Iraq Economic News and Points To Ponder Thursday Morning 3-5-26

The Ministry of Labor announces the release of the social assistance payment for March.

Money and Business   Economy News – Baghdad  The Ministry of Labor and Social Affairs announced today, Thursday, the release of the social assistance payment for March 2026, which included nearly two million (2,070,000) families in Baghdad and the governorates, excluding the Kurdistan Region, with a total amount exceeding 444 billion dinars.

The head of the Social Protection Authority, Ahmed Al-Mousawi, explained in a statement received by “Al-Eqtisad News” that the number of families supported by men amounted to more than 1,499,000 families, with a total amount exceeding 358 billion dinars, while the number of families supported by women amounted to more than 570,000 families, with an amount exceeding 85 billion dinars.

Al-Mousawi called on the beneficiary families to visit the disbursement outlets to receive the aid allocated to them, stressing the keenness of the Authority and the Ministry to deliver support to those who deserve it, and to strengthen the social protection system for vulnerable groups.  https://www.economy-news.net/content.php?id=66393

Dollar Prices Rise Again In Baghdad Markets

Money and Business    Economy News – Baghdad  The exchange rate of the US dollar against the Iraqi dinar rose this morning, Thursday, in the markets of the capital, Baghdad.

The dollar exchange rate in Baghdad’s main Al-Kifah and Al-Harithiya exchanges was recorded at 156,000 dinars per 100 dollars, compared to 155,600 dinars per 100 dollars on Wednesday.

Selling prices also rose in exchange shops in the local markets of Baghdad, where the selling price reached 156,500 dinars for 100 dollars, while the buying price recorded 155,500 dinars for 100 dollars.https://www.economy-news.net/content.php?id=66396

The Central Bank Of Iraq Reveals A Decrease In Foreign Currency Reserves.

Banks     Economy News – Baghdad   The Central Bank of Iraq revealed on Thursday that its foreign currency reserves will decrease by the end of 2025.

The bank said in an official statistic that its foreign currency reserves at the end of last year amounted to $97.433 billion, or the equivalent of 126.661 trillion dinars, down from 2024 when they amounted to $100.367 billion, or the equivalent of 130.347 trillion dinars.

He pointed out that the reserves for 2024 also decreased compared to 2023, reaching $111.736 billion, or the equivalent of 145.257 trillion dinars.

He indicated that the value of gold within these reserves amounted to 31.488 trillion dinars, while foreign investments amounted to 93.266 trillion, while the cash holdings in the Central Bank’s vaults amounted to 1 trillion and 907 billion dinars.   https://www.economy-news.net/content.php?id=66401

Equating Risks In Oil And Financial Markets And The Geopolitical Tensions In The Middle East

Economy News – Baghdad   Dr. Haitham Hamid Mutlaq Al-Mansour / Economist

Amid the rapidly escalating events on the regional and international stages, particularly the Iranian-American-Israeli conflict, its direct and indirect effects on global economic variables, especially energy and financial markets, are increasing. Recent data shows a significant rise in oil prices following the military strikes and heightened tensions, with Brent crude reaching nearly $70 per barrel, its highest level since mid-2015.

This upward trend is expected to continue if the conflict is prolonged or if supplies through the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world's most vital energy chokepoints, are affected. Approximately 20% of global oil exports pass through this strait.

Consequently, any threat to the security of this waterway will have a swift and significant impact on the stability of international markets.

Past experience suggests that escalating geopolitical tensions, even in the absence of actual supply disruptions, prompt markets to reprice risk to maintain expected returns, leading to higher prices and a shift by investors toward more conservative portfolio management strategies.

In this context, the current rise in oil prices not only reflects traditional supply and demand dynamics but also incorporates the so-called "geopolitical risk premium," an indirect cost imposed by investors and speculators due to growing concerns about supply disruptions or the expansion of conflict.

Price movements in the current phase are more closely linked to political and military developments than to purely economic indicators, contributing to increased uncertainty in global financial markets.

This has been clearly reflected in stock and currency markets, where capital has flowed towards safe-haven assets, while shares of industrial, transportation, and energy companies have come under increasing pressure due to rising operating and production costs.

The price of gold rose from $1,950 per ounce to $1,985 per ounce, marking a 1.8% increase, while the yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds fell from 3.76% to 3.64%, reflecting increased demand for safety.

On the other hand, industrial, transportation, and energy stocks were clearly affected. The S&P 500 Energy Index fell from 650 to 635, a 2.3% decline, while shares of major airlines like Delta and United dropped by 2.7%.

This was attributed to increased operating costs resulting from the rise in crude oil prices, which jumped from $68 to $72.50 per barrel for Brent crude and from $64.50 to $67 per barrel for West Texas Intermediate.

These figures reflect the close correlation between energy and financial markets, where any supply disruption or price increase can quickly lead to significant shifts in stocks and a flight to safe-haven assets.

In the oil market, and in the medium term, if the escalation continues without an effective political settlement, oil prices are likely to move towards levels between $80 and $100 per barrel, especially if crude flows are directly disrupted by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz or attacks on oil infrastructure in the region.

 In such a scenario, energy-importing economies will face rising inflationary pressures and declining growth rates, while producing countries, including Iraq, may achieve temporary financial gains in the short term, but these will be accompanied by high risks stemming from price volatility and revenue instability.

Due to recent tensions and their impact on markets, in the short term, markets typically slow down when oil prices rise because higher energy costs increase companies' expenses and affect their profits.

In the medium term, however, if there is no actual disruption to supply, prices may remain relatively high as global demand continues, but they could gradually decline if tensions subside or major producers increase their output.

For example, Brent crude rose to around $72-73 per barrel last week amid escalating military tensions with Iran, its highest level in about seven months. There are expectations that the conflict could push prices towards $80 and even exceed $100 if supplies through the Strait of Hormuz are disrupted.

These price increases have also been priced in with a risk premium of $4-$10 per barrel in some bank forecasts, reflecting concerns about the potential security implications for the markets.

Indeed, oil markets recorded a clear rise today, March 1, 2026, as a result of the escalating geopolitical factor in the Middle East, especially after the American-Israeli strikes against Iran and its military responses, which increased the risks of disrupting supplies through the Strait of Hormuz, as follows:

Brent crude settled around $72.50 a barrel at the close of trading, up more than 2% during the session.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude closed at $67 a barrel.

After adding a geopolitical risk premium of between $8-$10 per barrel above the base level due to concerns about the impact of the conflict on supplies.

Current estimates suggest that Brent crude prices could rise to around $80 per barrel if tensions persist, and might even exceed $100 in a worst-case scenario involving a complete disruption of oil supplies through the Strait of Hormuz.

In light of these developments, OPEC+ is seriously considering a further increase in supply at its emergency meeting today, in an effort to contain price pressures and provide sufficient liquidity to global markets.

This trend comes amid escalating risks of a wider regional war threatening the world's most important oil shipping lanes, most notably the Strait of Hormuz, a vital artery for international energy trade.

 In this tense atmosphere, major energy companies and producing nations are working to calm markets as the conflict in the Middle East reaches a critical stage, particularly after recent military operations effectively closed a brief window of diplomatic opportunity that had opened in February.

The heightened security risks have also increased the likelihood of an Iranian response targeting US bases or oil facilities in the Gulf states, a threat Tehran has repeatedly issued in recent weeks. This situation places additional pressure on the OPEC+ alliance to prevent sharp price spikes that could undermine the global economic recovery and exacerbate inflation.

In this context, the primary concern for market participants is no longer the mere threat of conflict itself, but rather the potential for an actual blockade of the Strait of Hormuz or direct damage to regional processing and export facilities.

This puts OPEC+ production decisions to a real test at this stage, as they represent one of the most prominent remaining instruments of stability in a market experiencing its highest levels of uncertainty in years.

In light of these factors, the current phase represents a true test of the resilience of the global oil system and the ability of producing countries and international institutions to contain recurring geopolitical shocks.

Continued tensions will only increase the fragility of the oil market and deepen its dependence on political risks.

This necessitates that rentier states, particularly Iraq, adopt more disciplined fiscal policies, strengthen economic diversification programs, and build financial safety nets to reduce their over-reliance on oil revenues and address potential future instability.   https://www.economy-news.net/content.php?id=66273

“Tidbits From TNT” Thursday Morning 3-5-2026

TNT:

Tishwash: America sends military reinforcements to Iraq

 The Associated Press reported on Thursday (March 5, 2026), citing US officials, that Washington has begun sending new military reinforcements to its bases in Iraq.

This move comes amid escalating regional tensions and fears of attacks on US facilities, and as part of the Pentagon's efforts to strengthen defense capabilities and secure forces deployed in the region against any potential threats.  link

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Tishwash: Sudani: We will not allow Iraq to be dragged into war

 The Commander-in-Chief of the Iraqi Armed Forces, Mohammed Shia al-Sudani, affirmed on Saturday the government’s commitment to protecting Iraq from any attempts to drag the country into armed conflicts, directing that any security shortcomings be held strictly accountable, coinciding with decisions that included major changes in the intelligence structure in Nineveh Governorate.

Al-Sudani’s remarks came during his visit to the Joint Operations Command headquarters, where he chaired an expanded security meeting immediately upon his arrival, in the presence of the Minister of Interior, the Chief of Staff of the Army, the Deputy Commander of Joint Operations, the Head of the Counter-Terrorism Service, the Secretary of the Commander-in-Chief, in addition to a number of leaders of military and security agencies and formations.

The media office of the Commander-in-Chief stated that the meeting included a comprehensive review of the security situation in various governorates, with a focus on current developments in the region and the repercussions of ongoing military operations on Iraq’s security and regional and international security.

During the meeting, Al-Sudani stressed "no leniency towards any attempt to embroil Iraq in war or threaten its stability," affirming that the armed forces will continue to work to strengthen national security and protect the country's higher interests.

In a speech addressed to security leaders, Al-Sudani said: “Your legitimate and legal responsibility requires you to put the interest of Iraq above all considerations, to commit to enforcing the law with the highest levels of readiness, and not to allow any party to drag the country into conflicts or destabilize it.”

The Commander-in-Chief also ordered that any entity or security element proven to have failed in performing its duties during this "sensitive phase" that Iraq and the region are going through be held accountable, directing that all efforts be mobilized to protect the security of the country and the interests of the people.

The Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces, Federal Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani, issued a decision on Wednesday, March 4, 2026, to relieve all intelligence officials in the Nineveh Plains Operations Sector of their positions.

The Prime Minister’s Media Office stated in an official statement that this decision comes within the framework of close monitoring of the security file and the progress of operations in vital sectors, as the directive included relieving all intelligence leaders responsible for the aforementioned sector.

These moves and warnings come amid an unprecedented military escalation in the region, where the United States and Israel launched extensive air attacks on Iranian territory on Saturday morning, February 28, 2026, resulting in the deaths of a number of Iranian leaders.

Tehran responded immediately by launching missile barrages towards Israel, in addition to targeting a number of US military bases and facilities in countries of the region, raising fears of the entire region sliding into a full-blown war.  link

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Tishwash: Baghdad in the "eye of the storm": Regional complexities hinder government formation - Urgent

 Former MP Aref Al-Hamami confirmed on Wednesday (March 4, 2026) that the formation of the government will be delayed due to the ongoing war in the region, while pointing out that Baghdad is still in the eye of the storm amid the complexities of the regional scene.

Government formation and the repercussions of the war

Al-Hamami told Baghdad Today, “The regional situation in the Middle East, especially the Arabian Gulf region, is extremely sensitive in light of the ongoing war, the scenarios and end date of which cannot be predicted.” He pointed out that “we are facing an exceptional and very dangerous situation, and Baghdad is at the heart of this storm.”

The former MP explained that "one of the repercussions of this war is the delay in forming a government, which may take even longer, especially given the lack of any indication so far of parliamentary sessions or direct meetings with the country's main political leaders." He added that "the current situation is difficult, and all possibilities are open regarding the nature of the military confrontation in the region in the coming days, weeks, and perhaps months."
The absence of agreements and the third phase

Al-Hamami points out that "forming the government will take some time, especially with the absence of decisive Kurdish-Kurdish understandings that would end the debate on presenting a consensus candidate for the position of President of the Republic," explaining that "the failure to resolve this entitlement hinders the transition to the third and final stage, which is assigning the candidate of the largest bloc, in reference to the coordination framework."

The position of President of the Republic is one of the most important constitutional entitlements that requires broad political consensus, especially between the two main Kurdish parties that share influence within the Kurdistan Region.

This move comes amid the overlap between the presidential file and the negotiations to form the federal government, which makes any agreement in Erbil contingent on the pace of understandings in Baghdad, and puts the scene before two options: a last-minute settlement or resorting to the ballot box inside parliament.

Political observers indicated that the repercussions of the relationship between the United States and Iran will not be isolated from the Iraqi political scene, especially with regard to the negotiations to form the next government, stressing that the forces concerned with choosing the Prime Minister are closely monitoring the nature of regional developments and what they may impose in terms of new conditions or equations on the form of the next government and its executive program.

Observers explained that the Iraqi crisis is inseparable from international interventions, including the American position, which has always been linked to the formation of successive governments, noting that some political parties seek to avoid getting involved in any confrontation between Washington and Tehran, and to try to distance themselves from the repercussions of the conflict. ink

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Tishwash: The foreign minister and his Russian counterpart discussed by phone the rapidly escalating military developments in the region and their political and economic repercussions.

Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Fuad Hussein held a telephone conversation on Wednesday with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, during which they discussed the rapidly escalating military developments in the region and their political and economic repercussions.

During the call, the Russian minister outlined his country's position on the ongoing war, noting that he had contacted several of his counterparts in the Gulf states and Iran. He emphasized that the best way to resolve the situation lies in returning to the negotiating table and prioritizing the diplomatic track to contain the escalation. He also mentioned sending an official letter to Fuad Hussein, clarifying his country's position and its vision for de-escalating tensions.

For his part, Fuad Hussein expressed his gratitude to the Russian minister for his communication and for taking the initiative to send the letter, stressing the importance of continued coordination and consultation between the two countries during this critical phase.

The Foreign Minister explained that Iraq has become one of the countries directly affected by the ongoing conflict, as it is subjected to attacks from both sides, placing it in the position of a victim rather than a participant. He affirmed that the solution lies in an immediate ceasefire, but current indicators do not reflect any serious practical steps in this direction.

He noted that the expansion of the conflict and the intensification of attacks have become a daily feature of the conflict, warning that the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the continuation of military operations have disrupted maritime traffic in the region.

He explained that Iraq is facing increasing difficulties in exporting its oil, a situation shared by some countries in the region, which portends serious repercussions for global energy markets. He also warned that the continuation of the war will lead to an energy market crisis and price hikes, negatively impacting the economies of the region and the world.

Regarding bilateral relations, the Russian minister extended an invitation to his Iraqi counterpart to participate in the eleventh meeting of the Iraqi-Russian Joint Committee, scheduled for May of this year.

The two sides also discussed the deal concerning some oil fields in Basra Governorate, involving the Russian company Gazprom and the American company Chevron, in addition to the resulting financial implications and mechanisms for addressing them in a way that ensures the protection of national interests.

The two sides concluded the call by emphasizing the need for continued communication and joint coordination in light of the sensitive circumstances the region is experiencing. /End  link

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Mot: Karma

Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Wednesday Evening 3-4-26

Good Evening Dinar Recaps,

GLOBAL DEBT UNDER PRESSURE — OECD WARNS OF THE BIGGEST STRESS TEST EVER

Inflation, Energy Prices, and Shifting Market Structures Push Debt Markets to the Brink

Overview

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) released a stark warning that inflation-fueled stress across global debt markets is the most significant systemic risk facing the global financial system in 2026.

This comes as governments, corporations, and central banks grapple with record borrowing needs — now projected to hit $29 trillion this year — alongside tightening monetary policy and energy-price shocks.

The timing could not be more critical: sovereign yields are climbing, refinancing risks are rising, and the investor base in debt markets is becoming more volatile. This report may mark a turning point in how global finance adapts to ongoing geopolitical and economic fragmentation.

Key Developments

1. Record Borrowing Meets Rising Yields
   Governments and companies are expected to borrow $29 trillion in 2026, up from over $25 trillion last year. Shorter maturities and higher yields amplify refinancing risk as debt comes due faster and investors demand higher returns in the face of inflation uncertainty.

2. Changing Investor Base = More Volatility
   The OECD report highlighted a structural shift in bond market participation. Traditional long-term holders are giving way to more price-sensitive investors like hedge funds and leveraged players, which can magnify market moves and increase vulnerability to   shocks.

3. Rising Interest Costs = Fiscal Strain
   Interest payments on sovereign debt now consume a growing share of budgets, outpacing defense spending in some countries. With shorter maturities and more frequent refinancing, higher yields can deepen stress on public finances just as growth prospects remain uncertain.

Why It Matters

The OECD warning underscores a convergence of debt vulnerabilities that could accelerate a phase change in the global financial system:

• Higher yields and inflation pressures push up cost of capital globally.

• Emerging markets with large upcoming maturities face acute refinancing risks.

• Debt markets, long considered a cornerstone of global finance, may become a source of fragility instead of stability.

This dynamic has the potential to reshape monetary policy, fiscal strategies, and cross-border investment flows.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

For holders of major currencies and reserve assets:

• Inflation as a Dollar Driver
  Energy-induced inflation can boost dollar safe-haven demand, but long-term structural shifts (like de-dollarization trends) add complexity.

• Yield Curve Dynamics Affect FX and Reserves
  Rising yields affect currency valuations, capital flows, and reserve diversification strategies — especially for countries managing external debt.

• Market Composition Shifts Influence Volatility
  The growing role of price-sensitive investors means credit markets may transmit shocks more quickly to FX, equities, and risk assets.

The stress test ahead is not just about debt issuance — it’s about the entire risk transmission mechanism in global finance.

Implications for the Global Reset

• Pillar 1: Debt Sustainability Rewrites Policy Frameworks
  High borrowing needs require countries to reconsider fiscal priorities, monetary policy settings, and risk buffers. Traditional models that tolerated prolonged low yields may no longer be viable.

• Pillar 2: Market Fragmentation Drives Structural Change
  With a changing investor base and geopolitical tensions influencing capital flows, debt markets could fragment along regional lines or evolve into new risk pools, accelerating the move toward alternative financial architectures.

In this environment, resilience and adaptability are more important than ever — and structural debt risk may be the catalyst for a broader financial reset.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Reuters (via Global Banking & Finance Review) — “Inflation biggest risk to debt markets facing ‘big stress test’, OECD official says”
  

• OECD — “With pressures rising in global debt markets, maintaining resilience will require sound public finances, strong institutions and policies that support growth and innovation”

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JAPAN–U.S. NUCLEAR SURGE: $550 Billion Energy Alliance Signals Strategic Reset

Tokyo and Washington Align on Reactors, AI Power Demand, and Supply Chain Security

Overview

Japan and the United States are advancing talks on a massive $550 billion investment framework, with nuclear energy at its core. The proposal reportedly includes major participation from Westinghouse Electric Company, positioning nuclear power as a central pillar of energy security and AI-driven electricity expansion.

The discussions are expected to intensify when Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi meets U.S. President Donald Trump in Washington on March 19.

This is more than infrastructure. It is geopolitical energy alignment under pressure from Middle East instability and surging AI power demand.

Key Developments

1. Nuclear Expansion at the Center

The proposed project could involve:

• Construction of pressurized water reactors

• Development of small modular reactors (SMRs)

• Project valuations potentially reaching $100 billion

Westinghouse — owned by Cameco and Brookfield Corporation — is reportedly evaluating large-scale reactor expansion.

This aligns with Washington’s prior $80 billion nuclear expansion partnership aimed at boosting domestic baseload power generation.

2.                Japanese Industrial Giants in Play

Potential contributors include:

• Mitsubishi Heavy Industries

• Toshiba

• IHI Corporation

Participation ensures Japan maintains influence over next-generation reactor standards while securing long-term manufacturing contracts in the U.S.

3.                Investment Package Under Tariff Framework

Tokyo is accelerating projects tied to its broader investment commitment under a U.S.-Japan tariff arrangement.

So far announced:

• $36 billion across three projects

• Including a natural gas plant in Ohio

Japanese Trade Minister Ryosei Akazawa is expected to meet U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick to advance negotiations.

4.                Critical Minerals & Copper Strategy

A parallel proposal includes a copper smelting and refining facility — reinforcing supply chain resilience for:

• Clean energy technologies

• Semiconductor production

• AI infrastructure expansion

Energy and minerals are being negotiated together — a clear signal of integrated strategic planning.

Why It Matters

This initiative sits at the intersection of three transformative forces:

1. Energy Security Amid Middle East Volatility
Oil and gas supply disruptions have renewed urgency around stable baseload power.

2. AI-Driven Electricity Demand
Data centers powering artificial intelligence are driving unprecedented grid stress.

3. Industrial Realignment
Supply chains for energy, minerals, and technology are being reshaped around trusted allies.

Nuclear power is re-emerging not just as a climate solution — but as a geopolitical stabilizer.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

This development intersects directly with global reset themes:

• Stable Baseload = Monetary Stability
  Energy reliability underpins industrial output and currency confidence.

• Uranium & Nuclear Supply Chains Gain Strategic Weight
  Commodity flows tied to nuclear fuel may see elevated geopolitical importance.

• U.S.-Japan Financial Integration Deepens
  Large-scale cross-border capital deployment strengthens bilateral monetary alignment.

• AI Infrastructure Becomes Energy-Backed
  Digital growth now depends directly on hard-asset energy expansion.

When energy supply chains strengthen, financial resilience follows.

Implications for the Global Reset

Pillar 1: Energy Security Replaces Fossil Dependency

Nuclear power offers:

• Long-term baseload stability

• Reduced exposure to maritime chokepoints

• Lower geopolitical vulnerability compared to oil transit routes

This shifts leverage from short-term commodity shocks to long-horizon infrastructure control.

Pillar 2: Industrial Capital as Strategic Tool

The $550 billion framework represents:

• State-backed capital deployment

• Allied industrial coordination

• Strategic counterweight to rival economic blocs

Capital flows are being weaponized for stability.

In a volatile world, energy independence becomes monetary influence.

Seeds of Wisdom Team View

This proposed nuclear alliance reflects a deeper reality:

Energy volatility is accelerating strategic partnerships.

Japan gains:

• Industrial footprint expansion

• Long-term reactor influence

• Supply chain resilience

The United States gains:

• AI-compatible baseload energy

• Domestic production expansion

• Allied capital support

But nuclear projects carry:

• Long timelines

• Regulatory hurdles

• Political sensitivity

If executed efficiently, this could mark a nuclear renaissance anchored in geopolitical alignment.

If delayed or mismanaged, it risks becoming symbolic diplomacy.

Either way, nuclear power has re-entered the strategic mainstream.

Energy Security Is the New Financial Security.

This is not just energy policy — it is global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Reuters — “Japan and U.S. discuss major nuclear cooperation as part of $550 billion investment framework”

• Modern Diplomacy — “Japan–US Eye Major Nuclear Deal in $550 Billion Investment Push”

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Iraq Economic News and Points To Ponder Wednesday Evening 3-4-26

The Coordinating Framework Decides To Withdraw Al-Maliki's Nomination For Prime Minister

Politics breaking  2026-03-03 Shafaq News – Baghdad  An informed source reported on Tuesday that the coordinating framework decided to withdraw Nouri al-Maliki's nomination for the premiership.

The source told Shafaq News Agency that "the leaders of the Coordination Framework agreed during today's meeting to withdraw Nouri al-Maliki's nomination for the premiership."

He added that "the official statement will be issued in the coming hours, and the next two days will witness intensive meetings in order to agree on a new candidate who enjoys the support of the Coordination Framework forces and the rest of the Sunni and Kurdish political forces."

He noted that "today's meeting of the framework witnessed the absence of Nouri al-Maliki, Humam Hamoudi and Abu Ala al-Walai."

For his part, a source in the State of Law Coalition told Shafaq News Agency that "the coordination framework will hold a meeting in the coming days to discuss the issue of adhering to or withdrawing Nouri al-Maliki's nomination for the premiership."

He added that "what was published regarding the withdrawal of the nomination is incorrect, and the coordinating framework has no right to make any decision in the absence of the main members from the meeting."

The “coordination framework,” which includes ruling Shiite political forces in Iraq, is witnessing a division over the nomination of Maliki for the next government, amid American warnings of the repercussions of his selection, which prompted forces within the coalition to try to persuade him to withdraw in order to preserve the unity of the framework.   shafaq.com   الإطار التنسيقي يقرر سحب ترشيح المالكي لرئاسة الحكومة - شفق نيوز

A Move In The Iraqi Parliament To Cancel The Security Agreement With Washington And Replace It With "China Or Russia"

2026-03-04 Shafaq News – Baghdad     On Wednesday, MP Miqdad al-Khafaji, from the parliamentary rights bloc, confirmed that US and Israeli forces targeted several sites belonging to the security forces, the Popular Mobilization Forces, and resistance factions in Iraq.

 Al-Khafaji told Shafaq News Agency that "the (American-Israeli) operations resulted in the killing of 19 people and the wounding of dozens of members of the Popular Mobilization Forces and the security forces."

  He pointed out that no airdrop of US forces on Iraqi territory had been recorded, indicating that the House of Representatives would present in the next session a draft bill to cancel the security agreement with the US side to protect Iraqi airspace, and at the same time another agreement would be sought with global countries such as Russia and China.

  According to Al-Khafaji, there is no specific date set for the next session of the House of Representatives, as it was scheduled to be held last Sunday, but some representatives requested its postponement with unrealistic pretexts.

  He continued, saying that "the United States of America has proven its conspiracy against the Iraqi people and government by targeting security sites belonging to the Popular Mobilization Forces, as well as civilian sites, and by exploiting Iraqi airspace to strike other countries."

Sites belonging to the Popular Mobilization Forces in Iraq were subjected to American and Israeli strikes, carried out via drones and missiles, according to informed sources who spoke to Shafaq News Agency earlier.

 In response, the factions retaliated by shelling the city of Erbil (the capital of the Kurdistan Region) and some areas of Sulaymaniyah Governorate, which led to an escalation of tension and a widening of the confrontation.

