiatives and to deepening the ASEAN-US Comprehensive Strategic Partnership, focusing on high-quality trade and investment, finance, infrastructure connectivity, the digital economy, energy and cybersecurity resilience, all aimed at building a peaceful, secure, stable and prosperous region. —VNS

https://vietnamnews.vn/politics-laws/1728180/prime-minister-pham-minh-chinh-meets-us-president-donald-trump-on-sidelines-of-47th-asean-summit.html

Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Friday Afternoon 10-24-25

Good Afternoon Dinar Recaps,

The DeFi Spine of the Global Reset: How Flare, Ripple, and BRICS Gold Systems Are Converging

From tokenized liquidity to gold-backed trade, a two-tier financial system quietly takes shape.

A quiet but monumental transformation is underway across global finance — one not defined by central banks alone, but by the convergence of decentralized and sovereign digital systems.

The Flare Network’s 40 million XRP bridge, the Ripple cross-border payment infrastructure, and the BRICS gold-backed digital currency initiatives are no longer separate experiments — they are interlocking components of what analysts are now calling a “dual-layer financial architecture.”

At the first layer, sovereign digital currencies — including BRICS’ proposed settlement coin and China’s digital yuan — form the backbone of state-backed value exchange. These systems are increasingly commodity-anchored, with Russia, China, and Saudi Arabia linking trade settlements to gold and energy units.

At the second layer, interoperable DeFi platforms like Flare and Ripple enable real-time liquidity movement across private and public networks. Through wrapped assets like FXRP, tokenized gold, and programmable stablecoins, these systems are demonstrating how digital collateral can flow globally without central clearing intermediaries.

The BIS Innovation Hub has acknowledged that such interoperability “could redefine the infrastructure of reserve mobility.” Ripple’s distributed ledger for banks and Flare’s cross-chain DeFi mechanics effectively create a “financial Internet”—a programmable liquidity grid connecting sovereign and private markets.

Why It Matters

This hybrid model—state-backed reserves supported by decentralized liquidity rails—forms the technological foundation of the global financial reset.

It represents the end of static reserves and the rise of programmable value, where gold, oil, and digital assets circulate within a unified, tokenized framework.

As BRICS nations shift trade settlements into this dual system, and Western institutions quietly pilot similar models through the IMF’s Digital Money Reports and BIS cross-border trials, the stage is set for the first programmable global monetary order in history.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources:

• Watcher.Guru – Flare Bridges 40 Million XRP as CEO Says It’s Only the Beginning

• IMF Digital Money Report 2025

• BIS Innovation Hub – Unified Ledger and Cross-Border Tokenization Framework

• BRICS Secretariat – Working Paper on Commodity-Backed Settlement Unit (2025)

• Ripple Insights – Institutional Liquidity and Cross-Border Payment Rail Study

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BRICS Accelerates Dollar Offload as China’s Currency Intervention Hits $51.8 Billion

IMF and BIS analysts warn of deepening liquidity divergence as Beijing leads a new wave of de-dollarization.

BRICS member China is intensifying its push away from the U.S. dollar.

According to Bloomberg and Watcher.Guru, Chinese banks helped clients offload $51.8 billion in foreign currencies in September — the largest single-month sell-off since 2020. The wave of conversions, primarily by exporters and institutional investors, marks a sharp turn toward yuan internationalization amid growing U.S. trade tensions.

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) has been actively supporting the yuan’s value, setting its daily reference rate at its strongest level in a month. These moves come shortly after U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariff escalation on Chinese imports, prompting Beijing and other BRICS nations to tighten coordination and support local-currency settlements.

The BIS has recently cautioned that “sustained dollar offloading by systemically important economies could fragment liquidity channels.” Meanwhile, the IMF notes that “multi-currency reserve diversification now poses measurable risk to dollar-based clearing systems.”

• $51.8 billion in FX offloads marks the largest coordinated move since 2020.

• Yuan confidence surges as exporters settle trade in domestic currency.

• BRICS coordination deepens, signaling an active transition toward a commodity-anchored, multipolar financial order.

Why It Matters

This accelerated dollar liquidation by BRICS members, led by China, represents more than a trade maneuver — it’s a monetary shift. Each sale of dollar reserves and foreign assets weakens the U.S.-centric liquidity network that underpins global trade. As alternative settlement systems expand and BRICS currency integration advances, the groundwork for a parallel financial architecture emerges — the very foundation of a global financial reset built on multipolar balance, digital assets, and sovereign control.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources:

• Watcher.Guru – BRICS Speeds Up Dollar Selling, Chinese Firms Offload $51.8 Billion

• Bloomberg – China’s Dollar Sell-Off Hits 4-Year High

• BIS Quarterly Review – October 2025

• IMF Global Financial Stability Report – “Shifting Ground Beneath the Calm”

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