4 Fraud Schemes You Should Be on the Lookout For

4 Fraud Schemes You Should Be on the Lookout For

Laura Beck   Wed, July 10, 2024  GOBankingRates

There are always unscrupulous individuals who would love to separate you from your hard-earned money. Not only that, they are always developing new ways to do so, as well as new twists on old scams.

You can keep yourself from falling victim to these criminals by educating yourself about these schemes and using a little common sense. Always approach unsolicited phone calls, emails, or texts with skepticism. If something feels off, trust your instincts and take a step back to assess the situation.

Here are four scams to be on the lookout for:

Wealthy people know the best money secrets. Learn how to copy them.

Pig Butchering Scams

A pig butchering scam is an elaborate con in which scammers build up your trust over an extended period, often through social media, dating apps, or text messages, before convincing you to invest in cryptocurrency.

“The ‘pig butchering’ scheme is a complex fraud that borrows elements from other existing scams,” said R. Persichitte, Affiliate Professor at the Metropolitan State University of Denver. “It typically begins with a romantic or a wrong number scheme to initiate contact.

A seemingly attractive individual will establish a casual relationship and then persuade you to make a small deposit into their phony investment, often using a legitimate site like Coinbase. They will then lure you into investing more by presenting fake statements of high returns. However, these returns are fictitious, and your money is lost when you transfer it.

To protect yourself from pig butchering, be skeptical of any unsolicited investment advice, especially from people you’ve only met online, or any texts from a “wrong number.”

Impersonating Your Bank or Another Service

To Read More:

https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/m-banking-expert-4-fraud-190021118.html

Kevin O'Leary Says You Can Survive On $500,000 And 'Do Nothing Else To Make Money'

Kevin O'Leary Says You Can Survive On $500,000 And 'Do Nothing Else To Make Money'

Margaret Jackson  Updated Wed, Jul 10, 2024,

Americans are all about that $1.5 million nest egg for retirement — living easy with golf trips and fancy cars.

But "Shark Tank" tough guy Kevin O'Leary says to hold on — you can retire with just $500,000 — a big difference from the $5 million he suggested last August.

According to Mr. Wonderful, the key is investing smartly and maybe scaling back your spending after you clock out for good.

"You can live off half a million bucks in the bank and do nothing else to make money," O'Leary said. "Do not invest in your brother's bar. Or a bowling alley, or a bar, or all that other crap, you'll lose your money."

But it depends on the type of lifestyle you want. According to Northwestern Mutual research, most Americans believe they need nearly $1.5 million to retire. That's up 53% since 2020 and 15% from last year.

O'Leary's logic is that you can make about 5% in fixed income with little risk, but if you only have $500,000, that amounts to $25,000 per year. If you are willing to ride the volatility, you can invest in equities, providing up to a 9% return or about $45,000 annually.

If you aim for a secure retirement, the 4% rule is widely used. The rule suggests retirees can withdraw 4% of their retirement savings annually for 30 years, adjusting the amount each year to keep up with inflation. Developed by financial adviser Bill Bengen, it's based on historical data analyzing stock and bond returns, aiming to ensure retirees don't run out of money.

Consider real-world spending. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the average retiree over 65 spends roughly $52,141 annually. Rounding up for safety, you'd need at least $1.3 million saved to generate $53,000 per year using the 4% rule. That means if you had $500,000 saved, as O'Leary suggested, withdrawing 4% annually for 30 years would only provide a safe spending amount of $20,000 per year.

To Read More:  https://finance.yahoo.com/news/kevin-oleary-says-survive-500-140519576.html

7 Reasons You Should Consider a Financial Advisor — Even If You’re Not Wealthy

7 Reasons You Should Consider a Financial Advisor — Even If You’re Not Wealthy

Marina Benitez  June 24, 2024

When you hear the term financial advisor, you might picture someone who only works with the ultra-wealthy, managing millions of dollars in assets. This is a common misconception. In reality, financial advisors work with people of all income levels, helping them navigate the complexities of personal finance and achieve their financial goals.

And according to a survey* by MagnifyMoney, 95% of those polled who have a financial advisor believe it’s worth the money.

Whether you’re planning for retirement, dealing with a significant life event or simply looking to make smarter financial decisions, a financial advisor can offer the expertise and guidance you need. Here are some compelling reasons why you should consider a financial advisor — even if you’re not wealthy.

1. You Get Personalized Financial Guidance

Starting to save early and consistently is crucial for building a strong retirement fund. Expert advisors

Everyone’s financial situation is unique, and a one-size-fits-all approach rarely works when it comes to managing money. This is where personalized financial guidance becomes invaluable. Financial advisors tailor their advice to fit your specific needs, goals and circumstances. Whether you’re looking to create a budget, save for a major purchase or plan for long-term goals like retirement, a financial advisor can help you develop a customized strategy.

Imagine having an expert who understands your financial situation inside and out guiding you through important decisions and helping you avoid costly mistakes. With personalized advice, you can feel confident that your financial plan is designed specifically for you, taking into consideration your income, expenses, risk tolerance and future aspirations.

This level of tailored guidance can make all the difference in achieving financial stability and growth.

2. You Can Get Matched With A Financial Advisor for Free

If you’re not already wealthy, getting a financial advisor probably sounds expensive and out of reach. That’s why we like a company called Unbiased. They’ll match you with a financial advisor in your area — for free.

No two people have the same financial situation, which is why Unbiased matches you with the best financial advisor for your specific situation, so you get an expert in the areas you need.

There’s no obligation to hire them, and Unbiased screens every advisor to make sure you’re only getting matched with the best experts.

