Bruce’s Big Call Dinar Intel Thursday Night 8-20-26

Bruce’s Big Call Dinar Intel Thursday Night 8-20-26 

Transcribed By WiserNow Emailed To Recaps (INTEL ONLY)

Welcome everybody to the Big Call tonight – it is Thursday August 20th and you’re listening to the Big Call. So thank you for tuning in, everybody, wherever you're located, all over the globe, and we're gonna have a nice call tonight. Hopefully, we won't will not go two hours like we did Tuesday night. Hopefully, we'll shorten things up a little bit for that, but we'll still get all the information that you need out.

All right, let's move into our intel segment. You know what's interesting is, you know, we have got some intel for tonight. I finally have a timeline. I think we can work with. You know, I like a timeline. I like planning. I like seeing things as they come into fruition.

So we're going to talk about that. What's interesting is we do get to talk to some people sometimes that are higher ups at Wells Fargo, and that are higher ups, and then over the bondholder paymasters, for example, and we know they were handling bonds in Reno, also in Miami, and also in Geneva.

More recently, those two, Geneva, and then Reno, Miami for sure for a while, and now we're back to Reno. Sometimes security has moved from one area to another, and I'm and we're able to know that and track that.

That's all cool, but what's interesting is now by checking in with our contact, who knows the guy in Reno, that is this overseer of the bonds, for example, with Wells. He said the information he's getting, the intel he's getting now, is coming from military. That is a big difference.

We haven't had that before. You know, it's kind of like this: Who's calling the shots? Is it Wells Fargo? Is it the U.S. Treasury? Is it the military with President Trump as Commander in Chief?

Well, they're all three important in the scheme of things, but the bottom line, the ultimate choice, is for us to get a green light from President Trump and the military, because the military will will consult with President Trump when they find that they are ready, ready to roll. And we've had a time when we had a green light, well, we didn't go.

 It wasn't used, but we want that green light that says go. And so, is it the responsibility of the banks? No. Is it Wells or whatever? No. Is it the U.S. Treasury ?  extremely important? But no, or is it the military? Yes, that's the bottom line for us. So here's how this intel is running.

Remember, this particular contact got the information from the military that said that as of 6 p.m. Central Time yesterday, we're in a five-day window. Let's count it out. That would be we're talking Wednesday at 6 p.m. So we're going to DQ Wednesday and move into Thursday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday, Monday, 6 p.m. would be five days.

Now, if this particular piece of Intel holds up within that five-day window, we will receive our notifications and begin exchanges. Excuse me for Tier 4B. Now, if it holds up, and the only reason I say that is because sometimes in a military operation things change, and you know what? They've been changing a lot  -

We've heard dates that that we've gotten from military that we're going to be like last Monday Tuesday for example. Then we also heard well it could be later this week meaning today / tomorrow.

Then we heard if not the weekend, and that's close to probably where we could be the weekend, or maybe Monday, or early next week. We have heard a few sources give us early next week for a start for us.

We've heard middle of next week, and we've heard could be the end of next week. Well, I'm going to put those, set those aside to see if the five-day window comes through first. That's the most accurate timeline with actual set times of start and finish.

So we have to look at it and see. Okay, well, let's let's see if that comes through for us.

Now, what about the Redemption Center leaders?

They have gone in, even today, starting even at noon-not even early, but say around noon-and seen five currencies flashing on the screen, flashing so fast you can't tell what currency. Well, that doesn't help us a whole lot.

I get that, but it shows that at least five of the currencies are up and trading and changing rates. We just don't know what they are. Okay, so you have that, and then you have the email that the Redemption Center leaders are receiving, and one in particular says, "Go in tomorrow, which would be Friday, at 8:45 a.m.

Why so early? If you went in at noon today, why 8:45 tomorrow? Don't know. The other additional information was something is going on, but we don't know exactly what it is.

Something's going on. All right.

What about this idea? So that that brings kind of the Friday Saturday weekend thing maybe into play. Let's see. The other thing is, evidently, we have begun buying back U.S. Treasury bonds to the tune of about $50 billion in a transition that would take about 15 seconds. No, check that-about 15 minutes rather to put that together.

And I said, "Well, who are these? Who are we buying them back from? Because we did a deal by buying back some treasuries from Japan. It's not Japan. It's Venezuela, Venezuela. I thought, oh, that's interesting. That makes sense. You know, we could pay them in USD.

That would kind of help strengthen their bolivar. And I said, you know, that gives them some liquidity to begin rebuilding from the earthquake that they had in Caracas, the two earthquakes. We have a 7.2 and a 7.5 on the Richter scale. It's been has it been a week, week and a half now.

So that's interesting. Is that the something that's going on? Is that it?

Remember, we had a fund with oh my gosh, 67 zeros. That's a big number. I don't know how to pronounce that number yet. I haven't seen it written down. And those funds were being moved in place, probably from Saint Germain Trust, maybe, or it could have been Rodriguez Trust. Hard to say.

But that was being moved in place for us for our exchanges, and possibly probably was also going to take care of the bondholders in tier three. I haven't heard much about a shotgun start, but I think that's what we're going to be on, or a modified shotgun start with tier three.

 So I would say we are looking to receive some positive information on disclosure of certain things, and also quite possibly something announced about the new U.S.N currency asset backed currency and something about in regards to NESARA.

There's quite a bit that has to come. There's so much tied to NESARA and I'd love to have a full disclosure about it, so we kind of know. Okay, we're looking for we're looking for so many announcements, and I know President Trump wants to get this out to us, and we just don't know exactly how that's going to happen yet, or how they're going to do it.

 So I think we have a window that we're in right now. It could be interesting. Now, all I can say is, we have been pushed and pushed and pushed, and you guys know it. You know what looks like midweek becomes the end of the week, and then it becomes the weekend, and then we're next week.

I get it, guys. I get it. I get it, and I question it. I try to find out the why, and I'll tell you the main why. I think is it has to do with the pickups and drop-offs on aisles one through 50, and that's what I think is going on

. So there is more to do. There are more arrests. They're very significant, and I'm not sure exactly how far they are. Now we do hear numbers, but we hear the numbers toward the very end or after the arrests are done in a particular project, in a particular mission.

Okay, so I don't know where we stand on it right now, but I have to believe I know the sum that need to be picked up. We'll see what that is. That's really where we stand right now. Will I get some more late tonight, about midnight?

 I think so, probably, but it's too late for the big call this week. So we'll get together next Tuesday and see where we stand. We'll see where we stand, and then we'll go from there.

I don't think there's anything last minute that I can give you right now, but I'm excited about our future, and I'm excited about Rebuild America. I'm going to have a guy as a videographer with a with a team that. Can probably do some before and some during and after video.

Who knows? Who knows where to go? We'll we'll see. We'll try it, and maybe we'll start out with this in Western North Carolina.

You know that'd probably be our first place to go to to initiate our aspect, our part of rebuild America and rebuilding Western North Carolina, and we may touch on Virginia, the tip of Virginia, or possibly South Carolina as well.

All right. So everybody, listen. Have a great weekend. All right. As the door song goes, summer is almost gone. Summer is almost gone. I always hated when summer was over or almost over.

Fortunately, when I went to school, we didn't start back until until after Labor Day, and Labor Day is the seventh of September this year.

So we'll hopefully get everything rock and rolling before the end of this month here. Let's see what happens early next week, and we'll take it from there.

All right. See you guys on Tuesday. Have a great weekend, everybody.

 Let's pray and thank you, Sue, for a fun time tonight and some great information, thank you, Bob, for a nice, really nice time and two great sales and some cool testimonials tonight.

So let's appreciate Jeannie, of course, and GCK and Doug, thank you, and thank you, Intel team, for bringing the best intel that we can have to me for the big call. And let's let's pray the call out.

All right, guys. I'm going to get the recording off and say good night.

Bruce’s Big Call Dinar Intel Thursday Night 8-20-26   REPLAY LINK    Intel Begins   1:09:20

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Bruce’s Big Call Dinar Intel Tuesday Night 8-18-26   REPLAY LINK     Intel Begins   1:14:40

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Bruce’s Big Call Dinar Intel Tuesday Night 8-11-26   REPLAY LINK     Intel Begins   1:02:00

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Bruce’s Big Call Dinar Intel Thursday Night 7-23-26   REPLAY LINK    Intel Begins   1:08:45

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Bruce’s Big Call Dinar Intel Tuesday Night 7-28-26   REPLAY LINK     Intel Begins   1:34:24

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Bruce’s Big Call Dinar Intel Tuesday Night 7-21-26   REPLAY LINK     Intel Begins   1:30:35

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Bruce’s Big Call Dinar Intel Thursday Night 7-16-26   REPLAY LINK    Intel Begins   1:14:00

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Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Friday Afternoon 8-21-26

Good Afternoon Dinar Recaps,

India Pushes the Rupee Further Into International Trade as Dollar Dependence Gradually Diversifies

New trade rules make it easier for Indian exporters to invoice and receive payment in rupees, adding another piece to the gradual diversification of the global payments system.

Overview

• India has amended its Foreign Trade Policy to put eligible rupee export receipts on a more equal footing with foreign-currency earnings.

• The change allows exporters dealing with most countries outside the Asian Clearing Union to denominate contracts and invoices in rupees and receive payment in rupees, removing a regulatory obstacle to wider rupee-based trade.

• The development is significant for the global financial-reset story because it represents practical diversification of trade settlement, rather than simply political discussion about reducing dollar dependence.

Key Developments

1. India removes a barrier to rupee-based international trade

India's Directorate General of Foreign Trade amended the Foreign Trade Policy 2023, allowing export contracts and invoices with non-Asian Clearing Union countries to be denominated in either Indian rupees or foreign currencies.

Exporters can also receive their proceeds in rupees or foreign currency, while eligible rupee receipts can qualify for the same trade-policy benefits as foreign-currency earnings.

That distinction is important.

India is not merely encouraging companies to consider using the rupee. It is changing the regulatory framework so that using the rupee becomes easier within the existing export system.

2. The move could reduce reliance on the dollar for some transactions

For decades, much of international trade has ultimately been settled through the dollar, even when neither the buyer nor seller is American.

India's new rules create another option.

A foreign buyer that can obtain rupees through its banking system can potentially purchase Indian goods, settle the transaction in INR, and avoid converting into dollars for that particular trade.

This does not mean the dollar is being displaced.

Rather, it adds another currency to the international settlement network.

That distinction is important when evaluating claims about "de-dollarization."

The global financial system can diversify without the dollar suddenly losing its dominant position.

3. India's rupee strategy is developing while the currency itself faces pressure

There is an interesting contrast in today's story.

The rupee has been under pressure from higher oil prices, importer demand and geopolitical uncertainty. Reuters reported that the Reserve Bank of India has been actively intervening in foreign-exchange markets to limit the currency's decline.

At the same time, India's foreign-exchange reserves have risen to approximately $716.9 billion, a six-month high, supported by substantial capital inflows and increases in both foreign-currency assets and gold holdings.

That gives India a stronger financial cushion while it works to expand the international role of its currency.