  Since Saturday morning, February 28, 2026, the United States and Israel have been waging a large-scale military strike against Iran, targeting leaders, officialياd military and nuclear facilities, while Iran has responded by launching missiles and drones at Israel and American bases in Gulf countries.

https://www.shafaq.com/ar/سیاسة/تحرك-في-البرلمان-العراقي-ل-لغا-الاتفاقية-ال-منية-مع-واشنطن-واستبدالها-بـ-الصين-و-روسيا

Kuwait Summons Iraq's Chargé D'affaires To Protest Attacks By Armed Factions

Kuwait – One News    3/04/2026  The Kuwaiti Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced on Wednesday that it had summoned the Iraqi chargé d'affaires to Kuwait and handed him a protest note regarding the targeting of Kuwaiti territory by Iraqi armed factions.

 The Ministry stated in a statement that the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, represented by Ambassador Aziz Rahim Al-Daihani, summoned the Acting Deputy Foreign Minister, Zaid Abbas Shanshul, the Chargé d'Affaires of the Embassy of the Republic of Iraq to the State of Kuwait, to hand him a protest note following the attacks launched by Iraqi armed factions targeting Kuwaiti territory on Tuesday, March 3, 2026.

 According to the statement, Al-Daihani reiterated his country’s condemnation of these dangerous practices that violate sovereignty and are a clear violation of the rules of international law, noting that they have caused casualties among civilians and military personnel, in addition to serious material losses and damages.

 He pointed out that “launching attacks on the State of Kuwait using Iraqi territory or the territory of any neighboring country is a crime of aggression criminalized in international law and is contrary to the principles of territorial integrity,” stressing the importance of Iraq taking practical and tangible steps to address and stop these attacks.

 Al-Daihani affirmed “the sovereign right of the State of Kuwait, in accordance with Article 51 of the Charter of the United Nations, to defend its territory and vital installations against any aggression or threat to its security, in a manner that guarantees the exercise of its inherent right to self-defense in accordance with the provisions of international law.”   https://1news-iq.net/الكويت-تستدعي-القائم-بأعمال-العراق-اح/

Kuwait Protests Iraq Over Faction Strikes

2026-03-04   Shafaq News- Kuwait   Kuwait on Wednesday summoned Iraq’s chargé d’affaires Zaid Abbas Shanshul, delivering a memorandum of protest over strikes carried out by Iraqi armed factions on Kuwaiti territory.

 In a statement, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Kuwait condemned the attacks as a breach of its sovereignty and a violation of international law, reporting casualties among civilians and military personnel, along with significant material damage.

وزارة الخارجية           @MOFAKuwait

The Ministry of Foreign Affairs, represented by His Excellency Ambassador Aziz Rahim Al-Deihani, Acting Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs, summoned His Excellency Dr. Zaid Abbas Shanshul, Chargé d'Affaires of the Embassy of the Republic of Iraq to the State of Kuwait, in order to hand him a protest note following the attacks launched by Iraqi armed factions that targeted Kuwaiti territories on Tuesday, March 3, 2026.

During the meeting, His Excellency the Acting Deputy Minister renewed the State of Kuwait's condemnation in the strongest terms of the dangerous practices that violate its sovereignty and constitute a flagrant violation of the rules of international law, which resulted in casualties among civilians and military personnel, in addition to significant material losses and damages, emphasizing that launching attacks on the State of Kuwait using Iraqi territories or any territories of a neighboring state is tantamount to the crime of aggression under international law and contradicts the principles of regional security, while stressing the importance of the Republic of Iraq taking practical and tangible steps to address and stop those attacks.

His Excellency also affirmed the State of Kuwait's sovereign right, pursuant to Article 51 of the United Nations Charter, to defend its territories and vital facilities against any aggression or threat to its security, in a manner that ensures the exercise of its inherent right to self-defense in accordance with international law.

 Stressing that launching attacks against Kuwait from Iraqi soil constitutes an act of aggression under international law and violates the principle of territorial integrity, Kuwait urged Iraqi authorities to take clear and practical steps to prevent further incidents.

 The development unfolds as several Iraqi armed factions have declared their involvement in the ongoing war between the United States and Israel against Iran, vowing to target US bases and interests inside Iraq and elsewhere in the region.     https://www.shafaq.com/en/Middle-East/Kuwait-protests-Iraq-over-faction-strikes

Iran-Backed Factions Risk Dragging Iraq Into Regional War, Says Al-Alusi

2026-03-04 Shafaq News- Baghdad   Iraq could be dragged into a widening regional conflict due to the expanding influence of Iran-aligned armed factions, politician Mithal al-Alusi warned Wednesday, arguing that state authority is eroding under external pressure.

 Al-Alusi told Shafaq News that while Iraq is not officially involved in the current war, developments on the ground reveal “the state’s inability to curb militias loyal to Tehran.”

 He alleged that “some factions operate under the supervision of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), with political, parliamentary and media roles distributed to preserve Iranian leverage inside Iraq and across the region.”

 Al-Alusi further claimed that certain groups include members from Bahrain, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia, suggesting they could be mobilized to target those countries as part of a broader regional escalation.

 He argued that Iraq’s executive and legislative institutions have become constrained by Iranian influence, exposing the country to potential military, financial and diplomatic retaliation while weakening domestic stability.

Referring to repeated strikes in the Kurdistan Region, al-Alusi said the attacks aim to undermine Kurdish leadership and consolidate Tehran’s influence. He dismissed claims by armed factions that operations near Erbil were linked to the USconsulate, describing them as a “pretext.”

 https://www.shafaq.com/en/Iraq/Iran-backed-factions-risk-dragging-Iraq-into-regional-war-says-al-Alusi

Iraqi MP Demands End To US Security Pact

2026-03-04 Shafaq News- Baghdad   The United States and Israel targeted multiple sites belonging to Iraqi security forces, the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF), and resistance factions, a senior Iraqi official told Shafaq News on Wednesday.

Muqdad Al-Khafaji, a member of parliament from the Shiite Huqooq (Rights) bloc within the Iran-aligned Coordination Framework (CF), indicated that the operations killed 19 people and injured dozens of PMF and security personnel. (a pro-Iran MP trying to affect policy)

He added that Parliament will prepare a draft to cancel the security agreement with Washington, which allows US forces to operate in Iraqi airspace, while exploring potential agreements with other countries, including Russia and China.

“There is no set date for the next parliamentary session,” Al-Khafaji noted, pointing out that a session originally scheduled for Sunday was postponed after some lawmakers requested delays for reasons he described as “unrealistic.”

 Yesterday, the Islamic Resistance in Iraq (IRI) reported launching 67 operations over 48 hours in two Iraqi provinces and four other countries, targeting US “occupation bases” and interests in the region.

A graphic circulated by outlets affiliated with the factions listed several bases it claimed were struck inside Iraq, including Harir base, Ain Al-Asad base, Erbil base, Al-Rukban base, and Al-Rasheed base. In response, the United States struck several Iraq faction bases in Jurf Al-Sakhar (Jurf Al-Nasr), south of Baghdad, as well as in Mosul, Kirkuk, and Nineveh.

 https://www.shafaq.com/en/Iraq/Iraqi-MP-demands-end-to-US-security-pact

Iraq’s Al-Sistani Urges Halt To War On Iran

2026-03-04 Shafaq News- Najaf   Iraq’s top Shiite cleric Grand Ayatollah Ali Al-Sistani on Wednesday condemned the ongoing US-Israeli military attacks on Iran, warning they could trigger severe regional and international consequences.

 A statement from his office in Najaf said the strikes over the past several days had killed many Iranian citizens, including civilians and children, and caused extensive damage to public and private property.

 Launching a war against a United Nations member state without authorization from the UN Security Council to impose conditions or topple its political system would set a dangerous precedent capable of destabilizing the Middle East and the wider world, the cleric cautioned.

“The conflict has already expanded beyond Iran, with military operations affecting other countries and damaging facilities across the region.”   https://www.shafaq.com/en/Iraq/Iraq-s-Al-Sistani-urges-halt-to-war-on-Iran

The US is Copying the 1940s Playbook to Erase National Debt

The US is Copying the 1940s Playbook to Erase National Debt

Mark Moss:  3-4-2026

The United States is on the cusp of a significant economic challenge, with its national debt-to-GDP ratio hovering around 123%, eerily reminiscent of the post-World War II era.

Back then, between 1942 and 1951, the U.S. managed to reduce its national debt from 120% of GDP to 35%, not by paying it off, but through a clever, albeit somewhat contentious, financial strategy known as financial repression.

As we face a similar debt crisis today, understanding this strategy and its implications for investors is more crucial than ever.

Financial repression involves a government keeping interest rates artificially low, often through coordination with its central bank, while allowing or tolerating inflation to rise. The result is a negative real interest rate, which erodes the value of government debt over time, effectively transferring wealth from savers (bondholders) to the government.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) have documented how the U.S. used this strategy to its advantage in the post-war period.

With the U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio at levels not seen since the 1940s, and with trillion-dollar deficits becoming the norm, the path to reducing this debt through fiscal surpluses appears unrealistic. Default is not only politically unpalatable but also economically disastrous. This leaves inflation—or more specifically, financial repression—as a likely tool for reducing the real burden of debt.

The Federal Reserve has already begun cutting interest rates amidst rising inflation, echoing the financial repression playbook of the 1940s.

 Discussions about a new Fed-Treasury Accord, similar to the one in 1951 that ended the post-war financial repression period, are gaining traction. This has led some to speculate that history may be repeating itself, with significant implications for investors.

Most investors remain unprepared for the impending financial repression. Traditional investment portfolios, such as the 60/40 stock-bond split, are particularly vulnerable because their bond components are likely to be eroded by negative real interest rates.

Those chasing high returns through riskier means, like day trading or speculative investments in crypto or meme stocks, often end up with significant losses.

In contrast, the top 1% employ a fundamentally different investment strategy, known as vertical stacking. Instead of diversifying their investments horizontally across various assets, they layer the same capital into multiple assets simultaneously, using leverage and collateralization to maximize capital efficiency. A detailed example illustrates how this strategy can lead to exponential wealth growth over time, far outpacing the returns of more traditional, passive investment approaches.

While vertical stacking involves leverage risk, this risk is transparent and manageable, unlike the hidden risk of financial repression eroding the value of supposedly “safe” bond holdings. A sophisticated liquidity management system is crucial for mitigating the volatility associated with leveraged portfolios.

As the U.S. navigates its debt crisis, likely through financial repression, investors must adapt. Understanding the strategies employed by the financial elite, such as vertical stacking, and learning how to manage the associated risks, will be key to thriving in this new environment.

For those interested in delving deeper into this strategy, including learning about collateral ratios, sequencing, tax implications, and liquidity management, attending a detailed presentation could provide invaluable insights.

The looming debt crisis presents both challenges and opportunities. By understanding the historical context and the strategies that have proven successful for some of the most savvy investors, individuals can better prepare themselves for the financial landscape ahead.

 For further insights and a deeper dive into effective investment strategies in the face of financial repression, watching the full video presentation by Mark Moss is highly recommended.

https://youtu.be/tXTHfyqersA

Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Wednesday Morning 3-4-26

Good Morning Dinar Recaps,

JAPAN–U.S. NUCLEAR SURGE: $550 Billion Energy Alliance Signals Strategic Reset

Tokyo and Washington Align on Reactors, AI Power Demand, and Supply Chain Security

Overview

Japan and the United States are advancing talks on a massive $550 billion investment framework, with nuclear energy at its core. The proposal reportedly includes major participation from Westinghouse Electric Company, positioning nuclear power as a central pillar of energy security and AI-driven electricity expansion.

The discussions are expected to intensify when Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi meets U.S. President Donald Trump in Washington on March 19.

This is more than infrastructure. It is geopolitical energy alignment under pressure from Middle East instability and surging AI power demand.

Key Developments

1. Nuclear Expansion at the Center

The proposed project could involve:

• Construction of pressurized water reactors

• Development of small modular reactors (SMRs)

• Project valuations potentially reaching $100 billion

Westinghouse — owned by Cameco and Brookfield Corporation — is reportedly evaluating large-scale reactor expansion.

This aligns with Washington’s prior $80 billion nuclear expansion partnership aimed at boosting domestic baseload power generation.

2.                Japanese Industrial Giants in Play

Potential contributors include:

• Mitsubishi Heavy Industries

• Toshiba

• IHI Corporation

Participation ensures Japan maintains influence over next-generation reactor standards while securing long-term manufacturing contracts in the U.S.

3.                Investment Package Under Tariff Framework

Tokyo is accelerating projects tied to its broader investment commitment under a U.S.-Japan tariff arrangement.

So far announced:

• $36 billion across three projects

• Including a natural gas plant in Ohio

Japanese Trade Minister Ryosei Akazawa is expected to meet U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick to advance negotiations.

4.                Critical Minerals & Copper Strategy

A parallel proposal includes a copper smelting and refining facility — reinforcing supply chain resilience for:

• Clean energy technologies

• Semiconductor production

• AI infrastructure expansion

Energy and minerals are being negotiated together — a clear signal of integrated strategic planning.

Why It Matters

This initiative sits at the intersection of three transformative forces:

1. Energy Security Amid Middle East Volatility

Oil and gas supply disruptions have renewed urgency around stable baseload power.