Want to get a customized financial plan? Just start here to get matched with a financial advisor for free.

3. They Can Help You Navigate Major Life Transitions

Life is full of significant events that can dramatically impact your financial situation. Whether you’re getting married, having a child, receiving an inheritance, facing job loss or divorce — or any number of major events — these transitions often come with complex financial decisions. A financial advisor can be an invaluable resource during these times, providing the expertise and support needed to make informed choices.

Consider the challenges of planning a wedding, buying a home or preparing for a new addition to your family. Each of these milestones requires careful financial planning to ensure you’re making the best decisions for your future. Financial advisors offer guidance on budgeting, saving and investing to meet your changing needs.

By working with a financial advisor during life’s major events, you can avoid common pitfalls and set yourself up for long-term success. Their expert advice ensures that you’re not only addressing immediate concerns but also planning strategically for the future.

To Read More:  https://www.gobankingrates.com/consider-financial-advisor-not-wealthy-2287035/?utm_term=related_link_2&utm_campaign=1277259&utm_source=yahoo.com&utm_content=3&utm_medium=rss

Boots On The Ground In The World’s Bitcoin Paradise

Notes From the Field  by James Hickman July 10, 2024

[Editor’s note: This letter was written by Schiff Sovereign’s CEO, Viktorija Simulynaite, who is on the ground in El Salvador.]

The first thing my driver said to me after I got off the plane in El Salvador was, “Welcome to my country. It’s very safe here now.”  I chuckled to myself because this seemed like such an odd greeting. But the more time I spent mingling with locals in El Salvador, the more it made sense.

The transformation that has taken place in the country over the past five years cannot be overstated.

Five years ago El Salvador had one of the highest murder rates in the world. It was basically a war zone. Gangs such as MS-13 and Barrio 18 were far more powerful than the government, and they enforced their own laws in their respective territories, sort of like the Taliban in Afghanistan.

The country’s young president, Nayib Bukele, put an end to all that when he was elected in 2019.

Bukele invoked emergency powers and arrested more than 100,000 suspected gang members, then shipped them off to a special prison far away from the rest of society. In a country of 6.3 million, that amounts to over 1.5% of the entire population that’s now locked up.

It was a controversial move to say the least… and I wonder about innocent people who may have been wrongfully imprisoned.

But El Salvadorans seem quite happy with the results; today their country boasts a lower homicide rate than anywhere else in the Western Hemisphere aside from Canada.

Simultaneously, El Salvador also put itself on the map by being one of the first countries in the world to get behind crypto; they even made Bitcoin legal tender and passed a number of pro-crypto tax incentives.

Those are pretty much the two things that El Salvador is known for these days– putting tens of thousands of criminals in jail, and Bitcoin.

But I was pleasantly surprised to find out that the country has so much more going for it.

This was a place that was scraping the bottom of the barrel just a few years ago. Even aside from the crime problem, the economy was in the dumps. Corruption and bureaucracy ruled the day, and debts were rising.

In just a few short years, however, El Salvador has managed to turn itself around, and the economy has taken off.

It’s not an accident. The government has slashed bureaucracy and established a number of incentives to bring in foreign capital and businesses.

One is the recently passed International Services Law, which offers significant tax incentives to service-based businesses, similar to Puerto Rico’s famous Act 60.

El Salvador’s law, though, is perhaps even more generous than Puerto Rico’s because it includes exemption for import duties, income taxes, municipal taxes, and more.

Service industries like call centers, data centers, software development, and other back-office services are starting to be growing industries in El Salvador, and I met a number of foreign entrepreneurs who are starting businesses in the capital.

Foreign investment is flowing in, and you can see construction projects everywhere– the capital city is quickly becoming sleek and modern, and it completely defied my expectations. Even the restaurant scene is really great.

More importantly, there’s an optimism in El Salvador– one that I haven’t seen in Europe and North America for a long time. People feel like the worst days are over and the future will continue to be much brighter.

Now, all that said, I’m not trying to suggest that El Salvador is some perfect paradise or that anyone should move their business there. I’m really writing about it as a sort of case study.

We talk a lot about how governments and politicians and “inspired idiots” wreck their economies. They rack up massive debts and engineer painful inflation and higher energy prices… and generally make things worse with their every move.

But it’s fair to point out that sometimes governments do smart things. And El Salvador is a great example.

They knew they had to figure out how to turn their economy around. And rather than go down a destructive rabbit hole of wage and price controls, which are standard approaches for bankrupt nations, El Salvador’s government got out of the way and is allowing the free market to blossom.

The one thing they have done very deliberately is market themselves.

Advanced western countries don’t do this. Joe Biden doesn’t travel the world pushing foreign nations to invest in America. Rather, he takes America’s standing for granted and simply assumes that everyone wants to invest there.

El Salvador is a tiny country plagued by a bad reputation for its past challenges.

But rather than let that reputation fester, its leaders are hustling to promote their country all over the world with a clear message: El Salvador is open for business.

It’s fascinating to watch such a positive transformation unfold for an entire nation in real time– and to see politicians deliberately do the right things to foster economic growth.

Given how many Western countries are rapidly deteriorating from their own idiotic political decisions, El Salvador is an obvious example of how much better things could be if reason and sanity were restored in government.

Imagine what the US would look like if politicians were actually cooperating and hustling to bring in new business, to make smart investments, to embrace capitalism, or even to simply rein in spending and slash bureaucratic waste…

We’re planning a boots on the ground trip to El Salvador for members of our Total Access group (i.e. our highest tier premium members at Schiff Sovereign). It’s going to be pretty great.