Why This Matters

The important development isn't that India is trying to replace the U.S. dollar.

It is that India is building additional infrastructure around the rupee at a time when countries increasingly want alternatives for international settlement.

The new rules could be particularly useful for trading partners that experience dollar shortages, sanctions-related restrictions or high costs associated with dollar-based transactions.

For Indian exporters, rupee settlement can also reduce some of the need for currency hedging when the transaction itself does not require exposure to the dollar.

However, there is an important limitation:

A currency cannot become truly international simply because a government permits its use.

Foreign companies and banks must actually want to hold, exchange and deploy that currency.

That means India's next challenge is developing the financial infrastructure and international liquidity necessary to make the rupee convenient outside India's borders.

A Larger Shift in the Global Trade Architecture

India's move fits into a much broader development.

Countries are increasingly experimenting with local-currency settlement, bilateral payment arrangements and alternative cross-border financial channels.

The motivation differs from country to country.

For some, it is reducing exposure to dollar volatility. For others, it is lowering transaction costs. Some want protection from sanctions, while others simply want greater monetary independence.

India's approach is particularly significant because of the size of its economy and its growing role in global trade.

The more countries that develop functioning alternatives, the more diversified the international monetary system can become—even if the dollar remains dominant.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

For foreign-currency holders watching the global financial reset, this is a development worth following because it concerns how currencies are actually used, rather than simply what governments say about them.

A currency's international importance ultimately depends on whether it can be:

• Used to settle international trade

• Held by foreign banks and businesses

• Exchanged efficiently

• Used to purchase goods and services

• Supported by liquid financial markets

• Trusted as a store of value

India is working on several of those pieces.

The rupee does not need to replace the dollar for its international role to become more important.

Even a gradual increase in rupee-based trade would contribute to a more diversified currency system.

Implications for the Global Financial Reset

• Trade settlement is becoming more diversified.

India's decision adds another practical pathway for international commerce outside traditional dollar settlement.

• The BRICS story is becoming more about infrastructure than headlines.

The most consequential developments may not be the creation of a single BRICS currency.

They may instead be local-currency settlement, payment systems, banking arrangements and mechanisms that allow countries to conduct more trade without first converting everything into dollars.

• The dollar remains dominant—but the architecture around it is changing.

This is the key point.

There is no evidence from today's announcement that the dollar is being replaced.

Instead, the global financial system is gradually acquiring more settlement options.

That could eventually make the international monetary system less dependent on any single currency, even while the dollar remains the largest reserve and settlement currency.

What to Watch Next

The most important indicators will be:

1. Whether foreign trading partners actually begin accepting more rupee-denominated contracts.

2. Whether international banks expand their ability to hold and transact in rupees.

3. Whether India's existing rupee-settlement mechanisms grow in volume.

4. Whether India expands bilateral arrangements with major trading partners.

5. Whether other BRICS and emerging-market economies introduce similar measures.

6. Whether the rupee becomes increasingly useful as a settlement currency even when the underlying trade does not involve India directly.

Bottom Line

India's latest move is not a dollar collapse story.

It is something more gradual—and potentially more important over the long term.

India is removing regulatory barriers that have made rupee-based international trade more difficult and is giving exporters greater flexibility to invoice and receive payment in their own currency.

At the same time, India's central bank is building financial buffers and actively managing currency volatility while the country's foreign-exchange reserves approach record levels.

The global financial reset may not arrive as a single dramatic replacement of the dollar. It may emerge through thousands of smaller changes in how countries trade, settle payments, hold reserves and manage currency risk.

Seeds of Wisdom Team

Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Reuters — India eases rules for rupee export payments, seeks to widen trade settlement

• The Week — New FTP amendment: Will exporters be happy about trading in Rupee?

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Thank you Dinar Recaps

MilitiaMan & Crew: Direct From The Crew: August 20th Analysis

MilitiaMan & Crew: Direct From The Crew: August 20th Analysis

8-21-2026

The Crew:  Samson, PompeyPeter, Petra, Daytrader, Sunkissed, GIGI and Militia Man

No drama. No intrigue. No songs and dances. Just straight, factual news that I read and interpret to the best of my ability after being an avid Dinar investor and insanely obsessed Dinarian for over 15 years.

Follow MM on X == https://x.com/Slashn

Be sure to listen to full video for all the news……..

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-v30T0U9P50

Iraq Economic News and Points To Ponder Late Thursday Evening 8-20-26

Independent Sources Reveal: Iraq's 2027 Budget Is Set At 200 Trillion Dinars, With The Exchange Rate Fixed At 1320.

August 20, 2026Last updated: August 20, 2026  Al-Mustaqilla - According to informed sources speaking to Al-Mustaqilla on Thursday, the Iraqi government is moving towards adopting a dollar exchange rate of 1320 Iraqi dinars within the 2027 budget project, with no current intention to change the adopted exchange rate.

According to the sources, the new budget project is being prepared based on the current exchange rate, in a move that reflects the government’s commitment to the policy of stabilizing the dinar’s exchange rate and not introducing sudden changes to the market during the next stage.

Information indicates that the size of Iraq’s budget for 2027 may reach about 200 trillion Iraqi dinars, which, if adopted at this size, would be one of the largest budgets in Iraq’s history since 2003, in light of the high volume of government spending and the increasing financial obligations of the state.

According to sources, the government is working on finalizing the draft budget, in preparation for completing it and sending it to the House of Representatives in the coming period, after which the process of discussion, amendments and voting on it will begin.

The Iraqi public is awaiting the 2027 budget proposal, especially regarding the exchange rate, spending volume, salaries, investment projects, and the mechanism for financing the deficit, at a time when public finances are facing challenges related to oil prices and non-oil revenues.

If the exchange rate remains stable at 1320 dinars to the dollar, this means that the government will continue to base its financial estimates on the current official rate, and will not adopt a change in the value of the dinar within next year’s budget, according to the data reported by the sources.

This information remains linked to the draft budget before its final approval, as the figures and details may undergo modifications during the government review   and discussion phases within the House of Representatives

https://mustaqila.com/المستقلة-تكشف-موازنة-العراق-2027-عند-200-تري/ a

Removing Zeros: A Currency Restructuring Or A Step To Boost Confidence In The Dinar?

Baghdad: Anwar Ayed     The issue of removing zeros from the Iraqi currency has resurfaced, amid economic debate about the feasibility of this step and its implications for the value of the dinar and the purchasing power of the citizen, as well as the readiness of the banking and financial sectors to implement it.

Economic experts believe that removing zeros, if implemented within a comprehensive study and a clear plan, could contribute to restructuring the currency and simplifying financial and banking transactions, while emphasizing that the measure itself does not mean an increase or decrease in the purchasing power of the dinar, as long as prices, salaries and savings are transformed at the same rate.  

Strengthening The Value Of The Dinar

Economic expert Haider Al-Sheikh told Al-Sabah newspaper: “Changing the Iraqi currency and removing zeros will enhance the value of the Iraqi dinar against foreign currencies,” explaining that “changing the currency will contribute to reviving the economy and providing cash liquidity to the government.”

The sheikh explained that the currency change process, according to the study, requires several months to print specific denominations in batches, in preparation for replacing them with the current currency. He pointed out that this process could contribute to strengthening the balances of government and private banks in Iraqi dinars and providing liquidity. 

The Necessary Cash.

He added that another benefit of the process is “knowing the amount of currency held by the government and banks, as well as knowing the volume of currency circulating in the market.”

The sheikh pointed out that Iraq, after 2003, printed more than 100 trillion dinars, indicating that about 70 percent of the printed cash is outside the government's control and stored in homes. 

And it is traded on the market.  

Renaming The Monetary Unit

For his part, economist Mustafa Faraj said that "removing zeros from the Iraqi currency, if implemented according to a comprehensive study and plan, represents a positive step towards restructuring the currency and simplifying financial and banking transactions," stressing that "the process itself does not necessarily mean an increase or decrease in value." 

The Purchasing Power Of The Dinar.

Faraj explained that removing three zeros, for example, means changing prices, salaries, and balances by the same percentage, and therefore the citizen's purchasing power does not change as a result of the removal alone.

He added that the main economic benefit is “reducing the volume of circulating figures, facilitating accounting and banking operations, supporting electronic payment systems, and making dealing in dinars more efficient and transparent,” stressing that the success of the step is linked to monetary stability, price control, and broad public awareness.

He explained that removing zeros could be part of a “broader monetary and banking reform package that enhances confidence in the dinar and supports economic stability.” 

It is not a single, formal procedure.

Risks Of The Conversion Phase

In contrast, economic researcher Ahmed Eid warned that the most prominent risks that may accompany the removal of zeros are not related to the accounting removal process itself, but rather to the conversion phase and what may accompany it in terms of confusion in the markets and exploitation by some traders, especially in rounding prices upwards.

He explained that goods with small prices may be more likely to increase when converted to the new monetary unit, which, if this is repeated on a large scale, may lead to citizens feeling an actual increase in the cost of living, even though the process of removing zeros is theoretically supposed not to change purchasing power.

Eid pointed to other risks, including the weak financial literacy of some citizens, particularly with regard to converting cash savings, pricing goods and services, contracts and debts, as well as the possibility of speculation and rumors spreading about the value of the dinar.

He stressed that these risks become greater if the operation is carried out during an economic period suffering from financial pressures and problems related to liquidity and confidence.  

Dual Pricing And Oversight

To protect the purchasing power of citizens, Eid called for the adoption of a sufficient transitional period preceding and accompanying the change process, during which dual pricing in the old and new dinars would be adopted, and precise rules would be put in place to prevent arbitrary rounding of prices, in addition to tightening control over markets and implementing a broad awareness campaign.  

He stressed the need for the central bank to ensure that all bank accounts, savings, debts, salaries and contracts are converted in the same proportion, with the new currency being made available in an organized manner, and a period of simultaneous circulation of the two currencies being maintained.

He stressed that “the most important thing is that the removal of zeros should be preceded by real financial and monetary stability,” explaining that protecting purchasing power is not achieved by changing the form of the currency, but rather by controlling inflation, stabilizing the exchange rate and addressing financial and economic imbalances.

Removing zeros: A currency restructuring or a step to boost confidence in the dinar?

https://iqdnews.substack.com/p/removing-zeros-a-currency-restructuring

  Iraq Wants To Delete Zeros From The Dinar But Will This Help Its Economy?

The National News   Iraq is again considering a long-standing and controversial plan to delete zeros from the dinar as the country struggles with a deepening budget squeeze. The latest discussions revive an issue debated in Iraq for more than two decades.

The proposal was first floated during the tenure of former US civil administrator Paul Bremer in 2003 and has repeatedly resurfaced without being implemented. This time, the debate comes as Baghdad's budget squeeze is worsened by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, disrupting Iraq’s main oil export route.   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=en8uMoy6SYs

Finance Minister Orders Acceleration of Iraq's First Program and Performance Budget

Mohammed Jangadost

At a Glance:

• Finance Minister Faleh Sari reviewed preparation for the upcoming draft federal budget under a program and performance model.

• Sari instructed the Budget Department to finalize draft allocations within specified deadlines and realistic fiscal estimates.