2. AI-Driven Electricity Demand

Data centers powering artificial intelligence are driving unprecedented grid stress.

3. Industrial Realignment

Supply chains for energy, minerals, and technology are being reshaped around trusted allies.

Nuclear power is re-emerging not just as a climate solution — but as a geopolitical stabilizer.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

This development intersects directly with global reset themes:

• Stable Baseload = Monetary Stability
  Energy reliability underpins industrial output and currency confidence.

• Uranium & Nuclear Supply Chains Gain Strategic Weight
  Commodity flows tied to nuclear fuel may see elevated geopolitical importance.

• U.S.-Japan Financial Integration Deepens
  Large-scale cross-border capital deployment strengthens bilateral monetary alignment.

• AI Infrastructure Becomes Energy-Backed
  Digital growth now depends directly on hard-asset energy expansion.

When energy supply chains strengthen, financial resilience follows.

Implications for the Global Reset

Pillar 1: Energy Security Replaces Fossil Dependency

Nuclear power offers:

• Long-term baseload stability

• Reduced exposure to maritime chokepoints

• Lower geopolitical vulnerability compared to oil transit routes

This shifts leverage from short-term commodity shocks to long-horizon infrastructure control.

Pillar 2: Industrial Capital as Strategic Tool

The $550 billion framework represents:

• State-backed capital deployment

• Allied industrial coordination

• Strategic counterweight to rival economic blocs

Capital flows are being weaponized for stability.

In a volatile world, energy independence becomes monetary influence.

Seeds of Wisdom Team View

This proposed nuclear alliance reflects a deeper reality:

Energy volatility is accelerating strategic partnerships.

Japan gains:

• Industrial footprint expansion

• Long-term reactor influence

• Supply chain resilience

The United States gains:

• AI-compatible baseload energy

• Domestic production expansion

• Allied capital support

But nuclear projects carry:

• Long timelines

• Regulatory hurdles

• Political sensitivity

If executed efficiently, this could mark a nuclear renaissance anchored in geopolitical alignment.

If delayed or mismanaged, it risks becoming symbolic diplomacy.

Either way, nuclear power has re-entered the strategic mainstream.

Energy Security Is the New Financial Security.

This is not just energy policy — it is global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Reuters — “Japan and U.S. discuss major nuclear cooperation as part of $550 billion investment framework”

• Modern Diplomacy — “Japan–US Eye Major Nuclear Deal in $550 Billion Investment Push”

~~~~~~~~~~

ASEAN’S STRATEGIC AMBIGUITY: The Quiet Power Holding the Indo-Pacific Together

Why Southeast Asia’s “Indecision” Is Actually Its Greatest Financial and Geopolitical Asset

Overview

As foreign ministers from the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) set the bloc’s 2026 agenda, familiar criticism resurfaced: too slow, too divided, too cautious.

But that critique misunderstands ASEAN’s core function.

ASEAN was never designed to resolve great-power rivalry. It was built to manage competition without coercion — and in today’s polarized Indo-Pacific, that strategy may be more valuable than ever.

In a region straddling the South China Sea and the Strait of Malacca, ambiguity is not weakness. It is strategic survival.

Key Developments

1. Hedging, Not Aligning, Is the Default

Southeast Asia is:

• Economically dynamic

• Politically diverse (democracies, authoritarian and hybrid systems)

• Intertwined with both U.S. security guarantees and Chinese economic integration

Rigid alignment with one power would fracture the region internally.

Thus ASEAN’s structure emphasizes:

• Consensus decision-making

• Non-binding commitments

• Institutional flexibility

What appears indecisive is in fact deliberate insulation from bloc politics.

2.                ASEAN as a Competition “Shock Absorber”

In the intensifying U.S.-China rivalry, ASEAN has positioned itself not as mediator — but as arena manager.

Both Washington and Beijing continue investing heavily in ASEAN platforms because:

• Participation confers legitimacy

• Engagement signals influence

• Institutional presence maintains flexibility

ASEAN prevents rivalry from hardening into rigid blocs by keeping diplomacy open-ended and outcomes strategically ambiguous.

It absorbs pressure without amplifying it.

3.                Economic Competition Without Strategic Escalation

The Japan-China rivalry illustrates this dynamic.

Tokyo advances infrastructure, digital standards, and supply chain initiatives across Southeast Asia without converting economic competition into military confrontation.

ASEAN’s institutional framework enables:

• Parallel investments

• Competing connectivity initiatives

• Digital governance experimentation

All without formalized bloc division.

4.                Maritime Geography = Financial Leverage

Southeast Asia sits at the crossroads of:

• Global shipping lanes

• Energy transit corridors

• Semiconductor supply chains

• Digital infrastructure buildout

Control of the Malacca Strait alone influences a significant portion of global trade flows.

Ambiguity allows ASEAN states to monetize geography without militarizing it.

Why It Matters

ASEAN’s model is becoming more relevant as Indo-Pacific polarization deepens.

Without its inclusive mechanisms:

• Maritime disputes could escalate faster

• Digital governance could fragment irreversibly

• Infrastructure rivalry could militarize

ASEAN’s ambiguity prevents Southeast Asia from becoming a hardened frontline. Instead, it remains an opportunity zone.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

This dynamic has major implications for the global reset framework:

• Supply Chain Stability
  ASEAN stability underpins global manufacturing and electronics exports.

• Trade Corridor Continuity
  Shipping routes through Southeast Asia affect energy and commodity pricing.

• Capital Inflow Flexibility
  Non-alignment attracts diversified foreign direct investment.

• Currency Buffering
  By avoiding rigid bloc alignment, ASEAN members reduce sanction exposure and financial isolation risk.

Ambiguity sustains optionality — and optionality sustains economic resilience.

Implications for the Global Reset

Pillar 1: Managed Multipolarity

ASEAN represents one of the few functioning models where:

• Competition exists

• Rival powers engage

• Alignment is avoided

That structure may preview how broader global finance evolves — less centralized, more networked.

Pillar 2: Institutional Absorption Capacity

Most institutions fracture under pressure.

ASEAN absorbs pressure.

Its ability to:

• Avoid binary choices

• Host rival initiatives

• Maintain open architecture

Positions it as a stabilizer in an increasingly fragmented order.

If ASEAN collapses, Southeast Asia becomes a forced-choice battlefield.

If it survives, it remains a multipolar buffer zone.

Seeds of Wisdom Team View

Critics measure ASEAN by decisive outcomes.

They miss its real achievement:

Preventing escalation.

In an era defined by coercion, ASEAN practices calibrated ambiguity.

That strategy has:

• Preserved regional autonomy

• Maintained trade corridors

• Prevented bloc militarization

The question is not whether ASEAN is decisive. The question is whether the world can afford for it not to be.

Southeast Asia’s greatest contribution to the fractured international system may be its refusal to choose.

This is not just regional diplomacy — it is global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Modern Diplomacy — “ASEAN’s Real Strength Lies in Strategic Ambiguity”

• Reuters — “Southeast Asia navigates rising U.S.-China competition”

~~~~~~~~~~

🌱 A Message to Our Currency Holders🌱

If you’ve been holding foreign currency for many years, you were not foolish.
You were not wrong to believe the global financial system would change.

What failed was not your patience — it was the information you were given.

For years, dates, rumors, and personalities replaced facts, structure, and proof. “This week” predictions created cycles of hope and disappointment that were never based on how currencies actually change.

That is not your failure.

Our mission here is different:   • No dates • No rates • No hype • No gurus

Instead, we focus on:
• Verifiable developments • Institutional evidence
• Global financial structure • Where countries actually sit in the process

Currency value changes only come after sovereignty, trade, banking, settlement systems, and fiscal coordination are in place. History and institutions confirm this sequence.

You will see silence. You will see denials. That is not delay — that is discipline.

Protect your identity. Organize your documents.    Verify everything.
Never hand your discernment to anyone who cannot show proof.

