Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Saturday Afternoon 9-20-25

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JPMorgan: Yuan Surges, BRICS Driving Global De-Dollarization

JPMorgan raises its yuan forecast as BRICS de-dollarization accelerates, reshaping global trade and financial alignments.

Bank Revises Projections as Currency Dynamics Shift
JPMorgan has revised its end-of-year target for China’s onshore yuan to 7.15 from 7.30, signaling renewed confidence in the currency. Analysts described this as a “gentle downtrend” to 7.10 by mid-2026, pointing to eased tariff risks and a more stable trade outlook.

Recent U.S.-China negotiations in London calmed some tensions, with the yuan holding steady at 7.1875 in European markets. This reflects improved bilateral trade relations—an important backdrop for broader currency realignments.

BRICS Nations Push Yuan as Dollar Alternative
China has been spearheading BRICS’ push to reduce dollar dependence:

• Central bank reserves and commercial trade are increasingly being settled in yuan, especially for oil and commodities.

• Russia and Brazil have adopted the yuan in commercial operations as sanctions pushed them away from dollar systems.

• The New Development Bank has expanded yuan-denominated loans across Asia and Africa, embedding the currency into global financing.

This strategy strengthens Beijing’s influence and reinforces momentum behind non-dollar trade systems.

Internal Resistance Challenges Yuan Dominance
Not all BRICS members are comfortable with Chinese leadership:

• India and South Africa are promoting multicurrency frameworks instead of yuan primacy.

• Brazil has also resisted over-reliance on Chinese currency, favoring arrangements that balance multiple local currencies.

These tensions reveal the limits of BRICS unity—a critical factor in whether de-dollarization evolves into true financial restructuring or merely a regional shift.

Market Dynamics Shape Future Currency Arrangements
Goldman Sachs analysts describe China’s central bank actions as “goodwill gestures” during trade talks. But the yuan’s depreciation against trading partner currencies could spark new frictions.

Meanwhile, the Trump administration views BRICS as a direct challenge to the dollar-based system, framing these moves as a geopolitical battle as much as an economic one.

Why This Matters
The yuan’s rise—and BRICS’ push to rewire global finance—underscores how currency power is now a tool of geopolitical realignment. While JPMorgan sees stability in the short term, the longer trajectory points to a systemic restructuring where the dollar no longer dominates unchallenged.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

@ Newshounds News™
Source: Watcher.Guru   

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