• The transition moves Iraq away from traditional line-item budgeting to link resources directly to strategic outcomes.

• The ministry aims to maximize spending efficiency amid broader fiscal pressures affecting the country.

Iraqi Minister of Finance Faleh Sari visited the Ministry of Finance's Budget Department to inspect ongoing work on the country's upcoming federal draft budget. During the review, Sari instructed officials to adhere strictly to completion schedules while implementing a program and performance budgeting framework designed to overhaul public expenditure management.

Key Statements and Focus Area:

• Transitioning Fiscal Strategy:"The Ministry is moving toward a gradual transition from line-item budgeting to program and performance budgeting. This approach links resource allocation directly to objectives, programs, and outcomes, thereby enhancing the efficiency of public expenditure management." — Faleh Sari, Iraqi Minister of Finance.

• Methodological Discipline:"Completing the draft budget within specified deadlines requires finalizing its requirements according to a precise methodology and realistic estimates to ensure it serves targeted national results." — Ministry of Finance press release.

Shift to Program and Performance Methodology

The Ministry of Finance is phasing out the traditional line-item framework, which historically focused on administrative inputs, in favor of a system that allocates funds based on measurable project deliverables. The new model ties operational and investment outlays directly to sectoral goals, providing clearer oversight over public spending efficiency.

Enforcing Preparation Deadlines

Minister Sari urged department leads to maintain momentum to meet structural deadlines for the upcoming budget cycle. He emphasized that precise revenue and cost estimations are critical to making the new budgeting model functional and sustainable for state institutions.

FYI

The adoption of a program and performance budget reflects an effort to modernize public financial management in Iraq.

Amid volatile energy revenues and structural fiscal pressures, linking state outlays to performance benchmarks allows authorities to prioritize essential infrastructure, improve transparency, and restrict wasteful administrative spending across government ministries.    https://channel8.com/english/news/64159

Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Friday Morning 8-21-26

Good Morning Dinar Recaps,

The Dollar-Debt Disconnect: Why Higher Treasury Yields Are No Longer Supporting the Dollar

U.S. borrowing costs remain elevated as Treasury intervention loses momentum, oil approaches $95 and investors reassess the relationship between American debt, interest rates and the dollar.

 Overview

• The Treasury's effort to stabilize long-term bonds has provided only temporary relief, with yields climbing again despite the expanded buyback program.

• The dollar is weakening even as U.S. long-term yields remain elevated, suggesting investors are increasingly weighing fiscal and inflation risks alongside interest-rate differentials.

• Oil has moved toward $95 a barrel, adding inflation pressure just as markets prepare for the Federal Reserve's Jackson Hole gathering and reassess the U.S. fiscal outlook.

Key Developments

1. Treasury intervention has not solved the bond-market problem

The Treasury's decision to increase purchases of longer-dated Treasury securities initially brought relief to global bond markets.

That relief has proved short-lived.

U.S. long-term yields have moved higher again, with the 30-year Treasury yield around 5.25%, after briefly declining following the Treasury's announcement. The market is effectively testing whether government intervention can overcome the underlying forces driving yields higher.

Those forces include large fiscal deficits, enormous Treasury issuance, inflation concerns and growing government interest costs.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has indicated that the government could increase its buybacks further and has also discussed fiscal consolidation. But investors remain skeptical that spending reductions will be sufficient to substantially change the fiscal trajectory.

2. The dollar is sending a different signal

This is the part of today's story that makes it different from the bond-market articles Recaps has already published.

The dollar has fallen to a three-month low, even while U.S. long-term yields remain near multi-year highs. Reuters reports that investors are increasingly concerned about the U.S. fiscal picture and the credibility of attempts to stabilize the Treasury market.

Traditionally, higher U.S. yields have supported the dollar because they make dollar-denominated assets more attractive.

But the market is now asking a different question:

What if higher yields are increasingly interpreted as compensation for higher fiscal and inflation risk rather than simply as an attractive return?

That distinction could become increasingly important.

3. Debt and interest costs are becoming impossible for markets to ignore

The U.S. national debt has now exceeded $40 trillion, while interest costs are running at approximately $1.2 trillion annually, according to Reuters. The federal deficit is above 6% of GDP.

That creates a difficult feedback loop:

More debt → more Treasury issuance → higher borrowing costs → higher interest expense → greater financing needs.

Treasury buybacks may improve liquidity and reduce some market stress, but they do not eliminate that underlying cycle.

This is why today's bond-market story is ultimately a fiscal story.

4. Oil is adding another layer of pressure

Brent crude has moved toward $95 a barrel, with tensions surrounding Iran and the Strait of Hormuz contributing to renewed energy-market concerns. Oil prices are now at approximately one-month highs.

That creates another difficult equation for policymakers:

Higher oil → higher inflation pressure → fewer options for central banks.

If inflation remains elevated because of energy costs, the Federal Reserve has less room to cut rates aggressively.

Yet if the economy weakens under the weight of higher borrowing costs, maintaining restrictive policy becomes increasingly difficult.

Why It Matters

The significance of today's market isn't simply that the dollar is falling.

It is that the traditional relationship between U.S. yields and the dollar is becoming less reliable.

For decades, investors could generally understand the equation:

Higher U.S. rates → greater demand for dollars.

Today's environment is more complicated.

Investors are now simultaneously evaluating the return on Treasury securities and the risk associated with holding those securities.

That means the yield itself is becoming only one part of the calculation.

Why This Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

This changing relationship deserves attention from anyone holding foreign currencies.

Currency values are influenced by far more than central-bank interest rates.

Investors are also looking at:

• Government debt

• Fiscal deficits

• Inflation

• Energy costs

• Central-bank credibility

• Political and geopolitical risk

• Foreign demand for government bonds

If the dollar weakens while Treasury yields remain high, it could indicate that risk perceptions are beginning to offset the traditional advantage of higher U.S. returns.

That does not mean the dollar is collapsing.

It means the forces determining its value are becoming more complicated.

The International Monetary System Is Also Evolving

At the same time, countries are taking steps to make greater use of their own currencies in international trade.

India announced a change to its Foreign Trade Policy allowing export contracts, invoices and payments to be settled in either Indian rupees or foreign currencies. The measure is intended to make rupee-based international trade easier and expand the currency's use beyond India's borders.

This should not be interpreted as evidence that the rupee is replacing the dollar.

But it is another piece of a broader trend:

Countries are developing additional options for cross-border payments at the same time that the traditional dollar/Treasury relationship is being tested.

That makes this development particularly relevant to the global financial-reset discussion.

Implications for the Global Financial Reset

• The Treasury market remains the pressure point.

The world's financial system uses U.S. Treasury securities as a fundamental benchmark for pricing risk.

If investors demand persistently higher yields, the effects spread well beyond Washington into mortgages, corporate borrowing, equities, currencies and international capital flows.

• The dollar is being tested from a different direction.

The dollar's traditional advantage from higher U.S. yields becomes less powerful if investors begin viewing those yields as compensation for fiscal and inflation risks.

That doesn't eliminate the dollar's reserve role.

It changes the equation surrounding it.

• Global trade is gradually becoming more currency-diverse.

India's rupee initiative is relatively small compared with the enormous global dollar market.

But the structural direction matters.

More countries are creating mechanisms that allow trade to be conducted in local currencies, potentially reducing the need for dollars in some transactions.

The important story is therefore not "de-dollarization has happened."

It is that the global financial system is developing more alternatives while the U.S. financial system is simultaneously confronting its own debt and inflation pressures.

What to Watch Next

The next major signals will be:

1. Whether the 30-year Treasury yield remains around or above 5.25%.

2. Whether the dollar continues weakening despite elevated U.S. yields.

3. Whether Brent crude approaches or exceeds $100.

4. Whether the Treasury expands its bond-buyback program again.

5. What Federal Reserve officials signal at Jackson Hole about inflation and future interest rates.

6. Whether India and other emerging economies continue expanding local-currency trade mechanisms.

Bottom Line

The important shift today is not simply higher Treasury yields or a weaker dollar. It is the disconnect between the two.

The Treasury is attempting to stabilize long-term borrowing costs, yet investors continue demanding elevated yields. At the same time, the dollar is weakening rather than receiving the normal boost associated with higher U.S. rates.

Add $40 trillion in U.S. debt, approximately $1.2 trillion in annual interest costs, oil approaching $95 and growing use of local currencies in international trade, and the financial system is facing a much broader repricing of risk.

The next phase of the global financial reset may be less about a single currency replacing another and more about how debt, commodities, currencies and central-bank policy interact as investors reconsider what constitutes financial stability.

Sources

• Reuters — Global stocks set for biggest weekly fall as bond yields and oil stay high

• Reuters — Dollar falls as investors weigh U.S. Treasury's rescue efforts

~~~~~~~~~~

 🌱 A Message to Our Currency Holders🌱

If you’ve been holding foreign currency for many years, you were not foolish.
You were not wrong to believe the global financial system would change.

What failed was not your patience — it was the information you were given.

For years, dates, rumors, and personalities replaced facts, structure, and proof. “This week” predictions created cycles of hope and disappointment that were never based on how currencies actually change.

That is not your failure.

Our mission here is different:   • No dates • No rates • No hype • No gurus

Instead, we focus on:
• Verifiable developments • Institutional evidence
• Global financial structure • Where countries actually sit in the process

Currency value changes only come after sovereignty, trade, banking, settlement systems, and fiscal coordination are in place. History and institutions confirm this sequence.

You will see silence. You will see denials. That is not delay — that is discipline.

Protect your identity. Organize your documents.    Verify everything.
Never hand your discernment to anyone who cannot show proof.

You deserve truth — not timelines.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News

~~~~~~~~~~

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Thank you Dinar Recaps

Friday Iraq News Posted by Tishwash at TNT 8-21-2026

TNT:

Tishwash:  The Washington Post: Iraq under al-Zaidi's leadership is on a path of positive change 

In an article published in The Washington Post on Thursday, Tim Constantine reviewed the key achievements of Iraqi Prime Minister Ali Faleh al-Zaidi during his first 100 days in office.

The article, titled "What Has Iraq's Prime Minister Accomplished in His First 100 Days?", stated: "When a new US president is sworn in, the media often rushes to make grand predictions about what can be accomplished in the first 100 days. The momentum generated by the national election, the enthusiasm surrounding the arrival of a new president, and the political capital he brings all raise expectations for the initial start.

In the fall of 2025, Iraq held its elections, but it took five months after the votes were counted for the Iraqi parliament to elect a new president, who in turn tasked Prime Minister-designate Ali al-Zaidi with forming a government. Al-Zaidi then won a vote of confidence from parliament. The entire process took approximately 180 days. After this lengthy process, the sense of urgency was palpable."

Many might say that 100 days in Iraq is nothing more than a fleeting moment in the life of a nation exhausted by crises and burdened by years of disputes, calculations, and anxieties. But this period seems to have been enough for Iraqis and the world to realize that something is beginning to change seriously, in an early test of the country's direction: Will Baghdad continue to manage its crises, or will it begin to manage its future?