You deserve truth — not timelines.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News

~~~~~~~~~~

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Thank you Dinar Recaps

Iraq Economic News and Points To Ponder Wednesday Morning 3-4-26

Government Advisor: Iraq's Foreign Reserves Are Its First Line Of Defense In The War.

Money and Business   Economy News – Baghdad   The Prime Minister’s Advisor for Financial and Economic Affairs, Mazhar Muhammad Salih, affirmed on Wednesday that Iraq possesses fundamental coordination flexibility at three levels between monetary, fiscal, and oil policies, which can form an important umbrella of resilience in the event that regional tensions escalate and exports through the Strait of Hormuz are affected.

Saleh said in a press interview that "activating these policies in a coordinated and participatory manner gives the national economy the ability to absorb shocks," explaining that "resorting to land transport of oil containers - although it represents only between 10% and 15% of the average oil exports passing through the Strait of Hormuz - can constitute a complementary option to secure part of the export flows."

He added that “the rise in oil prices as the war intensifies gives Iraq what is known as the opportunity cost to maximize added value, even with the decrease in quantities, the increase in transportation costs, and the costs of some large fields ceasing to operate,” indicating that “managing exported quantities flexibly is integrated with managing global prices to achieve the best possible return for the general budget.”

Saleh stressed that “foreign reserves represent the most important pillar of stability in such circumstances, as they play a pivotal role in supporting monetary and financial stability, and providing the necessary cover for financing foreign trade and maintaining the stability of the exchange rate.”

He pointed out that “borrowing to support public finances, if managed wisely, can be an important alternative to support the liquidity of the general budget and ensure the continuity of operational and investment spending,” noting that “the national economy currently possesses real resilience against potential external shocks.”

He concluded by saying that "the time factor remains the strategic determinant in crisis management, as good time management and enhanced coordination between economic policies, along with maintaining the financial and living stability of citizens, will transform the shock from a prolonged crisis into a manageable and controllable challenge." https://economy-news.net/content.php?id=66357

Al-Rafidain Bank Launches The 58th Batch Of The Leadership And Excellence Initiative

Banks    Economy News – Baghdad   Rafidain Bank announced on Wednesday the launch of the 58th installment of its Leadership and Excellence Initiative.

In a statement received by "Al-Eqtisad News," the bank said, "The 58th installment of the Leadership and Excellence Initiative, supporting small and medium-sized enterprises, has been launched with a total amount of 1 billion Iraqi dinars, benefiting 89 individuals."

The statement added, "This installment is a continuation of efforts to finance entrepreneurs and young people within the framework of the Central Bank of Iraq's initiative."

It further stated, "The number of beneficiaries financed has reached 5,638, and the total value of funds disbursed to date has reached 71,941,000,000 Iraqi dinars, reflecting the bank's commitment to supporting entrepreneurial projects that contribute to building the national economy."   https://economy-news.net/content.php?id=66347

Airlines In The Region Are Losing Around $500 Million A Day

Money and Business   Economy News - Follow-up   WEGO Chief Business Officer Mamoun Humaidan said that daily losses for airlines are estimated at between $250 million and $500 million per day for companies that use the region's airports as a transit point.

He added that low-cost airlines are the most affected due to their lower profit margins.

Hamidan said that the aviation sector's problem has now branched out to include route changes and rising costs, and he expects IATA to intervene to solve the problem.

He noted that things were promising yesterday with the opening of some special flights to evacuate stranded travelers.

Meanwhile, travel company stocks suffered sharp losses yesterday, with their market value falling by $22.6 billion, amid escalating geopolitical concerns that have disrupted air travel globally.

Shares of U.S. airlines such as Delta Air Lines, United and American Airlines fell between 2% and 4%.

In Europe, shares of TUI fell by 10% and Lufthansa shares declined by 5.2%, while British Airways owner IAG lost about 5.5%.

Analysts from JPMorgan, Goodbody and Citigroup noted that Wizz Air is the most exposed in Europe due to its large presence in Israel.

On the other hand, Jefferies estimates that a 5% increase in fuel costs could reduce Delta and United's 2026 profits by between 5% and 10%, while American Airlines' profits could fall by about 35%.

The chaos in the global aviation sector worsened after airlines cancelled thousands of flights and changed the routes of others in the air, following the closure of large areas of airspace in the Middle East after military strikes carried out by the United States and Israel inside Iranian territory.

The widespread closure of airspace caused disruptions to extend to areas as far away as Brazil and Australia, as airlines were forced to cancel or divert flights that normally fly over the region.https://economy-news.net/content.php?id=66312

The Closure Of Iraqi Airspace To All Aircraft Has Been Extended For (72) Hours.

Money and Business    Economy News – Baghdad   The Civil Aviation Authority announced on Wednesday that the closure of Iraqi airspace has been extended for 72 hours.

A statement issued by the authority and received by “Al-Eqtisad News” stated that it “decided to extend the closure of Iraqi airspace to all incoming, departing and transiting aircraft for 72 hours starting from 12:00 noon on Wednesday, March 4, 2026 (09:00 UTC) until 12:00 noon on Saturday, as a temporary precautionary measure.”

He noted that "the decision is based on the ongoing assessment of the security situation and developments in the regional situation, and will be reassessed in light of new developments. Airlines and relevant authorities will be notified of any updates later."   https://economy-news.net/content.php?id=66356

Trade: The Fees For Collecting The Items On The Ration Card Are 1,000 Dinars Per Person Without Any Increase.

Localities   Economy News – Baghdad   The Ministry of Trade confirmed on Wednesday that the fees for collecting the items on the ration card amount to (1000) dinars per person, without any increase.

The ministry explained in a statement received by “Al-Eqtisad News” that “the items of the food ration are fully secured, and that the preparation processes are continuing according to the approved schedules to ensure that they reach citizens smoothly and without shortage or manipulation.”

The ministry added that "its monitoring teams in the Department of Commercial and Financial Control are continuing their field campaigns in coordination with the security services to monitor the work of agents and detect violations, in addition to monitoring commercial markets and auditing food prices."

The ministry reiterated its "commitment to securing the items on the ration card in accordance with the approved regulations, and ensuring the smooth flow of distribution in a way that preserves the citizens' food supply and enhances confidence in the procedures followed." https://economy-news.net/content.php?id=66349

Labor And Social Affairs: Agreements Signed With 3 Countries To Develop The Labor Market

Money and Business       Economy News – Baghdad   The Ministry of Labor and Social Affairs signed three memoranda of understanding with Morocco, Pakistan and Bangladesh, aimed at developing and regulating the labor market and enhancing cooperation in the areas of vocational training and skills development. 

The Director of the Department of Labor and Vocational Training at the Ministry, Osama Majeed Al-Khafaji, told Al-Sabah, as reported by Al-Eqtisad News: “This step comes within the framework of a comprehensive strategy that the Ministry is working to implement to develop the labor market, through building international partnerships based on the exchange of experiences and regulating the movement of labor according to clear legal frameworks.”

He added that the memorandum of understanding with Pakistan focuses on strengthening cooperation in the field of labor regulation and the exchange of experiences, while the agreement concluded with Bangladesh includes coordination mechanisms in the areas of vocational training and skills development, along with regulating contracting procedures and protecting workers’ rights.

Al-Khafaji added that the third memorandum of understanding with the Kingdom of Morocco aims to exchange experiences in the fields of vocational training and qualification of personnel, and to benefit from successful experiences in developing training programs and linking them to the needs of the labor market.

He explained that the agreements came within the framework of a government direction to enhance international cooperation in the labor sector and open new horizons for skilled labor, in line with economic development plans and to enhance the ability of the Iraqi labor market to absorb competencies and organize them according to modern professional standards.     https://economy-news.net/content.php?id=66344

“Tidbits From TNT” Wednesday Morning 3-4-2026

TNT:

Tishwash: An additional 72 hours... The complete closure of Iraqi airspace is extended amid escalating regional tensions.

 The Iraqi Civil Aviation Authority announced the extension of the complete closure of Iraqi airspace, coinciding with escalating regional tensions.

The authority stated in a notice, a copy of which was received by Al-Mirbad, that "the closure of Iraqi airspace has been extended for (72) hours, starting from 12:00 noon today (09:00 UTC) until 12:00 noon next Saturday."

She added that the decision comes "based on the ongoing assessment of the security situation and developments in the regional situation."

She indicated that the decision would be reassessed in light of new developments, with airlines and relevant parties being notified of any updates later.  link

************

Tishwash:  Trump: The US Navy will escort oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz if necessary.

 US President Donald Trump affirmed his country's commitment to protecting international navigation, indicating that the US Navy would escort oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz to ensure their safety if necessary. This comes amid regional tensions and concerns about energy security in the region.

Trump announced on Sunday that the United States had sunk nine Iranian naval vessels, noting the destruction of naval command headquarters.

The US president stated in a post on Truth Social: "I have just been informed that we have destroyed and sunk 9 Iranian Navy vessels, some of them relatively large and important. We will go after the rest, and the others will soon be sunk."

He added that another attack had largely destroyed Iranian naval command headquarters. link

*************

Tishwash:  The Shiite framework decides to withdraw al-Maliki's candidacy – Arab media

 A stormy meeting in Baghdad ends with a preliminary agreement within the Shiite framework to exclude Maliki from the race.

A leader in the Arab Television Coordination Framework reported on Tuesday (March 3, 2026) that the members of the framework reached a preliminary agreement in their meeting today to withdraw the nomination of Nouri al-Maliki for the presidency of the next Iraqi government and to choose an alternative to be determined later.

A senior official source told Network 964 that a stormy meeting of the Shiite framework ended this afternoon at the palace of Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani, and the prime ministerial candidate Nouri al-Maliki decided to boycott it, citing that he was fasting and a little exhausted, but he stressed his refusal to issue any statement withdrawing his candidacy after the objections that accompanied the putting forward of his name and the international and regional circumstances. According to the report, al-Maliki repeated his suggestion that the members of the framework issue a statement announcing the withdrawal of al-Maliki’s candidacy, and he said that he would not object to that “because the decision is the decision of the largest bloc and he will not oppose it.”

The meeting comes hours after the head of the Supreme Judicial Council published an article that sparked significant reactions, in which he spoke about the Federal Court amending its interpretation of the largest bloc and granting the right to form the government to the first winner in the elections, which could mean a return of the opportunity for the current Prime Minister, Mohammed Shia al-Sudani, whose coalition won the largest number of seats.  link

************

Tishwash: 90% of the money supply is outside the banking system.

A large segment of the population tends to keep their money in cash at home, with some estimates suggesting that between 80 and 90% of the money supply circulates outside the banking system. Furthermore, most employees and retirees are keen to withdraw their full salaries as soon as they are deposited into their electronic payment cards.

These behaviors stem from several factors, most notably discouraging past experiences with some banks, inadequate modern banking services, concerns about the potential failure or collapse of some financial institutions, and the absence of a law guaranteeing deposits. This has weakened confidence in the banking system, hindered efforts toward financial inclusion and digital transformation, and fueled growing fears of online fraud.

In addressing these challenges, the Iraqi Media Network, in cooperation with the Women’s Affairs Department of the Trade Bank of Iraq (TBI), organized an awareness seminar dedicated to discussing the risks of electronic fraud and promoting a culture of financial inclusion, in light of the expansion in the use of digital technologies and the increasing reliance on electronic transactions.

During the seminar, which was attended by “Al-Sabah”, participants stressed the importance of raising awareness among users of electronic payment cards, especially employees, about protection and prevention mechanisms to reduce fraud and scams, which contributes to enhancing confidence in electronic banking transactions and supporting financial stability.

In light of this issue, financial and economic expert Majed Abu Kalal explained that citizens' tendency to withdraw their funds immediately after depositing them is linked to their actual daily spending needs, particularly among low-income employees who rely on their salaries to cover immediate obligations.

He also pointed to the limited availability of electronic payment devices, which compels many to hold cash. He added that the core of the problem does not lie in the payment cards themselves, but rather in the lack of trust in banks, as some customers fear for their money during financial crises.

Disadvantages of the banking system

In his interview with Al-Sabah, Abu Kalal explained that citizens are recalling past experiences in banking history, such as the freezing of deposits or the failure of some banks, which has reinforced the conviction among a wide segment of the population that keeping their money is essential. 

Cash is safer. 

He pointed out that the deposit guarantee system in Iraq is still weak and unconvincing to the public, stressing that the major government banks need a real and radical restructuring, not just formal procedures.

Services and financing

He stressed the need for a clear and effective legal guarantee for deposits with a realistic ceiling, along with the publication of transparent monthly reports on solvency and liquidity indicators to enhance credibility. He also called for offering attractive interest rates and genuine financing services that would give citizens a practical incentive to keep their money in banks.

Abu Kalal concluded his remarks by emphasizing the importance of the state committing to a complete shift to bank payments instead of cash transactions, explaining that building trust requires effective protection and strict oversight, not merely imposing the use of electronic payment methods.

Deposit Guarantee

In a related context, academic Kazem Eidan pointed out the importance of finding a real guarantee for deposits, while activating the role of the Central Bank of Iraq in announcing the deposit guarantee in a clear and binding manner, as well as establishing or strengthening the bank deposit guarantee company and setting a clear guarantee ceiling for each depositor.

Eidan stressed to Al-Sabah the importance of announcing rapid intervention cases when any bank is in trouble in order to reassure citizens and repair the reputation of the banking sector, noting that there are reasons that have shaken the citizen’s confidence in banks, such as bankruptcy problems, weak transparency, and the neglect of publishing quarterly financial reports that are understandable to customers. He called for awareness campaigns through official and unofficial channels, stressing the importance of classifying banks according to clear performance standards, and punishing any bank that is proven to have manipulated them publicly. 

Ways to boost confidence

He also called for the widespread deployment of POS terminals in markets and retail outlets, not just shopping malls, along with finding ways to strengthen trust between banks and citizens, offering real interest on current accounts, and providing affordable loans to those who deposit a portion of their salary in an account.

He pointed out that unless citizens are convinced that keeping their money in a bank is better than keeping it in cash at home, they will not change their financial practices. From his convictions and inclinations.  link

************

Mot: to do list

Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Tuesday Evening 3-3-26

Good Evening Dinar Recaps,

GLOBAL DEBT FLASHPOINT: Bond Markets Signal the Next Financial Reset Phase

Rising Sovereign Yields and Payment System Fragmentation Accelerate Structural Change

Overview

The most impactful development in global finance right now is not a single bank failure or headline-grabbing bailout — it is the accelerating strain in sovereign debt markets combined with growing fragmentation in cross-border payment systems.

Across major economies, bond yields are rising, debt servicing costs are expanding, and governments are facing mounting rollover risk just as geopolitical instability pressures energy and trade corridors.

At the same time, alternative settlement systems are gaining traction as countries seek insulation from sanctions, volatility, and dollar liquidity tightening.

This is not cyclical turbulence.  It is structural monetary stress.  

Key Developments

Sovereign Debt Costs Climb Globally

Major economies are facing:

• Higher refinancing costs

• Expanding interest payments as a percentage of GDP

• Increased rollover exposure in short-duration debt

As central banks maintain restrictive postures longer than markets anticipated, fiscal sustainability is being quietly tested.

In several advanced economies, interest expense is now among the fastest-growing budget categories.

When sovereign debt becomes expensive, policy flexibility contracts.

Banking Sector Liquidity Sensitivity Returns

Rising yields compress:

• Bank balance sheets

• Commercial real estate valuations

• Mark-to-market bond holdings

Regional banking systems remain more stable than during previous stress cycles — but liquidity risk premiums are rising.

Credit conditions are tightening beneath the surface.

Payment System Realignment Accelerates

Sanctions, geopolitical tensions, and settlement risk have intensified:

• Bilateral trade invoicing outside the dollar

• Expansion of alternative clearing arrangements

• Growth in commodity settlement diversification

Cross-border payment fragmentation is no longer theoretical — it is operational.

Several emerging economies are expanding local currency trade settlements to reduce exposure to external financial pressure.

Energy Volatility Compounds Financial Fragility

With maritime risk premia elevated and key transit corridors under strain, energy price volatility feeds directly into:

• Inflation expectations

• Sovereign borrowing costs

• Currency stability

Debt markets and energy markets are now tightly synchronized stress amplifiers.

Why It Matters

The global reset conversation revolves around debt sustainability and payment system restructuring.

This moment intersects both.

If sovereign borrowing costs remain elevated:

• Fiscal consolidation pressures intensify

• Social spending becomes politically constrained

• Central banks face renewed intervention demands

Meanwhile, payment system diversification reduces the monopoly leverage of traditional reserve currency channels.

Debt pressure + payment fragmentation = structural monetary transition.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

This environment amplifies:

• Safe-Haven Demand
  Gold and reserve diversification remain central themes.

• Currency Volatility
  Higher debt loads increase sensitivity to rate shifts and capital flows.

• Commodity-Linked Leverage
  Energy exporters and commodity-backed economies gain relative bargaining strength.

• Reserve Realignment
  Central banks may accelerate diversification strategies amid systemic uncertainty.

When sovereign debt becomes unstable, currency regimes eventually adapt.

Implications for the Global Reset

Pillar 1: Debt Saturation Reaches Political Limits

Advanced economies now operate with debt-to-GDP ratios historically associated with crisis periods.

Sustained high yields could force:

• Yield curve management

• Coordinated monetary-fiscal policy adjustments

• Expanded balance sheet tools

The reset rarely begins with collapse.  It begins with constraint.

Pillar 2: Payment Sovereignty Expands

Countries increasingly prioritize:

• Settlement redundancy

• Domestic clearing systems

• Regional financial blocs

The fragmentation of payments infrastructure reduces systemic single-point dependency.

That shift alone reshapes global financial power distribution.

Seeds of Wisdom Team View

The headlines may focus on war, energy, or diplomacy.

But the most consequential development is quieter:

Debt is becoming expensive again.

And when debt becomes expensive in a world built on leverage, structural recalibration follows.

Simultaneously, payment rails are diversifying — slowly but decisively.

The architecture of global finance is not collapsing. It is evolving under pressure.

This is not just macro volatility — it is global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Reuters — “Global bond yields rise as fiscal pressures mount”

• Financial Times — “Sovereign debt markets test fiscal resilience amid higher rates”

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IRAN WEAKENS, TURKEY RISES: Opportunity and Trap in the New Middle East

Ankara Gains Strategic Leverage — But Inherits New Regional Risk

Overview

Iran’s degradation following sustained strikes has reshuffled the regional balance of power — and no country stands more strategically repositioned than Turkey.

But this is not a simple victory narrative.

While Ankara’s influence expands across Syria, the Caucasus, Central Asia, and maritime corridors, its competition with Israel is becoming increasingly structural, not rhetorical.

Iran’s weakening creates opportunity — yet it also increases volatility, proliferation risks, and economic strain.

This is a recalibration of Middle Eastern architecture — not a conclusion.

Key Developments

1. Syria: Structural Competition with Israel

Since the fall of Bashar al-Assad, Ankara has:

• Consolidated influence across northern Syria

• Embedded thousands of troops in Idlib

• Cultivated local governing structures

Meanwhile, Israel has intensified operations to preserve freedom of maneuver near its northern frontier.

A fragile deconfliction mechanism now governs two deeply distrustful actors seeking to avoid direct confrontation.

Jerusalem may welcome Iran’s erosion — but it is unlikely to accept a Levant shaped primarily by Ankara.

This is geographic friction more than ideological hostility.

2.                The “Blue Homeland” and Eastern Mediterranean Tensions

Turkey’s “Blue Homeland” maritime doctrine expands claims across the Eastern Mediterranean, directly complicating:

• Israeli energy export ambitions to Europe

• Offshore gas field development

• Regional connectivity corridors

Turkey maintains military footprints in:

• Northern Cyprus

• Qatar

• Somalia

• Libya

The expanding Turkish arc — Levant to North Africa to the Gulf — is increasingly viewed by Israel as encirclement.

Competition is structural and enduring.

3.                Central Asia & the Middle Corridor Advantage

Ankara has invested heavily in the Organisation of Turkic States, strengthening cultural and defense ties across Turkic republics.

At the center sits Azerbaijan, empowered after the 2020 and 2023 Karabakh victories.

The contested Zangezur corridor — once opposed strongly by Iran — now faces fewer obstacles if Tehran’s leverage diminishes.

This strengthens the Middle Corridor, linking Central Asia to Europe via the Caucasus and Turkey — an increasingly attractive route amid maritime instability and continental disruption.

This is not dramatic realignment.
It is a gradual shift in comparative advantage.

4.                The Nuclear Variable: Hedging Intensifies

The strikes aimed to degrade Iran’s nuclear capability.

But degradation does not equal resolution.

Opacity may increase if programs go underground.

For Ankara, nuclear asymmetry has always been sensitive — particularly regarding Israel’s undeclared capabilities.

Compounding factors:

• Saudi Arabia has signaled it would pursue nuclear options if Iran does.

• Turkey may expand civilian nuclear energy.

• Missile development could accelerate.

• Collaboration with Pakistan may deepen.

The strikes may have disrupted capability — but they have intensified proliferation logic.

5.                The Russia Triangle Shifts

The Astana diplomatic format — involving Russia, Turkey, and Iran — is fundamentally altered.

With:

• Russia weakened after prolonged war in Ukraine

• Iran degraded strategically

6.                Turkey becomes the sole fully functional broker among Russia and Iran.

This significantly elevates Ankara’s diplomatic weight beyond Syria.

Why It Matters

Turkey’s leverage has expanded across multiple pillars:

• Security architecture in Syria

• Energy and maritime corridor politics

• Central Asian transit routes

• Refugee management for Europe

• Washington’s regional strategy

But exposure rises alongside leverage.

A weakened Iran could trigger:

• Refugee flows toward Turkey’s eastern border

• Militia fragmentation

• Kurdish cross-border volatility

• Sanctions enforcement pressure

Ankara’s optimal scenario is controlled Iranian degradation — not collapse.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

This development impacts global reset dynamics across several fronts:

• Energy Corridor Realignment
  The Middle Corridor gains relevance as Hormuz volatility persists.

• Transit Currency Leverage
  States controlling logistics routes gain monetary influence.

• Defense & Industrial Expansion
  Turkey’s defense industry footprint continues growing in parallel.

• Regional Risk Premium
  Higher geopolitical volatility raises sovereign risk pricing across emerging markets.

When corridor control shifts, currency influence eventually follows.

Implications for the Global Reset

Pillar 1: Corridor Politics Define Power

The emerging order increasingly revolves around:

• Land bridges

• Maritime lanes

• Energy pipelines

• Rail connectivity

Turkey sits at the intersection of Asia and Europe.  That geography cannot be ignored.

Pillar 2: Strategic Autonomy Tolerated by Washington

Under the current U.S. administration, Ankara’s autonomy is tolerated because Washington needs Turkey simultaneously in:

• NATO coordination

• Refugee containment

• Syria stabilization

• Black Sea security

This gives President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan significant maneuvering space.

Strategic autonomy is being monetized.  But tolerance is not permanent.

Seeds of Wisdom Team View

In upheaval, observers rush to declare winners.

Turkey appears to gain.

Israel appears to secure tactical advantage.

Iran appears weakened.

But advantage in geopolitics is rarely permanent.

Turkey’s leverage has undeniably increased:

• In regional diplomacy

• In corridor economics

• In Western strategic calculations

Yet exposure has also widened.  The margin for error is thinner than it looks.

Ankara now stands central to the emerging Middle Eastern order — indispensable, influential, and increasingly accountable.

Power Expands Quietly — Exposure Expands Faster

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Modern Diplomacy — “Iran’s Weakening Is Turkey’s Opportunity — and Its Trap”

• Reuters — “Regional security tensions reshape Middle East power balance”

