Saturday PM Iraq Parliament News Highlights 6-18-22

Extension Movement: The Government Will Be Born Dead If It Is Formed

Posted On2022-06-18 By Sotaliraq   PARLIAMENT SESSION

The head of the political bureau of the extension movement, Raed Al-Saleh, considered that “the process of withdrawing 73 winning deputies from parliament is a withdrawal of the legitimacy of the entire parliament,” and he also considered that the coordination framework’s attempt to form a government is “a very fragile process.”

Al-Saleh told Rudaw Media Network, "The withdrawal process is not a solution to the crisis that has afflicted the political process for 9 months," noting that "the withdrawal of 73 winning members gives room for others to ascend to the House of Representatives, and therefore we did not achieve the goal."

He added that his movement had hoped that the large blocs would call for the dissolution of parliament and the re-election, which would produce new political blocs that would elect the President of the Republic, and form a government with parliamentary comfort, not as it is now where there is a blocking third, with the presence of those standing on the hill without moving any resident.

He pointed out that the extension movement had an initiative that it presented on (April 24, 2022) in which it announced the next step when the political blocs failed to pass the President of the Republic and attend parliament sessions, which is the “call for the dissolution of Parliament.”

He stressed that his movement is still on its opinion, as it demands the dissolution of Parliament as it is not completed and did not take into account the interests of the people, and is unable to take strategic decisions, noting that "the dissolution of Parliament is the most appropriate and much better than the withdrawal process initiated by the members of the Sadrist bloc."

Al-Saleh considered, “The process of withdrawing 73 winning deputies from Parliament is a withdrawal of the legitimacy of the entire parliament,” adding that “the first winner in the elections withdrew himself from Parliament.”

He commented on the positions of some blocs that indicated that his movement won between 12 to 17 seats after the withdrawal of the Sadrist movement, describing these positions as deplorable “because these representatives are not winners, and they came as a result of the withdrawal of the winner, the Sadrist movement.”

He considered that the coordination framework's attempt to form the government is a "very fragile process," noting that "the people of the coordination framework feel this, and comments have been issued by the leaders of the framework that the government without the Sadrist movement will be a fragile and failed government in advance."

Al-Saleh assured Rudaw that “the government will be dead if it is formed,” expressing great pessimism about its formation.

He explained that the extension movement had determined, since its establishment, its position in the political process, to "be an opposition or to contribute to the formation of a comfortable majority government, not an emergency government," noting that "the Sadrist movement was seeking to form a government through the tripartite alliance and we supported the formation of the government, But we said that we do not take any position and do not participate in it.”

Al-Saleh pointed out that there are no contacts between his movement and the coordination framework at all levels.

Regarding the repercussions of the continuation of the current situation, he considered that “the October demonstrations that erupted in 2019 are still present, as the youth have been given the opportunity to hold early elections according to an electoral law,” adding that “the electoral law gives 90% of the acceptance for the revolting youth.”

On the situation in Dhi Qar Governorate, he said that “there are signs that the revolting youth will go out to the street,” referring to what Alaa Al-Rikabi said in the first session held in the current parliament, which called for not pushing young people to despair of this parliament, because the result would be a “revolution.” A new one, bigger than the October revolution in 2019.”

He stressed that "the situation is now on the verge of explosion for our revolting youth" in the event that no solutions are found and the people of power and positions cling to their positions.

Al-Saleh concluded by saying that “90% of our youth are unemployed, which will lead to a new revolution at the door.”   LINK

The Wave Of Resignations Raises Question Marks About The Future Of The Extension Movement And The Fate Of Its Alliance With The New Generation

Posted On 2022-06-18 By Sotaliraq   Anmar Ghazi   QUESTION MARKS ABOUT THE FUTURE OF THE EXTENSION MOVEMENT AND THE FATE OF ITS ALLIANCE WITH THE NEW GENERATION

Just as many Iraqis were surprised by the size of the seats that the extension movement obtained in the parliamentary elections that it ran on the tenth of last October, the movement returned to the fore again by provoking controversy, after a wave of resignations of prominent leaders in it, in addition to the dismissal of its Secretary-General, which raised question marks. She is great about her fate and what happens to her in her first political experience, especially after her alliance with the New Generation Movement to form a parliamentary opposition under the dome of Parliament.