In foreign policy, al-Zaidi didn't wait long to place Iraq at the heart of the international equation. Washington was his first foreign destination, at the invitation of President Trump, in a visit that carried more than one message.

Iraq didn't go to the United States simply to request security support; rather, it went to propose a new partnership centered on the economy, investment, energy, and infrastructure, and to build a relationship based not on crisis management, but on creating shared interests.
Herein lies the importance of the visit: Iraq is moving away from the image that makes it a country that primarily attracts attention when a crisis erupts, and is moving toward being seen as a country that offers opportunities for investment and partnership.

Of course, the path to nation-building is not through economics alone. Domestically, al-Zaidi opened one of the most sensitive files, namely the file of integrity and the recovery of public funds. Many governments around the world make promises to combat corruption, but the new Iraqi government has pushed the Integrity Commission to intensify its scrutiny and investigations into government contracts.

Many Iraqis were skeptical, having heard such promises before. Then came Operation Dawn, sending a clear political and legal message: no one is above the law if they steal from the Iraqi people. As we say in the United States, no one is above the law. According to a local Iraqi news agency, at least 210 officials, members of parliament, employees, and businessmen were arrested between June 28 and August 9.

In the past few days, headlines have included stories like “Iraq seizes another $26 million in cash and 60 kilograms of gold” and “Iraqi electricity official arrested with millions of dollars in cash.” It has become clear that the campaign is not just a publicity stunt, but a genuine effort. Al-Zaidi also directed the creation of a special account to be used for the public good, with funds recovered from corruption cases to be deposited.
But the biggest challenge facing the new government may be the issue of weapons.

In a country where armed factions possess armed personnel equipped with sophisticated military equipment, it is well known that restricting weapons to the state is not a simple administrative decision that can be implemented with a signature or a statement. Rather, it is a protracted struggle intertwined with power dynamics that have developed over many years.
As one of its initiatives during its first 100 days, the al-Zaidi government chose to confront the problem directly, declaring that the state alone must have the authority to make security decisions.

Al-Zaidi clearly affirmed that Iraqi forces are capable of protecting the country and that there will be no need for armed factions or foreign forces after September 30th, emphasizing that the government is moving forward with regaining control of weapons and placing them under state authority.

Here, three major objectives converge. Iraq, which wants to attract foreign investment, needs security. Iraq, which wants to recover its stolen funds, needs a strong judiciary and robust institutions. And Iraq, which wants to establish balanced partnerships with the world, needs, above all, a sovereign decision that no other entity can challenge.

One hundred days may be too early to declare that Iraq has changed, but it is not too early to say that Iraq's trajectory has begun to shift. There is a vast difference between a government that spends its time putting out fires and one that simultaneously tries to rebuild the nation.
Perhaps the most striking aspect of these first hundred days is that al-Zaidi did not treat them as a brief period to test intentions, but rather as an opportunity to change the rules of the game. Foreign policy, combating corruption, and consolidating weapons under state control are not separate issues; they are, in essence, a single battle aimed at restoring the state's authority, prestige, and ability to act.

The results may not yet be fully realized, and certainly not all of them have materialized in the daily lives of citizens.

The mission is not yet complete after 100 days of the new government, but the path has been charted. Iraq is engaging with Washington as a nation seeking partnership and mutual interests, opening its doors to investment instead of limiting its relationships to requests for aid, establishing integrity institutions to confront corruption, and clarifying, regarding the issue of weapons, that security decisions cannot be dispersed among multiple centers of power.

Therefore, the right question to ask when assessing the first 100 days of al-Zaidi's government should be: Has Iraq moved closer to becoming the state its people aspire to?

A definitive answer will require more time. But these 100 days have been enough to provide an unmistakable first indication: Iraq is no longer standing still. Iraqis are beginning to see their state taking initiative from within.
Perhaps the first 100 days of al-Zaidi's government can be described as a declaration of a new beginning: an Iraq that wants to be the master of its own destiny, the guardian of its own security, the custodian of its public wealth, and a partner whose interests and standing are respected by others.  link

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 Tishwash:  Al-Zaydi: We will proceed with passing the Popular Mobilization Forces law as part of the armed forces.

on Thursday that the Popular Mobilization Forces enjoy the attention and care of the government, which will proceed with submitting the Popular Mobilization Forces Law for approval, as it is part of the formations and branches of the armed forces, indicating that Iraq is witnessing today a phase of building after completing the requirements of the process of defending sovereignty.

This came according to a statement from the Prime Minister’s Media Office, which was received by Shafaq News Agency, during Al-Zaydi’s reception of the head of the Badr parliamentary bloc, Hammam Ali Mahdi Al-Tamimi, and members of the bloc.

The office added in its statement that the meeting included discussions on the general situation in the country, politically, economically and in terms of security, and the government’s efforts in implementing its reform and development programs.

According to the statement, Al-Zaydi stressed the important role of the legislative authority in combating corruption and prosecuting corrupt individuals, explaining that "the government's project is based on building a state based on a solid economy," and emphasizing "the importance of finding radical solutions to problems with a new and innovative vision, and not postponing them." 

For their part, the head and members of the Badr bloc affirmed their absolute support for the government in all its reform steps and procedures, especially in the field of combating corruption and regulating weapons in accordance with constitutional mechanisms.

While some forces expressed a willingness to reorganize their military and security relationship with the state, other factions, including Kataib Hezbollah, Harakat al-Nujaba and Kataib Sayyid al-Shuhada, announced their refusal to relinquish their military capabilities, and linked any discussion about their weapons to the end of the presence of foreign forces and ensuring the protection of Iraq from external attacks.

September 30th also coincides with the deadlines related to ending the international coalition's military presence in Iraq, which some factions use as a basis for linking the future of their weapons to the withdrawal of foreign forces. link

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Tishwash:  Minister of Finance: The budget is prepared by primarily including the government program and is carried out through 5 specialized committees.

Finance Minister Faleh Sari confirmed on Thursday that the budget is being prepared based on the government program and is being developed through five specialized committees.

The ministry said in a statement received by the Iraqi News Agency (INA): “Finance Minister Faleh Sari chaired an expanded meeting of the committees preparing the draft program and performance budget, with the participation of members of the Parliamentary Finance Committee and representatives from several ministries and international organizations, to follow up on the stages of preparing the draft budget and the requirements for the gradual transition to the program and performance methodology.”

According to the statement, the minister emphasized that “the budget preparation is being carried out through continuous technical work, with the participation of various stakeholders,” noting “the continuation of meetings with members of the legislative authority and representatives of ministries and governorates, which enhances the transparency of the budget preparation process and the involvement of relevant parties at its various stages.”

He explained that “the work is being carried out through five specialized subcommittees that are responsible for preparing the technical aspects of the draft budget in cooperation with the World Bank, with the aim of formulating a comprehensive framework for the new budget within a specific timeframe.”

He noted that "the government program approved by the Cabinet was essentially incorporated into the program and performance budget, linking programs and financial allocations to government priorities and objectives."

The statement added that "the representatives expressed their support for the transition to a program and performance budget, emphasizing the importance of its success and developing implementation mechanisms to enhance the efficiency of public finance management."  link

************

Tishwash:  Al-Zaydi: We are working on preparing the 2027 budget and will send it to Parliament soon.

Prime Minister Ali Faleh al-Zaidi confirmed on Thursday that the government is currently preparing the 2027 budget and will soon send it to Parliament. 

A statement from the Prime Minister's office, received by the Information Agency, indicated that "al-Zaidi, during his meeting with members of the Sadiqun parliamentary bloc, emphasized the important and fundamental role of the legislative authority in strengthening government procedures and enabling it to implement its program, as well as the importance of the oversight and legislative role in combating corruption through monitoring performance in state institutions."

He explained that "the government is currently working on preparing the 2027 budget, which will be sent to Parliament soon," stressing "the implementation of the government's plan to increase oil production and exports in the coming years."

According to the statement, al-Zaidi also noted "the allocation of significant space in the budget to the electricity sector."  link

Iraq Economic News and Points To Ponder Thursday Evening 8-20-26

Al-Hashemi: Iraq Is The Biggest Loser From The Tightening Of The US Blockade On Iran

Money and business   Economy News – Baghdad  Economist Ziad al-Hashemi warned on Thursday of the repercussions of any US tightening of the economic blockade on Iran, stressing that Iraq may be one of the most affected regionally because of its dependence on Iranian gas and commodities.

"The surrounding countries of Iran, led by Iraq, Turkey, Turkmenistan, Afghanistan, Pakistan and Armenia, will be under direct American pressure to review their trade and financial relations with Tehran and avoid collisions with the United States," he said.

He added that "Washington is expected to use a large part of its resources to make its plan to tighten the economic blockade on Iran successful," adding that "the task will not be easy or guaranteed results, with Tehran having long experience in dealing with sanctions and the search for alternative outlets."

"Iran has the ability to maneuver through a parallel economy and cross-border trade and smuggling networks, in addition to continuing to use the paper of the Strait of Hormuz to pressure the global economy," he said.

Al-Hashemi explained that "Iraq may be the most affected regionally in the event of the application of the blockade in a strict manner, because of its great link to Iranian gas and many goods and products," noting that "the cessation of Iranian imports, especially gas, will deprive Iraq of an important source of operation of power plants."

Regarding China, Hashemi said that it “will not easily accept the imposition of a tight economic blockade on Iran, and may resort to maneuvering to maintain its trade relations, especially in the oil sector, but it may have to respond if the US measures are characterized by a high degree of tightness.”

He stressed that "the region is on the verge of a new economic test after the stage of direct military confrontations," pointing out that "any broad siege on Iran may impose a new economic reality reflected on the movement of trade and oil prices and the nature of economic relations between the countries of the region."

https://www.economy-news.net/content.php?id=72830

The Government On Its Plan To Secure Salaries: Internal Borrowing Is A Legal Option When Needed

Money and business  Economy News — Baghdad    The Prime Minister’s Advisor for Financial and Economic Affairs, Mazhar Mohammed Saleh, explained the features of the government’s plan to manage liquidity and secure salaries and operational expenses.

Saleh revealed in an interview with the official newspaper the nature of the financial strategy adopted to deal with monthly obligations, pointing out that "the public financial management is moving within a solid legal umbrella to ensure the stability of public spending, regardless of the severity of external challenges."

He added that "the disruptions of navigation and trade in the Strait of Hormuz have cast a shadow over the regularity of Iraqi oil exports, which represent the main artery and the adoption of the basis of cash flows feeding the budget."

Despite these pressures, Saleh stressed that “the financial authorities are keen to employ all technical tools to prevent these disturbances from being reflected on social benefits, especially the bill of salaries, wages, retirees and care for vulnerable groups.”

In this context, Saleh said that "the Public Finance Department operates in accordance with the tracks and provisions specified in the Federal Financial Management Law No. 6 of 2019, as this law provides the legal frameworks and approved ceilings to regulate the exchange operations and manage liquidity during the fiscal year, and to protect the stability of state institutions and their service duties."