~~~~~~~~~~

Seeds of Wisdom Team RV Currency Facts Youtube and Rumble

Newshound's News Telegram Room Link

RV Facts with Proof Links Link

RV Updates Proof links - Facts Link

Follow the Gold/Silver Rate COMEX

Follow Fast Facts

Seeds of Wisdom Team™ Website

Thank you Dinar Recaps

“Tidbits From TNT” Tuesday 3-3-2026

TNT:

Tishwash: America evacuates its non-essential staff and their families from Iraq 

 (and other embassies too)

The United States directed, on Tuesday (March 3, 2026), the evacuation of its non-essential employees and their families from Iraqi territory.

The US State Department said in a statement followed by "Baghdad Today" that it "has instructed the evacuation of its diplomatic staff, non-essential personnel and their families from Iraq."

It warned its staff at the US Embassy and Consulate in Iraq and the US Consulate General in Erbil "not to travel to Iraq," describing the "risk level as number 4."

It also issued "directives for non-emergency government employees and their family members to leave Qatar and Kuwait."

The US decision comes amid escalating attacks and mutual threats against the backdrop of the growing regional crisis between Iran and the United States, and related tensions with Israel. ink

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Tishwash: Iraqi oil tankers, gather to export oil... a quick solution to avoid losses from the closure of Hormuz

 The expert's proposal

Academic and economic expert Nabil Al-Marsoumi presented solutions he described as quick, which Iraq could begin to implement to mitigate the repercussions of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz on oil exports, especially with the loss of about 3.2 million barrels per day of southern oil.

Al-Marsoumi suggested utilizing the private sector's "huge" tanker fleet, which he said includes more than 20,000 tankers that are out of service. He explained that these tankers could be used to transport crude oil to the ports of Aqaba, Banias, and Mersin, to reduce losses resulting from the cessation of exports. At the same time, he pointed out the need to expedite the increase of exports from the Kirkuk fields via Ceyhan by between 50,000 and 100,000 barrels per day, as was the practice before the pipeline was shut down.

What happens after the Strait of Hormuz is closed? Are there any quick solutions?

After the Strait of Hormuz was practically closed and Iraq lost its oil exports to the south, which amounted to 3.2 million barrels per day of crude oil, Iraq had only meager exports of no more than 210,000 barrels per day, of which 200,000 barrels were through the Turkish port of Ceyhan and 10,000 barrels per day were exported to Jordan by tankers. As a quick solution, Iraq could use the huge fleet of tankers owned by the private sector, which consists of more than 20,000 modern tankers ready for operation and also idle because they were used to transport oil from the Qayyarah field and black oil from the refineries to the southern ports, at a fee of no more than 300,000 dinars per trip and at a rate of only two trips per month.

This huge fleet, with each tanker having a capacity of 36,000 liters, could be used to transport crude oil to Aqaba, Banias and Mersin in Turkey and alleviate the impact of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz on the Iraqi economy.

On the other hand, Iraq can quickly resume exporting between 50,000 and 100,000 barrels per day from the Kirkuk fields via the Ceyhan outlet, as was the case before the Ceyhan pipeline was closed. link

************

Tishwash:  A government advisor affirms the Iraqi economy's ability to overcome the short-term crisis.

The economic advisor to the Prime Minister, Mazhar Muhammad Saleh, confirmed that the Iraqi economy currently possesses a degree of flexibility in facing the repercussions of the Strait of Hormuz crisis, noting that the strength of the country's foreign reserves constitutes the main shield to contain pressures on the exchange rate and maintain monetary stability in the short term, while the Central Bank has sufficient margin to maneuver in containing fluctuations and warding off immediate disturbances.

Saleh explained to Al-Furat News Agency that "the Strait of Hormuz, located in the southern Gulf, is a vital waterway for approximately 11% of global trade and 20% of the world's crude oil and gas exports.

He noted that more than 94% of Iraqi oil exports pass through ports in southern Iraq and then through this strait, making its closure a severe challenge for the Iraqi economy, which is almost entirely dependent on this waterway."

Saleh revealed that "closing the strait would mean a drop in oil exports from over 3.4 million barrels per day to less than a quarter of a million barrels, with daily losses ranging between $200 million and $255 million due to the disruption of the normal flow of oil.

 He added that even with global oil prices rising to record levels, potentially reaching $150 per barrel, monthly revenues would plummet from around $7 billion to just over $1 billion, an amount insufficient to cover only 25% to 30% of monthly operating expenses."

Saleh pointed to the "scarcity of alternatives available for exporting Iraqi oil in the event of the Strait's closure," explaining that the only available alternative is the Kirkuk-Ceyhan pipeline with a capacity ranging between 200,000 and 210,000 barrels per day, which can be increased, in addition to a small quantity not exceeding 10,000 barrels that can be exported overland to Jordan.

He emphasized that these combined quantities represent only a small fraction of normal exports.
Saleh warned that "the relationship between oil revenues and the stability of the Iraqi dinar is a direct and direct one," noting that the main source of dollars in Iraq is oil revenues deposited in the US Federal Reserve.

He added that any disruption or decrease in these revenues means a decline in the flow of dollars to finance the national economy, thus increasing demand for them as a safe haven in the current climate of uncertainty. He stressed that if the crisis persists, foreign reserves will be depleted in defense of overall stability, which could lead to resorting to austerity measures contingent on the duration of the war in the Gulf.

The economic advisor addressed "other repercussions extending to aspects of the macroeconomy, most notably imported inflation, as Iraq imports most of its food, medicine, and basic commodities. He pointed out that shipping and insurance costs have jumped by up to 50%, which will directly impact commodity prices over time.

He also warned of the technical damage resulting from the closure of oil fields, explaining that a sudden and prolonged shutdown could cause permanent damage to oil reservoirs, requiring time and significant investment to restore previous production levels even after the strait is reopened."
Saleh concluded that "the fundamental solution lies in expediting the diversification of oil export outlets and reactivating the dormant pipelines.

 He warned that without these alternatives, the national economy will remain hostage to recurring regional crises, and stressed that the economy's ability to overcome the crisis in the short term will remain primarily dependent on the size of the available foreign currency reserves."  link

******************

Mot:  a warning frum Mum!!!!

Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Tuesday Afternoon 3-3-26

Good Afternoon Dinar Recaps,

TEHRAN UNDER FIRE: Civilian Panic Deepens as Airstrikes Intensify

Bombardment Spreads Terror — But Not the Uprising Some Expected

Overview

Tehran has become a city gripped by fear, not rebellion. Following sustained U.S.-Israeli airstrikes, hundreds have reportedly been killed, critical infrastructure has been damaged, and civilians describe the capital as a ghost town under siege.

Despite expectations in Washington and Tel Aviv that internal dissent might erupt into widespread protests, no organized uprising has materialized. Instead, the dominant emotion inside Iran appears to be terror, exhaustion, and survival mode.

This is no longer just a military conflict — it is a civilian humanitarian crisis unfolding in real time, with major implications for regional stability and the global financial system.

Key Developments

1. Tehran Emptied by Fear

Residents report deserted streets, security checkpoints, and heavy presence from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). Power outages and water disruptions have compounded anxiety, while families quietly prepare escape plans.

One Tehran resident described:

• Electricity cuts

• Water shortages

• Fear of burglaries during displacement

• Plans to flee the country when possible

This is fear-driven paralysis, not mobilization.

2.                Civilian Infrastructure Hit

Strikes reportedly impacted:

• A hospital in Tehran

• A girls’ school in southern Iran

• Multiple civilian buildings and vehicles

Reported casualties:

• Around 150 deaths linked to specific civilian site strikes

• Iran claims total casualties have reached 787 killed

A grieving mother reportedly fears taking her dialysis-dependent child to the hospital due to continued bombardment — illustrating the collapse of civilian safety assurances.

3.                Retaliation Expands Regionally

Iran has launched:

• Drone attacks

• Missile strikes

• Targeting military and civilian sites in surrounding regions

This escalation pushes the conflict beyond symbolic retaliation and toward multi-theater confrontation.

4.                Public Sentiment Is Complex — Not Revolutionary

While anger exists toward Iranian leadership, especially after the death of former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, the mood is not revolutionary.