A spokesman for the Manar Al-Obaidi Extension Movement told Rudaw Media Network: “There may be a new vision in working with the new generation in an alliance for the people, but the differences were not caused by our alliance with the new generation in an alliance for the people, on the contrary, this is a cross-sectarian alliance. And the components, and therefore we adhere to this alliance, there may only be some simple technical matters in managing the movement.”

Sharp differences between political alliances in Iraq appear from time to time, and sometimes reach a split and distance between them, and striking the internal systems of alliances and violating principles is the main reason that is always mentioned to justify these splits, as politicians describe them as fragile alliances.

The Secretary of the Iraqi Communist Party, Raed Fahmy, told Rudaw Media Network that “the scene within an extended movement of defections and others is considered an unstable state, meaning that these formations seem to be an unstable state, but they meet in common directions, which may relate to organizational matters, This is another research, but the general criticism of the current political situation and the need to overcome it, I believe that there are commonalities between the two parties.

Six months have passed since the emergence of the first political alliance between Arabs and Kurds in the Iraqi parliament, consisting of 18 winning representatives in the parliamentary elections, which bore the name “Alliance for the People”. By the days, as the movement of the extension of one of the pillars of this opposition alliance was ravaged.   LINK

Who Will Survive In The End.. The Framework Or The Trio.. And Who Will Win If The Elections Are Repeated?

Posted On2022-06-18 By Sotaliraq    The coordination framework issued an initiative with “18” items, which it presented to get out of the current crisis that the country is going through, which halted and froze the political process, and worked to obstruct the formation of the government despite the passage of nearly seven months since the end of the parliamentary elections that took place on the tenth of October The first of last year.

Hours after the issuance of the framework initiative, the leader of the Sadrist movement, Muqtada al-Sadr, announced a new initiative in which he also called on independents to form a new alliance within a maximum period of 15 days, to participate with the tripartite coalition in forming the government.

In light of the continuing political blockage and the many initiatives that failed to bring the views of the competing parties closer, many observers went to the possibility of re-electing, while others ruled out that option, stressing that the next few days may contribute to the formation of the government in removing all obstacles to understanding between the framework and the current .

In this regard, political analyst Younis Al-Kaabi believes that "Sadr was expected to resort to solutions as a reaction to the coordination framework initiative, as he realized very well that he could not move forward with the project of the national majority after the cohesion of the coordination framework and cracks within the tripartite alliance."

Al-Kaabi indicated that "everyone realizes that guarantees do not exist with the Sadrist movement as long as the decision is exclusively in the hands of Mr. Sadr and not in the hands of the political body. Positions change according to the situation. Even the promises that Mr. al-Sadr gave to the independents to form the government contradict the basics of the Sadrist bloc that wants to lead the country and obtain executive positions." “.

He explained that "any government formed by the independents will be in a state of wind, because it will either be subject to the requests of the Triple Alliance that does not stop at the end of the conflict with the hawks of the Triple Alliance, and what happened to their government will happen to the government of Mr. Adel Abdul-Mahdi."

For his part, political analyst Qassem Al-Gharawi confirms that "the government is going through a dangerous juncture. There is an initiative that is matched by an initiative, and the atmosphere is still confused and the roads to solutions are not possible between the two sides of the basic game, the two opponents of the same political component."

Al-Gharawi added that "the large number of initiatives does not please, although it ends this closure, but it puts the signal not to pass towards the paths open for solutions, for the reason that the opposing parties reject the initiatives in an opposite way, even if they are useful, and find a suitable ground for reasonable solutions."

He pointed out that "insistence does not lead to a result, but rather complicates the political scene and places the ball of solutions in a space outside the Iraqi political stadium, and that the fire of the political kitchen will burn the political process and abort the process of stability."

