$3.5 Trillion Private Credit Bubble will Trigger the Next Financial Crisis
$3.5 Trillion Private Credit Bubble will Trigger the Next Financial Crisis
Daniela Cambone: 4-23-2026
In a world rife with economic headlines, from inflation woes to tech stock volatility, it’s easy to feel overwhelmed. But what if the biggest threat isn’t being discussed widely enough? What if a seasoned veteran, with nearly five decades of market insight, is sounding an urgent alarm about a sector you might not even be familiar with?
That’s precisely the message from Bert Dohmen, founder of Dohmen Capital and a long-time market strategist known for his contrarian views. In a recent appearance on Daniela Cambone’s show via the ITM Trading YouTube channel, Dohmen laid out a stark warning: the private credit market is a dangerous bubble, poised to trigger the next global financial crisis.
Dohmen, drawing on his deep understanding of liquidity and credit cycles, argues that the rapid expansion of private credit – a sector heavily promoted by Wall Street – is showing alarming signs of stress. He points to evident liquidity shortages and recent instances of large firms halting redemptions as clear signals of serious trouble brewing beneath the surface.
Think of it this way: private credit involves direct lending by non-bank financial institutions to companies, often those that can’t access traditional bank loans or public markets. While it offers flexibility, its rapid, largely unregulated growth, coupled with widespread illiquidity, creates a precarious system. When investors want their money back, and the underlying assets can’t be quickly sold, the system grinds to a halt – a classic recipe for a financial crisis.
In this environment, he critiques popular investment trends like technology stocks and cryptocurrencies, which he believes lack intrinsic value and are highly speculative. Instead, he vehemently advocates for precious metals like gold and silver, emphasizing their historical role as safe havens and their inherent, tangible value during economic downturns.
Dohmen doesn’t shy away from critiquing conventional economic policies, especially those of the Federal Reserve. He argues that the Fed’s primary tool to combat inflation – raising interest rates – is counterproductive, actually fueling inflation by increasing business costs, which are then passed on to consumers.
He predicts ongoing inflation and economic pain, doubting that policymakers will have the fortitude to genuinely shrink the money supply due to fears of triggering a deep recession and facing severe political backlash. For investors, this means that traditional diversification strategies, often lauded in calmer times, might not offer adequate protection during the impending crisis.
Interestingly, Dohmen also notes a rising political movement in some U.S. states advocating for the reintroduction of gold and silver as currency alternatives. This reflects a growing distrust of fiat currencies and central banking policies, mirroring Dohmen’s own concerns.
Beyond finance, he stresses the critical importance of diplomacy over conflict in resolving geopolitical tensions, urging for professional diplomatic training to avoid costly and destructive wars that further destabilize the global economy.
Bert Dohmen’s message is a potent blend of caution and actionable advice. The financial system, he warns, is precarious, and the next crisis is not just impending but already showing its early signs. Understanding these risks and safeguarding your wealth with stable, intrinsically valuable assets may be your best defense against the coming storm.