Some citizens question:

• The long-term value of Iran’s nuclear program

• Decades of confrontation with the West

• The cost of isolation

But fear currently outweighs political mobilization.

Why It Matters

This conflict is shifting from strategic decapitation strikes to civilian destabilization.

Key implications:

• Humanitarian breakdown risk

• Refugee flows into Turkey and neighboring states

• Potential wider Gulf military escalation

• Heightened pressure on oil and LNG transit corridors

• Intensifying geopolitical fracture lines

Markets do not price in civilian collapse quickly — but when they do, volatility accelerates.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

For those watching the global reset framework, this development touches multiple pillars:

Energy Shock Risk
If instability spreads toward Gulf transit routes, oil and LNG flows become vulnerable — triggering currency volatility.

Emerging Market Fragility
Capital flight risk increases across the Middle East and frontier markets.

Dollar vs. Alternative Bloc Tensions
Iran’s position within BRICS complicates the bloc’s credibility and collective posture.

Gold & Safe Haven Assets
Historically, geopolitical crises amplify demand for non-sovereign stores of value.

This is not isolated unrest. It is systemic geopolitical stress.

Implications for the Global Reset

• Pillar 1: Energy & Commodity Control

Sustained regional instability strengthens the argument for:

• Diversified energy corridors

• Alternative settlement systems

• Strategic commodity-backed trade frameworks

• Pillar 2: Institutional Credibility Under Pressure

The crisis tests:

• Western military projection capacity

• BRICS’ cohesion

• Multilateral diplomacy structures

When institutions appear reactive instead of strategic, global trust fractures — and monetary systems follow trust.

This is not just war — it is a stress test of the post-World War II financial and security architecture.

Seeds of Wisdom Team View

The expectation of uprising has given way to a harsher reality: bombardment consolidates fear more often than rebellion.

Tehran’s silence is not consent.
It is survival.

And survival mode in a major regional power introduces a dangerous variable — unpredictability.

Markets can calculate risk.
They struggle to price chaos.

This moment may not trigger immediate systemic collapse — but it increases pressure across every global fault line already under strain.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Sources

• Reuters — “Tehran residents describe fear and destruction following U.S.-Israeli airstrikes”

• Modern Diplomacy — “Tehran Under Fire: Bombardment Spreads Terror, Not Rebellion”
  

~~~~~~~~~~

VIETNAM’S E10 MANDATE: A Biofuel Shift Reshaping BRICS Energy Trade

Hanoi’s Ethanol Gap Opens a Direct Corridor to Brazil and the South-South Bloc

Overview

Vietnam’s nationwide E10 biofuel rollout, effective June 1, 2026, marks one of Southeast Asia’s most consequential energy policy moves in years. Under Circular 50/2025/TT-BCT, all qualifying unleaded gasoline must now contain 10% ethanol.

But here’s the pivot point: Vietnam cannot produce enough ethanol domestically to meet the mandate.

The resulting supply deficit is steering trade flows toward BRICS nations — especially Brazil, the world’s largest ethanol powerhouse. What began as a climate and energy diversification move is rapidly becoming a strategic South-South trade realignment.

This is energy policy intersecting with geopolitics — and the timing could not be more significant.

Key Developments

1.  The Ethanol Supply Gap Is Structural

Vietnam currently operates:

• 6 domestic ethanol plants

• Combined capacity: ~600,000 cubic meters annually

But E10 implementation requires approximately:

• 1.5 million cubic meters per year

That leaves a 60% shortfall — a material deficit that cannot be solved overnight.

Feedstock instability compounds the issue:

• ~600,000 hectares of cassava cultivation

• Low yields and fragmented supply chains

• Production volatility

This is not a temporary bottleneck — it’s a structural import dependency.

2.                 Brazil Emerges as the Natural Supplier

Brazil produces more ethanol than any other country in the world and is a core BRICS member.

Vietnam’s state energy firm PVOIL already sources ethanol from Brazil, making the trade channel active — not theoretical.

This positions:

• Brazil as a strategic beneficiary

• Vietnam as a BRICS-aligned energy buyer

• South-South energy corridors as operational reality

3.                 Major Fuel Distributors Are Already Positioned

Petrolimex operates seven blending depots nationwide and has import relationships spanning:

• United States

• South Korea

• Singapore

• Philippines

Infrastructure is ready. Imports are inevitable.

4.                 Timing Collides With Gulf Energy Instability

Global oil logistics remain under pressure due to disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz, where tanker activity has slowed and maritime insurance risks are rising.

Oil analyst Tom Kloza expects retail gasoline prices to rise 5–10 cents daily in the short term.

For Vietnam — which imports much of its refined fuel — shifting toward ethanol imports from Brazil:

• Reduces reliance on Gulf supply chains

• Diversifies sourcing geography

• Expands non-Western trade corridors

What began as an environmental mandate is becoming a geopolitical hedge.

Why It Matters

Vietnam’s E10 rollout signals three major structural shifts:

1. Energy Diversification Through BRICS Channels
Brazil becomes a cornerstone supplier in Southeast Asia’s fuel blend transition.

2. South-South Trade Institutionalization
This is not rhetoric — it’s volume-based commodity trade realignment.

3. Strategic Response to Maritime Instability
As Gulf routes face uncertainty, alternative commodity streams gain value.

Energy policy is becoming geopolitical positioning.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

This development touches core global reset themes:

• Commodity-Backed Trade Growth
  Ethanol joins oil, gas, and metals as a strategic cross-border lever.

• BRICS Bloc Consolidation
  Trade volumes — not speeches — define bloc credibility.

• Reduced Dollar Dependency Potential
  If settlements expand within BRICS-aligned systems, currency diversification follows.

• Agricultural Commodities as Strategic Assets
  Cassava, sugarcane, and ethanol are becoming currency-relevant inputs.

Energy transitions are no longer just climate policy — they are monetary architecture shifts in motion.

Implications for the Global Reset

Pillar 1: Commodity Corridors Replace Old Energy Maps

Vietnam’s ethanol import needs:

• Strengthen Brazil’s trade leverage

• Expand South-South settlement networks

• Reduce Middle East-centric fuel dependence

Energy flow redirection is monetary influence redistribution.

Pillar 2: BRICS Operationalization

BRICS credibility grows when:

• Members fill structural supply gaps

• Trade increases between bloc nations

• Commodity flows bypass traditional Western chokepoints

This is how alternative systems gain traction — quietly, transaction by transaction.

The ethanol corridor between Vietnam and Brazil may look technical — but structurally, it reinforces a broader economic rebalancing.

This is not just energy reform — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team View

Vietnam’s E10 mandate was designed as a sustainability measure.

Instead, it may become:

• A BRICS trade accelerant

• A hedge against Gulf volatility

• A template for energy diversification without Western intermediaries

When supply gaps align with geopolitical alliances, trade flows shift permanently.

And permanent trade shifts eventually reshape currencies.

Watch the ethanol lane.
It may be smaller than oil — but it is strategically loud.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Watcher Guru — “Vietnam’s E10 Biofuel Rollout Opens New BRICS Trade Opportunities”

• Reuters — “Oil prices rise amid Strait of Hormuz disruption and supply concerns”

~~~~~~~~~~

Seeds of Wisdom Team RV Currency Facts Youtube and Rumble

Newshound's News Telegram Room Link

RV Facts with Proof Links Link

RV Updates Proof links - Facts Link

Follow the Gold/Silver Rate COMEX

Follow Fast Facts

Seeds of Wisdom Team™ Website

Thank you Dinar Recaps

Iraq Economic News and Points To Ponder Tuesday Afternoon 3-3-26

Kamal Al-Haidari Declares Jihad Against US And Israel

2026-03-03   Shafaq News- Najaf   Shiite cleric Ayatollah Kamal al-Haidari on Tuesday called for “jihad” against the United States and Israel, according to a statement issued by his office.

 In a written statement, al-Haidari said the attacks targeted “the civilizational core and religious authority” of Iran, adding that confronting US and Israeli aggression is a religious and moral responsibility. He urged Muslims to prepare for “legitimate defense of land, dignity and sovereignty,” and called for resisting “Zionist and American arrogance in all its forms.”

In Shiite jurisprudence, jihad in this context is generally understood as a defensive religious mobilization in response to perceived external aggression, rather than an offensive war. (however, that is not the interpretation by most of the fundamental Islamic terrorist groups, even many others worldwide). 

Under Twelver Shiite doctrine, the authority to issue such binding religious rulings traditionally rests with a Marja’ al-Taqlid —a supreme religious authority recognized by followers as a source of emulation in matters of faith and law.

 A similar call was made in 2014 by Iraq’s top Shiite cleric, Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani, whose fatwa urging Iraqis to fight ISIS led to the mobilization of volunteers later organized under the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF).

 Most of the Iran-aligned “Islamic Resistance” armed factions in Iraq regard Ayatollah Ali Khamenei as their marja’ (religious authority) and political leader under the principle of wilayat al-faqih, which links religious leadership with governance and loyalty to Iran’s supreme leadership. ( this is the major problem in Iraq, and the GOI will need to deal with it - one way or another).  https://www.shafaq.com/en/society/Kamal-al-Haidari-declares-jihad-against-US-and-Israel

Sudani And The Crown Prince Of Kuwait Stress The Need For De-Escalation And Maintaining Regional Stability

Baghdad – One News   3/02/2026    Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani and the Crown Prince of Kuwait, Sheikh Sabah Khalid al-Hamad al-Sabah, stressed on Monday the importance of maintaining regional and international stability and putting an end to escalation.

The Prime Minister’s Media Office stated in a statement that “Prime Minister Mohammed Shia Al-Sudani discussed by telephone with the Crown Prince of the State of Kuwait, Sheikh Sabah Khalid Al-Hamad Al-Sabah, the latest security developments in the region, and the serious repercussions resulting from the continuation of military operations.”

The statement added that “during the call, emphasis was placed on the importance of joint Arab coordination, working towards de-escalation and resorting to dialogue as the best way to solve problems, and stopping all practices that could drag the region into greater dangers.”

 According to the statement, both sides stressed "the need for the international community to make efforts to prevent the region from sliding into what threatens the interests of countries and their peoples, in light of the continuation of military operations," stressing that "maintaining regional and international stability requires putting an end to the escalation and reopening the channels of dialogue." https://1news-iq.net/السوداني-وولي-عهد-الكويت-يؤكدان-ضرورة/

Iran-Aligned Iraqi Factions Refuse To Halt Attacks On US, Israeli Interests

2026-03-03 Shafaq News- Baghdad  Several Iraqi armed factions have informed government officials and political leaders within the Shiite Coordination Framework that they will continue operations targeting US and Israeli interests inside and outside Iraq, political sources told Shafaq News on Tuesday.

 According to the sources, over the past two days, senior officials sought to contain the escalation and prevent further strikes, cautioning against potential security, economic, and diplomatic repercussions. However, during recent closed-door meetings, faction leaders indicated that suspending attacks “is not under consideration,” pointing to developments in the war involving Iran and signaling the possibility of broader operations to increase pressure across multiple fronts.

Some figures within the Coordination Framework, the sources noted, urged reliance on diplomatic channels and a policy that keeps Iraq removed from regional conflict. The factions maintained that their backing of Iran will persist as long as hostilities between Iran and the United States and Israel continue.  https://shafaq.com/en/Iraq/Iran-aligned-Iraqi-factions-refuse-to-halt-attacks-on-US-Israeli-interests

These PMF factions are intentionally disobeying and going against the directives of the GOI and the Iraqi military. A blatant slap in the face of both. Proving they are Iranian proxies who care more about Iran than Iraq.  Iraq military reaffirms unity of command, rejects PMF armed displays

Islamic Resistance In Iraq: 67 Operations In 48hrs Against The US

2026-03   Shafaq News- Baghdad   The Islamic Resistance in Iraq claimed it had carried out 67 operations over the past 48 hours in two Iraqi provinces and four other countries, targeting the US “occupation bases” and interests in the region.

 In a graphic, circulated by outlets affiliated with the factions, listed several bases it said were targeted inside Iraq, including Harir base, Ain al-Asad base, Erbil base, al-Rukban base, al-Rasheed base, and a site referred to as the Coastal Facility bnice

ase. It also names locations in the Kurdistan Region, including Erbil and al-Sulaymaniyah, as well as in Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, and the United Arab Emirates.

 The group also released footage showing drones it said were launched toward what it described as “occupation bases” in Iraq and the region.  https://shafaq.com/en/Security/Islamic-Resistance-in-Iraq-67-Operations-in-48h-against-the-US

Oil Surges 7% As Iran-Israel Conflict Threatens Supply

Economy & Business Oil prices   2026-03-02 Shafaq News   Oil prices jumped 7% to their highest levels in months on Monday as Iran and Israel stepped up attacks in the Middle East, damaging tankers and disrupting shipments from the key producing region.

 Brent crude futures shot up to $82.37, the highest since January 2025, in the first futures trading after the U.S. and Israel launched strikes on Iran and killed its Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei on Saturday. As of 0054 GMT, Brent futures were at $78.24 a barrel, up $5.37, or 7.37%.

 U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude rose $4.66, or 6.95%, to $71.68 a barrel after touching $75.33 earlier, the loftiest since June 2025.