In addition, political analyst Dr. Qassem Balshan Al-Tamimi says that "the large number of initiatives is clear and explicit evidence of the depth of the political blockage, as it is evidence of the lack of (respect) between the political blocs of the Iraqi people."

Lots Of Initiatives

And Balshan stated that “the gap between the framework and the movement is large, and there must be a movement with good and sincere intentions by Barzani and Al-Halbousi to narrow and bridge the gap between the framework and the movement, because the dispute will have adverse and disastrous results on the other Sunni and Kurdish components.”

While political analyst Atheer al-Shara asserts that “through the statements of the US Secretary of State and the demand of the United Nations to expedite the formation of a strong Iraqi government that does not accept the interventions of an eastern state in Iraq, we infer that the external project has matured and its fruits have come, and they set for this project an unknown period that may start next July.”

He explained that "Iraq is part of a regional project, and all politicians and blocs must be aware that the rapprochement between several countries will result in an agreement regarding Iraq and the diaspora and crises that will be the beginning of the end if national initiatives that unite all components and do not marginalize any component continue to be ignored."

Frame Durability

For his part, political analyst Dr. Kazem Jaber said, "The current did not expect the framework to stand in this way, which confused its accounts and those of its operators. The patriotic sense was present for many MPs who withstood the massive temptations in the auction of positions."

And he indicated that "the current's position in this game is considered a winner - a winner. If it manages to form the government and win executive positions, it will proceed to reap the gains, and if it is not able to form it, then it is also a winner through the number of ministries that will be from its share, especially the fatty ones."

He pointed out that "what is required of the current externally and dictally makes it difficult to take the initiative to accept the framework initiative, and the best solution is to go to an emergency government and prepare for early elections."

Political analyst Dr. Muhammad Al-Kahlawi called "the coordination framework does not go far and tries to bridge the gaps in front of others and stop the scheme that wants to break up the unity of the ranks and eliminate the capabilities of the country."

He adds that "the country's legitimate rights lie in obtaining its independence from occupation, preserving its wealth that makes enemies salivate, as well as maintaining their unity and cohesion in the service of the public interest."

He pointed out that "most of the independents have made up their minds and do not respond to the calls that they have previously said, and I think the political blockage will continue if there is no flexibility from the current and its alliance to take the framework initiative seriously to reach solutions that serve everyone."

The writer Zahir Al-Aqili supported the “calls for the re-election,” noting that “the current unfair election law will change, and in returning it there are positive things exclusively in favor of the Shiite framework forces.

The Re-Election

and Al-Aqili stated that “the masses of the framework will return to unite their ranks in a better situation than they were before the last elections,” noting that “the re-election this time will come out of the grip of Plasschaert, the agent of Zionism, as it revealed all its cards.”

In the context, political analyst Jumaa al-Atwani says, “Sayyid Muqtada sees that he has obtained the highest seats in all his political experience, higher than all political forces (individually), and this is what made him feel that the political opportunity is available to him to lead the Shiite component (politically), especially after his retirement Religious reference from interfering with the details of political work, as he is the only religious man who has a reference family inheritance.”

Al-Atwani adds that, “On the other hand, he feels that there are political leaders who still stand as an obstacle to the smooth flow of his leadership, and this leadership is represented by Mr. Al-Maliki, who enjoys political and social acceptability despite his absence from the prime ministership for two terms, and the distance of the most important leaders of the Dawa Party from him during the past period, and he is the well-known political opponent. Muqtada al-Sadr has no other competitor.”

He pointed out that “Mr. Muqtada al-Sadr wants to deal with the Shiite forces, not on the basis of a framework versus a current, but rather wants to deal on the basis of a current versus the Badr bloc, the Hikma bloc and Sadiqun, and so on, both individually, and for this he refuses to negotiate on the basis of two competing Shiite blocs, or Even allied, in this way Mr. Muqtada becomes the hardest figure in the Shiite equation.”