We’ll be meeting with senior officials and business leaders and checking out, firsthand, what’s going on in the country so that our members can see the transformation for themselves.

We’ll also eat at some of the country’s nicest restaurants and tour the beautiful countryside. And we might even leave with an investment or two.

(We’ve already had Total Access trips to places like Cuba, Singapore, the Republic of Georgia, Uzbekistan, and more, so El Salvador fits perfectly.)

If you’re interested in joining or finding out more about Total Access -- click here to read more about it. We’ll be opening enrollment soon.

To your freedom,   Viktorija Simulynaite   CEO, Schiff Sovereign LLC

https://www.schiffsovereign.com/trends/boots-on-the-ground-in-the-worlds-bitcoin-paradise-151131/

6 Frugal Habits Money Experts Disagree On

6 Frugal Habits Money Experts Disagree On

Cindy Lamothe  Mon, July 8, 2024  GOBankingRates

There is no end to all of the financial advice you’ll see on the internet. Money influencers will say one thing — and then you’ll promptly read a rebuttal.

If you’re trying to stay on budget, knowing how to spend wisely should be your priority. That’s why it’s important to weigh all sides of an argument and arrive at your own conclusions.

Here are some of the top frugal habits money experts disagree on.

Skipping the Latte

“Some money experts still swear by practices like ‘skip the latte, buy a home’ when today that couldn’t be further from the truth,” said Dan Kroytor, director of TailoredPay.

“Even if you skip the $6 latte you buy daily every day for 10 years, eventually, that amount of money — for example, $21,900 — will still not be enough for a down payment on a home 10 years from now,” he said. “Especially considering real estate is only getting more expensive.”

Kroytor suggested a balance of being frugal and doing things you enjoy. “The argument is whether it’s more important to be economical and frugal instead of doing things we enjoy,” he explained. “While other experts may disagree, I see no reason why we can’t do both. Know your goals, know what’s realistic and then budget for both.”

Buying in Bulk

“Let’s consider the popular frugal habit of buying in bulk to save money,” said Esther Strauss, co-founder of Step By Step Business. “Many financial experts advocate for this approach, citing the lower per-unit cost of items when purchased in larger quantities.

“However, I take a more nuanced stance on this practice,” she explained. “While buying in bulk can indeed be cost-effective for consumables that you use frequently, it can lead to overspending and waste in other scenarios.”

For example, Strauss said buying perishable items, like fresh produce or dairy, in bulk often results in throwing away unused portions that have spoiled. “This negates the savings and contributes to food waste,” she said.

Similarly, Strauss said that bulk purchases of nonperishable items can lead to overconsumption or stockpiling of goods you don’t really need.

“For families in smaller living spaces, storing large quantities of products can also become an issue, leading to clutter and disorganization,” she noted. “My perspective is influenced by observing consumer behavior and the misallocation of resources that bulk buying sometimes encourages.”

Strauss suggested a more balanced approach. “Instead, I recommend a more tailored approach: buy in bulk selectively, focusing on items that you are certain to use and have the space to store efficiently,” Strauss added. This method, she said, ensures that the benefits of buying in bulk are realized without the accompanying pitfalls.

To Read More:

https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/6-frugal-habits-money-experts-110054778.html

5 Financial Mistakes Millennials Got From Their Parents

5 Financial Mistakes Millennials Got From Their Parents

David Nadelle  Tue, July 9, 2024  GOBankingRates

While only 27% of Americans across all ages say their money-saving habits are “excellent,” a new study found 65% of millennials and Gen Z-ers worry about baby boomers’ impact on their future.

The survey, conducted by OnePoll for National Debt Relief between Aug. 4-8, 2023, found that although younger generations were concerned about the effect older generations’ financial decisions will have on them, 62% of all respondents (split evenly by generation) admit they make poor money decisions sometimes. Almost half (48%) of respondents said their parents influenced their money habits.

With 51% of respondents admitting they have been in debt at some point, and 42% currently experiencing money troubles, the study also found that many Americans are eager to destigmatize “shameful” debt (36%) and are taking responsibility for their bad spending and savings habits.

There’s a lot of guilt and shame people feel when they’re in debt and that needs to change,” said Natalia Brown, chief compliance and consumer affairs officer at National Debt Relief. “The data shows that most of us face challenges with money and that none of us are alone in that.”

Here are the five most common bad money habits that you might have learned from your parents — and ones you need to unlearn as soon as possible — according to the National Debt Relief/OnePoll study:

Writing Off Small Purchases As Insignificant (43%)

It’s easy to make simple purchases that can add up over time, so you have to hold yourself accountable for how you spend your money. Even if it seems like an insignificant purchase, write it down or acknowledge it. Spending even a few extra dollars a week can account for hundreds of dollars a year.

Instead of making impulsive purchases like in-app purchases that give you that quick dopamine hit, give it 24 hours. If you still want (or even remember) to make that purchase, you should buy it.

Gambling (39%)

Gambling can develop into an addiction quickly. When gambling becomes uncontrollable, the problem gambler will spend even more money, attempting and usually failing, to win back their losses.

Regardless of income, those who spend too much on gambling are prone to have overdue bills, max out their credit cards and borrow money. Even low levels of gambling are linked to financial hardship and unemployment, per The Guardian.

If you or someone you know is struggling with a gambling addiction, it’s best to get help so you can start recovering your mental health and your finances. Call 1-800-GAMBLER for more information.

Using Credit To Pay Bills (33%)

Paying your bills with a quick credit card swipe or online payment can be tempting. When credit cards are considered an extension of income, people are often unable to pay the balance off entirely, leading to hefty credit card interest charges and increases in debt.

