Ariel: Iraq in the Green, Blockchain is Security and Stability
Ariel: Iraq in the Green, Blockchain is Security and Stability
9-26-2025
Iraq In The Green: Blockchain Is Security & Stability (Iran Out Of The Loop)
Ok, my people when the recent oil export deal between Iraq’s federal government and the Kurdistan Regional Government happened it marked a turning point for the country’s economy, and it’s worth unpacking what this means in straightforward terms.
Signed just days ago, the agreement restarts crude flows from Kurdish fields through the Kirkuk-Ceyhan pipeline to Turkey, pumping about 230,000 barrels per day starting tomorrow, September 27.
This isn’t just about oil it’s a hard-won truce after two years of shutdowns caused by legal battles and payment disputes, involving eight major international firms like ExxonMobil and Chevron.
The U.S. has already called it a win for Iraq’s sovereignty, as it funnels revenues directly into Baghdad’s coffers under the 2023-2025 budget law, potentially adding $18 billion annually to federal reserves.
Now, tie this to the banking angle you mentioned. Global banks are indeed circling Iraq more aggressively this year, with deals like the $1 billion investment pacts signed in mid-September with the World Bank’s International Finance Corporation.
These aren’t vague promises they’re targeted at modernizing Iraq’s creaky financial system, including electronic payments that kicked in for all government transactions back in June.
The Central Bank of Iraq is pushing digital infrastructure, including research into a central bank digital currency (CBDC) to replace cash and cut fraud. Which of course we are against in America.
Blockchain fits here as a tool for secure, transparent tracking of oil revenues and cross-border trades, making it tougher for neighbors like Iran to siphon funds through informal channels.
Iran’s been under SWIFT sanctions since 2012, and while there’s no confirmed “midnight disconnection” tonight that sounds like online chatter U.S. Treasury actions this summer have hammered Tehran’s shadow banking networks even harder, freezing assets tied to its Central Bank.
Iraq’s pivot to blockchain-like systems would lock out those backdoor routes, ensuring new oil money stays in Iraqi hands and bolsters economic independence.
As for the Iraqi Dinar’s exchange rate hitting Forex in a big way, let’s be direct: this deal sets the stage for stability, but don’t expect a dramatic revaluation overnight. The Dinar’s been pegged steady at around 1,310 to the dollar for months, and credible forecasts from places like Trading Economics point to it holding or even dipping slightly to 1,318 by year’s end.
The Kurdistan pact injects fresh liquidity oil makes up 90% of Iraq’s budget and could ease pressure on reserves, drawing more foreign direct investment from those global banks you noted. Some say this might nudge the CBI toward a gradual float or Forex integration by late 2025 or early 2026, especially with digital reforms aligning Iraq closer to international standards
But there is hype around a sudden “RV” (revaluation) that some view as mostly speculative noise from YouTube and forums; but of course real change comes from sustained revenue like this, not midnight announcements.
But are we in for a surprise? Because we should still look for the rate to come out at least 1:1. And wait for higher returns.
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