He concluded his speech by saying that “we can conclude from that to one fixed, non-negotiable issue, which is (Muqtada’s constant is the leadership of the Shiite house), and this leadership has come at its time and is not expected to be repeated in the upcoming electoral experiments necessarily, and his motto is (Take the opportunities, they pass by). The clouds passed) and everything else is details.”

In addition, political analyst Ibrahim Al-Sarraj says, “The coordination framework has proven that it is capable of protecting the political process and that it is its safety valve, and it is keen for everyone to participate in serious dialogues and discussions in order to get out of the political blockage according to a clear and explicit strategy.”

And he adds, "Standing against this initiative is not strange, for the other team, which has always held the coordination framework responsible for the political obstruction, and this is what it has been working on during the past six months, and the follower of the developments of the coordination framework initiative in society finds that there is a state of satisfaction from the Iraqi street regarding this initiative, which It is rightly considered a lifeline for the political process.”

Less Time For Freelancers

On the same subject, political analyst Haitham al-Khazali believes that “the current was able to get out of the angle of its failure to pass the President of the Republic, by offering the 40-day deadline, which he did not adhere to, and now it gives less time for the independents to engage in his tripartite alliance, and it will also fail.”

And he indicated that "the initiative will end after the end of the 15 days, and he will give a deadline for the framework to work on his initiative, and I expect that his initiative will depend on the proposition that the owner of the majority within the Shiite house is the one who nominates the prime minister, and I think he is trying to increase the number of independents who can ally with him internally to achieve the largest bloc." As a Shiite, he does not want 40 deputies, but rather the number suffices him, which makes him more than the framework within the Shiite house in preparation for putting forward his other initiative.”

The writer Wathiq Al-Jabri asserts that “the political situation in Iraq needs a realistic and quick review, moving it from a state of blockage to détente, from stagnation to movement, and from intersection and fracture to understanding.”

Al-Jabri indicated that “the process of political breaking is clear, and that it does not build a country and does not achieve a goal, although the scene does not bear more risks and adventures, and it is still sluggish after 7 months of early elections, neglecting the early motives, and the cost of the state’s effort and money, And a popular desire to form a coherent and strong government that establishes political stability.”

The Only Leader

Likewise, the writer Mazhar Al-Ghaithi believes that “Whoever wants to break our bones finds that it is harder than his will, and whoever wants to be the only leader, we give him good news, the dictatorship will not return, and whoever wants to break the Shiites, the Shiites prove that they are not broken, and before you the centuries, try again.”

He explained, "Whoever wants to deprive the largest component of the prime ministership, then the Shiites will deprive him of participating in the government, and this is a promise, and whoever wants Shiite fighting."

While political analyst Majed Al-Shuwaili asserts that “in view of the framework and movement initiatives, it turns out that the prime minister will apparently be independent or the candidate of the independents, but he is the candidate of the Triple Alliance, but rather the candidate of the Sadrist bloc, in fact, because it is concerned with naming the prime minister at the time for component considerations.”

And he indicated that "the independents will be informed of some details of the desired government and ensure that the Sadrist bloc will vote on it, meaning that they only have to nominate an independent."

He pointed out that "it is noted that the period granted to independents is 15 days, and this matter can be viewed from two angles; The existence of special arrangements between the Sadrist movement and some independents, as it recently appeared in the media, or that the matter is nothing more than dropping an argument that establishes another initiative or a new step that may be escalatory.”

He noted that "Sayyed al-Sadr reiterated his call to some of those he trusts in the coordinating framework to join the tripartite alliance, which means that the trio has not achieved the votes that would enable it to bypass the coordinating framework until the moment."

He continued, "All of the two initiatives confirm that the political impasse is still unchanged and is even getting more complicated."

Independents Weighing Eggs After The Kurds

As the political analyst Sabah Zangana believes, "independents today have become the weight of the egg" after the Kurds represented the matter in resolving last-minute conflicts.

And he indicated that "this force will enter the furnace of competition and conflict, and it will witness major divisions among them and may cause a prolongation of the current crisis."