The financial adviser reviewed the size of the monetary responsibility of the public treasury monthly, noting that "the bill of salaries, wages, pensions and allocations of the social welfare network for the month of August is close to eight trillion dinars per month, while the total liabilities rise to about ten trillion dinars per month when adding the administrative operating expenses necessary for the management of basic facilities and the continued operation of state agencies."

He pointed out that "this high volume of liabilities makes securing liquidity a top priority, especially in light of the high sensitivity of the budget to the fluctuations in global oil prices and the risks of regular cash flows from oil revenues."

To ensure the fulfillment of financial dues, Saleh pointed out that "the federal finance depends on an integrated plan based on several tools, where the available data record a relative improvement in oil revenues compared to the previous two months, which gives the financial management a better margin to control flows and meet basic needs, in parallel with the continuous work to activate non-oil revenues and activate the collection tools to provide the treasury with additional resources."

“The financial authority maintains internal borrowing instruments as a legally available tactical option to be used when needed to fill any temporary liquidity gaps, and to ensure that salary financing or the basic operation of state institutions does not falter,” he said.

The Prime Minister’s Advisor for Financial and Economic Affairs concluded by saying that “the financial stability of the state depends not only on direct oil revenues, but also on a dynamic management of liquidity that anticipates geopolitical shocks and maintains the continuation of the economic and social cycle in the country.

https://www.economy-news.net/content.php?id=72823

Judge Zeidan And Qalibaf Discuss The Implementation Of Agreements And Memorandums Of Understanding Between Iraq And Iran

Money and business   Economy News — Baghdad  The President of the Supreme Judicial Council, Judge Faik Zeidan, on Thursday, with the President of the Iranian Shura Council, Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf, the implementation of agreements and memorandums of understanding between Iraq and Iran.

A statement by the Supreme Judicial Council received by "Economy News", that "the President of the Supreme Judicial Council received the President of the Iranian Shura Council Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf and his accompanying delegation."

During the meeting, the two sides discussed ways to enhance bilateral cooperation between the two brotherly countries in the judicial and legal fields, and the follow-up and implementation of the agreements and joint memorandums of understanding signed between the two sides. https://www.economy-news.net/content.php?id=72821

Barzani: Expanding Trade And Attracting US Companies Are Two Pillars Of The Growth Of The Kurdistan Economy

Money and business    Economy News – Baghdad  The President of the Kurdistan Regional Government, Masroor Barzani, said on Thursday that strengthening economic and trade relations is a key factor in consolidating the security and stability of the region, pointing out that his government is working to attract more American companies to invest in the sectors of energy, agriculture, infrastructure and technology.

"The economic strength will contribute to enhancing the security and stability of the region, and expanding trade and economic relations with neighboring countries and international companies will provide more stability and protection," Barzani said.

"The regional government has made efforts to increase the volume of trade with neighboring countries and attract American companies to Kurdistan, not only in the energy sector, but also in agriculture, infrastructure, technology and other sectors," he said.

He expressed the hope that "American companies will view Kurdistan as an attractive investment destination," noting that "strengthening the economic partnership with the United States can go beyond security relations and contribute in turn to support stability."

Barzani pointed out that "expanding trade with the countries surrounding the region would reduce tensions and promote peace and prosperity," pointing out that previous problems with the federal government led to the reduction of trade volume with Turkey.

"We hope to solve these problems and resume trade with Turkey and Syria, in light of great economic potential and opportunities," he said, adding that the development path had been hampered by drone and missile attacks, as well as decisions he said had limited the growth of the region's economy.

He stressed that "the development of the economy of Kurdistan can reflect positively on the economy of Iraq and the entire region," stressing the need to invest resources and opportunities to achieve more economic prosperity.

Regarding US investments, Barzani said that "American companies are always welcome," adding that the regional government has from the beginning encouraged the signing of contracts with it, which prompted Baghdad, he said, to go in the same direction.

“Attracting more U.S. companies is important for both sides, but at the same time it requires protecting investments, infrastructure, employees and economic interests and providing a safe environment for their continued operation.”

https://www.economy-news.net/content.php?id=72837

The Minister Of Finance Stresses The Budget Department To Adhere To The Timings To Complete And Succeed

Money and business     Economy News – Baghdad  The Minister of Finance, Faleh Sari, on Thursday, a visit to the Budget Department, during which he followed the progress of work in the preparation of the next draft budget in accordance with the methodology of programs and performance.

Sari stressed that the ministry is moving towards a gradual transition from budgeting items to budgeting programs and performance, linking the allocation of resources to goals, programs and results, and enhancing the efficiency of public spending management.

He stressed the need to complete the draft budget within the specified times, and to ensure the completion of its requirements in accordance with a precise methodology and realistic estimates.

He stressed the importance of the success of the program budgeting and performance experience, as an essential step in the development of public resource management and directing spending towards priorities and results

https://www.economy-news.net/content.php?id=72836

Shattering the Myth That Higher Taxes Can Fix the $40 Trillion National Debt

Shattering the Myth That Higher Taxes Can Fix the $40 Trillion National Debt

Notes From the Field By James Hickman (Simon Black / Sovereign Man)  August 20, 2026

In June of 1944, American soldiers were storming the beaches of Normandy, single-handedly leading the fight to defeat the Nazis.

Back home, Americans gave everything they had. Some 85 million bought war bonds. The top income tax rate hit 94%, the highest in US history. Even ordinary people paid more and more income tax to support the war effort.

This was the absolute peak of American patriotism and record high tax rates. And yet overall government tax revenue still only came to just 20.5% of GDP.

This matters. In the eight decades since the end of World War II, tax revenue in the United States has averaged between 17% and 18% of GDP... with very little variation.

The low was 14.2% in 1950, coming out of a recession, and the high was 20.0% in 2000, at the peak of the dot-com boom when capital gains tax rates were through the roof.

Yet throughout those eight decades, the overall average has remained quite steady— 17% to 18%... even though corporate and individual tax rates have been all over the board over the same period.

The reason is simple: as tax rates go up and down, people and businesses adjust their behavior. If marginal tax rates skyrocket, people stuff their earnings into tax shelters. Or they defer revenue. Or they come up with any number of ways to legally reduce what they owe.

It's human nature.

You probably heard that the US national debt just crossed $40 trillion yesterday. And on its current trajectory, there is no end in sight to the growth of that debt.

The federal government now routinely posts ~$2 trillion annual deficits... during periods of relative peace and prosperity.

Plenty of people (especially on the left) believe the answer is to tax the rich: sky-high marginal rates, wealth taxes, etc. But the historical data show that higher tax rates cannot and will not solve the problem.

According to IRS data, imposing a tax rate of 90% on people earning $2MM per year or more would theoretically generate $200 to $300 billion in additional tax revenue.

But remember human nature: people would very quickly change their behavior and restructure their affairs, and so the real additional tax revenue would collapse to less than $50 billion per year.

The same goes for a wealth tax. Charging billionaires and centimillionaires a percentage of their unrealized gains sounds like a nice idea to a socialist. But the consequences would offset most (if not all) of the additional revenue.

If Elon Musk were forced to sell 10% of his stock to pay a wealth tax, the share prices of Tesla and SpaceX would plummet.

Sure, the IRS would collect more money from Musk himself. But, nationwide, overall capital gains tax revenue would fall dramatically. So net tax revenue would barely budge.

The point is there are always consequences to raising taxes: less economic activity, slower growth, and higher unemployment. No country in history has ever taxed its way to prosperity.

What’s crazy is that an economy as large and dynamic as America's doesn't even need to run a balanced budget. Even a $1 trillion annual deficit would be OK— and a huge step in the right direction. The national debt would still grow, but as a percentage of GDP, it would shrink.

And it's not hard to get there. The low-hanging fruit is obvious: the Government Accountability Office, the federal government's own watchdog, estimates that hundreds of billions of dollars are lost to outright fraud and theft every single year.

Yet Congress doesn't seem to want to even try to eliminate obvious fraud.

And that's the easy stuff.

The harder part would be streamlining government operations and cutting waste and inefficiency... which could easily generate hundreds of billions in savings.

Harder still would be reforming entitlements, fixing immigration, and taking a chainsaw to the Code of Federal Regulations... all of which could trim spending and/or grow the economy (and hence increase tax revenue).

Again, the national debt is $40 trillion, yet Congress won't even do the easy stuff to fix it. Even worse, the media and the courts actively block and obstruct the people who do try.

We can hope that common sense will one day prevail, and that AI and nuclear power will supercharge the US economy to the point where America grows its way out of debt.

But in the meantime, there are now 40 trillion reasons to have a Plan B.

To your freedom,  James Hickman   Co-Founder, Schiff Sovereign LLC

https://www.schiffsovereign.com/trends/shattering-the-myth-that-higher-taxes-can-fix-the-40-trillion-national-debt-155653/?inf_contact_key=31079512ee07b0eb93edd204d2f7df2b2fff72da363b354f729db1788063859c

The Treasury Just Admitted It... The Bond Market Is Broken: Peter Schiff

The Treasury Just Admitted It... The Bond Market Is Broken

Peter Schiff:  8-20-2026

Peter Schiff breaks down the Treasury's panic move to rescue the bond market, the $40 trillion debt milestone, and gold's $185 reversal day.

The Treasury just doubled its bond buybacks. Peter Schiff says that's the government admitting the bond market is broken.

On the same day the national debt topped $40 trillion, the Treasury announced it is doubling its long-term bond buybacks from $2 billion to $4 billion... buying the bonds everybody else is selling, and funding it by issuing more short-term debt.

Peter calls it what it is: a panic move, a Hail Mary to suppress rising yields after the 30-year hit 5.3%, its highest in over 19 years. Refinancing debt locked in at a 3.44% average coupon with 4% T-bills makes no financial sense, which is exactly why it's happening... the government is scared, not stupid.

The market rendered its verdict immediately. Gold reversed off a $185 rally to close above $4,500, silver cleared $66, and the miners surged 8-12%, while hawkish FOMC minutes were shrugged off entirely.

Peter explains why this Treasury version of Operation Twist forces the Fed to follow with real QE... a program that will have to dwarf 2008's... why Bitcoin's pop above $70,000 is built on hope, and why the housing data shows the panic is justified.

Chapters:

00:00 Treasury Panic Move

01:05 Bond Yields Hit New Highs

02:58 Debt Explosion Politics

07:00 Treasury Buyback Twist

10:23 QE Next And Fed Cornered

16:04 Hawkish Minutes Gold Surge

24:03 Markets React Unevenly

24:20 Dollar Drops Oil Jumps

25:08 Fed Inflation Bind

26:30 Debt Era Comparison

27:40 Jobs Data Media Spin

29:17 Bitcoin Versus Metals

31:19 Housing Slump Mortgages

33:59 Tariffs Canada Trade

37:50 Buybacks Won't Work

42:26 QE Addiction Ahead

44:34 Boat Update Farewell

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bxBDJC1Mk24

Iraq Economic News and Points To Ponder Thursday Afternoon 8-20-26

Oil Prices Hover Near Peak During Hormuz Impasse

2026-08-20  Shafaq News   Oil prices steadied in early trade on Thursday as investors assessed the outlook for the U.S.-Iran war and the security of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

Brent crude futures for October delivery rose 25 cents, or 0.3%, to $91.87 a barrel by 0037 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures for September slipped 2 cents to $85.81 a barrel. The more active October WTI contract gained 14 cents, or 0.2%, to $84.53.

