DINARRECAPS8 12/3/24 DINARRECAPS8 12/3/24

Is The US Banking System In Trouble?

December 2, 2024 Notes From the Field By James Hickman (Simon Black)

In the year 1157, the Republic of Venice was engaged in a bitter trade war with its arch rival the Byzantine Empire.

While the rest of Europe was barely surviving thanks to the stupidity of their centrally planned feudal economies, Venice was a place where anyone, even the most illiterate peasant, could work hard, take some risks, and become fabulously wealthy.

In short, it was the medieval America. And unsurprisingly its economy was booming.

DINARRECAPS8 11/20/24 DINARRECAPS8 11/20/24

What’s up with Buffett and his $325 Billion Pile of Cash?

November 20, 2024 Notes From the Field By James Hickman (Simon Black)

Much has been written about Warren Buffett having sold a substantial amount of stocks. And his company, Berkshire Hathaway, is sitting on a record $325 billion cash pile as a result.

Buffett has often said that his preferred holding period for an investment is "forever". So the fact that he has sold so much stock has many observers proclaiming that "Buffett is predicting an imminent stock market crash."

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Except that he's not. Buffett is a pretty transparent guy who has never been afraid to speak his mind. If he were predicting a crash, he'd probably say it.

DINARRECAPS8 11/19/24 DINARRECAPS8 11/19/24

If You Think Bitcoin Is On Fire, Just Wait For The Natural Gas Boom

November 12, 2024 Notes from the Field By James Hickman / Simon Black

“Wow, these guys are going to be in for a rude wakening about how much power is going to be available. . .” thought Joe Dominguez, CEO of Constellation Energy.

Dominguez was one of the attendees last May at a private, invitation-only gathering of energy and tech company CEOs held at Microsoft’s headquarters. The whole point was to talk about power.

Everyone already knew that AI was consuming a lot of electricity, and they assumed this demand would grow. A lot. But they didn’t realize by quite how much until OpenAI co-founder Sam Altman told the group that just a single AI model will require as much power as a large city.

DINARRECAPS8 11/18/24 DINARRECAPS8 11/18/24

What About Gold?

November 18, 2024 Notes From the Field – James Hickman/ Simon Black/ Sovereign Man

It was early January 2020, and weird things were happening in the world.

Socialism was on the march in the Land of the Free. Conflict, it seemed, was exploding everywhere, both abroad (North Korea, Iran, Yemen) and at home.

And most notably, over in China, the Communist government was literally welding people into their homes to ‘keep them safe’ from a bizarre virus that was spreading rapidly

DINARRECAPS8 10/24/24 DINARRECAPS8 10/24/24

The Dirty, Four-Letter Word That Keeps the Lights On

Notes From the Field By James Hickman (Simon Black) October 24, 2024

There’s a really dirty four-letter word that starts with a “C”. No, not that one. This is a word you simply cannot say around Greta Thunberg, otherwise her ears will melt off of her face.

I’m talking about coal. And it’s about to have its moment.

One reason is that global population grows each year, and every one of them needs energy in some way or another—to keep the lights on, to fuel the machines that harvest their food, to power virtually everything that keeps life going.

DINARRECAPS8 10/17/24 DINARRECAPS8 10/17/24

A Real Asset With A 12% Dividend Yield

Notes From the Field By James Hickman / Simon Black October 17, 2024

It’s very hard to overstate just how obliterated the global economy was following World War II. Europe was in ruins, with many major cities having been bombed back into the Stone Age. Japan had literally been nuked.

And just about every economy around the world that still had any manufacturing capacity was pumping out guns, bullets, and bombs; there was hardly any economic activity taking place that wasn’t somehow tied to the war.

It was sort of like Covid— the regular economy was shut down... and governments discovered very quickly that they couldn’t simply turn the global economic machine back on with the flip of a switch.

DINARRECAPS8 10/12/24 DINARRECAPS8 10/12/24

How to Buy Gold for $900 per Ounce

Notes From the Field By James Hickman / Simon Black October 11, 2024

Today’s letter is about how to go back in time.

A lot of us remember 2009 as a pretty tough economy. The whole world was in bad shape. Major banks had failed, panic had set in, governments were spending money hand over fist, and debts were rising fast. It was pretty brutal.

But if there’s anything nostalgic about 2009, it would be that, almost exactly 15 years ago, gold traded below $1,000 an ounce for the last time. Today, the price of gold is hovering at its all-time high, more than $2,600 per ounce.

We’ve talked a lot about why that is. Central banks have been buying up physical gold, literally by the metric ton, primarily because they are looking to diversify a portion of their reserves outside of the US dollar.

DINARRECAPS8 10/11/24 DINARRECAPS8 10/11/24

America Is Now On “The Second Half Of The Chess Board”

Notes From the Field By James Hickman / Simon Black October 10, 2024

Over fifteen centuries ago, according to an ancient Sanskrit legend, a mythical Hindu priest named Sissa was ordered to invent a new board game to entertain the king of Taligana.

Sissa labored over the task for quite some time, but he eventually brought the King a military strategy game with a 64-square board and beautifully hand-carved pieces. Today we call this game chess. And according to the legend, the King was absolutely enamored with it.

So enamored, in fact, the King offered Sissa any reward he desired. So, the priest asked for a single grain of wheat to be placed on the first square of the chess board. Then two grains on the second square. Four grains on the third. Eight grains on the fourth. And so on.

DINARRECAPS8 10/5/24 DINARRECAPS8 10/5/24

Real Assets are Historically Cheap Right Now Here’s One Example

Real Assets are Historically Cheap Right Now. Here’s One Example.

Notes From the Field By James Hickman / Simon Black / Sovereign Man October 2, 2024

The “green energy” revolution is one of the biggest fantasies of today.

For example, they tell us that fossil fuels are going away, that the gasoline powered internal combustion engine is a thing of the past, and that everyone wants to drive an electric vehicle (EV).

Clearly, that’s why over 90% of consumers still choose gas powered vehicles...

So the government instead has to step in to mandate electric vehicle use, attempting to force manufactures to sell 50% electric vehicles by 2030.

DINARRECAPS8 9/26/24 DINARRECAPS8 9/26/24

So What About Silver?

Notes From the Field by James Hickman / Simon Black

September 25, 2024 In the 6th century BC, during the reign of Nebuchadnezzar II, Babylon flourished as a center of power, culture, and commerce.

We know this because the Babylonians were exceptional record keepers. And they chiseled everything down onto cuneiform tablets, many of which have survived through today.

Sadly the tablets aren't tabloids. They don't contain any juicy gossip or colorful stories of ancient times.

But they do offer extremely detailed-- though often boring and mundane-- records of everyday economic transactions, legal contracts, and administrative activities.

DINARRECAPS8 9/16/24 DINARRECAPS8 9/16/24

And, Right On Cue, Gold Hits Another All Time High...

Notes From The Fuield By James Hickman (Simon Black) September 16, 2024

This is an anomaly we haven’t seen before.

Gold just hit yet another all-time high. But what’s strange is that, if you look at gold’s supply and demand fundamentals, the price should almost be falling. Not rising.

I’ll explain—

On the supply side, gold production is actually increasing slightly. The largest miner in the world, Newmont Mining, produced nearly 30% more gold in the first half of 2024 compared to 2023. And across the entire industry (according to the World Gold Council), global gold mining output is up slightly over 2023.