Credit card debt should always be counted as an expense in your budget. If you find you’re relying on them too much, it might be time to cut them up or consider a credit freeze so that you can curb your spending.

To Read More:  https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/millennials-boomer-parents-blame-shameful-180041296.html

10 Industries That Are Double Billing You — How You Can Avoid Paying So Much

10 Industries That Are Double Billing You — How You Can Avoid Paying So Much

J. Arky  Tue, July 9, 2024   GOBankingRates

When was the last time you took a good look at your bill to make sure that what you were charged for is the correct amount? You might want to start double-checking the fine print and doing the math yourself since several industries are getting called out for double billing customers.

You might be able to negotiate to get the charges reversed or a partial refund, but at the end of the day, that’s time and money down the drain.

How can you avoid paying so much and not get double billed? It all starts with knowing which industries are notorious for charging customers twice. Here are the ones to be on high alert for so you do not get billed twice over.

Telecommunications

Telecom providers are notorious for hidden fees and erroneous charges, according to David L. Blain, CFA and CEO at BlueSky Wealth Advisors.

“As someone who has audited telecom bills for over 20 years, I’ve found erroneous charges at nearly every company,” said Dylan Cleppe of OneStop Northwest LLC. “Carefully scrutinize your bill each month and question any charge that seems off. Negotiate the best rate upfront, then lock in that rate with a multi-year contract.”

“Carefully review your bills each month for any unwarranted additions like device insurance or data overage fees,” echoed Blain. “Don’t be afraid to call and dispute incorrect charges.”

Insurance

Ben Klesinger, co-founder and CEO of Reliant Insurance Group and Helping Hand Financial, said, “Insurance companies frequently tack on extra fees when policies renew.

“Always ask for an itemized renewal notice and question any charge not clearly tied to your coverage limits or payouts last year. Don’t be afraid to shop [around with] other companies.”

Healthcare

“Healthcare providers may charge separately for facility fees, physician fees and anesthesia — often from different billing groups,” Blain said.

“Healthcare is an industry designed to bill as much as insurers will cover,” Cleppe agreed. “Question costs that seem disproportionate to the services rendered. Check that each provider who treated you is in your insurance network. Out-of-network doctors and facilities will balance the difference [of the bill for you] between their charge and your insurer’s allowed amount.”

Blain advised customers to request “an itemized bill to ensure you’re only paying for services actually received. Ask about insurance network participation for all providers before receiving treatment.”

Car Repair

To Read More:

https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/10-industries-double-billing-avoid-160023920.html

Social Security Will Run Out Of Money In Nine Years

Social Security Will Run Out Of Money In Nine Years

Notes From the Field by James Hickman/Simon Black   May 7, 2024

Social Security’s annual trust fund report was released yesterday… and, no surprise, the report states very clearly that trust fund balances “are projected to become depleted during 2033.”

Allow me to repeat that: Social Security’s most important trust fund will run out of money in nine years.

This is a fact, not some wild conspiracy theory; remember that the annual report is signed by top government officials including the United States Secretaries of the Treasury, Labor, and Health and Human Services… so the projection is about as official as it can get. But if you dive into the report, you quickly notice that even such a grim forecast may, in fact, be too optimistic.

Many of the key economic assumptions that they make in the report are wildly inaccurate. They assume, for example, that US fertility rate will be as high as 2.1 (i.e. 2.1 children born per woman). But, in reality, the US fertility rate has been falling for decades, and just hit another all-time low of 1.6 last year.

They’re also way off on other assumptions– like economic productivity. They assume (rather optimistically) that productivity growth will average 2%. Last year it was just 1.3%. And in 2022 productivity actually shrank by 1.9%.

They’re also way off-base in their assumptions about inflation, unemployment, and more.

Plus, just like the Congressional Budget Office’s long-term projections about the US economy, the Social Security trustees don’t account for any kind of future emergency, pandemic, recession, depression, war, financial crisis, or debt crisis.

The really ironic part is that the trustees’ assumptions fail to consider the future economic impact of Social Security going bankrupt.

Think about it– when Social Security’s trust funds suddenly run out of money, it’s going to trigger a major crisis in the United States. Clearly this will be disruptive and throw off their rosy economic assumptions. But they don’t account for this either.

Bottom line, Social Security’s demise is, at best, nine years away. And probably sooner.

So, what will happen when Social Security runs out of money?

Remember that 70 million retirees’ monthly benefits are essentially funded from three different sources.

The first source is payroll tax revenue; people currently in the labor force fork over a portion of their wages to pay Social Security benefits.

For decades, payroll tax revenue exceeded the total benefits that Social Security paid. And this surplus was invested into a special trust fund, which now totals trillions of dollars.

And that’s the second source of funding for the program: investment income from the trust fund, while the third source is the trust fund itself.

Again, for most of Social Security’s history, the trust fund was growing, and its investment income was compounding year after year.

But starting in 2021, Social Security’s annual costs have exceeded combined payroll tax revenue and investment income. So, in order to make ends meet, the program had to start dipping into its trust fund.

The fund’s reserves are now falling. And, again, by 2033, the trust fund will be fully depleted. This also means that there will be no more investment income… leaving payroll tax revenue as the sole source to fund Social Security.

Once this happens, the report states that retirees will have to suffer an immediate, substantial cut (roughly 25%) to their promised benefits. And most likely this cut will continue to become worse over time.

It’s not like there aren’t options to fix Social Security. The government could overhaul the program, raise the retirement age, or start allowing private asset managers to generate higher rates of return for the trust funds (while they still have money).