Both Brent and WTI benchmarks gained for a fourth straight session ⁠on Wednesday, settling at their highest since July 24. The September WTI contract expires later on Thursday.

"Oil prices remained elevated as the market is supported by sporadic attacks in the Middle East but lacks fresh momentum without a major escalation," said Hiroyuki Kikukawa, chief strategist of Nissan Securities Investment, a unit of Nissan Securities.

"The market is likely to maintain a gradual upward trend given uncertainty over peace talks and tensions involving the United Arab Emirates, Oman and Iran," he added.

The UAE's ⁠decision to suspend all financial and economic transactions with Iran until further notice has refocused the spotlight on fraught ties between the major Gulf Arab oil producer and Iran.

On Tuesday, U.S. President Donald Trump said no talks were taking place with Iran and that the Strait ⁠of Hormuz was open. Iran, however, said the waterway remained shut.

Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz slowed, data showed on Wednesday, as most shipowners avoided the key waterway because of a ⁠lack of clear signalling on its reopening from a blockade put in place during the Iran war.

In the U.S., crude and gasoline inventories rose and distillate ⁠stockpiles fell last week, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday. Crude inventories rose by 4.4 million barrels in the week ended on August 14, compared with estimates for a 600,000-barrel draw.(Reuters)

https://www.shafaq.com/en/Economy/Oil-prices-hover-near-peak-during-Hormuz-impasse

Basrah Crude Grades Gain Over 18%

2026-08-20  Shafaq News- Baghdad   Iraq's two Basrah export grades climbed more than $12 on Thursday, outpacing modest gains in global benchmarks.

Basrah Heavy settled at $77.43 a barrel, up $12.39, or 19.05%. Basrah Medium rose to $80.73 a barrel, gaining $12.39, or 18.13%.

The moves ran well ahead of the day's global benchmarks. Brent crude edged up 0.3% to $91.87 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) slipped 2 cents to $85.81.

In Arab markets, Saudi Arab Light was priced at $85.44 a barrel, up 35 cents, or 0.41%. Kuwait Export Blend rose $2.42, or 2.92%, to $85.23 a barrel. In the UAE, Murban crude was priced at $99.40 a barrel, up $1.65, or 1.69%, while Qatar Land crude stood at $94.32 a barrel. https://www.shafaq.com/en/Economy/Basrah-crude-grades-gain-over-18

Dollar Falls Against Dinar In Baghdad And Erbil

2026-08-20 Shafaq News- Baghdad/ Erbil   The US dollar fell against the Iraqi dinar on Wednesday, hovering around 154,000 dinars per $100 in Baghdad and Erbil, the capital of the Kurdistan Region.

At the Al-Kifah and Al-Harithiya exchanges in Baghdad, the dollar traded at 154,150 dinars per $100, down from 154,600 dinars on Wednesday, according to a Shafaq News market survey.

In Baghdad's local exchange shops, the selling price reached 154,500 dinars per $100, while the buying price stood at 153,500 dinars.

Rates eased in Erbil as well, where the dollar sold at 154,100 dinars per $100 and was bought at 154,000 dinars.

https://www.shafaq.com/en/Economy/Dollar-falls-against-dinar-in-Baghdad-and-Erbil

Iran's Central Bank Says Iraq Banking Barriers Removed

2026-08-20 Shafaq News- Tehran   Obstacles to banking transactions between Iran and Iraq have been removed, and Tehran expects to access funds held in Iraq within weeks, Iran's central bank governor said in remarks carried by Iran's Mehr news agency.

Abdolnaser Hemmati, Governor of the Central Bank of Iran, said the groundwork had been laid for Iran to draw on those resources following recent talks with Iraqi officials.

A central outcome of his recent visit to Baghdad, Hemmati said, was an agreement by Iraqi Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi to issue guarantees to Iranian contractors backed by Iranian assets held in Iraqi banks, with executive orders issued to that end.

Iran holds an estimated $10-11 billion in funds and energy receivables in Iraq, mainly payments for gas and electricity that Baghdad deposits into restricted accounts because US sanctions limit dollar and euro transfers to Iranian institutions.

Hemmati added that the implementation of the Iran-US asset-release memorandum depends on approval from Iran's leadership, and that the government and the Supreme National Security Council, Iran's top security body, insist economic decisions rest on national interest and require that approval.

Iraq depends on Iranian gas and electricity and pays for them into restricted accounts under US sanctions rules, leaving Tehran unable to move much of the money. A separate memorandum between Iran and the United States on unfreezing Iranian assets has not led to any funds being released.

Hemmati said that asset-release memorandum, though drawn up to serve Iran's interests, remains on hold pending a decision from the country's leadership.

Read more: $24 billion frozen asset dispute blocks final US-Iran agreement

https://www.shafaq.com/en/Economy/Iran-s-Central-Bank-says-Iraq-banking-barriers-removed

Gold Prices Rise In Baghdad And Erbil

2026-08-20 Shafaq News- Baghdad/ Erbil   On Thursday, gold prices hovered around 980,000 IQD per mithqal in Baghdad and Erbil markets, according to a Shafaq News market survey.

Gold prices on Baghdad's Al-Nahr Street recorded a selling price of 980,000 IQD per mithqal (equivalent to five grams) for 21-carat gold, including Gulf, Turkish, and European varieties, with a buying price of 976,000 IQD. The same gold sold for 955,000 IQD on Wednesday.

The selling price for 21-carat Iraqi gold stood at 950,000 IQD, while the buying price reached 946,000 IQD.

In jewelry stores, the selling price per mithqal of 21-carat Gulf gold ranged between 980,000 and 990,000 IQD, while Iraqi gold sold for between 930,000 and 940,000 IQD.

In Erbil, 22-carat gold was sold at 1,100,000 IQD per mithqal, 21-carat gold at 940,000 IQD, and 18-carat gold at 827,000 IQD. https://www.shafaq.com/en/Economy/Gold-prices-rise-in-Baghdad-and-Erbil-4-1-6

Nine Oil Tankers Await Loading At Basra Port

2026-08-20 Shafaq News- Basra   Nine oil tankers are docked at Iraq's Basra port waiting to load crude, one of the largest concentrations of tankers at the southern oil terminals since February, a source in the ports authority told Shafaq News on Thursday.

Five of the vessels are berthed at the Basra oil terminal for loading, while the remaining four are waiting their turn.

Basra, in southern Iraq, is the country's principal outlet for crude exports, handling most shipments through its terminals on the Gulf.

Iraq, OPEC’s second-largest producer, exports about 95% of its crude through southern terminals.

Read more: No exit but Hormuz: Iraq's economic vulnerability exposed

https://www.shafaq.com/en/Economy/Nine-oil-tankers-await-loading-at-Basra-port

Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Thursday Afternoon 8-20-26

Good Afternoon Dinar Recaps,

Treasury Intervention Loses Its Grip as Oil, Debt and Bond Yields Reignite Global Market Pressure

The Treasury's effort to calm the long-term bond market provided only temporary relief. As yields climb again, oil approaches $94 and U.S. debt surpasses $40 trillion, investors are confronting a more difficult question: can policy intervention overcome the underlying forces driving the global repricing of risk?

Overview

• The Treasury's bond-market intervention has lost some of its initial effect, with the 30-year Treasury yield climbing back toward 5.25% after briefly falling following the announcement.

• U.S national debt has surpassed $40 trillion, adding another dimension to investor concerns about the long-term cost of financing government spending.

• Oil has surged toward $94 a barrel amid continuing U.S.-Iran tensions,adding inflation pressure at exactly the time markets are already worried about government debt and Federal Reserve policy.

Key Developments

1. The bond market is pushing back

The Treasury's decision to increase long-term bond buybacks initially brought relief to investors.

That relief has not lasted.

The 30-year Treasury yield climbed back to approximately 5.25%, while the 10-year yield moved back toward 4.71%. The reversal suggests investors remain concerned that Treasury intervention alone cannot solve the forces pushing long-term borrowing costs higher.

The significance goes beyond Treasury bonds.

Long-term government yields are used as a benchmark for mortgages, corporate borrowing, real estate and equity valuations across the financial system.

When those yields rise, financial conditions tighten throughout the economy.

2. The $40 trillion debt milestone changes the backdrop

The United States has now crossed $40 trillion in national debt.

That milestone arrives at an especially sensitive moment.

Investors are already demanding higher yields to hold longer-term government debt, while the government continues to require enormous amounts of financing.

Reuters reports that the current pressure is not limited to the United States. Long-term borrowing costs have been rising across major economies, including Japan and Germany, as governments face increased borrowing needs from defense spending, aging populations and the costs of recent crises.

This makes today's story much larger than a U.S. Treasury problem.

The world's major governments are simultaneously competing for capital.

*****************

3. Oil is adding a second inflation shock

Brent crude has climbed to approximately 93–94 per barrel, with continuing disruption and uncertainty surrounding the Strait of Hormuz and the U.S.-Iran conflict adding to supply concerns.

That creates a difficult combination for central banks.

Higher oil → higher inflation pressure

while

Higher bond yields → tighter financial conditions.

Central banks therefore face an increasingly uncomfortable choice between fighting inflation and protecting economic growth.

Why It Matters

The important development this afternoon is that the market is testing the limits of government intervention.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's expanded buyback program demonstrated that Washington has tools available to respond when long-term yields become disruptive.

But the subsequent rebound in yields suggests that investors are still focused on the underlying fundamentals.

The problem isn't simply liquidity.

It is the combination of:

Massive government borrowing + persistent deficits + inflation risk + higher energy prices + elevated global borrowing needs.

A Treasury buyback can improve market functioning.

It cannot by itself eliminate those structural pressures.

The Bigger Global Financial Reset Story

This is where today's afternoon development becomes especially important.

• Yesterday, the story was:

The bond market is repricing sovereign debt.

• This morning, the story became:

Treasury is attempting to stabilize the long end of the market.

• This afternoon, we have the next stage:

The bond market is pushing back.

That progression is significant.

It suggests that the global financial system may be entering a period in which governments and central banks have less ability to control financial conditions simply through policy announcements.

Markets ultimately have to absorb the debt.

And investors ultimately decide what yield they require to hold it.

Why This Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

The interaction between Treasury yields, the dollar and commodities is becoming increasingly important.

Earlier this week, the dollar weakened sharply even as investors were focused on elevated U.S. yields. Today, the dollar has recovered somewhat, but the broader question remains: will higher U.S. yields continue to translate into stronger demand for dollars?

That relationship is no longer as straightforward as it once was.

Foreign-currency holders should therefore watch not only central-bank interest-rate decisions but also:

• U.S. Treasury demand

• Long-term bond yields

• Government debt levels

• Oil and commodity prices

• Inflation expectations

• Foreign demand for U.S. assets

• Central-bank reserve diversification

These forces increasingly interact with one another.

