Ariel: Iraq is the First Domino, the Timeline for the Next 60 Days
11-5-2026
IRAQ — THE FIRST DOMINO
Iraq’s parliament is submitting their federal budget this Saturday November 7, 2026 ahead of the November 15 deadline imposed by the IMF standby arrangement. The budget contains a redenomination provision for the Iraqi dinar. This has been in negotiation for 18 months. The holdup was never political disagreement inside Iraq’s Council of Representatives.
The holdup was coordination with the U.S. Treasury specifically with Under Secretary for International Affairs Brent McIntosh, who has been running parallel discussions with the Central Bank of Iraq since Q1 2026.
The Iraqi dinar redenomination is not an Iraqi event. It’s a controlled detonation in a sequence. Iraq’s currency restructure creates the first sovereign precedent for post-petrodollar valuation a nation pricing its currency against a diversified reserve basket rather than pure USD denomination.
Once Iraq moves, the economic cooperation framework signed with Saudi Arabia in March 2026 activates. Saudi Arabia has been waiting for Iraq to go first. The Saudi riyal has been quietly held at its peg for 14 months despite internal pressure to float.
THE TIMELINE — NEXT 60 DAYS
November 7 — Iraq submits budget. Redenomination provision enters public record. Markets should begin pricing dinar revaluation.
November 15 — IMF deadline. Iraq compliance confirmed. Petrodollar fracture sequence initiates I personally expect.
December 1 — Saudi Arabia may signal intent to revalue riyal. Oil markets destabilize. Gold begins upward repricing — Shelton’s policy framework activates.
January 1, 2027 — Sudan’s old notes die. The template completes. The domestic currency replacement protocol begins its rollout phase.
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Courtesy of Dinar Guru: https://www.dinarguru.com/
Jeff Remember they couldn't do the white paper reforms back in October of 2020. Why? Because they hadn't revalue the currency. They have to revalue the currency. Iraq's got to be international to implement the white paper reforms...They're revisiting it...Why? ...Because they're about to go international and revalue the currency...More confirmation the rate change is very close.
Walkingstick [Conversation with former business partner and friend with Iraqi GOI contracts] CONTRACTOR: 1500 is good because we demanded it. There is rumors they're going to keep it at 1500 and when this budget comes out (it may come out before the 15th) it'll be presented at 1500...our contracts too. But what we're hearing is very quickly it'll change over to a 150.
Stephen The biggest thing we're looking for is the budget. What's going to happen with the budget? ...This is the largest budget Iraq has ever put forth and put together. It's a big deal...The HCL (Hydrocarbon Law) is in the budget. If the budget gets passed then it is safe to say the HCL has been approved...If this law gets passed it's a very very big deal.
Militia Man The central bank said the move to electronic payments is not mandatory. That is that practical signal. The notes already in circulation stay valid. The printed stock that has not been released just yet, (I believe printed back in 2018), can enter [the market]. They can enter the smaller denominations when the bank decides the time is right. Both series can move side-by-side...No forced exchange in my view. The non-mandatory language shows the bank is keeping the option open...The 2018 new notes are ready. The electronic side is being widened...Now we can really truly see the color of what they're doing.
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This Dinar Dealer Sold A Doctor FAKE Dinar !
The Dinar Den: 11-4-2026