But everyone in government insists that they are not going to touch Social Security. Joe Biden never misses an opportunity to promise that he will veto any attempt to reform the program.

As a matter of fact, Joe Biden released a statement yesterday (after the trustee report was published) saying– literally in the first sentence– that “Social Security remains strong.”

Come again? What report was this guy reading?

Social Security is, by definition, NOT strong. The trust fund is indisputably going to run out of money in nine years. But this guy is just living on another planet. He refuses to acknowledge reality, he refuses to fix the problem, and he promises to prevent other people from fixing the problem.

Now that’s leadership.

I find it remarkable, though, how many other ‘experts’ are falling in line behind the President.

Even the Wall Street Journal, which is supposed to be a conservative-leaning paper, published an article this morning to say that Social Security’s rapidly depleting trust funds are no big deal… because Congress can always just “choose” to continue funding the program.

Uh… with what money? The budget deficit is already $2 trillion per year. So, if Congress “chooses” to continue paying out 100% of Social Security benefits after 2033, it will all be funded with more debt.

The Journal then suggests that such spending “could also mean the U.S. deficit continues to grow at a pace economists find alarming, potentially weighing on the performance of the economy.”

Could? Potentially? In what reality does multi-trillion-dollar deficit and a fully depleted Social Security trust fund NOT weigh on the US economy?

It’s astonishing how few people want to acknowledge the reality. Social Security will run out of money. Benefits are at risk. And the only way to ‘save’ the program is more debt… which means more inflation, more risk to the dollar’s global reserve status, and more consequences down the road.fmay

That said, Social Security is a perfect example how to think about a Plan B. It is a known and obvious risk: the program will almost certainly run out of money.

But if you know this is going to happen down the road, you can take steps now to secure your retirement– like setting up tax-advantaged retirement accounts to set aside more money in an extremely tax efficient way.

It’s the same with inflation, the national debt, and the dollar; when you can make a very strong case for rising prices and decline in the dollar’s global reserve status in the future, there are ways to mitigate those risks today.

Real assets like gold, energy, uranium, and other critical minerals, plus the companies that produce them, will likely be fantastic investments in a debt-ridden, inflationary environment. And it just so happens that many of them are trading at ridiculously cheap prices right now.

(Subscribers to our premium investment research– check out your most recent edition which features an extremely well-managed, debt-free, highly profitable real asset producer that pays a nearly 9% dividend. Yet its stock sells for a laughably low, single Price/FCF multiple.)

Bottom line, there are completely logical and rational ways to solve these problems and mitigate these risks on your own. Don’t wait for Joe Biden to do it.

https://www.schiffsovereign.com/trends/social-security-will-run-out-of-money-in-nine-years-150811/

Why The Dollar Will Lose Its Status As The Global Reserve Currency

Why The Dollar Will Lose Its Status As The Global Reserve Currency

Notes From the Field  By James Hickman / Simon Black

By the early 400s, the Roman Empire was coming apart at the seams and in desperate need of strong, competent leadership. In theory, Honorius should have been the right man for the job.

Born into the royal household in Constantinople, Honorius had been groomed to rule, practically since birth, by the finest experts in the realm. So even as a young man, Honorius had already accumulated decades of experience.

Yet Rome’s foreign adversaries rightfully believed Honorius to be weak, out of touch, divisive, and completely inept.

He had entered into bonehead peace treaties that strengthened Rome’s enemies. He paid vast sums of money to some of their most powerful rivals and received practically nothing in return. He made virtually no attempt to secure Roman borders, leaving the empire open to be ravaged by barbarians.

Inflation was high. Taxes were high. Economic production declined. Roman military power declined. And all of Rome’s foreign adversaries were emboldened.

To a casual observer it would have almost seemed as if Honorius went out of his way to make the Empire weaker.

One of Rome’s biggest threats came in the year 408, when the barbarian king Alaric invaded Italy; imperial defenses were so non-existent at that point that ancient historians described Alaric’s march towards Rome as unopposed and leisurely, as if they were “at some festival” rather than an invasion.

Alaric and his army arrived to the city of Rome in the autumn of 408 AD and immediately positioned their forces to cut off any supplies. No food could enter the city, and before long, its residents began to starve.

Historians have passed down horrific stories of cannibalism– including women eating their own children in order to survive.

Rather than send troops and fight, however, Honorius agreed to pay a massive ransom to Alaric, including 5,000 pounds of gold, 30,000 pounds of silver, and literally tons of other real assets and commodities.

(The equivalent in today’s money, adjusted for population, would be billions of dollars… similar to what the US released to Iran in a prisoner swap last year.)

Naturally Honorius didn’t have such a vast sum in his treasury… so Romans were forced to strip down and melt their shrines and statues in order to pay Alaric’s ransom.

Ironically, one of the statues they melted was a monument to Virtus, the Roman god of bravery and strength… leading the ancient historian Zosimus to conclude that “all which remained of Roman valor and intrepidity was totally extinguished.”

Rome had spent two centuries in the early days of the empire– from the rise of Augustus in 27 BC to the death of Marcus Aurelius in 180 AD– as the clear, unrivaled superpower. Almost no one dared mess with Rome, and few who did ever lived to tell the tale.

Modern scholars typically view the official “fall” of the Western Roman Empire in the year 476. But it’s pretty clear that the collapse of Roman power and prestige took place decades before.

When Rome was ransomed in 408 (then sacked in 410), it was obvious to everyone at the time that the Emperor no longer had a grip on power.