Implications for the Global Financial Reset

1. Sovereign debt is becoming the central pressure point.

The $40 trillion U.S. debt milestone arrives as investors are demanding higher returns for long-term government bonds.

That raises the cost of financing future deficits and creates a feedback loop between debt, interest expense and new borrowing.

2. Policy intervention may increasingly be used to manage market stress.

The Treasury's decision to expand buybacks demonstrates that Washington is prepared to become more active when long-term borrowing costs rise sharply.

The larger question is whether these measures can remain effective if investors continue demanding higher compensation for fiscal and inflation risks.

3. Energy is becoming part of the debt-and-currency equation.

Oil approaching $94 adds another layer of complexity.

Higher energy prices can increase inflation, which can keep interest rates higher for longer, which can increase government borrowing costs.

That creates a potentially powerful chain:

Iran conflict → oil → inflation → interest rates → Treasury yields → debt costs → currencies.

That is precisely why the Iran conflict is no longer only a geopolitical story.

It has become a global financial story.

What to Watch Next

The next several developments could be especially important:

1. Whether the 30-year Treasury yield moves back toward or above the recent 5.34% high.

2. Whether Brent crude remains above $90 or approaches $100.

3. Whether the Treasury announces additional measures to influence long-term borrowing conditions.

4. Whether the dollar resumes its recent decline.

5. How the Federal Reserve responds if oil-driven inflation begins appearing in economic data.

6. Whether foreign investors continue accepting current Treasury yields or demand still higher compensation.

Bottom Line

The Treasury stepped in to calm the bond market — and the bond market is now testing that intervention.

At the same time, U.S. debt has crossed $40 trillion and oil is approaching $94, creating a combination of fiscal and inflationary pressure that policymakers cannot easily solve with a single tool.

This is becoming more than a story about Treasury yields.

It is a story about whether the world's largest financial system can maintain stable borrowing costs while debt, energy prices and geopolitical risk are all moving higher at the same time.

Seeds of Wisdom Team

Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Reuters — US Treasury buyback briefly eases bond rout, but debt worries persist

• Associated Press — The bond market swings back to worries and helps knock U.S. stocks lower

  
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Thank you Dinar Recaps

Thursday Iraq News Posted by Tishwash at TNT 8-20-2026

TNT:

Tishwash:  Removing zeros: A currency restructuring or a step to boost confidence in the dinar?

The issue of removing zeros from the Iraqi currency has resurfaced, amid economic debate about the feasibility of this step and its implications for the value of the dinar and the purchasing power of the citizen, as well as the readiness of the banking and financial sectors to implement it.

Economic experts believe that removing zeros, if implemented within a comprehensive study and a clear plan, could contribute to restructuring the currency and simplifying financial and banking transactions, while emphasizing that the measure itself does not mean an increase or decrease in the purchasing power of the dinar, as long as prices, salaries and savings are transformed at the same rate.

Strengthening the value of the dinar

Economic expert Haider Al-Sheikh told Al-Sabah newspaper: “Changing the Iraqi currency and removing zeros will enhance the value of the Iraqi dinar against foreign currencies,” explaining that “changing the currency will contribute to reviving the economy and providing cash liquidity to the government.”

The sheikh explained that the currency change process, according to the study, requires several months to print specific denominations in batches, in preparation for replacing them with the current currency. He pointed out that this process could contribute to strengthening the balances of government and private banks in Iraqi dinars and providing liquidity. 

The necessary cash.

He added that another benefit of the process is “knowing the amount of currency held by the government and banks, as well as knowing the volume of currency circulating in the market.”

The sheikh pointed out that Iraq, after 2003, printed more than 100 trillion dinars, indicating that about 70 percent of the printed cash is outside the government's control and stored in homes. And it is traded on the market.

 Renaming the monetary unit

For his part, economist Mustafa Faraj said that "removing zeros from the Iraqi currency, if implemented according to a comprehensive study and plan, represents a positive step towards restructuring the currency and simplifying financial and banking transactions," stressing that "the process itself does not necessarily mean an increase or decrease in value." 

The purchasing power of the dinar.

Faraj explained that removing three zeros, for example, means changing prices, salaries, and balances by the same percentage, and therefore the citizen's purchasing power does not change as a result of the removal alone.

He added that the main economic benefit is “reducing the volume of circulating figures, facilitating accounting and banking operations, supporting electronic payment systems, and making dealing in dinars more efficient and transparent,” stressing that the success of the step is linked to monetary stability, price control, and broad public awareness.

He explained that removing zeros could be part of a “broader monetary and banking reform package that enhances confidence in the dinar and supports economic stability.” 

It is not a single, formal procedure.

Risks of the conversion phase

In contrast, economic researcher Ahmed Eid warned that the most prominent risks that may accompany the removal of zeros are not related to the accounting removal process itself, but rather to the conversion phase and what may accompany it in terms of confusion in the markets and exploitation by some traders, especially in rounding prices upwards.

He explained that goods with small prices may be more likely to increase when converted to the new monetary unit, which, if this is repeated on a large scale, may lead to citizens feeling an actual increase in the cost of living, even though the process of removing zeros is theoretically supposed not to change purchasing power.

Eid pointed to other risks, including the weak financial literacy of some citizens, particularly with regard to converting cash savings, pricing goods and services, contracts and debts, as well as the possibility of speculation and rumors spreading about the value of the dinar.

He stressed that these risks become greater if the operation is carried out during an economic period suffering from financial pressures and problems related to liquidity and confidence.

Dual pricing and oversight

To protect the purchasing power of citizens, Eid called for the adoption of a sufficient transitional period preceding and accompanying the change process, during which dual pricing in the old and new dinars would be adopted, and precise rules would be put in place to prevent arbitrary rounding of prices, in addition to tightening control over markets and implementing a broad awareness campaign.

He stressed the need for the central bank to ensure that all bank accounts, savings, debts, salaries and contracts are converted in the same proportion, with the new currency being made available in an organized manner, and a period of simultaneous circulation of the two currencies being maintained.

He stressed that “the most important thing is that the removal of zeros should be preceded by real financial and monetary stability,” explaining that protecting purchasing power is not achieved by changing the form of the currency, but rather by controlling inflation, stabilizing the exchange rate and addressing financial and economic imbalances.  link

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Tishwash:  National Security Advisor to Qalibaf: The government is proceeding with restricting weapons to the state.

Baghdad/Al-Masalla: National Security Advisor Qasim Al-Aboudi confirmed on Thursday to Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf that the Iraqi constitution does not allow the existence of armed groups that threaten the security of other countries, while indicating that the government is proceeding with restricting weapons to the state.

The media office of the National Security Advisor stated in a statement received by Al-Masalla Agency that “National Security Advisor Qasim Al-Aboudi met with the Speaker of the Iranian Shura Council, Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf, who is currently visiting Iraq,” indicating that “the meeting discussed the latest developments in the region and ways to strengthen relations between Iraq and the Islamic Republic of Iran, in a manner that serves the interests of the two countries and the two friendly peoples.”

He added that “the meeting also included discussions on security agreements between Iraq and the Islamic Republic of Iran.”

Al-Aboudi stressed that “Iraq is committed to the joint security agreement between the two countries,” noting that “the relationship between the two friendly countries is a historical and close one, and the two peoples are bound by close ties.”

He added that “Iraq’s stability is in the interest of the region’s stability,” noting that “Prime Minister Ali Faleh al-Zubaidi’s government emphasizes strengthening relations with neighboring countries in particular and countries of the world in general, and this is in the country’s interest.”

He stated that “the Iraqi constitution does not allow the existence of armed groups that threaten the security of other countries,” explaining that “the government is proceeding with restricting weapons to the hands of the state.”

For his part, Qalibaf affirmed that “the Islamic Republic of Iran cherishes its relations with Iraq and supports the government program regarding the establishment of a legal framework that regulates weapons under the command of the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces,” explaining that “his country is committed to the security agreements concluded between the two countries link

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Tishwash:  The Cabinet approves a new mechanism for pricing crude oil.

In a move aimed at restructuring the economic portfolio and enhancing export and import capacities, the government took a series of sovereign decisions during the fifteenth regular session of the Council of Ministers, which was held on Tuesday evening under the chairmanship of Council Chairman Ali Faleh Al-Zaidi, which included the oil, finance, electricity, infrastructure, and international relations sectors.

As part of the government's procedures to increase export and import capacities, the recommendation regarding the purchase of crude oil was approved, based on the price of the State Oil Marketing Company (SOMO) or the price set in the general budget, whichever is lower, with a discount of (30%), to be determined annually, starting from (September 1, 2026), and paid to the public treasury, provided that its financial effects are reviewed in detail, with the implementation of the aforementioned study being based on lifting subsidies on the prices of petroleum products for all sectors, with the exception of the main products supplied exclusively to citizens (gasoline, gas oil, kerosene, and liquefied gas) from (September 1, 2026), and that any subsidy granted to any sector reduces the share of the public treasury, and the proposed mechanism is presented to the Federal Board of Financial Control for the purpose of adopting the amended accounting policy to avoid future audit observations.

In the oil sector as well, the Council voted to approve the mechanisms for exporting Iraqi oil through specialized international and local companies, and through different outlets, provided that the contracts are for a period of (3) working months starting from the date of (September 1, 2026).

The recommendation regarding exceptional approvals to increase export and import capacities was also approved, authorizing the Minister of Oil to establish additional transport routes for existing and current contracts, and to renew those contracts. The Minister was also authorized to approve the import of petroleum products when needed to ensure a stable supply and prevent crises, provided that the Oil Pipelines Company completes the expansion of loading platforms. Furthermore, approval was granted to commence work prior to contract signing for the rehabilitation of the IT2A station and a supporting unloading station for the IT1 station, with a capacity of 300,000 barrels per day. This will ensure the rapid delivery of imported raw materials without compromising the principles of competition and transparency.

As part of the procedures for regulating oil sales mechanisms, the Council approved the recommendation related to the mechanisms for advance payment of the prices of Iraqi oil sales, and the methods for companies purchasing the value of shipments to deposit, and advance payments into the relevant accounts belonging to the Ministry of Finance and the Central Bank of Iraq.

The council approved the continued payment of dues to Basra Gas Company for the value of its products delivered to South Gas Company, as it is a self-financing company.

The Council approved the Ministry of Oil's donation of (5) billion dinars to the Ministry of Health, allocated for the purchase of medicines, medical supplies, and laboratory equipment. In the electricity sector, the recommendation of the Central Review and Approval Committee for Referrals at the Ministry of Electricity was approved, regarding the adoption of Request for Proposals (RFPs) in the electricity distribution sector.

To enhance the procedures for collecting fees and taxes, the Council approved the adoption of the principle of pre-payment of customs duties and estimated tax deposits for imported goods, starting from (October 1, 2026), and the importer depositing the amounts of foreign transfer for import purposes with the authorized banks, and not transferring the amounts except after the importer pays the amounts of customs duties and estimated tax deposits through the (ASYCUDA) system, and the approved electronic payment mechanisms, and transferring them to the accounts of the public treasury and the competent accounts in the Ministry of Finance, within (15) days, and that the calculation of the amounts of customs duties and estimated tax deposits be based on the initial data provided by the importer, including the commercial invoice and shipping documents, or import, customs classification, type of goods, origin and value according to the approved customs tariff schedules.