While writer Halima Al-Saadi confirms that "the popular earthquake is coming and the solution is to amend the constitution and hold real elections far from Plasschaert, its organizations and observers, and far from the parties and their allies from foreign countries."

Al-Saadi indicated, "The time has come for the world to hear the voice of the people as they decide their fate on their own without external interference, and this will not happen unless an emergency government is announced, headed by a man of strength and wisdom, who adheres to the conditions of his inauguration and his specific powers to conduct business and the constitutional amendment and conduct a popular popular vote on the amendment."

And she indicated that “holding early elections to form a national government has become necessary, as for the independents in their miserable state, they are taking responsibility and forming a government, this matter is not considered more than an additional period freely given to Al-Kazemi’s government to continue with more conspiracy against Iraq and sell it and bind it with a package of treaties and sovereign agreements Humiliating.”

In addition, writer Walid Al-Taei believes that “the coordination framework deals with real political savvy, and has issued many initiatives since accepting the results of the rigged elections and until today, and all of its initiatives are well-studied in line with the rights of the components of the Iraqi people, and far from political bidding, treason and skepticism.”

He explained that "the initiatives of the coordinating framework forces are far from temptations and offers and granting ministries, as does the other party that issues emotional initiatives, empty of solutions and treatment for this political blockage that harmed Iraq economically."

He pointed out that "all political parties have to sit with the forces of the coordination framework at one table and negotiate according to political norms that are in line with the Iraqi situation."

Meanwhile, political analyst Dia al-Din al-Hashemi asserts that "the framework's attempts and initiatives have not been accepted by the movement - in particular - and the reasons are known and they should stop going to it."

Al-Hashemi added that “the paper of the independents was put forward by the movement, in a parallel and conditional way, to neutralize them.

He pointed out that "in the event of a re-election, it will change in better proportions to the framework in order for them to rectify previous mistakes with the (slight) descent of the movement, and it does not achieve the desired or meet the ambition, as if the arena is telling us the repetition of reality and results."

For his part, jurist Ali Al-Faris asserts that “the coordinating framework that represents the largest Shiite component in Iraq has opened all its doors to resolve the political impasse that the Triple Alliance closed, by blundering and not prioritizing the interests of the nation and the people over their own and partisan interests through which they wanted to settle hidden accounts with the Shiite component.” “.

Al-Fares explained that "the tripartite alliance is determined to keep the country under the betting table" and the continuation of the political crisis, and we did not see any concession from it for the sake of the people who became between a rock and a hard place.

He pointed out that "the coordination framework is still dominant and takes the initiative for the sake of Iraq and the stability of the country, restoring its sovereignty and preserving all its rights, especially the southern provinces, because it represents the authentic Iraqi people who believe in their faith and who believe in the patriotism of this component."

Concessions

In conclusion, Mahmoud al-Hashemi, director of the Union Center for Strategic Studies, said that “Muqtada al-Sadr sees himself in the scope of the project that he was assigned to be a political and religious emir over the Shiites, and he has made many concessions for this goal, so that before that his current before the elections was cheering To obtain (100) seats and that he is the guarantor of the position of prime minister, considering that it is a (Shiite entitlement) according to the norms of the ongoing political process in Iraq.

Al-Hashemi explained that "Muqtada does not accept to be (defeated) because the nature of his personality (like this), so the framework surrounded him with the decision of the Federal Court and the procedures of the framework in the two failed sessions, as well as with the withdrawal of the three parties from him because of the reality of the political process and because of external transformations."

He pointed out that "Mr. Muqtada al-Sadr will maneuver and not accept (defeat) and will pressure to dominate state institutions and empty the state of his opponents (the framework), so the framework must be aware of the dangers of that and enter the political battlefield effectively, not in the interest of the framework alone, but in the interest of the nation."

And he noted that “if a decision was issued by the House of Representatives against normalization, the (Tripoli) parties will move away from (the current) because it has setbacks on Erbil and Anbar and whoever is in their approach, just as America, Britain and the Gulf do not accept such a decision because it will happen (a shock). in the region and raises the Arab, Islamic and even international street.”   LINK