And before long, most of the lands in the West that Rome had once dominated– Italy, Spain, France, Britain, North Africa, etc. were under control of various Barbarian tribes and kingdoms.

The Visigoths, Ostrogoths, Vandals, Franks, Angles, Saxons, Burgundians, Berbers, etc. all established independent kingdoms. And for a while, there was no dominant superpower in western Europe. It was a multi-polar world. And the transition was rather abrupt.

This is what I think is happening now– we’re experiencing a similar transition, and it seems equally abrupt.

The United States has been the world’s dominant superpower for decades. But like Rome in the later stage of its empire, the US is clearly in decline. This should not be a controversial statement.

Let’s not be dramatic; it’s important to stay focused on facts and reality. The US economy is still vast and potent, and the country is blessed with an abundance of natural resources– incredibly fertile farmland, some of the world’s largest freshwater resources, and incalculable reserves of energy and other key commodities.

In fact, it’s amazing the people in charge have managed to screw it up so badly. And yet they have.

The national debt is out of control, rising by trillions of dollars each year. Debt growth, in fact, substantially outpaces US economic growth.

Social Security is insolvent, and the program’s own trustees (including the US Treasury Secretary) admit that its major trust fund will run out of money in just nine years.

The people in charge never seem to miss an opportunity to dismantle capitalism (i.e. the economic system that created so much prosperity to begin with) brick by brick.

Then there are ubiquitous social crises: public prosecutors who refuse to enforce the law; the weaponization of the justice system; the southern border fiasco; declining birth rates; extraordinary social divisions that are most recently evidenced by the anti-Israel protests.

And most of all the US constantly shows off its incredibly dysfunctional government that can’t manage to agree on anything, from the budget to the debt ceiling. The President has obvious cognitive disabilities and makes the most bizarre decisions to enrich America’s enemies.

Are these problems fixable? Yes. Will they be fixed? Maybe. But as we used to say in the military, “hope is not a course of action”.

Plotting this current trajectory to its natural conclusion leads me to believe that the world will enter a new “barbarian kingdom” paradigm in which there is no dominant superpower.

Certainly, there are a number of rising rivals today. But no one is powerful enough to assume the leading role in the world.

China has a massive population and a huge economy. But it too has way too many problems… with the obvious challenge that no one trusts the Communist Party. So, most likely China will not be the dominant superpower.

India’s economy will eventually surpass China’s, and it has an even bigger population. But India isn’t even close to the ballpark of being the world’s superpower.

Then there’s Europe. Combined, it still has a massive economic and trade union. But it has also been in major decline… with multiple social crises like low birth rates and a migrant invasion.

Then there are the energy powers like Russia, Iran, Saudi Arabia, and Indonesia; they are far too small to dominate the world, but they have the power to menace and disrupt it.

The bottom line is that the US is no longer strong enough to lead the world and keep adversarial nations in check. And it’s clear that other countries are already adapting to this reality.

Earlier this month, for example, China successfully launched a rocket to the moon as part of a multi-decade mission to establish an International Lunar Research Station.

By 2045, China hopes to construct a large, city-like base along with several international partners including Russia, Pakistan, Thailand, South Africa, Venezuela, Azerbaijan, Belarus, and Egypt. Turkey and Nicaragua are also interested in joining.

This is pretty remarkable given how many nations are participating, even if just nominally. Yet the US isn’t part of the consortium.

This would have been unthinkable a few decades ago. But today the rest of the world realizes that they no longer need American funding, leadership, or expertise.

We can see similar examples everywhere, most notably in Israel and Ukraine. And I believe one of the next shoes to drop will be the US dollar.

After all, if the rest of the world doesn’t need the US for space exploration, and they can ignore the US when it comes down to World War 3, then why should they need the US dollar anymore?

The dollar was the clear and obvious choice as the global reserve currency back when America was the undisputed superpower. But today it’s a different world.

Foreign nations continuing to rely on the dollar ultimately means governments and central banks buying US government bonds. And why should they take such a risk when the national debt is already 120% of GDP?

In addition, Congress passed a new law a few weeks ago authorizing the Treasury Department to confiscate US dollar assets of any country it deems an “aggressor state.”

While people might think this is a morally righteous idea, the reality is that it will only turn off foreign investors. Why should China, Saudi Arabia, or anyone else buy US government bonds when they can be confiscated in a heartbeat?

All of this ultimately leads to a world in which the US dollar is no longer the dominant reserve currency. We’re already starting to see signs of that shift, and it could be in full swing by the end of the decade.

Schiff Sovereign   James Hickman/Simon Black   https://www.schiffsovereign.com/about/

https://www.schiffsovereign.com/trends/why-the-dollar-will-lose-its-status-as-the-global-reserve-currency-150843/

Some Thoughts On America For Her 248th Birthday

Some Thoughts On America For Her 248th Birthday

Notes From The Field by James Hickman  (Simon Black Sovereign Man) July 3, 2024

When the 56 delegates to the Second Continental Congress ratified the Declaration of Independence 248 years ago tomorrow, they were creating much more than a nation. They were giving birth to an idea.

America, at its core, is an idea. And it’s one that ranks as one of the greatest innovations in the history of human civilization, right up there with the wheel, the steam engine, the printing press, and the Internet.

The idea of America wasn’t born in 1776, however. By then it had already evolved over thousands of years.

The ancient Greeks embraced individual liberty, direct democracy, and a respect for the rule of law.

The Roman republic further refined Greek democracy and developed a more professional legal code. The early Roman Empire embodied peace through strength, ushering in nearly two centuries of geopolitical stability and economic prosperity under the Pax Romana.