 Israel launched a new wave of strikes on Tehran on Sunday and Iran responded with more missile barrages, a day after the killing of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei pitched the Middle East and the global economy into deepening uncertainty.

The attacks exposed ships to collateral damage as missiles hit at least three tankers off the Gulf coast and killed one seafarer, shipping sources and officials said on Sunday.

 Iran has said it has closed navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, prompting Asian governments and refiners - key buyers - to assess oil stockpiles.

 "With the retaliatory action now evolving to attacks on oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, the threat on oil supplies has substantially risen," ANZ analyst Daniel Hynes said in a note.

 Citi analysts expect Brent to trade between $80 and $90 a barrel this week amid the ongoing conflict.

 "Our baseline view is that the Iranian leadership changes, or that the regime changes sufficiently as to stop the war within 1-2 weeks, or the U.S. decides to de-escalate having seen a change in leadership and set back Iran’s missiles and nuclear program over the same time frame," the analysts led by Max Layton said in a note.

 Amid the conflict, OPEC+ agreed to a modest oil output boost of 206,000 barrels per day for April on Sunday.

Every OPEC+ producer is essentially producing at capacity except for Saudi Arabia, RBC Capital analyst Helima Croft said.

 "The utilization of any spare barrels will be severely limited if critical waterways are rendered inoperable," she said.

 Risks to commercial shipping have surged in the past 24 hours, with more than 200 vessels including oil and liquefied gas tankers dropping anchor around the strait and surrounding waters, shipping data showed on Sunday.

 The International Energy Agency is actively monitoring events in the Middle East and is in touch with major producers in the region and IEA governments, director Fatih Birol said on Sunday. The energy watchdog coordinates the release of strategic petroleum reserves (SPR) from developed countries during emergencies.

 "Global total visible oil inventories stand at 7.827 million barrels now, near their historical median when expressed as covering 74 days of global demand," Goldman Sachs analysts led by Daan Struyven said in a note.

 (Reuters) - Only the headline is edited by Shafaq News Agency.  https://shafaq.com/en/Economy/Oil-surges-7-as-Iran-Israel-conflict-threatens-supply

US War Secretary Reaffirms Support For Allies After Attacks On Iraqi Kurdistan

2026-03-02 Shafaq News- Washington   US War Secretary Pete Hegseth said on Monday that Washington remains in close contact with its regional partners and stands “shoulder to shoulder” with them, after reported attacks on Gulf countries and the Kurdistan Region of Iraq.

 During a press conference at the Pentagon, Hegseth responded to a journalist that “We are in constant communication and stand shoulder to shoulder with them, and we value their capabilities.”

 Hegseth described the strikes on Iran as targeted and strategic, saying the United States aims to destroy missile systems, naval forces, and other security infrastructure. “We’re hitting them surgically, overwhelmingly and unapologetically,” he said, stressing that the goal is not prolonged conflict but to weaken Iran’s ability to threaten US forces and allies.

 General Dan Caine, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, who spoke alongside Hegseth, said achieving US military objectives in Iran would take time and likely involve additional casualties. He emphasized that strikes and counter-strikes in the wider region are ongoing as part of the campaign.

 Tensions between the United States, Israel, and Iran continue to rise. In recent days, facilities hosting US-led Coalition forces in Iraq, including Harir Base and Erbil International Airport in the Kurdistan Region, have faced attacks attributed to Iran-backed PMF factions. Iranian strikes also hit Israel and US bases in the Gulf, including in the UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, and Kuwait.  https://shafaq.com/en/World/US-War-Secretary-reaffirms-support-for-allies-after-attacks-on-Iraqi-Kurdistan

Sudani Chairs Extraordinary Meeting Of The National Security Council

Baghdad – One News     3/02/2026 The Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces, Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani, chaired an extraordinary meeting of the National Security Council on Monday.

 The media office of the council stated in a brief statement that “the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces, Mr. Mohammed Shia Al-Sudani, is chairing an extraordinary meeting of the Ministerial Council for National Security.” https://1news-iq.net/السوداني-يترأس-اجتماعاً-استثنائياً-ل/

Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Tuesday Morning 3-3-26

Good Morning Dinar Recaps,

Operation Epic Fury: How US–Israeli Strikes on Iran Could Derail the Global Economy

Regime-change ambitions collide with energy shock risk, legal backlash, and rising Cold War fragmentation.

 Overview (Key Points)

• President Trump announces Operation Epic Fury
• Joint U.S.–Israeli strikes target Iran’s nuclear and military infrastructure
• Oil markets face severe shock risk amid Hormuz instability
• UN emergency session convened following global backlash
• War scenario could penalize global growth and spike inflation

A coordinated U.S.–Israeli military campaign against Iran has triggered what analysts warn may become a major geoeconomic shock.

Announced by President Donald Trump on February 28 under the codename Operation Epic Fury, the strikes aim to dismantle Iran’s nuclear infrastructure, degrade military capabilities, and pressure political leadership in Tehran.

The broader consequences, however, may extend far beyond the battlefield.

Key Developments

1. Decapitation Strategy & Regime Risk

The operation reportedly targeted:

• Nuclear facilities

• Missile bases

• Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) sites

• Senior leadership figures

The strategic intent appears aligned with weakening or removing Ali Khamenei and President Masoud Pezeshkian.

Iran retaliated with missile salvos and proxy activity across the region, including threats toward U.S. bases in Qatar, Kuwait, UAE, and Bahrain.

2. UN Backlash & Legal Storm

An emergency session of the United Nations Security Council was requested by France, with Russia and China demanding briefings.

UN Secretary-General António Guterres called for an immediate ceasefire.

China and Russia characterized the strikes as violations of sovereignty and international law.

Global South nations expressed alarm at the precedent of regime-targeting military escalation.

3. It’s About Energy

Iran remains:

• OPEC’s fourth-largest crude producer (2023)
• World’s third-largest dry natural gas producer (2022)
• Holder of the third-largest oil reserves globally

Any disruption near the Strait of Hormuz — where roughly 20% of global oil flows — risks severe market volatility.

Analysts estimate:

• Oil could spike to $115–$140 per barrel
• Shipping insurance premiums could double or triple
• Strategic reserves may need partial release

Energy remains the hidden center of gravity.

4. Four-Week Escalation Scenario

President Trump suggested a potential “four-week process.”

Analysts model three phases:

• Phase 1: Shock – Precision strikes, missile suppression, psychological dominance.

• Phase 2: System Paralysis – Air defense destruction, command disruption, sanctions intensification.

• Phase 3: Political Outcome – Internal fracture or negotiated capitulation.

The risk: Military success, political stalemate, economic shock.

Why It Matters

This conflict unfolds amid already elevated:

• Geoeconomic fragmentation
• Sanctions blocs
• Supply-chain bifurcation
• Inflation sensitivity

A one-month war scenario could:

• Add 1–1.5 percentage points to global inflation
• Reduce Middle East GDP by 5–8%
• Cut global growth projections by 0.7%
• Trigger capital flight from emerging markets

Defense and energy sectors may surge — civilian economies may suffer.

Operation Epic Fury: Shockwaves Beyond the Battlefield.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

Energy-driven inflation pressures:

• Delay central bank rate cuts
• Strengthen safe-haven flows
• Increase dollar volatility
• Pressure import-dependent economies

If oil spikes sharply, expect:

• Emerging market currency strain
• Increased hedging into commodities
• Greater BRICS discussion on non-dollar energy settlement

Energy, Escalation, and the Fragile Global Recovery.

Energy disruption reshapes currency stability.

Implications for the Global Reset

• Pillar 1: Militarized Energy Economics
  Oil and gas reserves remain central to strategic realignment. Energy security is once again weaponized.

• Pillar 2: Legal Precedent & Multipolar Fracture
  Targeting sovereign leadership sets a dangerous global precedent, increasing bloc polarization.

• Pillar 3: Inflation Shock Meets Fragile Recovery
  Global growth is already fragile. A Gulf conflict amplifies systemic risk across finance and trade.

This escalation is not isolated.  It intersects Ukraine, Taiwan tensions, Middle East realignment — and a shifting global monetary architecture.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Modern Diplomacy — “How US-Israeli Iran Strikes Will Penalize Global Prospects”

• Reuters — “UN convenes emergency session after US-Israel strikes on Iran”

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BRICS in Crisis: A Member Struck — and the Bloc Stayed Silent

Iran reels from decapitation strike as BRICS faces its most serious credibility test yet.

Overview (Key Points)

• Coordinated US–Israeli strike reportedly kills Iran’s Supreme Leader
• IRGC retaliates across Israeli cities and U.S. Gulf bases
• Iran activates interim leadership council
• Russia condemns attack — BRICS offers no unified response
• Oil and emerging markets reprice amid escalating war risk

One of the most destabilizing geopolitical moments of 2026 has exposed a deeper fracture — not just in the Middle East, but within BRICS itself.

Following the reported killing of Ali Khamenei, a full member of BRICS has come under direct military assault. The response from the bloc? Silence.

No emergency summit.
No unified communique.
No coordinated diplomatic push.

The institutional vacuum is becoming as significant as the battlefield itself.

Key Developments

1. The Strike That Changed Everything

A coordinated US–Israeli operation eliminated Khamenei and several senior Iranian security officials, triggering immediate retaliation.

The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) reportedly launched:

• Missile strikes toward Israeli cities
• Attacks targeting 27 U.S. military facilities in the Gulf
• Expanded regional proxy operations

Iran quickly activated constitutional succession procedures. President Masoud Pezeshkian, alongside Chief Justice Gholam-Hossein Mohseni Eje’i and Ayatollah Alireza Arafi, formed an interim leadership council.

The Iranian Red Crescent cited more than 200 killed and hundreds injured — numbers still being revised upward.

2. Global Leaders React — BRICS Does Not

U.S. President Donald Trump confirmed the operation publicly, while Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz framed the strike as a decisive blow to the “axis of evil.”

Russian President Vladimir Putin issued the sharpest condemnation among BRICS members, calling the assassination a grave act and praising Khamenei’s role in strengthening Russian-Iranian ties.

EU Foreign Policy Chief Kaja Kallas urged restraint.

But BRICS as an institution — now comprising 11 full members — has issued no collective statement.

For a bloc positioning itself as a counterweight to Western dominance, the silence is conspicuous.

3. India’s Awkward Presidency Moment

India, current BRICS chair, reportedly concluded significant defense agreements with Israel just hours before strikes hit Tehran.

That timing complicates internal bloc diplomacy.

BRICS now faces competing pressures:

• Strategic ties between India and Israel
• Russia’s security concerns
• China’s economic exposure to Iran
• Gulf members hedging risk

Consensus appears elusive.

4. Markets React to War Risk

Oil markets surged as escalation unfolded, particularly with instability near the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly 20% of global oil flows transit.

Emerging markets repriced rapidly:

• Energy stocks rallied
• Defense sectors outperformed
• Risk assets experienced extreme volatility
• Gulf insurance premiums climbed

The geopolitical shock is feeding directly into financial markets.

Why It Matters

This is more than a regional war.

It is a stress test for multipolar governance.

If BRICS cannot act collectively when one of its own members is struck:

• Its claim to geopolitical coordination weakens
• Its credibility in Global South leadership diminishes
• Its institutional cohesion faces scrutiny

Silence is not neutral — it is strategic paralysis.

When a Member Falls, Institutions Reveal Themselves.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

Energy-driven instability:

• Raises inflation risks
• Delays global rate cuts
• Strengthens short-term safe havens
• Pressures import-dependent economies

If escalation persists:

• Emerging market capital outflows intensify
• Commodity currencies outperform
• De-dollarization conversations accelerate — but coordination gaps remain

Currency markets are sensitive to institutional credibility.

BRICS hesitation introduces new uncertainty.

Implications for the Global Reset

• Pillar 1: Institutional Exposure
  This conflict forces a reckoning: Is BRICS a political bloc — or merely an economic dialogue platform?

• Pillar 2: Energy Shock & Strategic Fragmentation
  Oil volatility compounds already high geoeconomic fragmentation.

• Pillar 3: Alliance Realignment Pressure
  Member states must now choose between national interest and bloc solidarity.

Moments like this define organizations for decades.

BRICS has reached its first true wartime stress test — and the world is watching.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Watcher.Guru — “BRICS in Crisis: Member Struck, But the Bloc Stayed Silent”

• Reuters — “Global leaders react as tensions escalate after Iran strike”

~~~~~~~~~~

🌱 A Message to Our Currency Holders🌱

If you’ve been holding foreign currency for many years, you were not foolish.
You were not wrong to believe the global financial system would change.

What failed was not your patience — it was the information you were given.

For years, dates, rumors, and personalities replaced facts, structure, and proof. “This week” predictions created cycles of hope and disappointment that were never based on how currencies actually change.

That is not your failure.

Our mission here is different:   • No dates • No rates • No hype • No gurus

Instead, we focus on:
• Verifiable developments • Institutional evidence
• Global financial structure • Where countries actually sit in the process

Currency value changes only come after sovereignty, trade, banking, settlement systems, and fiscal coordination are in place. History and institutions confirm this sequence.

You will see silence. You will see denials. That is not delay — that is discipline.

Protect your identity. Organize your documents.    Verify everything.
Never hand your discernment to anyone who cannot show proof.

You deserve truth — not timelines.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News

~~~~~~~~~~

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