As part of the government's efforts toward administrative and financial reform, the Council voted to amend the instructions regulating write-off procedures and accounting treatments. This amendment requires all government entities to submit records of debt and asset write-offs to the Federal Board of Supreme Audit for review before the authorized body makes a write-off decision.

The Ministry of Finance was also tasked with amending Instruction No. 1 of 2022, which regulates write-off procedures and accounting treatments, to ensure compliance with these amendments. Furthermore, the Cabinet approved the Ministry of Transport/Air Navigation Company's allocation of 15 billion dinars to the Ministry of Finance for border crossings, specifically for developing the infrastructure at the Rabia, Al-Walid, and Safwan border crossings.

The Council approved the recommendation to suspend the implementation of Cabinet Resolution (963 of 2025) until the end of (2026), provided that the local market is monitored during the suspension period. 

The council also voted to approve the extension of the Independent High Electoral Commission’s occupancy of school buildings until (December 31, 2027), provided that the commission submits a plan that includes time limits for vacating the occupied classrooms and school buildings in stages.

As part of the government’s measures to strengthen international relations, the Minister of Trade, or whomever he authorizes, was given the power to negotiate and sign the draft agreement for economic, trade, scientific, cultural, artistic and sports cooperation between Iraq and the Republics of Nigeria and Zambia.  link

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Tishwash:  State economic integration

The government of Prime Minister Ali Faleh al-Zaidi is adopting a program for financial reform and rationalizing spending in parallel with diversifying sources of revenue and reducing dependence on oil. The Ministry of Public Finance is facing pressure in providing the necessary liquidity to cover public expenditures, with a public spending volume of about 7 trillion and 800 billion dinars, which is not an exaggeration in relation to the size of the wealth of the Iraqi economy, and it would not have affected the size of liquidity or the money supply were it not for the systematic and organized corruption that has been dividing the state’s revenues for years into more than half.

The security operations conducted by the government to pursue corrupt individuals have revealed the enormous sums of money seized from those arrested, while investigations into other suspects continue. Beyond the issue of corruption itself, efforts to increase state resources necessitate measures and laws that do not harm citizens by imposing additional financial burdens that could overburden them due to flawed past economic policies.

Among the possible solutions for the state is to start collecting taxes owed by foreign and local companies and to expand electronic automation in government institutions to reduce financial waste, prevent duplication of work, and collect fees in a legal and proper manner, not by sharing them with other investors as happens in the matter of electricity privatization in some residential areas. In addition, there is the need to audit outstanding advances and loans and recover them from companies and individuals, and to work on reviewing collection contracts in state institutions to determine the size of the revenues that these institutions receive compared to the investor's share.

Some contracts have the investor's share reaching 75 percent of the revenues compared to 25 percent for the state, without knowing the details of the level of service provided by the investor and whether it actually warrants this percentage or is just corruption that drains the state's resources.

Another issue is the need to pay attention to the multiplicity of legislation and decisions that conflict with the investment law and confuse the investment environment instead of benefiting from its financial returns. Perhaps the question that arises regarding the reality of the economy in Iraq is, where do the solutions lie? Is it in institutional reform and combating corruption in a real and unambiguous way, or in controlling the state’s revenues in all their forms, whether local or foreign, in a centralized manner that is not subject to any political interference, or both together?

The strength of the economy lies in coordinating the work of the security, economic and political system with an integrated structure in which politics ensures the success of the other systems that run the life of the citizen.

When there are gaps that work to prevent the integration of these systems with each other with the aim of enriching themselves at the expense of public money, it is not possible to talk about any reform or economic development in the country, because public money will remain permissible under the names of projects and illusions of economic returns, and thus remain in the cycle of our only source of income, oil and nothing else.  link

Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Thursday Morning 8-20-26

Good Morning Dinar Recaps,

The Dollar Falls as Treasury Steps In: A New Risk Equation Emerges for Global Finance

The U.S. Treasury is increasing long-term bond buybacks as investors question the sustainability of high borrowing costs — while the dollar weakens and oil prices add another layer of inflation pressure.

Overview

• The U.S. dollar has fallen to a three-month low even as long-term Treasury yields remain above 5%, challenging the traditional relationship between higher U.S. yields and a stronger dollar.

• Treasury's expanded bond-buyback program has temporarily eased pressure in the long end of the market, but investors are already questioning whether it can address the underlying concerns over debt, inflation and Treasury supply.

• Oil near $93 a barrel is adding inflation risk at the same time that markets are watching the Federal Reserve and reassessing U.S. fiscal risk.

Key Developments

1. The dollar is weakening despite elevated Treasury yields

The U.S. Dollar Index fell to approximately 98.723 on Thursday, its lowest level since May 14. The euro and British pound both moved to three-month highs against the dollar.

That is significant because higher U.S. interest rates have traditionally provided an important incentive for global investors to hold dollar-denominated assets.

But today's market is showing that yield alone may no longer be enough.

Investors are also weighing America's enormous debt load, inflation expectations, geopolitical risk and the long-term supply of Treasury securities.

The result is a more complicated relationship:

Higher Treasury yields do not automatically mean a stronger dollar.

2. Treasury is attempting to calm the long end of the bond market

The Treasury announced that it will double the size of certain longer-term bond buybacks to at least $4 billion per operation, compared with the previously planned $2 billion.

The move followed a sharp rise in long-term yields. The 30-year Treasury yield had reached 5.337% earlier this week — its highest level since 2007 — before falling after the Treasury announcement.

The stated purpose is to improve liquidity and market functioning rather than formally establish a target for long-term interest rates.

However, the timing is important.

Washington is becoming increasingly sensitive to what is happening at the long end of the Treasury curve.

That matters because long-term Treasury yields influence mortgage rates, corporate borrowing costs, asset valuations and the cost of financing the federal government's enormous debt.

3. The bond-market relief is already showing signs of fading

The initial Treasury announcement produced a significant decline in long-term yields.

But by Thursday, the 30-year yield had moved back upward to around 5.22%, after briefly falling to approximately 5.18%. Reuters reported that investors were questioning how effective the Treasury's intervention could be in addressing the underlying pressures.

Liquidity can be improved without eliminating the reason investors are demanding higher yields.

Those underlying pressures include large government deficits, heavy Treasury issuance and concerns about inflation.

In other words, the Treasury can influence market conditions — but it cannot make the underlying debt disappear.

4. Oil is adding another complication

Brent crude has climbed to approximately $93 per barrel, with higher oil prices raising concerns about energy costs and renewed inflation pressure.

This creates a difficult environment for central banks.

Higher oil prices can push inflation upward even as elevated borrowing costs are already slowing portions of the economy.

That produces the uncomfortable combination of:

Higher debt costs + higher energy costs + inflation uncertainty.

Why This Matters

The most important development today isn't simply that the dollar is down or Treasury yields are high.

It is the relationship between the two.

For years, investors generally understood the equation:

Higher U.S. yields → stronger demand for dollars → stronger dollar.

Today's market is showing that the equation is becoming more complicated.

If investors believe higher yields are increasingly compensation for fiscal risk, inflation risk and the enormous amount of debt that must be financed, the dollar may not receive the same benefit from rising yields.

That is a potentially important structural change.

Why This Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

For foreign-currency holders, the dollar's reaction deserves close attention.

A weaker dollar can change the relative value of currencies around the world even when U.S. interest rates remain relatively high.

Today's movement also demonstrates why currency values cannot be judged by interest rates alone.

Investors are increasingly evaluating:

• U.S. debt and deficit levels

• Inflation expectations

• Treasury supply

• Federal Reserve policy

• Energy prices

• Geopolitical risk

• Confidence in the long-term purchasing power of currencies

That doesn't mean the dollar is losing its reserve-currency status.

It does mean that the factors determining dollar strength are becoming more complicated.

Implications for the Global Financial Reset

• Sovereign debt is becoming a central financial-market variable.

The recent surge in long-term Treasury yields demonstrates that government borrowing costs can become a global market issue.

When the world's largest sovereign-debt market reprices, the effects extend into currencies, equities, mortgages, commodities and international capital flows.

• Treasury policy is becoming increasingly important to global markets.

The expanded buyback program shows that Washington is paying close attention to conditions at the long end of the Treasury market.

The question now becomes whether these measures provide lasting stability or merely buy time while fiscal pressures remain unresolved.

• The dollar, bonds and commodities are becoming increasingly interconnected.

A weaker dollar, higher oil prices and elevated Treasury yields create a very different environment from the low-rate, low-inflation world that dominated much of the previous decade.

This is where the broader reset story becomes visible.

Debt affects yields.
Yields affect currencies.
Currencies affect commodities.
Commodities affect inflation.
Inflation affects central-bank policy.

The pieces are no longer moving independently.

What to Watch Next

The most important signals over the coming weeks will be:

1. Whether the 30-year Treasury yield can remain below the 5.30%–5.34% area.

2. Whether the Dollar Index continues falling despite elevated U.S. yields.

3. Whether oil remains near or above $90 a barrel.

4. Whether Treasury expands its intervention beyond the currently announced buybacks.

5. Whether the Federal Reserve maintains its focus on inflation or begins moving toward lower rates.

6. Whether foreign investors continue demanding higher compensation for holding long-term U.S. debt.

Bottom Line

The important signal today is not simply that Treasury yields are high. It is that the dollar is weakening while those yields remain elevated.

That suggests global investors are increasingly looking beyond the traditional interest-rate equation and examining the fiscal and structural risks behind the world's largest bond market.

The Treasury's response may help stabilize market liquidity, but it does not resolve the underlying combination of debt, deficits, inflation and rising energy costs.

And that is why today's development matters for the broader global financial-reset story.

The next major shift may not come from a single currency or a single central-bank decision — it may come from the growing interaction between sovereign debt, Treasury yields, the dollar and the commodities that drive global inflation.

Sources

• Reuters — Dollar falls to three-month low as Treasury moves to soothe bond jitters

• Reuters — Bond relief ebbs as investors question Treasury's rescue efforts

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🌱 A Message to Our Currency Holders🌱

If you’ve been holding foreign currency for many years, you were not foolish.
You were not wrong to believe the global financial system would change.

What failed was not your patience — it was the information you were given.

For years, dates, rumors, and personalities replaced facts, structure, and proof. “This week” predictions created cycles of hope and disappointment that were never based on how currencies actually change.

That is not your failure.

Our mission here is different:   • No dates • No rates • No hype • No gurus

Instead, we focus on:
• Verifiable developments • Institutional evidence
• Global financial structure • Where countries actually sit in the process

Currency value changes only come after sovereignty, trade, banking, settlement systems, and fiscal coordination are in place. History and institutions confirm this sequence.

You will see silence. You will see denials. That is not delay — that is discipline.

Protect your identity. Organize your documents.    Verify everything.
Never hand your discernment to anyone who cannot show proof.

You deserve truth — not timelines.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News

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