The later Byzantine Empire fused Greek and Roman ideas with Judeo-Christian values. And by 1000 AD, the Republic of Venice– borrowing from Rome’s republican form of government– infused an early form of capitalism to this model.

The Dutch republic of the 1600s refined the concept of a powerful, free, capitalist society even further, as did philosophers like Rousseau, Montesquieu, John Locke, and Adam Smith.

So, when the Founding Fathers wrote the Declaration of Independence (and subsequently the US Constitution), they didn’t have to start from scratch; they drew from a rich, 2,000-year intellectual heritage of the giants who came before them.

This means that America is ultimately a composite of the very best ideas that human civilization ever had to offer— and the combined concept was then elevated to unprecedented heights.

Nothing is perfect, and America wasn’t either.

But based on this idea, the United States became the world’s largest economy in less than a century and the dominant global superpower about 80 years later. That is an unparalleled achievement which no other superpower in human history has come close to matching.

It’s also worth pointing out that the majority of the world’s most important innovations, from airplanes and air conditioning to cell phones and chocolate chip cookies, were either born or perfected in America.

Again, none of this is an accident. America’s success is the deliberate outcome from combining the best ideas from 2,000+ years of human civilization… plus some disciplined execution and a little bit of luck.

Obviously, America has weathered challenges as well. The Civil War. The Great Depression. The turmoil of the 1960s.

But its foundation of economic potential, plus a baseline of social cohesion and shared values, have always allowed the nation to overcome… and for the idea of America to persist.

The country is now at an undeniable crossroads, and it’s not just about a single election.

There are obvious signs of national decline: rising inflation, mounting debt, diminished global standing, a loss of government dignity, and stinging embarrassments like the shameful withdrawal from Afghanistan.

Even the idea of America itself is on the ropes; there are powerful forces within government, media, and the education system who seek to redefine America’s core principles.

Capitalism has been demonized and reinvented. Individual liberty has given way to a radical woke ideology. And the concept of limited government is almost a punchline at this point.

Still, there is a plausible scenario in which America’s best days are ahead.

If politicians embrace the principles that originally fueled the country’s prosperity—such as capitalism and laissez-faire productivity—America could experience an economic boom not seen since the Industrial Revolution.

By cutting taxes, slashing anti-capitalist regulation, and embracing the free market, the increase in productivity could be staggering.

This boom would lead to increased tax revenue, i.e. funds which could rebuild the military, secure the southern border, save Social Security, curb inflation, balance the budget, and chip away at the national debt.

As China buckles under the consequences of its central planning and upside-down demographic pyramid (brought on by its idiotic “One Child policy”), the United States could easily reassert its global primacy.

The dollar’s status as the global reserve currency would be unquestioned, and the world could see a new era of global peace and prosperity.

This is not a pipe dream. It’s a genuine possibility.

The other possibility is that the government does nothing to arrest America’s decline.

The debt continues to spiral further out of control. Rising deficits trigger painful inflation. Excessive regulation stifles economic growth, leaving the economy stagnant and performing far below its full potential.

Individuals are constrained by politicians’ incessant and debilitating rules about how to live, what to buy, and what to drive. The social fabric continues to tear apart with idiotic mandates, censorship, wokeness, gaslighting, and a hatred for capitalism.

Unfortunately, that is the road the country is presently on. Yes, it can be fixed. They can change directions. And we certainly hope that happens.

But as we used to say in the military, hope is not a course of action. That’s why we have a Plan B.

Having a Plan B is not being negative or pessimistic. It’s certainly not irrational. And it’s not unpatriotic.

The fierce individuality to NOT bow down to circumstances is exactly what has allowed America to persevere so many times before.

And taking sensible steps to preserve, protect, and defend what you have worked so hard to achieve in life is about as core of an American value as it gets.   

James Hickman 

James Hickman (aka Simon Black) is an international investor, entrepreneur, and founder of Sovereign Man. His free daily e-letter Notes from the Field is about using the experiences from his life and travels to help you achieve more freedom, make more money, keep more of it, and protect it all from bankrupt governments.

More Articles By James Hickman

https://www.schiffsovereign.com/trends/some-thoughts-on-america-for-her-248th-birthday-151123/

Why Your Checking Account May No Longer Be Free

Why Your Checking Account May No Longer Be Free

Ana Altchek  Fri, July 5, 2024    Business Insider

Chase Bank's boss warned that new federal fee caps could make everyday banking more expensive.

Marianne Lake said the bank is planning to pass the pain of their lost profits on to customers.

Some new costs may be placed on now-free services like checking accounts and financial tools.

Everyday banking might be about to get more expensive for consumers.

Marianne Lake, the CEO of consumer and community banking at Chase Bank, said federal regulations to cap overdraft and late fees would take a bite out of the company's bottom line.  And she warned that making up that loss would be passed on to consumers, according to a report from The Wall Street Journal.

Lake said the changes would be "broad, sweeping, and significant," the report said.

Some of those costs would be tacked onto services that have been free so far, like checking accounts and financial planning tools, the report said.

Business Insider reviewed a Chase presentation that covered the expected impact of proposed regulations. The presentation estimated that two out of three consumers would have to pay a fee for checking accounts if the cap went through.

Lake also said those impacted will be the ones "who can least afford to be" and credit access will also be more challenging.

Some of the regulations include a proposed $8 cap on late credit card payment fees and a $3 cap for overdrafting bank accounts. The limit is part of President Joe Biden's crackdown on hidden fees.

The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau estimated that about 45 million people are charged credit card late fees annually, and the change could save those people up to $220 a year.

TO READ MORE: https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/jpmorgan-warns-86-million-customers-150827155.html

JPMorgan Warns 86 Million Customers They Might Have To Start Paying For Their Bank Accounts

Chris Morris   Fri, July 5, 2024

Chase Bank customers could see some additional charges in the not too distant future.

The Wall Street Journal reports the country’s biggest retail bank is warning that it might begin charging customers for their accounts. That would impact some 86 million customers.

The potential charges, says Marianne Lake, CEO of consumer and community banking at JPMorgan, are a result of new regulatory rules that cap overdraft and late fees. Lake says Chase will be passing along those increased expenses to customers, which would put an end to now-free services such as checking accounts and wealth management tools. And she says she expects other banks will follow suit.

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com

TO READ MORE: https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/jpmorgan-warns-86-million-customers-150827155.html

7 Expenses That Will Drain Your Retirement Savings the Fastest

7 Expenses That Will Drain Your Retirement Savings the Fastest

Casey Bond  Fri, July 5, 2024

You’ve spent a good portion of your life working and saving for retirement. Once you reach that milestone, you want to feel confident that your nest egg is big enough to cover your needs in your golden years.

As you retire, it’s important to anticipate some of the costs eating into your savings. Here are seven expenses that can drain your retirement savings — and how to plan for them.

Healthcare

Even with Medicare, out-of-pocket healthcare expenses can be significant, according to Taylor Kovar, certified financial planner and CEO at The Money Couple and Kovar Wealth Management. “This includes prescriptions, surgeries, and long-term care costs,” said Kovar.

One estimate by HealthView Services Financial finds that a healthy 65-year-old couple who retired in 2021 will likely spend between $156,208 and $1 million on healthcare costs during retirement, depending on where and how long they live.

How To Plan: Kovar said it’s a good idea to have a health savings account (HSA) or a similar fund specifically for medical expenses. “Regularly reviewing your health insurance and considering supplemental insurance can also help mitigate these costs,” he added.

Homeownership

If you own a home, that can be another source of major expenses that eat into retirement funds. “As homes age, significant repairs like roof replacements or plumbing issues become more frequent,” Kovar said. From 2016 through 2020, Americans aged 65 and older spent an average of $16,880 per year on housing-related costs, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

How To Plan: Kovar recommends setting aside a home maintenance fund and conducting regular home inspections to help anticipate and spread out these costs.

Inflation

Inflation can significantly impact your future savings, since you’ll need to take larger withdrawals to make up for the higher cost of living, according to Jeff Busch, partner and investment advisor representative at Lift Financial. “This can be particularly troublesome if your portfolio is made up of fixed income strategies that can’t keep up with inflation by increasing income over time,” said Busch.

How To Plan: To mitigate inflation, Busch said you may want to invest a portion of your portfolio in stocks that have historically provided better returns than bonds and cash. In general, he added, maintaining a diversified portfolio can be a big help in the long run.

Adult Children (and Their Children)

From student loans to cell phone bills, many retirees find themselves financially assisting their adult children or even their grandchildren. A study by Merrill Lynch found that in 2018, 79% of parents were providing financial support to their adult children, contributing a combined total of $500 billion annually.

How To Plan: Kovar said it’s essential to set boundaries and have open financial discussions with family to ensure this support doesn’t derail retirement plans.

To Read More:

https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/7-expenses-most-likely-drain-170042871.html

9 Surprising Items Professional Movers Won't Move

Did you know movers won't handle your nail polish remover? Seriously. Here's what your movers won't move under any circumstances.

Dan Thorp-Lancaster  Wed, July 3, 2024

Professional movers will pack and transfer just about anything in your home, but they won't even touch some things. Federal regulations limit moving companies from handling anything deemed hazardous. That includes common household items such as nail polish remover.

Here's a list of other things you'll have to make alternate plans for before you move. You could squirrel some of them away and take your chances, but movers may make you sign a document to state you won't move any of the following items.

Potentially hazardous items you'll need to move yourself

Batteries

You may think your batteries are harmless, but they have the potential to become little, toxic fire starters. Sitting in the back of a hot truck can cause them to combust, so movers will avoid transporting them. Even if they don't start a fire, heat and punctures can cause batteries to leak, leaving toxic chemicals in their wake.

Gas, nail polish remover, and other flammable liquids

If you keep gas or oil in your garage for lawn equipment, you'll have to move it yourself. For the same reason as batteries, flammable liquids are a no-go in hot trucks where they can leak and catch fire. Even nail polish remover is a hazard, so sweep your home for flammable liquids and securely transport them yourself or properly dispose of them.

Ammunition and explosives

It should probably go without saying, but we'll write it anyway: your movers won't handle explosives. And while they will sometimes move unloaded firearms, ammunition is prohibited. If you're crossing state lines, check the local laws and regulations for how to legally transport guns and ammunition.

Corrosive chemicals, poisons, and cleaning products

Toxic chemicals can easily leak during the moving process. Not only is this a health hazard to your movers, but corrosive chemicals can damage the rest of your belongings or the moving truck. Your movers will also refuse to handle household cleaning products because of their potential to form a toxic gas when combined.

Pressurized gas cylinders

If you or a loved one has ever used an oxygen tank, you probably know how dangerous they are. The potential hazards from a puncture or leak, stray spark, or excessive heat aren't worth the risk of loading them into a moving truck. This is also true for other pressurized containers like propane tanks, fire extinguishers, hairsprays, and anything else that can pose a fire or projectile risk.

Live plants and animals

https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/common-household-items-movers-wont-move-190007904.html